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Yield gap variation in rice cultivation in Indonesia

  • Yiyi Sulaeman EMAIL logo , Vivi Aryati , Agus Suprihatin , Putri Tria Santari , Yati Haryati , Susilawati Susilawati , Deddy Romulo Siagian , Vicca Karolinoerita , Hermawati Cahyaningrum , Joko Pramono , Heppy Suci Wulanningtyas , Lilia Fauziah , Budi Raharjo , Syafruddin Syafruddin , Destika Cahyana , Waluyo Waluyo , Bambang Susanto , Resmayeti Purba , Dina Omayani Dewi , Yahumri Yahumri , Miswarti Miswarti , Afrizon Afrizon , Joula Olvy Maya Sondakh , Mirawanty Amin , Olvie Grietjie Tandi , Eni Maftuáh , Ana Feronika Cindra Irawati , Nurhayati Nurhayati , Ahmad Suriadi , Tony Basuki , Muhamad Hidayanto , Tarbiyatul Munawwarah , Yossita Fiana , Basri Abu Bakar , Abdul Azis and Muhammad Yasin
Published/Copyright: January 11, 2024

Abstract

The rice yield gap (YG) is a global concern, requiring more detailed studies spatially and temporally. As a staple food in Indonesia, rice was produced from 7.4 Mha paddy fields in 2019. Better insight into the YG helps assess measures to boost rice production. However, the information on YG variation among regions scale is limited. This study aimed to identify the rice YG based on 295 historical trial datasets from 23 provinces in Indonesia. We surveyed published trial results from 2012 to 2022 and analyzed YGs, expressed as the percentage of farmer yield (FY). The potential yield (PY) was estimated from field trial results using introduced rice cultivation technology package, whereas FY from results using existing farmer practices. Our study showed that the average YG was 62% in rainfed, 54% in tidal, and 32% in irrigated paddy fields. The YG was significantly high in the paddy fields of Kalimantan (74%) and Maluku-Papua (49%), while the lowest was in Sulawesi (27%) and Java (31%). The YG varied significantly with geo-regions, rice varieties, and cultivation technology packages. Closing the YG and ensuring sustainable rice production requires the implementation of sustainable intensification through applying site-specific technology packages, reallocation of agricultural interventions to a higher YG region, and rice variety improvement to increase PY.

1 Introduction

The yield gap (YG) has gotten more global attention recently, and it is frequently used as input in discussing food security, biodiversity, land use, and climate change [1,2,3,4]. Better insight into the YG is crucial to help assess measures to stimulate agricultural production [5]; therefore, it must be better measured and understood because average yields are essential for food prices, agricultural expansion, and food security. However, the YG concepts are still debatable and discussed in several publications [6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13]. The YG is the difference between actual farm yield and potential yield (PY), where the PY is the maximum yield of a crop cultivar grown in an environment to which it is adapted, with nutrients and water non-limiting and pest and disease effectively controlled [8]. In contrast, the farmer yield (FY) is the average yield farmers achieve in a defined region and period [5].

The PY can be estimated using the results of highly controlled on-station experiments, crop modeling, best farmers, and well-monitored crop contests [5,9]. By crop modeling, the PY is estimated using Global Agro-ecological Zones, Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project, Global YG Atlas, etc. However, there is no consistent PY and eventually YG, especially for rainfed rice in Asia [10]. In addition, the YG is expressed in either the percentage of PY [11,12] or the percentage of FY [13,14]. Each definition and estimate on FY, PY, and YG has a different interpretation.

Indonesia is the fourth rice producer globally, with 7.4 Mha paddy fields in 2019 [15]. Meanwhile, the national population keeps increasing from 238.5 million in 2010 to an estimated 305.6 million in 2035 [16]. This population growth, followed by increased demand for rice consumption, is a severe challenge to national food security. In addition, the agriculture sector is vulnerable to climate change impacts, as indicated by hazards (such as decreasing productivity, harvested area, and crop yield) due to air temperature increase and rainfall change [17]. Asian agriculture, including Indonesia, will face increases in temperature, extreme climatic events, such as droughts and floods, and soil degradation and salt intrusion due to sea-level rise [18]. Yet, the coverage of paddy fields remains constant; therefore, sustainable intensification is the foremost choice to increase rice yield for addressing such challenges [19,20].

Sustainable intensification requires a green technology approach to manage paddy fields, namely, a rice cultivation technology package (RCTP) tailored to paddy fields’ diverse agro-climatic, topographic position, hydro-topography, and soil characteristics. In addition, the RCTP should be adaptive to climate change to maintain rice production. Accordingly, researchers and the government are developing and testing these technology packages in multi-location to document their performance compared to farmers’ practices. Integrated rice crop management (PTT) [21], adjusted planting distance (Jarwo Super) [22], and environmental-friendly rice cultivation (BPRL) [23] are among the established RCTP.

Implementing RCTP results in higher rice yield than farmers’ practice, indicating that increasing farmer rice yield is still possible using adaptive RCTP [24]. This intervention technology will close the YG [24]. However, the study on the spatial variation of YG is limited, although the YG provides a starting point to determine the maximum ability of paddy fields to boost rice yield. Moreover, YG geo-information directs relocating agricultural technology interventions for efficient implementation of sustainable intensification.

The aim of this study is to identify the YG in rice cultivation based on a historical field trial dataset from 2012 to 2022. Considering the different concepts of YG, in this study, the PY was estimated by rice yield from field trials using the introduced RCTP. FY was calculated from rice yield from farmer fields using the existing farmer’s technology. Then, the YG was expressed as the percentage of FY. The paddy fields are distributed in almost 32 provinces, and in this study, we limited it to 23 provinces (about 6.3 Mha of paddy fields) only due to data availability. Nevertheless, these provinces contributed to national rice production by about 88% in 2021 [25].

