Home Technology Novel approaches in prediction of tensile strain capacity of engineered cementitious composites using interpretable approaches
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Novel approaches in prediction of tensile strain capacity of engineered cementitious composites using interpretable approaches

  • Turki S. Alahmari EMAIL logo and Furqan Farooq EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: March 3, 2025
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Abstract

The performance and durability of conventional concrete (CC) are significantly influenced by its weak tensile strength and tensile strain capacity (TSC). Thus, the intrusion of fibers in the cementitious matrix forms ductile engineered cementitious composites (ECCs) that can cater to this weak area of CC. Moreover, ECCs have become a reasonable substitute for brittle plain concrete due to their increased flexibility, ductility, and greater TSC. Thus, its prediction of ECC concrete is crucial without the need for laborious experimental procedures. Thus, to achieve this, machine learning approaches (MLAs), namely light gradient boosting (LGB) approach, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) approach, artificial neural network (ANN), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were developed. The data gathered from the literature comprise input parameters in which the fiber content, fiber length, cement, fiber diameter, water-to-binder ratio, fly ash (FA), age, sand, superplasticizer, and TSC as output parameters are utilized. The assessment of the models is gauged with coefficient of determination (R 2), statistical measures, and uncertainty analysis. In addition, an analysis of feature importance is carried out for further refinement of the model. The result demonstrates that ANN and XGB perform well for train and test sets with R 2 > 0.96. Statistical measures show that all models give fewer errors with higher R 2, in which XGB and ANN depict robust performance. Validation via K-fold confirms that models perform by showing fewer errors and a greater correlation of determination. In addition, the analysis of parameters reveals that the fiber diameter, cement, and FA have a major contribution in the prediction of TSC of ECC. Moreover, the graphical user interface is also developed to help users/researchers that will facilitate them to estimate the strength of ECC in practical applications.

Abbreviations

ANN

artificial neural network

CC

cementitious composite

CM

construction material

CO2

carbon dioxide

CS

compressive strength

CV

cross-validation

DT

decision tree

ECC

engineered cementitious composite

EFB

exclusive feature bundling

FA

fly ash

FRC

fiber-reinforced concrete

GB

gradient boosting

GGBF

ground granulated blast furnace

GOSS

gradient-based one-side sampling

GUI

graphical user interface

HTS

high tensile strength

KNN

K-nearest neighbor

LGB

light gradient boosting

LTS

low tensile strength

MAE

mean absolute error

ML

machine learning

MLA

machine learning algorithm

MLPNN

multi-layer perceptron neural network

OF

objective function

PC

plain concrete

PE

polyethylene

PP

polypropylene

PVA

polyvinyl alcohol

QM

quadratic model

RF

random forest

RHA

rice husk ash

RMSE

root mean square error

SCM

supplementary cementitious material

SF

silica fume

TSC

tensile strain capacity

UTS

ultimate tensile strain

XGB

extreme gradient boosting

1 Introduction

Concrete is one of the most utilized construction materials (CMs) that is used all around the globe because it is highly workable, readily available, and cost-effective [1]. Conventional concrete (CC) has in-built limitations, including inadequate resistance to cracking, low tensile strength (LTS), limited toughness (LT), brittleness, and heavyweight [2,3,4]. These drawbacks can limit its effectiveness and adaptability in various engineering applications. Furthermore, it is also reported that plain concrete (PC) has an ultimate tensile strain (UTS) of only about 0.01%, beyond which it is prone to brittle failure [5,6,7]. This brittleness indicates that cementitious structures can rapidly collapse [8], thus posing significant risks to safety and properties [9,10,11]. However, integrating fiber reinforcement with supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs) into the matrix can diminish this concern by obstructing the development of micro-cracks [4,12,13,14]. As a result, the risk of brittle failure is considerably reduced, and the UTS of the cementitious matrix can be increased by over 200 times [15]. In addition, the incorporation of these SCMs reduces carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions globally. It is also mentioned that various approaches can also mitigate or lower the emission of CO2, as illustrated in Table 1. Recently, numerous way-out approaches have been proposed to increase the performance of cementitious composite (CC) [1620]. Therefore, the utilization of fibers is one of the most prominent methods. Thus, the presence of fibers plays a crucial role in increasing the toughness and tensile strain capacity (TSC) of engineered cementitious composites (ECCs), which is vibrant for the design and use of advanced concrete materials in the future [2125]. The random distribution of fibers within the CC leads to better resistance to the propagation of cracks and, hence, improved tensile strength and increased strain capacity [3,2628]. This arrangement enhances the post-cracking behavior of concrete. Therefore, it helps to minimize the propagation of small cracks and improve the overall ductility of ECCs. Figure 1 shows an overview of the appropriate properties of ECCs. The improved ductility of ECC allows it to undertake substantial deformation during seismic events without failing or cracking [29]. Thus, it is a perfect choice for constructing earthquake-resistant structures and other applications that need high durability. Moreover, the high TSC of concrete significantly enhances its suitability for a variety of new construction applications [3032]. In structural components such as beams, columns, and slabs, high TSC improves the concrete’s ability to resist bending and tensile stresses, thus reducing the risk of cracking and deformation under load. This leads to greater structural integrity and longevity. For precast concrete elements, including panels and architectural features, high TSC ensures that these components can handle tensile stresses during manufacturing, handling, and installation while maintaining their structural stability and aesthetic quality [3336]. In industrial flooring, such as heavy-duty and cleanroom floors, high TSC contributes to durability and resistance to cracking. Therefore, it is ideal for environments with significant mechanical stresses. Additionally, in infrastructure projects like bridge construction and tunnel linings, concrete with high TSC offers enhanced performance by managing tensile stresses and preventing cracking. Consequently, it ensures the safety and longevity of these critical structures. Incorporating high TSC concrete into new construction projects not only improves structural performance but also extends the lifespan and reliability of the built environment [35].

Table 1

Method description impact on CO2 reduction

SCMs Partial replacement of cement with materials like fly ash (FA), slag, and silica fume (SF) Reduces clinker usage, lowering emissions
Low-carbon cements Includes LC3, geopolymer cement, and carbon-neutral cement Significantly reduces the carbon footprint of cement production
Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) Captures CO2 from cement plants, either storing it or using it in concrete production Directly reduces CO2 emissions from cement manufacturing
Optimizing concrete mix design Reducing cement content, using high-strength concrete, and water-reducing admixtures Lowers overall cement requirement, reducing emissions
Recycling and reuse of materials Using recycled aggregates and reusing demolition waste in new concrete Reduces the need for new cement and aggregates
Alternative binders Utilizes alkali-activated materials and magnesium-based cement Provides lower-carbon alternatives to traditional Portland cement
Improving energy efficiency in cement production Upgrading kilns, using alternative fuels, and recovering waste heat Reduces energy consumption and associated CO2 emissions
Sustainable construction practices Design for longevity and modular construction techniques Reduces material usage and waste, lowering cumulative emissions
Policy and regulatory measures Implementation of carbon pricing, sustainability standards, and regulations Encourages industry-wide adoption of low-carbon practices
Figure 1 
               Benefits of ECCs in concrete.
Figure 1

Benefits of ECCs in concrete.

This feature makes ECC predominantly appropriate for earthquake-resistant structures where toughness and durability are critical and required. It has also been reported that fiber-reinforced concrete (FRC) is stronger than traditional concrete [3741]. In addition, it usually lacks the ductility that ECC offers. Moreover, ECC is known for its exceptional crack resistance, and it limits the propagation of cracks [42]. This is due to its unique blend of high tensile strength and ductility. FRC also has the ability to provide good crack resistance [4345]. Furthermore, it may not be accomplished as efficiently as ECCs under high-stress conditions. The distinctions between plain concrete, ECC, and FRC are summarized in Table 2.

