Abstract
The main task of the study was to develop and implement predictive control in the hot open die forging process of heavy, large, and hard deformable steel forgings on an 80 MN hydraulic press at the Forged Products Department (FPD) of Celsa Huta Ostrowiec (CHO). The predicted hot flow stresses and the predicted deformation/forging forces as a function of the parameters of the elongation forging process were determined. The predicted parameters of the forging process were included in the dynamic model of the hydraulic forging press. Generalized predictive control (GPC) algorithm of the hot open-die forging process on the hydraulic press was developed. The use of predictive control solved the uncertainty of the hot open forging process, which depends on the dimensions, shapes, and material properties of the forgings, as well as the parameters of the hydraulic press and forging tools.
1 Introduction
High-pressure hydraulic forging presses with a force of up to 200 MN are used in the hot open die forging process of heavy, large steel components. It is constantly striving to constantly improve the quality and strength of the forged products, as well as to solve problems related to increasing the energy efficiency of the forging process. Over the years, the Forged Products Department (FPD) of Celsa Huta Ostrowiec (CHO), Celsa GrupTM steel plant in Poland, has identified the key research challenges related to the technological process of forging elements, as well as the need to improve the forging process. FPD uses hydraulic forging presses with forces of 20, 32, and 80 MN for the hot open die forging process. A view of the industrial 80 MN (8000 T) hydraulic press is shown in Figure 1. FPD is a leading European manufacturer of hot open die forgings for strategic industries: power generation, oil & gas, engine, tool steel, and metal processing. Forged components are made for the world's largest suppliers of wind turbines, high power plant turbines, and global corporations of the energy and mining sectors. In FDP, heavy components weighing from 1,000 kg to 80,000 kg, with a length of up to 22 m and a diameter of up to 2.4 m, made of carbon, low-alloy, and medium-alloy structural steel, are most often forged.

Industrial 80 MN (8000 T) hydraulic press for hot open die forging (photo source CHO)
The literature review of forging heavy and large forgings on high-pressure hydraulic presses was carried out. No research studies concerned the control of hydraulic presses in industrial conditions. The papers [1] and [2] present a predictive control strategy for the forging process on a 4000 T hydraulic press in laboratory conditions. Most of the papers concern material issues, such as ingot deformation, elimination of non-metallic inclusions, and voids in forgings [3,4,5,6]. Similar problems related to the modelling of the hot open die forging process were considered in works [7,8,9,10]. Compared to the previous works [11] and [12], the authors developed a new hot open die forgings process control method, which includes Generalized Predictive Control (GPC), Predictive Forging Force Model (PFFM), Recursive Polynomial Model Estimator (RPME), and a nonlinear discrete-time state-space model of hydraulic control system (HCS).
2 Predicting the parameters of the forging process
Open die forging is a hot forming process in which the metal is shaped by pressing between two flat or simple contoured dies. The work concerns the hot open die forging process, during which the forgings are elongated. The geometry of the elongation forging process is shown in Figure 2.

The geometry of the forging during the elongation forging process: initial parameters: height h0, width w0, length l0, and bite length b0; parameters for a single draft: height h1, width w1, length l1, and bite length b1
During the lengthening of the forgings in one draft, the initial cross-section S0 = h0 · w0 is reduced to the cross-section S1 = h1 · w1. The deformation coefficient λ of the forging is determined by the ratio of S0 to S1,
The unit draft (relative forging height reduction) of the forging is determined as follows,
which for hydraulic presses is ɛh = 0.2 − 0.3.
The average forgings width w1 for a single forging draft will be given as [13],
while the average forgings length l1 will be given as,
where a is the value of the spreading coefficient experimentally determined by Tomlinson [14],
where the value b0 represents the initial bite, i.e. the length of the forging in contact with the dies.
The bite length b1 of the forging in contact with the dies with a single draft is [15]:
The predicted hot flow stress σp for a single draft of the forging, according to the simplified Hensel-Spittel model, was written in the following form [16],
where σ0, m0, m1, m2, m3, m4 are material constants resulting from nonlinear regression analysis of the experimental data using the FORGE software, T is the deformation temperature, φ = ln(h0/h) is the true strain,
Material constants according to (7) for typical C45 40 carbon steel are: σ0 = 120 MPa, m0 = 11, m1 = −0.0025, m2 = −0.0587, m3 = 0.1165, m4 = −0.0065. The deformation temperature in the range T = 850–1300°C and the strain rate in the range
Sample results of the forging process are presented for a single draft of the forgings with dimensions: h0 = 0.5 m, w0 = 0.2 m, h1 = 0.35 m, b0 = 0.1 m. For such dimensions, forging height reduction is Δh = h0 − h1 = 0.15 m, the unit draft is ɛh = Δh/h0 = 0.3, and the deformation coefficient λ = 1.59.
Based on (7), the curves of hot flow stress σp as a function of true strain φ and strain rate