2 Methods

2.1 Data collection and compilation

Through Google Scholar and Web of Science, we conducted a comprehensive literature search of peer-reviewed studies published during 2012–2022. The keywords used in the search include paddy soils, rice yield, and the combination thereof, using the Indonesian language. Studies were included in the analysis if (i) they were relevant to paddy fields in Indonesia, (ii) the technology package and rice yield were reported, and (iii) details of experiment location, design, and condition were provided.

In addition to the published article, we collated technical reports containing the rice yield of previous field trials. The Assessment Institutes of Agricultural Technology conducted these trials under the supervision of the Indonesian Ministry of Agriculture to assess RCTPs’s performance. Most authors of these reports were principal investigators or research team members in the respective trials.

In the original published articles and reports, there was no information on the coordinate location, only the village name and type of paddy field were available. Therefore, we reconstructed the coordinate site according to the village name, masked with a village boundary map and paddy field map. The web application assisted the coordinate assignment, namely, the coordinate locater (www.coordinatelocator.com).

A total of 295 individual observations from 130 studies were included in our analysis; of the 295 studies, 66% were conducted in irrigated paddy fields, 23% were conducted in tidal paddy fields, and 10% were done in rainfed paddy fields. The trial was performed in almost all geo-regions (Figure 1), in the humid tropic (Sumatra, Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku-Papua), and Semi-arid (Nusa Tenggara). In humid tropical, the annual rainfall is 2,000 mm, and in semi-arid, it is less than 1,000 mm. Kalimantan and Sumatra get more rain (∼2,900 mm) than Java as a whole (∼2,600 mm), while the eastern part of the Archipelago receives much less: Sulawesi (∼2,300 mm) and the Little Sunda Islands (<1,500 mm) [26]. The differences in precipitation determine the water availability in the fields. The trial location extended from south to north latitude and from 1 to 612 m above sea level (asl) in 23 provinces. The sites were dominated by low land with an altitude of 200 m asl or less and in areas with latitudes >1° South.

Figure 1 
                  The distribution of field trial sites in 23 provinces in Indonesia, 2012–2022.
Figure 1

The distribution of field trial sites in 23 provinces in Indonesia, 2012–2022.

In each trial, an RCTP was compared to the farmer’s practice. A total of eight RCTPs were evaluated from 2012 to 2022. Of 295 observations, 54% used PTT, and 38% used Jarwo Super. One technology package can be the modification of the previous one to adapt to local conditions. The applied RCTP is briefly described in Supplementary Table S1.

2.2 Statistical analysis

The dataset contained location up to village level, type of paddy fields (irrigated, rainfed, tidal), RCTP, rice varieties, PY, and FY. The PY was the rice yield that can be achieved by applying specific RCTP with no constraints, and the FY was the rice yield reached using farmers’ technology. If the FY was not recorded, FY was estimated from the statistical average farmers’ yield in a given district during the trials. As yield units differed, the yield unit was standardized to a metric ton of unmilled rice per hectare (Mg ha–1). Next the YG was calculated by reducing PY to FY. Instead of using an absolute figure, the YG was expressed as a percentage of FY because when discussing food security, observed world grain production and likely increases were directly linked to FY, not PY [14]. Supplementary Table S2 provides a brief definition of these yields in comparison with other terminologies.

We did exploratory data analysis and variance analysis. The mean comparison was made using the Fisher-LSD test at alpha 0.05. Statistical analysis was assisted by the R programming language [27].

3 Results

3.1 Effect of paddy field type, altitude, and latitude on rice yield and YG

Table 1 presents the effect of the type of paddy field on the variation in rice yield (FY and PY) and YG. FY was significantly different statistically at the level of 0.05. The irrigated paddy field shows the highest rice yield (5.24 Mg ha−1), followed by the rainfed (4.04 Mg ha−1) and tidal (3.42 Mg ha−1). The PY also showed a similar pattern with FY, where PY was significantly different statistically at level 0.05. The irrigated paddy field produced the highest yield (6.82 Mg ha−1), followed by the rainfed (6.18 Mg ha−1) and tidal (4.96 Mg ha−1). Surprisingly, the rainfed gave significantly the highest YG (62%), followed by the tidal (52%) and the irrigated paddy field (32%).

Table 1

Effect of type of paddy field, altitude, and latitude on rice yield and YG

Parameter N FY (Mg ha−1) PY (Mg ha−1) YG (%)
Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD
Type of paddy field
Irrigated 196 3.16 7.84 5.26a 1.08 3.73 9.90 6.82a 1.14 1 121 32a 23
Rainfed 31 2.00 5.85 4.04b 1.18 4.04 8.40 6.18b 1.30 6 163 62b 43
Tidal 68 1.00 5.72 3.42c 0.99 2.20 7.60 4.96c 1.13 1 310 54a 54
Altitude (m asl)
<200 m 278 1.00 7.84 4.68a 1.36 2.20 9.70 6.28b 1.39 1 310 41a 37
200–400 m 2 3.80 5.60 4.70a 1.27 5.20 6.88 6.04a 1.19 23 37 30a 10
>400 m 15 4.30 6.80 5.18a 0.65 5.50 8.70 7.23ab 1.09 5 102 41a 23
Latitude (°)
>10 N 51 1.00 7.44 3.98b 1.51 3.40 9.19 5.83 b 1.38 1 310 63 a 64
1°S < 0 < 1°N 40 1.90 6.00 4.06b 0.97 2.20 8.40 5.84 b 1.35 7 163 48 a 37
>1°S 204 2.00 7.84 5.01a 1.27 3.30 9.90 6.54 a 1.35 1 140 35 b 27

N – number of testing locations, Min – minimum value, Max – maximum value, SD – standard deviation. The YG is the percentage of FYs. The number in the column with the same letter is not significantly different for a given parameter based on the LSD test at alpha 0.05.