Table 2

Differences between CC

Property/feature Plain concrete FRC ECC
Definition A basic form of concrete made from cement, aggregates, and water Concrete reinforced with fibrous materials to enhance its structural integrity A type of high-performance FRC designed to exhibit strain-hardening behavior and increased ductility
Composition Cement, coarse and fine aggregates, water, and sometimes admixtures Cement, aggregates, water, and fibers (steel, glass, synthetic, natural) Cement, fine aggregates, water, fibers, admixtures, and SCMs
Ductility Low, brittle failure under tensile stress Moderate; improved ductility compared to plain concrete High; capable of significant strain-hardening and deformation before failure
Crack resistance Poor, prone to large crack formation Good; fibers help in controlling crack width and propagation Excellent; designed to form many micro-cracks instead of a few large cracks
Tensile strength Low; tensile strength is much lower than compressive strength Moderate to high, depending on fiber type and content High, owing to fiber reinforcement and strain-hardening properties
Flexural strength Low; fails under flexural loads Improved; fibers help in carrying tensile loads High; improved flexural performance due to fibers
Energy absorption Low; absorbs less energy under load Moderate to high; fibers contribute to higher energy absorption High; can absorb significant energy before failure
Durability Moderate; durability depends on mix design and curing Improved; fibers enhance resistance to spalling, impact, and fatigue High; enhanced resistance to environmental and mechanical degradation
Application areas General construction, foundations, pavements Bridges, pavements, industrial floors, and tunnel linings Infrastructure, seismic zones, repair and rehabilitation, and overlays
Cost Low; most economical form of concrete Moderate; cost varies with type and amount of fibers used Higher; due to advanced materials and fiber content
Workability High; easy to mix, place, and finish Moderate; fibers can affect workability and may need adjustments Moderate to low; may require special handling and placement techniques
Shrinkage Moderate; prone to shrinkage cracking Improved; fibers reduce the extent of shrinkage Low; fibers help in reducing shrinkage cracking
Environmental impact Moderate to high, depending on cement content Variable; inclusion of recycled fibers can reduce the environmental impact Variable; can be designed to be more sustainable with supplementary materials

ECC incorporates numerous mineral admixtures, such as SF and FA, as partial replacements for cement to cater to the properties of concrete [4650]. This process supports the use of eco-friendly CMs in civil engineering projects. Typically, an ECC mix includes cement/binder, ashes, sand, fibers, and a superplasticizer. The proportions of these mixtures adamantly influence the composite’s properties. Moreover, fibers that play a significant role in ECC act in bridging action inside the cementitious matrix [5153]. Thus, their incorporation increases the properties of the overall matrix. These fibers are essential in ECC for enhancing tensile strength, ductility, crack control, flexural strength, toughness, energy absorption, and overall durability [47,5456], therefore making ECC a superior and versatile CM. Common fibers used in ECC are polyvinyl alcohol (PVA), polyethylene (PE), and polypropylene (PP). PVA fibers are favored over PP fibers because they offer higher tensile strength, which is crucial for improving the composite’s overall tensile strength [56]. Additionally, ECC with PVA fibers exhibits superior flexural strength and toughness compared to ECC with PP fibers [57]. ECC is a mixture of heterogeneous materials designed to achieve superior mechanical properties and durability. The typical ECC mix includes cement, sand, FA, fibers (such as PE, PP, or PVA), and a superplasticizer. Thus, it requires a lot of time and involves the hit and trial approach to achieve the desired strength after 28 days [58]. However, calculating the compressive strength (CS) of ECC at 28 days can be challenging due to the ambiguity that exists in the mix ratios of its various components. The heterogeneous nature of the materials and the variability in the proportions of fibers, cement, sand, and SCMs make it difficult to establish a standardized mix ratio. This variability can ultimately lead to inconsistencies in the mixture properties. Thus, the need to balance workability durability and strength requires numerous iterations. This is often required to optimize the mix design. In addition, the trial-and-error method can ominously interrupt the development and application of ECC in construction projects. Given these challenges in the concrete industry, ML approaches offer an encouraging solution for forecasting the CS of ECC more efficiently [5961]. This is done by analyzing the large gathered data of ECC mix proportions and their corresponding performance outcomes, namely the CS. These machine learning algorithms (MLAs) can identify patterns and associations with each other that are not simply discernible through conventional methods [6266]. These models can then help in calculating the optimal mix ratios of the mixture to attain the desired strength within due time. It, therefore, reduces the dependence on time-consuming trial and error associated with it. This approach not only speeds up the development process but also improves the accurateness and reliability of strength predictions. In addition, researchers and engineers can more efficiently harness the potential of ECC cementitious matrix to numerous civil engineering applications with greater assurance in its performance. ML techniques have appeared as an effective means for scholars to develop prediction models for revolutionary concrete composites, including ECC [6770]. These methods control vast amounts of data to uncover complex arrangements and relationships that traditional methods might miss. Thus, it enables more precise predictions of the properties of materials. Wu et al. [71] utilized the ML method, particularly the artificial neural network (ANN), for the prediction of pervious concrete. The author forecasted the permeability and CS and revealed that both outputs depict significant correlation (R 2) values of 0.98 and 0.97, respectively. Karim et al. [72] estimated the strength of concrete, including FA and rice husk ash (RHA) as SCMs, by utilizing the gradient boosting (GB) approach, ANN, and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) with 138 data points. The author demonstrated that the XGB model gives a strong and significant R 2 of 0.84. Kashem et al. [73] deployed various ML approaches in conjunction with hybrid approaches to anticipate the strength of sustainable concrete with RHA. The author employed random forest (RF), XGB, and light gradient boosting (LGB) with hybrid approaches. The author reveals that the hybrid approach XGB-LGB shows resilient performance with R 2 = 0.95. Piro et al. [74] predicted the electrical resistivity of normal concrete with slag content as a partial replacement of coarse aggregate and revealed that the full quadratic model performs as a most reliable model with R 2 = 0.91. Jaf et al. [75] estimated the CS of FA-based concrete by employing numerous approaches, including ANN, linear, non-linear regression, and full quadratic with 236 data points. The authors concluded that the ANN model gives robust measures for training and testing sets with R 2 = 0.987 and 0.986, respectively. Mohammed et al. [76] predicted the CS of high and normal strength concrete with FA and ground granulated blast furnace (GGBS) as ingredients in a cementitious matrix. They employed ML measures and revealed that the ANN model depicts robust performance. Similarly, Lou et al. [77] developed ML approaches for self-healing concrete to anticipate the crack repair rate. They showed that adaptive boosting approaches yield robust measures of R 2 = 0.943. Shakil et al. [78] predicted the CS of blended concrete with various SCMs, namely as lime powder, GGBS, SF, FA, and calcined clay with 1,288 data points. They employed numerous approaches and reveal that XGB shows strong correlation in anticipating the strength of blended concrete. In addition, Figure 2 illustrates the influence of ML in the construction sector.

Figure 2 
               Advantages of ML in concrete.
Figure 2

Advantages of ML in concrete.