Curves of the predicted hot flow stress σp as a function of true strain φ and strain rate
The curves of hot flow stress σp as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation temperatures T are shown in Figure 4, and for different strain rates

Curves of the predicted hot flow stress σp as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation temperatures T and constant strain rate

Curves of the predicted hot flow stress σp as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation strain rates
The influence of friction and heat transfer on the contact surface of the die and the forging was described by Siebel using the dimensionless formula [17],
where μ is the coefficient of friction stress on the die surface (μ = 0.3), k is the deformation strengthening indicator (k = 1.115).
The contact surface Ad of the forging and the die for a single forging draft is determined as follows,
The predicted forging/deformation force Fd of the forging during the elongation process for the single draft is as follows,
Based on (10), the curves of predicted forging/deformation force Fd as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation temperatures T are shown in Figure 6, and for different strain rates

Curves of the predicted forging/deformation force Fd as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation temperatures T and constant strain rate

Curves of the predicted forging/deformation force Fd as a function of the unit draft ɛh for different deformation strain rates
3 Discrete model of the 80 MN hydraulic press
The diagram of the dynamic model of the 80 MN hydraulic press used to simulate and control the elongation forging process is shown in Figure 8.

Diagram of a dynamic model of the 80 MN hydraulic press: A1 – main plunger cylinders, A2 – return plunger cylinders, V1 – 4/4/directional control valve, P – water pump station, A – high-pressure water accumulators, Ub – upper beam, Ud – upper die, Ld – lower die, Up – upper plate for fixing the upper die, Ta – table for fixing the lower die
The dynamic model of the hydraulic 80 MN forging press, taking into account the movement of the main plunger and the movement of the return plungers. The dynamic model of the hydraulic press has been written in the form of a nonlinear discrete-time state-space model,
with constraints:
where x(k) ∈ Rn is the state vector, u(k) ∈ Rm is the input vector, y(k) ∈ Rp is the output vector, f (x(k)), g(x(k)) are the nonlinear matrices, C ∈ Rp+n is the linear matrix, umin and ymin are vectors of lower bounds, umax and ymax are vectors of upper bounds.
In the modelling and control of the 80 MN hydraulic press takes into account three phases of the forging process: the drop of the upper die into contact with the forgings; the forgings deformation process; the return of the upper die to the initial position. The initial working movement of the hydraulic press from the contact of the upper die and the forging was considered; when the initial position of the plunger is y(0) = 0 and the initial speed of the plunger v(0) = 0.
Based on the dynamic model of the hydraulic press (11), the dynamic responses of the plunger displacement y(t) (reduction of the height Δh(t) of the forgings) and the plunger speed v(t), as well the pressures p1 and p2 in the main plunger cylinder and return plunger cylinders are shown in Figures 9 and 10.

The simulation results of the forging process: plunger displacement y(t), forging deformation h(t), and plunger speed v(t)

The simulation results of the forging process: working pressure p1(t) and return pressure p2(t) in the press cylinders
4 Predictive control of the 80 MN hydraulic press
The predicted parameters of the forging process were the basis for development of a predictive control system of the 80 MN hydraulic press. The predictive control algorithm is based on the use of knowledge about the predicted deformation of the forgings to determine the control parameters of the forging process. The schematic diagram of the predictive control of an 80 MN hydraulic press is shown in Figure 11.

Schematic diagram of the predictive control of the 80 MN hydraulic press: S1 – infrared temperature sensor T, S2 – position transducer y(t), S3 – pressure transducer p(t), CV – control valve
A predictive control system based on the generalized predictive control (GPC) algorithm has been implemented in the control system of the hydraulic press. Predictive control of the hot open forging process for selected predicted operating parameters was developed, such as the predictive forging force/deformation and the predicted deformation of the forgings. The industrial forging process is preceded by an analysis of the deformation of forgings and a simulation of the forging process on a hydraulic press. A schematic diagram of the predictive control system of the 80 MN hydraulic press is shown in Figure 12.

Schematic diagram of the predictive control system of the 80 MN hydraulic press
The predictive control system of the hydraulic press includes the following modules: generalized predictive control (GPC) of multiple-inputs and multiple-output (MIMO) system, the predictive forging force model (PFFM), the recursive polynomial model estimator (RPME), and the nonlinear discrete-time state-space model of the hydraulic control system (HCS). The GPC algorithm uses the HCS model in the form of the nonlinear discrete-time state-space model. The RPME estimates the discrete-time of the HCS polynomial model. In the developed control system, multiple GPCs were used, which include two independent control algorithms concerning the forging force (pressure) and the displacement of the upper beam (change of the height of the forging). The predictive control is based on the measurement of input parameters recorded in real-time, i.e. the displacement y(t) of the moving beam, including the height h(t) of deformed forging, and the load pressure p(t) in the main plunger cylinder. The forging temperature T is measured at the beginning of the forging process. The predicted parameters ypre(t) and ppre(t) are defined in the processing of measurement signals and parameters of the dynamic model. The trajectories of the reference parameters yref (t) and pref (t) determined from simulation model for the analysed forging process are shown in Figure 13. The reference pressure curve pref (t) is a smoothed dynamic response of pressure using locally weighted polynomial regression (LWPR).