Table 1 also shows the minimum and maximum yield. At the farmer level, the irrigated shares the highest minimum and maximum yield by 3.16 and 7.84 Mg ha−1, respectively, followed by rainfed by 2.00 and 5.85 Mg ha−1, respectively, and tidal by 1.00 and 5.72 Mg ha−1, respectively. The PY also gathers a similar pattern: the irrigated shares the highest yield of minimum and maximum yield by 3.73 and 9.90 Mg ha−1, respectively, followed by 4.04 and 8.40 Mg ha−1 for rainfed and 2.20 and 7.60 Mg ha−1 for tidal paddy fields. Statistically, the irrigated and the tidal paddy fields are significantly different from the rainfed at a level of 0.05.

The altitude position did not statistically affect the FY and YG but significantly affected the PY. The highest PY was found on paddy fields with an altitude of 400 m asl or more, which reaches 7.23 Mg ha−1 (Table 1). The lowest rice yield in the lowland paddy fields was 2.2 Mg ha−1, 1.0 Mg ha−1, and 1% for PY, FY, and YG, respectively. Likewise, the highest yield was 9.7 Mg ha−1, 7.84 Mg ha−1, and 310% for PY, FY, and YG, respectively.

The latitude statistically affects the PY, FY, and YG (Table 1). The PY and FY were the highest in the Southern Latitudes, reaching 6.54 and 5.01 Mg ha−1, respectively. The lowest YG was also in the Southern Latitude region at 35%.

3.2 Geo-region

Table 2 shows the rice yield (FY and PY) and the YG in the six geo-regions of Indonesia, namely, Java, Nusa Tenggara, Sumatra, Sulawesi, Kalimantan, and Maluku-Papua. The paddy fields of Java contributed to the highest FY of 5.66 Mg ha−1, which was significantly different from the other geo-regions, followed by Sulawesi, Sumatra, and Nusa Tenggara geo regions with 5.05, 4.82, and 4.76 Mg ha−1, respectively. These three geo-regions differed significantly from Maluku-Papua and Kalimantan, which shared the lowest FY of 3.54 and 3.38 Mg ha−1, respectively. Meanwhile, the average PY generated a different pattern from the FY. Java geo-region generated the highest PY, insignificantly different from Kalimantan by 7.27 and 5.47 Mg ha−1, respectively. Furthermore, the geo-region of Kalimantan was insignificantly different statistically from the other geo-regions.

Table 2

Effect of geo-region of paddy field on rice yield and YG

Geo-region N FY (Mg ha−1) PY (Mg ha−1) YG (%)
Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD
Java 74 3.60 7.84 5.66a 1.08 5.04 9.90 7.27a 0.99 2 75 31c 17
Sulawesi 67 1.90 7.11 5.05b 1.09 2.20 8.64 6.30b 1.39 1 121 27c 25
Sumatra 61 3.20 7.77 4.82b 1.12 4.50 9.28 6.33b 1.06 1 93 35bc 24
Kalimantan 54 1.08 6.00 3.38c 0.98 3.40 8.40 5.47ab 1.26 5 310 74a 59
Maluku-Papua 24 2.58 5.76 3.54c 1.04 3.30 8.20 5.19b 1.35 8 98 49a 27
Nusa Tenggara 17 4.30 6.20 4.76b 0.47 4.46 5.68 6.67b 1.43 3 102 40bc 26

N – number of testing locations, Min – minimum value, Max – maximum value, SD – standard deviation. The YG is the percentage of FYs. The number in the column with the same letter is not significantly different based on the LSD test at alpha 0.05.

Surprisingly, the geo-regions of Kalimantan and Maluku-Papua resulted in the highest YG, 74 and 49%, respectively, significantly different statistically from the other geo-regions. Meanwhile, the lowest YG was gathered by Sulawesi and Java geo-regions (27 and 31%, respectively), which was insignificantly different statistically from the other geo-regions.

Table 3 presents the YG variation based on the provinces in Indonesia. It can be observed that the North Kalimantan province had the highest YG compared to all provinces in Indonesia, and it was significantly different statistically at level 0.05. The high YG in North Kalimantan (141%) was followed by East Kalimantan (105%) and West Kalimantan (66%). Otherwise, the lowest YG was found in West Sumatra (19%) and South Sulawesi (20%), followed by East Java, South Sumatra, and Central Kalimantan.

Table 3

YG variation based on province

Geo-region Province Paddy field* N Min Max Mean SD
(ha) (%)
Java Central Java 980,334 17 6 46 21ij 10
Banten 198,284 15 21 49 39defgh 7
DKI Jakarta 451 15 28 75 51cdef 14
East Java 1,287,356 15 2 46 20ij 13
West Java 930,334 9 5 55 24ghij 16
DI Yogyakarta 75,990 3 15 25 21hij 5
Sulawesi South Sulawesi 641,457 44 1 72 19j 15
Central Sulawesi 119,670 14 10 95 38defghi 28
North Sulawesi 52,236 9 5 121 47cdefg 43
Sumatra Riau 86,247 22 8 93 51cdef 27
North Sumatra 245,801 12 1 51 27fghij 17
Bengkulu 47,968 10 6 70 37defghij 20
South Sumatra 387,237 9 10 38 20ij 8
West Sumatra 197,800 7 7 34 19j 9
Kalimantan West Kalimantan 155,818 14 21 163 66c 47
Central Kalimantan 187,008 12 5 60 20ij 15
East Kalimantan 36,399 8 17 140 105b 40
North Kalimantan 14,265 10 49 310 141a 73
South Kalimantan 252,972 9 16 97 58cd 26
Maluku-Papua Papua 21,498 20 8 98 53cde 28
North Maluku 9,041 4 12 52 33efghij 16
Nusa Tenggara West Nusa Tenggara 227,786 11 3 69 33efghij 25
East Nusa Tenggara 146,071 6 29 102 52cdef 26

N – number of testing locations, Min – minimum value, Max – maximum value, SD – standard deviation. The YG is the percentage of FYs. The number in the column with the same letter is not significantly different based on the LSD test at alpha 0.05. *Paddy field coverage is based on ref. [15].