2 Research significance

The aim of this study is to predict the TSC of ECCs, which are advanced materials designed for enhanced durability and performance. To achieve this, the study leverages a precompiled dataset sourced from various published research articles. The prediction models will be built using advanced machine learning (ML) techniques, specifically the LGB, XGB, ANN, and k-nearest neighbors (KNNs). These approaches are implemented within the Anaconda Spyder Jupyter Notebook environment. These algorithms were selected because of their ability to manage intricate datasets and produce precise forecasts. The models were developed and tested using the Anaconda Spyder Jupyter Notebook platform. They offer an integrated environment for ML and data analysis. To assess the performance of each model, statistical metrics and uncertainty analysis were employed. To further refine the models, an analysis of feature importance was carried out. This analysis identifies the variables or parameters that most significantly impact the strength predictions. Thus, it helps understand the key factors driving TSC. Moreover, Python coding is employed to create a graphical user interface (GUI) that will facilitate users to estimate the strength of ECCs in practical applications.

3 Methodology

MLAs are advanced computational techniques used to predict the properties of CCs [36,7981]. This is done by utilizing large datasets to derive insights and make accurate forecasts. These algorithms are instrumental in solving complex regression and classification problems. Therefore, providing an understanding of material behaviors is more nuanced than traditional ways [8285]. In the context of the concrete industry, ML approaches are increasingly popular because they enable the analysis of material performance based on historical data, thereby improving the accuracy of future predictions. These algorithms can identify patterns and links through training on large datasets that may not be seen through manual analysis alone [41,71,8689]. For this study, four advanced ML techniques are employed, namely LGB, XGB, ANN, and KNN. Each of these methods offers unique advantages. XGB is known for its high performance and accuracy. It constructs several decision trees (DTs) and merges them to increase the precision of predictions. It handles large datasets efficiently and is less prone to overfitting due to its regularization techniques [8991]. The LGB method is designed to be faster and more scalable than traditional GB methods. LGB is particularly effective with large datasets and complicated composite strength predictions due to its high-dimensional data [92]. Similar to this, the KNN algorithm is a simple and effective way to categorize data points based on their proximity to other data points in the feature space [93]. ANN resembles the neural networks in the human brain, allowing it to model complicated and non-linear relationships in data. Its success depends on the quality of the training data and the distance measure selected. Its performance relies on the quality of the training data and the choice of distance metric, and ANN mimics the human brain’s neural networks [77]. Thus, it enables to model complex and non-linear relationships in data. This method is highly flexible and can capture intricate patterns in material behavior. The choice of these methods is driven by their exceptional predictive accuracy, ability to handle complex datasets, and robustness to overfitting. Each method’s unique strengths make them well-suited for estimating the strength of composites containing ECC, which involves intricate interactions between various material components.

3.1 Data description

A dataset of 122 experimental data points on composite matrices incorporating fibers in ECC has been compiled from previous studies to evaluate CS, as detailed in Annexure A. The dataset was assembled from prior research. To understand the structure of the dataset and choose suitable MLAs, it is essential to examine the dataset. The dataset comprises 211 entries of raw materials such as FA, cement, water-to-binder ratio (W/B), sand, superplasticizer, fiber content, and composite age. When evaluating the CS of the ECC, each of these factors is very important, and thus analysis is necessary. The “VAC.describe().T” command in python was used to provide descriptive statistics that revealed information about the dataset’s mean, variability, distribution, and percentiles (25th, 50th, and 75th), as shown in Table 3 and Figure 3. To create precise predictive models, it is necessary to understand the data’s central tendency and spread, which is aided by these statistics. Additionally, a careful examination of these descriptive statistics helps to clarify the relationships between variables. Thus, it ensures that the MLAs chosen are capable of accurately capturing and forecasting the CS of ECCs from the given input features. Additionally, previous studies utilized Ordinary Portland Cement that complied with ASTM C150 standards. The cement had a fineness between 300 and 400 m2·kg−1, and its specific gravity was in the range of 3.05–3.20. The fibers primarily consisted of PVA fibers, with lengths between 6 and 12 mm and diameters from 12 to 40 μm, respectively. The content of these fibers varied between 4.55 and 39 kg·m−3. For cement replacement, Class-F FA was mainly used, with amounts varying from 201 to 1,150 kg·m−3. The sand content in the ECC mixtures ranged from 380 to 756 kg·m−3, and the maximum particle sizes spanned from 100 to 4,750 μm. The superplasticizer used was polycarboxylate-based, known for its high water-reducing capabilities, which help in minimizing water content and enhancing workability.

Table 3

Parameter descriptive statistics

Count Mean Std Min 25% 50% 75% Max
Cement 122 430.69 123.06 190 368 398.5 502 936
Flyash 122 787.78 149.02 0.00 684 807 886 1,063
Water-to-binder ratio 122 0.27 0.05 0.19 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.56
Sand content 122 470.73 68.58 380 454 456 456 838
Sand max size 122 539.4 970.7 150.0 250 250 300 4,750
Superplasticizer 122 7.71 4.85 2.0 5 5.80 9.34 23
Fiber content 122 22.93 4.63 0 19 26 26 29
Fiber length 122 10.09 2.00 8.0 8.0 12 12 12
Fiber diameter 122 35.5 6.20 24.0 29.2 39.0 39.0 40
Age 122 32.49 22.82 3 28 28 28 90
TSC 122 3.44 2.34 0 2.38 3.10 4.05 10.75
Figure 3 
                  Percentile graph of the dataset.
Figure 3

Percentile graph of the dataset.

The heat map indicates that for ECCs, cement (0.15) and superplasticizer (0.20) have weak positive correlations with strength, as illustrated in Figure 4. This suggests that increasing these components slightly improves the strength, though the effect is modest. FA (−0.23) shows a weak negative correlation, implying that higher FA content slightly reduces the strength, while the water-to-binder ratio (−0.15) also negatively impacts the strength, indicating that higher ratios marginally lower the strength. Sand (0.56) exhibits a positive correlation, suggesting that more sand slightly improves the strength, though the effect is limited. Fiber content (0.03) has a very weak positive correlation, meaning that changes in the fiber content have minimal impact on the strength. Age (−0.10) shows a very weak negative correlation, suggesting a minor decrease in the strength with age over time, which is atypical given that concrete generally gains strength over time. Fiber length shows a weak positive correlation, suggesting that longer fibers slightly improve the strength, but the impact is minimal. Longer fibers might contribute more to the tensile strength and crack resistance than CS. Overall, while cement, superplasticizer, and sand have a favorable impact on FA and strength, the water-to-binder ratio has small negative effects, and the correlations are weak, indicating that a combination of factors and empirical testing is essential for optimizing the ECC strength.

Figure 4 
                  Heat map of ECCs.
Figure 4

Heat map of ECCs.

To check the relationship of the parameters to the strength of ECC, the individual correlation of each variable is depicted in Figure 5. It can be seen that these parameters show the same relation, as demonstrated in Figure 6. However, the fiber content shows an increase and then decrease behavior, which is because the addition of fibers generally improves the strength by enhancing the material’s ability to resist cracking and distribute loads more evenly. Fibers reinforce the composite by bridging cracks and improving tensile strength, which leads to an increase in the overall strength. However, beyond a certain optimal fiber content, the addition of more fibers can lead to problems. Excessive fiber content might result in clumping or uneven distribution, which can create localized weaknesses and reduce the effectiveness of fiber reinforcement. Additionally, very high fiber content might negatively impact the mix’s workability. Thus, it leads to difficulties in proper mixing and compaction, which can also reduce the strength.

Figure 5 
                  Individual relationship of parameters with strength.
Figure 5

Individual relationship of parameters with strength.

Figure 6 
                  Contour plot of parameters with strength.
Figure 6

Contour plot of parameters with strength.