Trajectories of the reference parameters yref (t) and pref (t)
The GPC algorithm uses reference state and predictive control signals to obtain the optimal input vector by solving the optimization problem [18, 19]. The GPC algorithm minimizes the difference between the reference parameters yref (t), pref (t) and predicted parameters ypre(t), ppre(t) for optimal input signals uy, up to the control valve [7],
where Jh and Jp are objective functions.
Figure 14 compares the trajectories of reference parameters yref (t), pref (t) and the trajectories of predicted parameters ypre(t), ppre(t) for optimal input signals uh, up.

Trajectories comparison for optimal input signals: a) upper beam displacement y(t) for the range of deformation height h(t) of the forgings, b) load pressure p(t) in the main plunger cylinder: 1 – trajectories of reference parameters, 2 – trajectories of predicted parameters
The use of predictive control for an industrial hydraulic press gives the greater possibilities of shaping heavy, large steel forgings in the hot open die forging process. The main advantage of this control method is the repeatability of the forging process and the minimization of dimensional deviations of the forgings. The forging process can be carried out with maximum accuracy and cost effectiveness.
5 Conclusion
The paper presents the result of the study carried out in cooperation with the industrial partner FPD CHO, in the implementation of a research project supported by the National Center for Research and Development (NCRD) under the Smart Growth Operational Program (IDOP) 2014–2020, the aim of which is to improve the quality and durability of forged products as well as increase the energy efficiency of the forging process. Predictive control based on the GPC algorithm was proposed, which applies to the hot open forging process on a hydraulic press in FPD. The developed GPC algorithm aimed to optimize the objective function as a quadratic “cost” function defined in a finite horizon based on the predictive (future) control signals and the reference parameters of the forging process. The main advantage of predictive control is the repeatability of the forging process and the minimization of forgings’ size deviations. The use of predictive control made it possible to optimize the forging force and increase the frequency of the hydraulic press cycle. As a result, the greater degree of deformation of forgings and reduce the time of forging operations, including inter-operative heating, was achieved. Reducing the number of intermediate reheating operations results in a decrease in gas consumption, which increases the energy efficiency of the forging operations and is environmentally advantageous. Increasing the energy efficiency of the forging process also benefits the environment. The presented research results are of practical importance in the steel industry.
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This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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- Review Articles
- FMEA method in operational reliability of forest harvesters
- Examination of preferences in the field of mobility of the city of Pila in terms of services provided by the Municipal Transport Company in Pila
- Enhancement stability and color fastness of natural dye: A review
- Special Issue: ICE-SEAM 2019 - Part II
- Lane Departure Warning Estimation Using Yaw Acceleration
- Analysis of EMG Signals during Stance and Swing Phases for Controlling Magnetorheological Brake applications
- Sensor Number Optimization Using Neural Network for Ankle Foot Orthosis Equipped with Magnetorheological Brake
- Special Issue: Recent Advances in Civil Engineering - Part II
- Comparison of STM’s reliability system on the example of selected element
- Technical analysis of the renovation works of the wooden palace floors
- Special Issue: TRANSPORT 2020
- Simulation assessment of the half-power bandwidth method in testing shock absorbers
- Predictive analysis of the impact of the time of day on road accidents in Poland
- User’s determination of a proper method for quantifying fuel consumption of a passenger car with compression ignition engine in specific operation conditions
- Analysis and assessment of defectiveness of regulations for the yellow signal at the intersection
- Streamlining possibility of transport-supply logistics when using chosen Operations Research techniques
- Permissible distance – safety system of vehicles in use
- Study of the population in terms of knowledge about the distance between vehicles in motion
- UAVs in rail damage image diagnostics supported by deep-learning networks
- Exhaust emissions of buses LNG and Diesel in RDE tests
- Measurements of urban traffic parameters before and after road reconstruction
- The use of deep recurrent neural networks to predict performance of photovoltaic system for charging electric vehicles
- Analysis of dangers in the operation of city buses at the intersections
- Psychological factors of the transfer of control in an automated vehicle
- Testing and evaluation of cold-start emissions from a gasoline engine in RDE test at two different ambient temperatures
- Age and experience in driving a vehicle and psychomotor skills in the context of automation
- Consumption of gasoline in vehicles equipped with an LPG retrofit system in real driving conditions