In Java, DKI Jakarta province had the highest YG (51%), while East Java had the lowest YG (20%). In this region, significantly few technical issues limit high yield. The limitations are mainly in the social and economic aspects, such as the low price of rice, which results in less profit than would be made from producing other commodities.

The highest YG in Sumatra was found in Riau province (51%), and the lowest occurred in West Sumatra province (19%). In Kalimantan, the highest YG occurred in North Kalimantan province (141%), and the lowest was found in Central Kalimantan province (20%). The highest YG in Sulawesi was in North Sulawesi province (47%), and the lowest was in South Sulawesi province (19%). The YG variation in several provinces is influenced by, among others, the planted varieties, fertilization, climate, topography, and soil resource properties [28]. From a technical cultivation aspect, early planting and dosage of N fertilizer significantly reduce YG [29].

Meanwhile, in the semi-arid Nusa Tenggara region, East Nusa Tenggara province (52%) had a greater YG than West Nusa Tenggara province (33%). The variation in the YG in Papua was higher than in North Maluku province for the Maluku-Papua region, by 53 and 33%, respectively. In rainfed paddy fields, changes in water regime and climate significantly affect rice yields because sufficient water supports rice plants’ growth and development [12].

Due to abundant water and nutrient supply from fertilizer applications, Indonesian farmers usually rely on the rainy season to grow rice. However, water becomes scarce during the dry season, primarily during drought. Among abiotic stress, drought is one of the essential factors affecting one-third of the total rice area in Asia and causing significant economic losses to poor rice producers [30]. Farmers have no liquid assets to buy necessary equipment in this scenario immediately, thus lowering rice productivity [31]. To avoid this, farmers must think ahead about the best timing to plant and harvest their crops and efficient use of water when the drought arrives. To reduce the risk of increasing YGs in some regions, selecting appropriate climate change mitigation measures and policies is necessary to close YG [32].

3.3 Introduced RCTPs

As many as eight RCTPs were tested from 2012 to 2022. From them, we only selected The Site-Specific Nutrient Management (PHSL), Jarwo Super, PTT, BPRL, and Intensive tidal rice cultivation (RAISA) for further analysis because they were assessed in three locations or more (Table 4). Other packages, i.e., Sonor, SRI-based organic paddy, and KATAM were evaluated only in 1–2 sites. The PY was significantly different among technological packages (P < 0.001).

The PY was influenced by technology packages (P < 0.01), type of paddy fields (P < 0.001), and interaction between type and technology packages (P < 0.01) (Table 4). PHSL, BPRL, or Intensive tidal rice cultivation (RAISA) was the technology used in specific paddy fields. Still, Jarwo Super and Integrated Rice Crop Management (PTT) were used in all paddy fields. The PHSL and Jarwo Super showed higher results in irrigated paddy fields, followed by the PTT and BPRL.

In the rainfed paddy fields, the Jarwo Super performs better, resulting in higher yield and significantly different from PTT. The application of fertilization technology supports the Jarwo Super technology, such as (1) nutrient management by applying balanced fertilization adjusted to the development and needs of plants, (2) utilizing agricultural waste, especially rice straw, as a source of organic matter, and (3) utilization of various superior microbes to decompose organic waste, seed treatment, and plant growth promoters. Therefore, the growth of rice plants is optimized, which impacts increasing rice productivity [33].

In Jarwo Super, the rice straw being returned to paddy fields can increase organic matter in the soil. Saikia et al. [34] concluded that using farmyard manure and crop waste (rice straw) in paddy fields long-term could help the stability of organic carbon in the soil. Thus, applying organic matter can increase microbial and enzyme activities that can accelerate the transformation of mineralized nitrogen in the soil. Organic-dominated nutrient management can restore soil health and offset 20% of the recommended NPK fertilization. Conversely, in the tidal paddy fields, the Jarwo Super shows a lower yield and significant difference from RAISA and PTT. RAISA is specific for tidal paddy fields.

Table 4

Effect of interaction between technology and type of paddy field on PY

Technology package N PY (Mg ha−1) SD
Min Max Mean
Irrigated: Jarwo Super 96 4.46 9.70 6.89 a 1.19
Irrigated: PTT 92 3.73 9.19 6.75 ab 1.06
Tidal: PTT 48 3.30 7.60 5.14 cd 1.07
Rainfed: PTT 22 4.04 8.40 6.04 bc 1.28
Tidal: Jarwo Super 11 2.20 5.83 3.88 d 1.05
Tidal: RAISA 8 4.64 6.60 5.18 cd 0.70
Rainfed: Jarwo Super 6 4.30 8.20 6.75 ab 1.62
Irrigated: PHSL 4 6.46 9.90 7.60 a 1.58
Irrigated: BPRL 3 5.76 6.88 6.45 abc 0.61

N – number of testing locations, Min – minimum value, Max – maximum value, SD – standard deviation. The number in the column with the same letter is not significantly different based on the LSD test at alpha 0.05.

3.4 Contribution of rice variety

Our study indicated that the rice variety significantly contributed to the variation in FY (P < 0.001) and PY (<0.001). This study identified 80 rice varieties that were tested, and Table 5 shows only varieties showing high yield, more than 5.0 Mg ha−1, and were tested only at 5 locations or more. These varieties cover Inpari 46, Ciherang, Inpari 32, Inpari 19, Inpari 33, and Inpari 20. The Ciherang variety has been introduced for a long time but can still provide the same results as new superior varieties such as Inpari 34 and Inpari 42. These varieties also reflect the preferred variety by farmers. The Indonesian government has released more than 160 superior rice varieties for lowlands, highlands, and tidal paddy fields. These varieties are high in yield, resistant to pests and diseases, and tolerant to abiotic stress [35,36].