Figure 6 demonstrates the distribution of input parameters and their effects on the concrete’s output strength within the optimized benchmark system. The contour plots provide a visual representation of how variations in individual input parameters such as cement content, water-to-binder ratio, and fiber content affect the resulting ECC strength. Darker regions on the plots indicate higher concentrations of specific parameter values, highlighting their stronger influence on the strength of the concrete. These plots are derived from comprehensive data analysis, which helps in understanding the precise relationships between the input variables and concrete performance. This visualization aids in identifying the optimal parameter ranges to achieve the desired strength outcomes.

3.2 Machine learning overview

These approaches are frequently employed to predict the behavior and characteristics of ingredients within a cementitious matrix. In this study, four different algorithms, KNN, XGBoost (XGB), ANN, and LightGBM (LGB), are utilized to estimate the strength of an ECC that includes fibers and waste materials. These algorithms are highly regarded for their accuracy and efficiency in identifying material properties [94]. To further illustrate, Figure 7 presents a thorough flowchart that describes the individual algorithms and their input parameters, and Figure 8 gives an overview of the MLAs used in this study.

Figure 7 
                  MLAs used in the current work.
Figure 7

MLAs used in the current work.

Figure 8 
                  Flowchart of ECC with approaches.
Figure 8

Flowchart of ECC with approaches.

3.2.1 XGB

The XGB model represents an advanced evolution of Friedman’s original GB Machine. It is renowned for its effectiveness and robustness, particularly in constructing ensembles of DTs that collaboratively tackle both classification and regression problems [9597]. The core function of XGB is to optimize its objective function (OF), which is central to its performance. By leveraging ML techniques within a gradient-boosted framework, XGB excels in solving diverse challenges with high efficiency and precision through its use of parallel boosted trees. One of the standout features of XGB is its integration of GB with regularization, a combination that significantly reduces the risk of overfitting [98100]. The XGB OF consists of two main parts: the loss function and a regularization term. The loss function measures the discrepancy between the actual and predicted values, while the regularization term imposes penalties on overly complex models. Thus, it ensures a balance between complexity and performance. Figure 9 shows a comprehensive overview of the XGB prediction process. It begins with the construction of an initial DT. The algorithm then calculates the errors, i.e., the differences between the predicted and actual values. To address these errors, a new DT is trained and added to the ensemble. This new tree helps correct the errors made by the previous tree. The predictions are updated by aggregating the outputs from all the trees in the ensemble. This iterative process of error calculation and tree addition continues until a predefined stopping criterion is achieved [101,102]. This method enables XGB to refine its predictions progressively, enhancing both accuracy and reliability.

Figure 9 
                     XGB prediction process.
Figure 9

XGB prediction process.

3.2.2 LGB machine (LightGBM)

LightGBM, developed by Microsoft Research, is a specialized Gradient Boosting Decision Tree algorithm designed to tackle various ML tasks such as regression and classification [73,103,104]. It is distinguished by its efficiency and effectiveness, requiring less memory while achieving superior prediction accuracy. The primary aim of LightGBM is to enhance computational efficiency, making it ideal for handling complex data prediction problems. LightGBM incorporates two novel techniques: gradient-based one-side sampling (GOSS) and exclusive feature bundling (EFB). GOSS is designed to handle large datasets by concentrating on the most informative data points, thereby improving training efficiency. EFB addresses the challenge of high-dimensional data by bundling similar features together, which helps to mitigate overfitting. These innovations, along with LightGBM’s histogram-based method and leaf-wise tree growth strategy, substantially boost training speed and reduce memory consumption. In the histogram-based approach, continuous data are divided into discrete bins, creating a histogram of these bins. This histogram provides key statistics, such as the sum of gradients and the count of samples for each bin. By analyzing these aggregated values, LightGBM can identify the optimal split points for DTs, leading to more efficient training and lower storage and computational costs [73,103,104]. Figure 10 illustrates the differences between LightGBM’s level-wise and leaf-wise tree growth strategies. The level-wise strategy involves splitting all leaves at the same level simultaneously, which facilitates parallel processing and better management of model complexity. In contrast, the leaf-wise strategy focuses on splitting the leaf with the highest information gain, which measures the reduction in entropy when a node is split based on certain features. This targeted approach ensures that leaves with unique information are effectively utilized, enhancing the model’s overall performance and accuracy.

Figure 10 
                     Histogram-based DT.
Figure 10

Histogram-based DT.

The leaf-wise growth strategy is highly efficient because it focuses on splitting only the leaf that offers the highest information gain at each level, as shown in Figure 11. This targeted approach allows the construction of trees with a high degree of complexity, which can capture intricate patterns in the data. However, to avoid overfitting, where the model becomes overly tailored to the training data, a maximum depth limit is imposed during the tree-building process. This depth restriction ensures that while the model remains complex enough to capture important details, it does not become so specialized that it loses its ability to generalize to new data [105].

Figure 11 
                     Construction of a DT.
Figure 11

Construction of a DT.

3.2.3 KNN

The KNN algorithm is a popular technique used for making predictions by comparing new data points to the most similar instances in a given dataset. As illustrated in Figure 12, KNN operates by finding the “K” nearest neighbors to a new data point and leveraging their characteristics to make predictions. This method is versatile and applicable to both regression and classification tasks within ML. The core principle of KNN is that data points that are close to each other in the feature space (e.g., attributes of a concrete mix) are likely to have similar outcomes. Therefore, when KNN makes a prediction, it identifies the “K” closest neighbors by calculating the distance between data points in the feature space. The predicted output is then determined by a function that aggregates the response values of these nearest neighbors. Typically, in standard KNN, the prediction is derived from the mean of the neighbors’ response values [106]. The key features of the standard KNN algorithm include its simplicity and effectiveness in scenarios where data points are closely related. This approach is particularly useful for problems where the relationships between data points are expected to be local rather than global. The standard KNN algorithm is characterized by the following key features:

  1. Equal weighting of neighbors: All identified neighboring data points contribute equally to the prediction, with the average value of their responses commonly used to predict the outcome for the new data point.

  2. Uniform feature importance: It assumes that all features have been normalized; that is, each feature is considered equally important in calculating distances between data points.

  3. Use of Euclidean distance: The Euclidean distance metric is typically employed to determine how close data points are to one another in the feature space [107].

Figure 12 
                     Schematic diagram of the KNN model.
Figure 12

Schematic diagram of the KNN model.

One of the significant advantages of the KNN algorithm is its robustness against noise in the training data. Because KNN bases its predictions on multiple neighboring data points, it is less likely to be skewed by noisy or outlier data. This resilience makes KNN particularly effective for handling large datasets where noise is more prevalent, ensuring more reliable predictions even in complex data environments.

3.2.4 ANN

ANNs are sophisticated systems composed of interconnected nodes, known as artificial neurons, which operate in parallel to solve complex problems [108110]. ANNs are designed to emulate how the human brain processes information and are modeled after the structure and function of biological neural networks. These networks consist of numerous neurons that are connected in a way that mimics the architecture of biological neural systems [111]. The neurons are arranged into multiple layers, reflecting the brain’s hierarchical organization.

A prevalent type of neural network is the feedforward neural network, which generally comprises three primary layers: Input layer: This layer receives external data necessary for identifying patterns. Hidden layer: This intermediate layer processes the inputs and serves as the bridge between the input and output layers. Output layer: This layer produces the final prediction or response based on the processed data. The neurons in these layers are interconnected by directed arcs, which link neurons from one layer to those in adjacent layers. ANNs learn from data through a training process where the weights of the neurons are adjusted based on the discrepancy between the predicted output and the actual results. This process, known as backpropagation, involves iteratively modifying the weights to minimize the error and improve prediction accuracy [112114]. Figure 13 provides a detailed view of an ANN’s architecture, showcasing how its various components and layers collaborate to address complex problems.