- Laboratory studies of the influence of the working position of the passenger vehicle air suspension on the vibration comfort of children transported in the child restraint system
- Route optimization for city cleaning vehicle
- Efficiency of electric vehicle interior heating systems at low ambient temperatures
- Model-based imputation of sound level data at thoroughfare using computational intelligence
- Research on the combustion process in the Fiat 1.3 Multijet engine fueled with rapeseed methyl esters
- Overview of the method and state of hydrogenization of road transport in the world and the resulting development prospects in Poland
- Tribological characteristics of polymer materials used for slide bearings
- Car reliability analysis based on periodic technical tests
- Special Issue: Terotechnology 2019 - Part II
- DOE Application for Analysis of Tribological Properties of the Al2O3/IF-WS2 Surface Layers
- The effect of the impurities spaces on the quality of structural steel working at variable loads
- Prediction of the parameters and the hot open die elongation forging process on an 80 MN hydraulic press
- Special Issue: AEVEC 2020
- Vocational Student's Attitude and Response Towards Experiential Learning in Mechanical Engineering
- Virtual Laboratory to Support a Practical Learning of Micro Power Generation in Indonesian Vocational High Schools
- The impacts of mediating the work environment on the mode choice in work trips
- Utilization of K-nearest neighbor algorithm for classification of white blood cells in AML M4, M5, and M7
- Car braking effectiveness after adaptation for drivers with motor dysfunctions
- Case study: Vocational student’s knowledge and awareness level toward renewable energy in Indonesia
- Contribution of collaborative skill toward construction drawing skill for developing vocational course
- Special Issue: Annual Engineering and Vocational Education Conference - Part II
- Vocational teachers’ perspective toward Technological Pedagogical Vocational Knowledge
- Special Issue: ICIMECE 2020 - Part I
- Profile of system and product certification as quality infrastructure in Indonesia
- Prediction Model of Magnetorheological (MR) Fluid Damper Hysteresis Loop using Extreme Learning Machine Algorithm
- A review on the fused deposition modeling (FDM) 3D printing: Filament processing, materials, and printing parameters
- Facile rheological route method for LiFePO4/C cathode material production
- Mosque design strategy for energy and water saving
- Epoxy resins thermosetting for mechanical engineering
- Estimating the potential of wind energy resources using Weibull parameters: A case study of the coastline region of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
- Special Issue: CIRMARE 2020
- New trends in visual inspection of buildings and structures: Study for the use of drones
- Special Issue: ISERT 2021
- Alleviate the contending issues in network operating system courses: Psychomotor and troubleshooting skill development with Raspberry Pi
- Special Issue: Actual Trends in Logistics and Industrial Engineering - Part II
- The Physical Internet: A means towards achieving global logistics sustainability
- Special Issue: Modern Scientific Problems in Civil Engineering - Part I
- Construction work cost and duration analysis with the use of agent-based modelling and simulation
- Corrosion rate measurement for steel sheets of a fuel tank shell being in service
- The influence of external environment on workers on scaffolding illustrated by UTCI
- Allocation of risk factors for geodetic tasks in construction schedules
- Pedestrian fatality risk as a function of tram impact speed
- Technological and organizational problems in the construction of the radiation shielding concrete and suggestions to solve: A case study
- Finite element analysis of train speed effect on dynamic response of steel bridge
- New approach to analysis of railway track dynamics – Rail head vibrations
- Special Issue: Trends in Logistics and Production for the 21st Century - Part I
- Design of production lines and logistic flows in production
- The planning process of transport tasks for autonomous vans
- Modeling of the two shuttle box system within the internal logistics system using simulation software
- Implementation of the logistics train in the intralogistics system: A case study
- Assessment of investment in electric buses: A case study of a public transport company
- Assessment of a robot base production using CAM programming for the FANUC control system
- Proposal for the flow of material and adjustments to the storage system of an external service provider
- The use of numerical analysis of the injection process to select the material for the injection molding
- Economic aspect of combined transport
- Solution of a production process with the application of simulation: A case study
- Speedometer reliability in regard to road traffic sustainability
- Design and construction of a scanning stand for the PU mini-acoustic sensor
- Utilization of intelligent vehicle units for train set dispatching
- Special Issue: ICRTEEC - 2021 - Part I
- LVRT enhancement of DFIG-driven wind system using feed-forward neuro-sliding mode control
- Special Issue: Automation in Finland 2021 - Part I
- Prediction of future paths of mobile objects using path library
- Model predictive control for a multiple injection combustion model
- Model-based on-board post-injection control development for marine diesel engine
- Intelligent temporal analysis of coronavirus statistical data