Table 5

Selected varieties yielding 5 Mg ha−1 using farmer technology and tested at a minimum of five locations

Rice variety N FY (Mg ha−1) PY (Mg ha−1) YG (%)
Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD Min Max Mean SD
Inpari 32 43 2.00 7.84 5.35 bcd 1.33 4.35 9.30 6.99 bcde 1.32 6 153 35.91 def 31.36
Ciherang 19 3.16 7.77 5.88 abc 1.45 3.73 9.90 7.26 b 1.36 2 117 27.58 ef 27.30
Inpari 33 12 3.01 7.56 5.17 cde 1.34 5.20 8.40 7.02 bcde 0.97 11 96 40.67 def 24.34
Inpari 19 6 4.35 6.70 5.34 bcd 0.87 4.70 8.00 6.80 bcde 1.32 15 60 27.83 ef 20.88
Inpari 46 5 5.60 7.84 6.78 a 0.87 7.64 9.70 8.68 a 0.86 11 46 28.80 ef 13.66

N – number of testing locations, Min – minimum value, Max – maximum value, SD – standard deviation. The YG is the percentage of FYs. The number in the column with the same letter is not significantly different based on the LSD test at alpha 0.05.

When this variety used a technology package, the rice yield increased by about 1.4–2.0 Mg ha−1. Changing the rice variety increased rice yield, and if the same variety used the introduced technology package, the yield of this variety increased, too. Using superior rice varieties supported by site-specific technology packages produced productivity close to PY and reduced YG.

Each variety showed a different yield. Inpari 46 had the highest yield compared to other varieties, namely, 6.78 Mg ha−1 at the farmer level and 8.68 Mg ha−1 when planted using an improved technology package. Inpari 46 has an upright shape with a plant height of approximately 101.5 cm. Inpari 32 and 33 rice varieties can produce more than 6 Mg ha−1 in tidal paddy fields [37]. The texture of the cooked form of this rice is fluffier. In addition, this type of Inpari rice is somewhat resistant to the brown planthopper biotype. Each variety has a different response for each given technology package.

Selecting suitable varieties to overcome environmental stress is very important, but soil improvement efforts such as applying fertilizers and soil conditioners must also be carried out. Besides increasing soil fertility, fertilization can increase plant resistance to pests and diseases. Rice varieties resistant to certain pests and diseases are as follows: Ciherang is resistant to blight and Inpari 33 is resistant to brown planthoppers. Integrated pest control, arrangement of planting schedules, and spacing of plants also need to be done to reduce pest and disease attacks. However, using one continuously planted variety is not recommended because some pests and diseases can have adaptability and form biotypes/strains. The superior varieties are proven to be able to increase production, but their development is still limited [38].

Some of the obstacles in the development of superior varieties are the availability of seeds in the right amount and at the right time, the level of grain loss, price competition by traders, the need to increase the level of farmer adoption, the taste of rice, and the shape of the grain. Growing and strengthening breeder institutions at the regional level are necessary to meet the demand for seeds of superior varieties. In addition, socialization and assistance regarding the advantages of certain varieties need to be carried out to increase the adoption rate of farmers.

4 Discussion

4.1 YG variation

Our study indicated that the YG varied widely from 1 to 310% (Table 1). This variation was due to differences in the environment (latitude, geo-region, province), the type of paddy field (irrigated, rainfed, tidal), planted rice variety, and RCTP. The yield discrepancy also varied with the type of paddy field: rainfed was 64%, tidal was 54%, and irrigated was 32% of FY (Table 1). The YG of the provinces considered rice production centers, namely Java and Sulawesi, was smaller than other provinces (Table 3).

Our study also found exciting results in Nusa Tenggara. The region has a semi-arid climate, which is drier and hotter than other regions. But, the YG was similar to Sumatra statistically, at about 40% (Table 2). Farmer’s yield of Nusa Tenggara is also similar to those of Sumatra statistically, although Sumatra has a humid climate and abundant water. Interestingly, the PY was the second highest after Java. High temperatures and drier climates provide an abundance of solar radiation for photosynthesis. When water is available, the rate of photosynthesis increases, producing more yields.

Using crop modeling technique for estimating PY, Yuan et al. [12] reported that in Indonesia, the YG of irrigated paddy fields was, on average, 37% of PY (59% of FY), and rainfed was 49% of PY (104% of FY). In irrigated paddy fields of Yogyakarta, using crop model simulations, the YG was 57% of PY (75% of FY), primarily due to input efficiency and technology application (sowing date) [39]. In the rainfed paddy fields of Central Java, using crop modeling, the YG was 0–28% of PY (0–39% of FY) caused by water limitation, and due to N limitation was from 35 to 63% of PY (54–170% of FY) due to N limitation [40]. Our study confirmed that the YG in the rainfed was higher than in the irrigated.

The YG occurred because the available production technology was not applied to farmers’ fields [41]. It can happen, among others, due to: (a) characteristics of farmers such as lack of knowledge and skills, risk aversion; (b) agricultural characteristics, e.g., poor soil, rugged terrain, inaccessibility; and (c) technological incompatibility with farmers’ circumstances (e.g., labor-intensive, high investment costs, poor access to inputs). The existence of limiting factors in soil nutrient status and insufficient water availability in rainfed paddy fields has the potential to widen the YG. These constraints must be analyzed at the field level to design management strategies to improve and maintain yield stability and reduce YG [40].

Minimizing the YG and increasing profit and product quality are becoming increasingly difficult to achieve using a single-technology-centric approach. Although the rainfed shows a larger YG, it is also necessary to pay attention to the end of the YG in irrigated land. This is because it can cause a more significant impact on annual yield due to higher cropping intensity [42]. Combining and simultaneously applying the best component technologies is crucial for maximizing overall benefits to farmers [43].

Crop management options such as setting planting dates, using short-lived varieties, and water management can help plants minimize the adverse effects of drought and provide adequate N fertilizer to increase yields of rainfed lowland rice in Indonesia. The addition of N fertilizer should be given as needed. A systems approach using the concept of production ecology can be applied in yield constraint analysis to identify management strategies to increase yields and yield stability in lowland or other tidal and rainfed paddy fields [40].