Figure 13 
                     Schematic diagram of the ANN approach.
Figure 13

Schematic diagram of the ANN approach.

3.2.5 Tuning of hyper parameters

A crucial component of ML is the fine-tuning of hyper parameters. The tuning of parameters can greatly affect the effectiveness and performance of models [115117]. An ML model’s behavior during training is determined by its hyperparameters and, thus, programmable parameters. The number of hidden layers, batch size, learning rate, and other variables are among them. Accurate prediction of results, good generalization to new data, and more efficient training can all be significantly improved by properly tuning these hyper parameters [116]. Moreover, it is the process of determining the ideal parameter configuration for a given model and dataset through methodical search and optimization methods. This procedure is essential to ensuring that the model performs to its highest capacity and yields solid and dependable results. The specific parameter adjustments made during this tuning process for the models are listed in Table 4.

Table 4

Optimal tuning of models with hyperparameters

MLA method Parameters Parameter range Optimum parameter value
KNN Algorithm Auto, ball_tree, kd_tree, brute Auto
Neighbors number 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, … 20 7
Leaf size 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, … 50 25
Weight function Uniform, distance Distance
XGB Colsample_bytree 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8,…, 1 0.8
Learning rate 0.01,0.02,0.03, …, 0.3 0.09
Gamma 0, 0.1 0
Subsample 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, …, 1 0.8
Min child weight 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, …, 1 1
n_estimators 100, 200, 300, …, 200 200
ANN Optimizer SGD, Adam Adam
Number of layers 1, 2, 3, …, 5 2
Batch size 0, 1, 2, 3, …, 150 32
Dropout rate 0, 0.1, 0.2, …, 0.5 0.2
Activation function Sigmoid, ReLU, Tanh ReLU
Number of neurons per layer 0, 10, 20, …, 200 40
Number of epochs 20–200 100
Learning rate 0.001–0.01 0.001
LGB Number of leaves 31, 32, …, 128 48
n_estimators 100–1,000 250
Feature fraction 0.6–1 0.6
Max depth −1 (no limit)–15 12
Bagging frequency 0–5 5
Learning rate 0.01–0.3 0.08
Bagging fraction 0.6–1 0.4
Min data in the leaf 20–100 20

3.3 Statistical analysis

To evaluate the ML model designed for predicting ECC in composites, it is crucial to test it using a separate testing dataset. Performance metrics such as root mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R 2) are employed to assess how well the model performs on unseen data, ensuring the reliability of its predictions. These metrics are used to quantify the discrepancies between the predicted and actual values, with smaller differences resulting in higher accuracy of the model [118]. Lower values for RMSE and MAE signify better model performance, suggesting that the model’s predictions are close to actual outcomes, which is a positive indicator of its effectiveness. Additionally, an R 2 value close to 1 signifies that the model accounts for a high proportion of the variance in the data, reflecting its accuracy in capturing the underlying patterns. Table 5 presents the statistical measures applied in this study.

Table 5

Evaluation criteria of parameters on the CS

Indicator used Range Reference
R 2 = i = 1 n ( Y i X i ) 2 i = 1 n ( Y ¯ i X i ) 2 ∼1 [119]
RMSE = i = 1 n ( P i E i ) 2 N MAE < RMSE [120]
MAE = 1 n i = 1 n E i P i [121]

3.4 Uncertainty analysis

A crucial technique for evaluating and quantifying the uncertainty in the predictions produced by ML models is uncertainty analysis. It is crucial to take into account and control the uncertainties that may have an impact on the prediction algorithms when estimating the TSC of ECC. These ambiguities could result from input characteristics, experimental observations, or model outputs. By using uncertainty analysis, researchers can take into consideration the inherent unpredictability in the models and assess the validity of their predictions.

The uncertainty can be calculated using the following formula:

(1) U 95 = 1.96 SD 2 + RMSE 2 .

In the above equation, SD stands for the standard deviation, and “1.96” is the multiplier for the 95% confidence interval, assuming a normal distribution of prediction errors. This calculation provides an estimate of the range within which the prediction errors are expected to fall with 95% confidence, helping to gauge the accuracy and reliability of the model’s predictions.

3.5 K-fold cross-validation (CV)

K-fold CV is a widely used method for assessing a model’s ability to generalize to unseen data by testing it on different subsets of a dataset. As illustrated in Figure 14, the dataset is initially divided into two parts: a training set and a testing set. The testing set is reserved for final evaluation, where the model is tested on completely new data. In K-fold CV, the training set is further divided into K equal-sized subsets, known as “folds.” During each iteration, one fold is selected as the validation set, while the remaining K−1 folds are used to train the model. This process is repeated K times, with each fold taking a turn as the validation set. The model’s performance is averaged across all K iterations, providing a comprehensive assessment of its accuracy and ability to generalize beyond the training data. This iterative process ensures that every part of the dataset is used for both training and validation, reducing bias and providing a more reliable evaluation of model performance.

Figure 14 
                  CV process for validation of the model.
Figure 14

CV process for validation of the model.

4 Results and discussion

4.1 XGB

Regression slope is the most prominent tool for evaluating the efficacy of ML models. As shown in Figure 15, a regression plot displays the predicted values of the model on the vertical axis and the actual values on the horizontal axis. Regression slopes that are near 1 or >0.8 usually mean that the model’s predictions agree quite well with the observed data. As demonstrated in Figure 15(a) and (b), the XGB model shows a strong correlation with R 2 = 0.97 and 0.96 for the training and test sets, respectively, with improved accuracy and less variation between the predicted and experimental findings, as shown in Figure 15. Figure 15(b) shows the outcome of the XGB model with test data (20%). An R 2 score of 0.96 on the graph suggests a significant correlation with the outcome. After the model was assessed, the train and test sets were evaluated with discrepancies, as shown in Figure 15(c) and (d). It was discovered that the test model had a low degree of error, with the greatest error being 1.28 MPa; 100% of the testing results showed discrepancies smaller than 5 MPa. Consequently, this suggests that there is a high degree of agreement between the actual and projected values. The remarkable efficacy of the XGB model, as demonstrated by its R 2, can be attributed to multiple components innate to its algorithm. XGBoost performs exceptionally well because of its ensemble learning methodology, which combines the predictions of several DTs to boost resilience and accuracy. By gradually creating trees that fix the mistakes of earlier ones, this model effectively manages complicated, non-linear relationships inside the data, iteratively improving its forecasts in the process. In order to avoid overfitting and guarantee that the model performs well when applied to fresh, untested data, XGBoost also includes regularization algorithms. The great accuracy and correlation of the model can be attributed to its capacity to capture complex interactions between the many input features, including fibers, cement, and superplasticizers. All of these characteristics work together to improve the model’s ability to forecast the TSC of ECC with accuracy and consistency.

Figure 15 
                  XGB model of ECC: (a) R
                     2 training, (b) R
                     2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.
Figure 15

XGB model of ECC: (a) R 2 training, (b) R 2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.