The strategies to close YG include implementing agricultural technology innovation in the form of RCTP. These RCTPs are proven to close YG even for the next 20 years, especially in rainfed paddy fields [44]. Moreover, the YG in the regions that have implemented or used various old programs for a long time is lower compared to areas that have just been cleared and used, including sub-optimal areas. In irrigated paddy fields, the growing season can also affect the YG. In Java, the YG in the dry season is around 6–17% higher than in the wet season.

Our findings also support Yuan et al. [12], who explained that interventions to improve plant management practices, especially nutrient and water management. Ran et al. [28] indicated that more precise fertilization recommendations should be formulated based on comprehensive factors (soil, climate, terrain, and variety). We confirmed in Table 4 that applying the technology (in Supplementary Table S1) increased yields from 1.3 to 2 Mg ha−1. The research results of Sulaeman et al. [45] found that the use of varieties such as Inpara 8, Suppadi 89, Inpara 3, and Inpara 2 gave higher yields than 5 Mg ha−1, namely, 6.31, 5.54, 5.46, and 5.36 Mg ha−1. The rice yield from tidal paddy fields depends on varieties, cultivation technology packages, and soil and water characteristics. A similar thing was also expressed by Erythrina et al. [46] that the average yield with farmer practices gave low yields, namely, 3.4 Mg ha−1, compared to the recommendation package, which was 5.3 Mg ha−1. By adopting better practices, YGs can be reduced. The average YG using the recommended package, namely, crop management and nutrition, is 37%. The recommendation package is the use of superior varieties such as Inpari, which are more suitable and tolerant to pests and diseases, compared to the use of IR64 and Ciherang varieties, which are more susceptible to pests and diseases, as well as managing plant nutrition [47]. In reality, farmers in nutrient management practices are not based on recommendations.

4.2 Re-orientation of subsidies and other interventions to boost rice production

The spatial variation of YG may be used as the base for allocating agro-input subsidies and other agricultural interventions to boost rice production. Paddy field with large YG (>40% of FY) indicates significant opportunities for research and the need for improvement in crop management, infrastructure, enabling institutions, and market [5]. Increasing rice yield in a high YG is affordable because options for intervention are available. Considering this large YG, subsidies and other agricultural interventions should go directly to rainfed and tidal paddy fields. Farming subsidies and technical assistance should be directed to East Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, West Kalimantan, East Nusa Tenggara, and North Sumatra provinces (Table 3).

These high YG were mainly due to the lack of capital and disability to apply recommended technologies. Regarding pest and disease control, farmers were unaware of practicing Integrated Pest Management, the right time, and insecticides to be used for certain kinds of pests and diseases. In this high YG area, closing YG can be done by building and improving irrigation systems, including groundwater exploitation, drainage systems, and amelioration soil, prioritizing rice yield increases in areas with low average yields, as well as the application of site-specific technologies such as precision farming, the use of superior adaptive varieties [48]. By using specific superior varieties, managing plant nutrition, and adding irrigation sources, rice yield increased to 1.9 Mg ha−1 [46]. Agricultural intensification must occur in locations with large YGs and low resource use efficiency.

In the paddy field with low YG (<30% of FY), closing YG for increasing FY stagnates. The yield has closed to the maximum for a given technology package in this area. Nevertheless, yield growth can be maintained by crop breeding and more favorable inputs and output practices, motivating farmers to invest in technologies required to bridge the theoretical YG [5]. Meanwhile, in locations with high profitability, small YGs, and high resource use efficiency, increasing sustainability would be more appropriate based on continuous intensification (or even extensification) [49].

Specifically, the YG in tidal paddy fields can be closed through water management, soil improvement, fertilization, and adaptive varieties. The management water systems include regulation and control of water in the quarter and tertiary canals, which can facilitate the washing of toxic materials and prevent salt water from entering the plot of land [50]. Tidal paddy soils have low soil pH, high Fe, Al, and Mn solubility, low availability of nutrients, especially P and K, and low base saturation [51]. Hence, efforts are being made to improve soil quality and fertility through soil amendments, such as agricultural lime and rock phosphate [52,53].

4.3 Optimizing carbon (C) sequestration through technology package implementation

C sequestration captures atmospheric C through biomass production and storage in the soil [54]. Depending on different crop and land management practices, soil can be either a source of atmospheric CO2 or a C sink. Technical interventions, such as applying organic and inorganic fertilizers or adding biomass and using certain varieties to narrow the YG, positively impact retaining carbon in the soil. It will be a challenge to optimally utilize plants as one of the inputs to increase yields.

Implementing a technology package improves rice growth performance and hence increases carbon sequestration. In addition, genjah (short-lived) rice variety can decrease the potential methane emission from paddy soil. Therefore, both may contribute to climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, more detailed studies need to be conducted to quantify this contribution. Furthermore, soil management is a significant driving factor in the dynamic form of soil organic carbon and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions [55,56].

Most of the technology package in this study uses organic fertilizers either by returning the rice straw or adding manures to the field. Replacing rice straw and organic fertilizers in the soil-plant system can potentially increase soil organic carbon storage and carbon sequestration [57,58,59]. The continuous addition of organic fertilizers improves soil carbon sequestration and carbon pools, which are essential for tropical soils to sustain soil quality and agricultural productivity with intensive farming systems [58].

Nutrient management practices such as PHSL, Jarwo Super, PTT, and BPRL may strongly influence various carbon fractions, influencing carbon sequestration. The precision application of N fertilizer enhances crop yield, N use efficiency, and soil organic carbon storage and mitigates GHG emissions [60]. Package technologies such as PHSL, Jarwo Super, PTT, and BPRL apply optimum and balanced nutrients to maximize crop yields ( Supplementary Table S1), leading to relatively more C inputs from above- and below-ground plant biomass to the soil. In addition, the long-term practice of PHSL and the added organic matter contributed higher microbial biomass, labile, water-soluble, and particulate fractions of soil carbon reported elsewhere [61,62,63]. However, these carbon sequestrations need more detailed studies in Indonesia’s long-term practices of various technology packages.