4.2 LGB machine

The first phase involves training the model using a labeled dataset, where each data point is linked with its corresponding output. This process expressively boosts the model’s ability to recognize underlying patterns and relationships within the data, thus allowing it to make more accurate predictions. By learning from these patterns, the model improves its overall performance and improve capacity to detect and address potential inaccuracies or shortcomings in its predictions. This step is crucial for refining the model’s predictive power and ensuring it can reliably handle real-world data. It is especially useful for forecasting complex properties like the TSC of ECC because the LGB model is built to handle big datasets with high-dimensional features effectively. The model’s ability to perform leaf-wise tree growth, where it splits the leaf with the highest loss reduction. Thus, it leads to more precise predictions by focusing on the most significant splits. The model is able to identify intricate patterns in the training set by using this technique, which contributes to its high R 2 score of 0.97, as depicted in Figure 16(a). It is important to emphasize that strong correlations (R 2) observed within the training set do not necessarily ensure reliable outcomes when the model is applied to new, unseen data. This issue often arises when the model becomes overly complex and over fits the training data. Therefore, it captures noise or irrelevant patterns rather than generalizable relationships. As illustrated in Figure 16(b), assessing the model’s performance on entirely new data is essential for determining its ability to generalize and apply learned knowledge to unfamiliar situations. This step is critical for avoiding overfitting and ensuring the model’s robustness in real-world applications. The analysis shows how the predicted outcomes of the model relate to the empirical findings of ECC made from different combinations. The model’s 0.93 correlation score indicates that it has a respectable degree of prediction accuracy, as shown in Figure 16(b). The model catches the underlying patterns well, but it also strikes a reasonable balance between fitting the training data and generalizing to new, unseen data, as evidenced by the expected modest decline in accuracy from the training to the test set. Thus, the model is trustworthy for use in real-world scenarios and does not overfit the training set. Figure 16(c) and (d) shows the empirical point scattering from various mixtures in relation to the model-generated forecasts. The errors of the test model were determined to be dispersed with a maximum error of 2.30 MPa, a minimum error of 0.02 MPa, and an average error of 0.40 MPa after the test set was analyzed.

Figure 16 
                  LGB model of ECC: (a) R
                     2 training, (b) R
                     2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.
Figure 16

LGB model of ECC: (a) R 2 training, (b) R 2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.

4.3 KNN

Unlike XGBoost and LightGBM, which are ensemble methods that rely on multiple DTs and complex algorithms, KNN is a simpler, instance-based learning algorithm. KNN works by comparing new data points to the closest data points in the training set, therefore making predictions based on the similarity to these neighbors. This method allows KNN to provide strong correlations, particularly when the dataset has well-defined clusters or regions of similar values. As shown in Figure 17, the performance of the KNN model was evaluated on a dataset of ECC-based concrete. This was done by using an 80/20 split ratio between the training and testing sets. This approach is widely adopted, as it confirms that the majority of the data are used for training, while a portion is reserved for testing. Consequently, it allows for reliable model evaluation. Training data refers to the dataset used to teach the model to identify patterns and relationships. The testing data are used to assess how well the model performs on unseen information. It is also reported that understanding this distinction is crucial for evaluating the model’s generalization ability. Figure 17(a) highlights the strong relationship between the observed and predicted results for the training set, with a high coefficient of determination (R 2 = 0.94). During training, KNN identifies complex patterns within the data and refines its predictions by learning from errors and improving its accuracy. Figure 17(b) shows the performance of the KNN model on the test set, achieving an R 2 value of 0.92. While slightly lower than the training set, this strong R 2 value suggests that KNN effectively captures local patterns in the data. However, its performance is slightly inferior to XGBoost and LightGBM. KNN is more sensitive to local structures and lacks the capability to model complex interactions or feature importance as effectively as gradient boosting methods. The strength of KNN lies in its ability to provide stable and consistent predictions without overfitting, as reflected in the close R 2 values for both the training (0.94) and test sets (0.92). This balance indicates that KNN generalizes well across different data samples. Thus, it makes it a dependable model for predicting the TSC in ECCs, particularly when dealing with simpler relationships in the dataset. Figure 17(c) displays the bias in the training set, showing how errors are distributed. It is essential to recognize the risk of overfitting, where a model becomes overly complex and captures random noise rather than focusing on core patterns. This can lead to poor performance when applied to new data. Preventing overfitting requires finding an appropriate balance between model complexity and generalization. Figure 17(d) visualizes the error distribution in the test set, with an average error, minimum, and maximum error of around 0.449, 0.04, and 1.75 MPa. Hence, this indicates that KNN maintains consistent performance across both training and test sets with minimal error variation.

Figure 17 
                  KNN model of ECC: (a) R
                     2 training, (b) R
                     2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.
Figure 17

KNN model of ECC: (a) R 2 training, (b) R 2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.

4.4 ANN

The ANN model exhibits a strong correlation for both the training and test sets, with R 2 values of 0.96 for each, as depicted in Figure 18(a) and (b). Therefore, it reflects the robust performance in predicting the TSC of ECC. Neural networks, a type of supervised learning in artificial intelligence, are particularly effective at modeling complex, non-linear relationships in data. This capability makes ANN well-suited for predicting mechanical properties such as concrete CS, especially when incorporating advanced materials like PVA fibers and SCM. The consistent R 2 values across both training and test sets demonstrate the ANN’s ability to generalize well to new data, avoiding overfitting while maintaining high prediction accuracy. Similar to other models like XGB, LGB, and KNN, the multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) was developed using supervised ensemble algorithms, as illustrated in Figure 18. The MLPNN allows it to integrate multiple layers of neurons, each processing the data iteratively to improve prediction accuracy. This structure enhances the model’s capability to learn from complex datasets and provides a reliable prediction of target responses, such as TSC, in ECC. Consequently, the ANN model’s high accuracy and generalization ability make it a powerful tool for predicting mechanical properties in advanced concrete formulations. Additionally, Figure 18(c) and (d) illustrates the distribution of colored data points representing discrepancies between actual empirical observations and the predictions made by the ANN model across various combinations. These discrepancies reflect how the model’s predictions deviate from real-world data. For individual samples, the average discrepancy is 0.34 MPa, with a minimum value of 0.0095 MPa and a maximum of 0.95 MPa. The figures also provide a statistical breakdown of the error differences of testing sets. Therefore, highlighting the variance in model performance (as shown in Figure 18(d)).

Figure 18 
                  ANN model of ECC: (a) R
                     2 training, (b) R
                     2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.
Figure 18

ANN model of ECC: (a) R 2 training, (b) R 2 testing, (c) training discrepancies, and (d) testing discrepancies.

4.5 Performance metrics of ML models

The accuracy of a predictive model is often determined through a variety of performance metrics, including the coefficient of determination (R 2), RMSE, and MAE. These metrics provide a quantitative assessment of how well the model’s predictions align with the observed data by analyzing the deviations between predicted and experimental values. Table 6 provides a comprehensive summary of these performance metrics for each of the approaches used in the study, offering a detailed comparison of their effectiveness. Additionally, Figure 19 presents a radar chart that visually consolidates the performance of all models, highlighting their respective error values across different dimensions. This visual representation allows for a clearer understanding of each model’s strengths and weaknesses, facilitating a more informed evaluation of their predictive capabilities.

Table 6

Assessment of the models with statistical measures

Methods XGB LGB KNN ANN
Training response
R 2 0.974 0.979 0.943 0.964
RMSE 0.394 0.371 0.564 0.464
MAE 0.284 0.206 0.374 0.293
Testing response
R 2 0.963 0.936 0.923 0.964
RMSE 0.49 0.611 0.607 0.433
MAE 0.382 0.407 0.449 0.348
Figure 19 
                  Model assessment: (a) train and (b) test.
Figure 19

Model assessment: (a) train and (b) test.

4.6 Uncertainty analysis

Uncertainty analysis is essential to resolve the inherent ambiguity in models used to forecast the TSC of ECC. For assessing the robustness and dependability of prediction models, this kind of analysis is essential. Figure 20 shows the outcomes of the uncertainty analysis for the nanocomposite models’ training and testing stages. The results indicate that the XGB, LGB, KNN, and ANN models have, respectively, uncertainty percentages for the training and testing sets of 4.52, 4.25, 4.43, 4.4, 4.78, 4.49, 4.76, and 4.41%. The XGB model consistently outperforms the other models in terms of noise reduction and overfitting prevention. Additionally, Amlashi et al. [122] proposed that model uncertainty should remain below the 35% threshold, making our findings particularly noteworthy. Since the models in this study show uncertainty levels well below 5%, our findings are very interesting, as uncertainty should remain below the 35% threshold. This suggests that these models have reliable and strong performance.

Figure 20 
                  Model uncertainty analysis.
Figure 20

Model uncertainty analysis.

4.7 K-fold CV

By splitting the entire dataset into ten groups, this method is very useful in ML because it minimizes overfitting, improves generalization, and lowers variance. One of these ten subsets is set aside for validation, while the other nine are used for training. Larger R-squared (R 2) values with lower error metrics, such as MAE and RMSE, are utilized to assess the model’s accuracy. The iterations of CV produced a rigorous analysis that ensured data accuracy and aided in accurate decision-making. The models attained a noteworthy degree of precision as a consequence of this meticulous process. The comprehensive validation study of the models is shown in Figure 21, which again emphasizes the decrease in average errors and the improvement in correlation. By using this 10-fold CV technique, each model’s performance has improved dramatically and shown a robust reaction across all measures.

Figure 21 
                  Validation result: (a) R
                     2, (b) RMSE, and (c) MAE.
Figure 21

Validation result: (a) R 2, (b) RMSE, and (c) MAE.

4.8 Feature importance

Feature importance analysis is a crucial step in ML and predictive modeling because it helps identify which input variables (features) have the most significant impact on the model’s predictions, as illustrated in Figure 22. Understanding feature importance allows researchers and practitioners to gain insights into the underlying relationships in the data, prioritize the most influential features, and potentially simplify models by focusing on the most relevant inputs. In the context of ECC, the feature importance analysis conducted has revealed that fiber diameter has the highest importance, followed by cement, FA, superplasticizer, sand maximum size, sand content, age, water-to-binder ratio, fiber content, and fiber length. Fiber diameter likely has the highest importance because it directly influences the mechanical properties of ECC, particularly tensile strength and ductility. Thinner fibers can bridge cracks more effectively, enhancing the strain capacity and overall toughness of the concrete. This improved crack-bridging capability allows the material to withstand greater strain without failing, making fiber diameter a key factor in the performance of ECC. In addition, cement is a fundamental component in concrete that significantly affects its CS and durability. Cement is responsible for the hydration process that leads to the development of a strong, cohesive microstructure. The amount and quality of cement directly influence the CS and durability of the concrete. FA is used to partially replace cement, offering benefits like improved workability, reduced heat of hydration, and enhanced long-term strength. It also contributes to a denser and more durable concrete matrix by filling voids and contributing to the pozzolanic reaction. FA’s role in improving the workability and long-term performance of ECC explains its importance in feature analysis. In ECC, maintaining a low water-to-binder ratio is critical for achieving high strength, and superplasticizers enable this by enhancing the fluidity of the mix without compromising strength. Moreover, the maximum size of sand particles and their content in the mix influences the packing density and overall texture of the concrete. Smaller particles can fill gaps more effectively, leading to a denser and more homogeneous material, which is important for the strength and durability of ECC. Although fiber content and length also affect toughness and crack resistance, their impact is more specific to distribution within the matrix, making fiber diameter the most significant feature in the analysis.

Figure 22 
                  Parametric influence on ECC.
Figure 22

Parametric influence on ECC.

4.9 GUI

This section explains the creation of an intuitive GUI that makes it easier to anticipate and analyze the strength of the TSC of ECC, as illustrated in Figure 23. Researchers may easily enter the nine critical variables that affect the properties of ECC owing to the GUI’s toolbar, input area, and output section. Users can access anticipated values quickly by just putting these variables into the input boxes given and choosing the “Predict” button found in the output area. Engineers may create concrete designs that are specifically customized to the demands of construction projects with the help of this specialized GUI. In order to facilitate effective analysis and prediction of the TSC of ECC, this tool is meant to assist researchers in making the most of the suggested model in their work. Therefore, it provides a practical solution for their experimental and analytical needs.

Figure 23 
                  GUI of ECC.
Figure 23

GUI of ECC.

5 Conclusions

The TSC of ECC is forecasted by ML approaches. XGB, ANN, LBG, and KNN approaches are employed on 122 specimens taken from the published literature. Key parameters were selected to predict the TSC, and feature importance, statistical measures, and uncertainty analysis were performed. Moreover, the following conclusions are drawn as listed:

  1. XGB, ANN, LGB, and KNN models are employed in which ANN and XGB models perform well in terms of training and testing set. The ANN and XGB model depicts R 2 for training sets of about 0.964, and 0.974, respectively. Similarly, the train set gives R 2 of about 0.964 and 0.963, respectively. This shows the superior performance of the ANN and XGB models.

  2. Assessment of the models is evaluated by conducting statistical errors. The ANN model depicts RMSE for train and test sets of about 0.464 and 0.433 MPa. In addition, XGB models show 0.394 and 0.49 MPa for train and test sets. Similarly, the MAE of XGB and ANN also shows lesser discrepancies. Thus, all models perform well by showing minimal errors.

  3. The 10-fold technique was evaluated for each model using the MAE, RMSE, and R 2 statistical analysis. The 10-fold CV confirmed that XGB and ANN have the best performance by showing fewer errors and a greater correlation of determination.

  4. Feature analysis of ECC shows that the fiber diameter, cement, and FA as SCMs play a vital role in the overall prediction of TSC of ECC. The increase in strength is mainly due to the load transfer mechanism, increased area of fibers, and hydration process with filling of pore sizes.

  5. GUI is developed for the TSC of ECC by using python anaconda software that will facilitate the users to estimate the strength of ECC in practical applications.

6 Limitations and future work

Although this study offers insightful information about how to use SCMs to improve the properties of concrete, there are still a number of drawbacks and opportunities for further research. One key limitation is the variability in the reaction rates and setting times of SCMs, which can lead to challenges in achieving early strength development and managing construction schedules. Additionally, the availability and quality of SCMs can differ significantly based on the geographic location and source, potentially impacting the consistency and performance of concrete mixes. The study also highlights the need for more comprehensive research into the interactions between SCMs and other concrete components, such as admixtures, to optimize mix designs and ensure compatibility. Future work should focus on addressing these limitations by exploring alternative SCMs with improved reactivity, developing standardized guidelines for their use in various construction scenarios, and conducting long-term performance studies to better understand their impact on concrete durability. Further research could also investigate the economic implications and environmental impact of SCMs to provide a more holistic view of their benefits and challenges. By addressing these areas, future studies can contribute to advancing the practical application of SCMs in concrete and enhancing the overall quality and sustainability of construction practices.