On a global level, several initiatives and agreements have been established regarding good soil management, especially with food security and climate change issues. The Paris Agreement, Koronivia join work on agriculture (KJWA) and nearly 4p1000 initiatives encourage world governments to prioritize soil management as an adaptation strategy and co-benefit of climate change mitigation. Good plant growth will absorb a lot of carbon from the atmosphere and reduce the concentration of GHGs.

4.4 Future direction

Our study suggested that implementing a proper technology package at the right site increases FY to 1.6 Mg ha−1. RCTPs are among sustainable intensification practices; therefore, closing YG to increase FY could be achieved by implementing RCTP. The performance of each technology varies with the location and type of paddy field. Some of the most promising RCTP to increase farmers’ yield to 1.6 Mg ha−1 are Jarwo Super (Irrigated paddy fields), Jarwo Super and PTT (Rainfed paddy fields), and RAISA (Tidal paddy fields).

Hidayat et al. [64] concluded that PTT was the most effective alternative to increase rice productivity compared to other technologies in North Maluku Province. The paddy field has unique water, soil, and agroclimatic characteristics, which, alone or in combination, controls the effective implementation of all technology packages to increase rice yield. Such land resource characteristics determine the carrying capacity and the maximum limit of paddy fields to produce rice. Thus, in the future, we can estimate the maximum yield generated from the best technologies, either land management technology, cultivation technology, or genomic technology for variety assembly.

Each paddy soil has a critical limit and maximum rice production capacity. The maximum yield is greatly influenced by the genetic potency of rice varieties and the number and type of agro-input (fertilizer, soil ameliorant, and pesticide), soil tillage, and crop protection. Understanding each paddy plot’s critical point and capacity is necessary to avoid overestimating production. For example, Talio Hulu soils can only produce a maximum of 6 Mg ha−1 with Inpara 2 variety and the most optimum technology. It means that the expectation of rice production of more than 6 Mg ha−1 in this swampland is challenging to achieve unless new swamp rice varieties are introduced with higher productivity. Released varieties must have a yield of 8 Mg ha−1 or more. If less than that, the rice variety cannot be released to the public by law.

The productivity achieved in various types of paddy fields with the application of site-specific cultivation technology packages (PTT, RAISA, BPRL, and Jarwo Super) still shows high YG compared to the possible results that can be achieved. Developing an approach to introducing a new technology innovation model is necessary, focusing on implementing critical technologies as leverage points in each technology package. Technology that can reduce seed use is adapted to the typology of paddy fields in Indonesia, such as using an Amator drum seeder in tidal lowlands [65,66].

To overcome the efficiency and technology gap, several technology packages, such as PHSL, Jarwo Super, PTT, BPRL, and RAISA, have been applied to increase rice yields and reduce YGs, and the results are pretty successful. Using a technology package for continuous intensification, which optimizes the interaction between genotype, environment, and management, holds promise. Once popularized, they would potentially increase resource use efficiency, producing more rice at a lower environmental cost. Our findings help develop climate-resistant cultivars and agronomic management practices optimal for site-specific environments to increase PYs, close YGs, and accelerate sustainable agriculture intensification. In addition, this study demonstrates advanced approaches’ capabilities to define the scope for yield improvement, identify limiting factors, and optimize interactions between genotype, environment, and management. These ideas and strategies can be applied to other cropping systems and areas.

4.5 Limitation of this study

In this study, we exercised the historical yield data for one planting season from different years (10 years, 2012–2022) and locations (130 field trial sites, countrywide). In addition, we mixed between yield from the dry season and the wet season planting. The previous research highlighted that rice yield in the dry season was higher than in the wet season [39], indicating that the growing season may contribute to yield variation. Also, the 10-year difference may record climate and rainfall change spatially. Hence, the multi-year analyses based on different growing seasons will be challenging to asses yield stability and spatiotemporal variation.

The precise coordinate location of field trial sites is crucial for relating yield and any aspect of the experiment to other auxiliary geospatial information. Yet, such information is rarely available. Thus, in this study, we reconstructed the coordinate position of each field trial from the village and regency name, which were available in the publication. We masked the coordinate location with the paddy field map and the type of paddy field. Therefore, the coordinate position of trial sites was rough and potentially misleading for studies that need a more precise location. But, for regional and global research or visualization, as in this study, the current coordinate location was helpful. Thus, the coordinate site should be used wisely for future studies.

This study also did not consider climatic temporal and spatial variation. The rainfall intensity, temperature, solar radiation, and elevation potentially contribute to spatial and temporal rice yield variations. Relating temporal and spatial climatic variation to rice yield while considering the contribution of technology packaged to increase yield may be future exciting research topics to understand climate change behavior in tropical regions such as Indonesia.

5 Conclusion

The rice YG was high, ranging from 1 to 310%. The environment (latitude, geo-region, province), the type of paddy field (irrigated, rainfed, or tidal), and the rice planted variety impacted the variation in the YG. The YG in the provinces considered as the rice production centers, namely, Java and Sulawesi, was smaller than in other provinces. The YG also varied depending on the type of paddy field. Yet, statistically same YG was observed in the semi-arid region (Nusa Tenggara) and humid regions such as Sumatra. Understanding the variation in YGs is essential. In particular, insight into the geospatial variation of YG provides inputs in directing technological interventions.

Technological interventions are required to close this YG. Each paddy field’s unique water, soil, and agroclimatic characteristics control any intervention to increase rice yield. Because it is a land resource, rice yield is restricted, and these features determine carrying capacity. It is possible to estimate the maximum amount of rice yield produced using the most advanced technology, such as genomic technology for variety assembly, cultivation technology, or land management technology.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Dr. Yudhistira Nugraha and Dr. Indrastuti Apri Rumanti of the National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN), Indonesia, for their fruitful comments and suggestions during manuscript preparation.