  1. Funding information: The authors state no funding involved.

  2. Author contributions: All authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript and approved its submission.

  3. Conflict of interest: The authors state no conflict of interest.

  4. Data availability statement: The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Annexure A

Cement Flyash Water to binder ratio Sand max size Sand content Superplasticizer content Fiber content Fiber length Fiber diameter Age Tensile strain capacity
375 825 0.26 200 432 5.52 26 12 39 28 2.9
375 825 0.26 200 432 5.04 26 12 39 28 2.8
375 825 0.26 425 432 4.8 26 12 39 28 2.4
375 825 0.26 600 432 4.44 26 12 39 28 1.5
222 978 0.26 200 432 5.04 26 12 39 28 4.1
222 978 0.26 425 432 4.8 26 12 39 28 4.2
222 978 0.26 425 432 5.04 26 12 39 28 4.7
375 825 0.26 425 432 5.16 26 12 39 28 3.2
472 755 0.27 300 444 10.8 26 8 39 28 1.8
472 755 0.27 300 444 10.8 26 12 39 28 2
570 684 0.3 300 455 5.7 28.6 12 39 28 0.77
570 684 0.56 250 456 6.84 29 8 39 28 2.9
570 684 0.56 250 456 6.84 29 8 39 28 3.6
232 1019 0.26 250 450 4.3 26 12 39 28 2.68
382 890 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 28 3.2
382 763 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 28 3.76
382 636 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 28 3.56
382 509 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 28 3.36
382 890 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 90 2.79
382 763 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 90 3.28
382 636 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 90 3.3
382 509 0.25 250 462 15.3 26 8 40 90 2.51
936 201 0.32 250 601 4.2 26 8 39 56 6
393 865 0.25 250 457 5 26 12 39 28 2
393 865 0.25 250 457 5 26 12 39 28 4.2
570 684 0.27 250 454 5 16.9 12 39 3 3.22
337 912 0.27 250 454 2.5 16.9 12 39 3 3.28
570 684 0.27 250 454 5 16.9 12 39 7 3.03
337 912 0.27 250 454 2.5 16.9 12 39 7 3.1
570 684 0.27 250 454 5 16.9 12 39 28 2.7
337 912 0.27 250 454 2.5 16.9 12 39 28 3.57
570 684 0.27 250 454 5 16.9 12 39 56 2.33
337 912 0.27 250 454 2.5 16.9 12 39 56 3.27
570 684 0.27 250 454 5 16.9 12 39 90 2.2
337 912 0.27 250 454 2.5 16.9 12 39 90 3.07
578 694 0.25 200 462 7.51 26 12 39 28 3
570 684 0.23 150 454 5.3 26 8 40 28 2.8
570 684 0.27 200 455 4.9 26 8 39 7 3.48
570 684 0.27 200 455 4.9 26 8 39 28 3.16
570 684 0.27 200 455 4.9 26 8 39 7 3.48
386 847 0.27 200 448 3.7 26 8 39 7 4.21
570 684 0.27 200 455 4.9 26 8 39 28 3.16
386 847 0.27 200 448 3.7 26 8 39 28 3.4
570 684 0.27 200 455 5.1 26 8 39 7 3.9
570 684 0.27 200 455 5.1 26 8 39 28 3.1
558 669 0.27 200 446 2.3 26 8 39 14 2.91
375 823 0.27 200 435 2 26 8 39 14 3.24
558 669 0.27 200 446 2.3 26 8 39 28 2.73
375 823 0.27 200 435 2 26 8 39 28 3.02
838 0 0.43 250 838 17 26 12 39 28 4.88
583 700 0.23 250 467 19 26 12 39 28 3.41
318 701 0.28 250 701 19 26 12 39 28 3.9
571 685 0.25 250 456 6.8 26 8 39 3 4.6
477 763 0.25 250 456 6.05 26 8 39 3 4.2
412 824 0.25 250 456 5.52 26 8 39 3 4.1
362 870 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 3 4.3
324 906 0.25 250 456 5.29 26 8 39 3 4.4
292 965 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 3 4.3
266 959 0.25 250 456 5.8 26 8 39 3 4
190 1063 0.25 250 456 6.45 26 8 39 3 3.8
571 685 0.25 250 456 6.8 26 8 39 28 2.7
477 763 0.25 250 456 6.05 26 8 39 28 3.7
412 824 0.25 250 456 5.52 26 8 39 28 3
362 870 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 28 2.9
324 906 0.25 250 456 5.29 26 8 39 28 3
292 965 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 28 2.7
266 959 0.25 250 456 5.8 26 8 39 28 2.5
190 1063 0.25 250 456 6.45 26 8 39 28 3.3
571 685 0.25 250 456 6.8 26 8 39 90 1.8
477 763 0.25 250 456 6.05 26 8 39 90 3
412 824 0.25 250 456 5.52 26 8 39 90 3.1
362 870 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 90 2.3
324 906 0.25 250 456 5.29 26 8 39 90 3.3
292 965 0.25 250 456 5.1 26 8 39 90 2.9
266 959 0.25 250 456 5.8 26 8 39 90 2.6
190 1063 0.25 250 456 6.45 26 8 39 90 3.4
636 636 0.25 250 462 17.4 26 8 40 28 1.8
636 636 0.25 250 462 17.4 26 8 40 28 2.22
636 636 0.25 250 462 17.4 26 8 40 28 2.46
382 890 0.25 250 462 16 26 8 40 28 2.5
382 890 0.25 250 462 16 26 8 40 28 3
382 890 0.25 250 462 16 26 8 40 28 3.12
418 836 0.19 600 456 5.7 26 8 39 28 4.5
570 684 0.25 600 456 5.7 26 8 39 28 4.25
418 836 0.22 600 456 7.41 26 8 39 28 4
404 605 0.24 4750 756 23 19 12 24 28 4.09
450 673 0.24 4750 617 17 19 12 24 28 9.07
502 753 0.24 4750 452 11 19 12 24 28 10.12
493 739 0.27 4750 437 8 19 12 24 28 8.74
484 726 0.3 4750 435 6 19 12 24 28 9.43
404 605 0.24 2360 756 20 19 12 24 28 4.07
450 673 0.24 2360 617 15 19 12 24 28 7.45
502 753 0.24 2360 452 10 19 12 24 28 9.44
493 739 0.27 2360 437 8 19 12 24 28 10.39
484 726 0.3 2360 435 6 19 12 24 28 9.54
404 605 0.24 212 756 20 19 12 24 28 6.47
450 673 0.24 212 617 15 19 12 24 28 9.95
502 753 0.24 212 452 10 19 12 24 28 10.75
493 739 0.27 212 437 8 19 12 24 28 9.21
484 726 0.3 212 435 6 19 12 24 28 8.12
570 684 0.3 300 456 5.1 28.6 12 39 28 0.77
570 684 0.3 300 456 6.77 17 12 26 28 0.33
448 807 0.3 300 456 6.5 17 12 26 28 0.48
368 886 0.3 300 456 6.27 17 12 26 28 0.51
314 941 0.3 300 456 6 17 12 26 28 0.71
273 981 0.3 300 456 5.89 17 12 26 28 0.6
447 807 0.28 300 456 10.4 17 12 26 28 0.17
447 807 0.32 300 456 5.643 17 12 26 28 0.5
368 886 0.28 300 456 10 17 12 26 28 0.28
368 886 0.32 300 456 5.26 17 12 26 28 0.52
314 941 0.28 300 456 9.78 17 12 26 28 0.32
314 941 0.32 300 456 5 17 12 26 28 0.42
368 886 0.3 300 380 6.27 17 12 26 28 0.65
368 886 0.3 300 532 6.27 17 12 26 28 0.16
447 807 0.3 300 456 2.5 0 12 26 28 0.02
447 807 0.3 300 456 6.27 15.6 12 26 28 0.29
447 807 0.3 300 456 6.77 18.2 12 26 28 0.44
368 886 0.28 300 456 3.63 21 12 39 28 2.37
368 886 0.26 300 456 4 21 12 39 28 2.01
368 886 0.28 300 456 2.5 13 12 39 28 1.57
368 886 0.28 300 456 3.13 21 12 39 28 2.76
368 886 0.28 300 456 3.5 26 12 39 28 4.25

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Received: 2024-04-27
Revised: 2024-11-18
Accepted: 2025-01-17
Published Online: 2025-03-03

© 2025 the author(s), published by De Gruyter

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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