  1. Funding information: The authors state no funding involved.

  2. Author contributions: Conceptualisation, Y.S., Y.H., S.S., S.S.; methodology, Y.S., Y.H., S.S., D.R.S., J.P., S.S., W.W., E.M.; validation, V.A., P.T.S., Y.H., S.S., D.R.S., V.K., J.P., S.S., D.C., W.W., E.M., A.F.C.I., N.N., A.S., T.B., Y.F.; formal analysis, Y.S., A.S., H.C., N.N., A.S.; investigation, Y.S., V.A., Y.H., S.S., D.R.S., J.P., L.F., B.R., S.S., W.W., B.S., R.P., D.O.D., Y.Y., M.M., A.A., J.O.M.S., M.A., O.G.T., A.F.C.I., N.N., A.S., T.B., M.H., T.M., A.A., M.Y.; resources, V.A., P.T.S., D.R.S., W.W., A.F.C.I., T.B.; data curation, V.K., H.S.W., A.F.C.I., N.N.; writing—original draft preparation, Y.S., V.A., P.T.S., Y.H., S.S., D.R.S., V.K., J.P., S.S., W.W., E.M., A.F.C.I., N.N., A.S., T.B.; writing—review and editing, Y.S., V.A., A.S., P.T.S., Y.H., S.S., D.R.S., V.K., H.C., J.P., H.S.W., L.F., B.R., S.S., D.C., W.W., B.S., R.P., D.O.D., Y.Y., M.M., A.A., J.O.M.S., M.A., O.G.T., E.M., A.F.C.I., N.N., A.S., T.B., M.H., T.M., Y.F., B.A.B., A.A., M.Y.; visualisation, A.S., P.T.S., V.K.; supervision, Y.S., A.S., J.P., E.M.; project administration, Y.S., A.S., V.K., A.S.; funding acquisition, Y.S., V.A., A.S., P.T.S., E.M., T.B., B.A.B.. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

  3. Conflict of interest: The authors state no conflict of interest.

  4. Data availability statement: The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Received: 2023-09-22
Revised: 2023-10-30
Accepted: 2023-11-09
Published Online: 2024-01-11

© 2024 the author(s), published by De Gruyter

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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  63. Supply chain efficiency of red chilies in the production center of Sleman Indonesia based on performance measurement system
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  73. Evaluating agricultural yield and economic implications of varied irrigation depths on maize yield in semi-arid environments, at Birfarm, Upper Blue Nile, Ethiopia
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  75. Pomegranate peel ethanolic extract: A promising natural antioxidant, antimicrobial agent, and novel approach to mitigate rancidity in used edible oils
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  91. Combined use of improved maize hybrids and nitrogen application increases grain yield of maize, under natural Striga hermonthica infestation
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  96. Analysis of agricultural emissions and economic growth in Europe in search of ecological balance
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  98. Technical efficiency of sugarcane farming in East Java, Indonesia: A bootstrap data envelopment analysis
  99. Comparison between mycobiota diversity and fungi and mycotoxin contamination of maize and wheat
  100. Evaluation of cultivation technology package and corn variety based on agronomy characters and leaf green indices
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  102. Phytochemical composition and insecticidal activity of Acokanthera oblongifolia (Hochst.) Benth & Hook.f. ex B.D.Jacks. extract on life span and biological aspects of Spodoptera littoralis (Biosd.)
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  114. Phytochemical analysis of Bienertia sinuspersici extract and its antioxidant and antimicrobial activities
  115. Evaluation of relative drought tolerance of grapevines by leaf fluorescence parameters
  116. Yield assessment of new streak-resistant topcross maize hybrids in Benin
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  118. Potential of ecoenzymes made from nutmeg (Myristica fragrans) leaf and pulp waste as bioinsecticides for Periplaneta americana
  119. Analysis of farm performance to realize the sustainability of organic cabbage vegetable farming in Getasan Semarang, Indonesia
  120. Revealing the influences of organic amendment-derived dissolved organic matter on growth and nutrient accumulation in lettuce seedlings (Lactuca sativa L.)
  121. Identification of viruses infecting sweetpotato (Ipomoea batatas Lam.) in Benin
  122. Assessing the soil physical and chemical properties of long-term pomelo orchard based on tree growth
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  129. Role of dietary fats in reproductive, health, and nutritional benefits in farm animals: A review
  130. Climate change and adaptive strategies on viticulture (Vitis spp.)
  131. The false tiger of almond, Monosteira unicostata (Hemiptera: Tingidae): Biology, ecology, and control methods
  132. A systematic review on potential analogy of phytobiomass and soil carbon evaluation methods: Ethiopia insights
  133. A review of storage temperature and relative humidity effects on shelf life and quality of mango (Mangifera indica L.) fruit and implications for nutrition insecurity in Ethiopia
  134. Green extraction of nutmeg (Myristica fragrans) phytochemicals: Prospective strategies and roadblocks
  135. Potential influence of nitrogen fertilizer rates on yield and yield components of carrot (Dacus carota L.) in Ethiopia: Systematic review
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  139. Minor millets: Processing techniques and their nutritional and health benefits
  140. Meta-analysis of reproductive performance of improved dairy cattle under Ethiopian environmental conditions
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  143. Motivations for farmers’ participation in agri-environmental scheme in the EU, literature review
  144. Evolution of climate-smart agriculture research: A science mapping exploration and network analysis
  145. Short Communications
  146. Music enrichment improves the behavior and leukocyte profile of dairy cattle
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  149. Corrigendum to “Bioinformatics investigation of the effect of volatile and non-volatile compounds of rhizobacteria in inhibiting late embryogenesis abundant protein that induces drought tolerance”
  150. Corrigendum to “Composition and quality of winter annual agrestal and ruderal herbages of two different land-use types”
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