Abstract
This study uses a sample of Chinese listed companies from 2007 to 2016 to examine the impact and mechanisms of firms’ integration into global value chains (GVCs) on their innovation levels. The results show that as firms deepen their GVC participation, their innovation levels follow a U-shaped trend. This effect is only observed in the upstream of the supply chain, while downstream participation negatively affects firms’ innovation levels. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that this U-shaped effect is most prominent in state-owned enterprises and technology-intensive industries, but does not exist in foreign-invested enterprises. Moreover, digitalization and marketization are mechanisms through which GVC participation influences firms’ innovation levels, with marketization having a more pronounced impact.
1 Introduction
With the development of production and trade globalization, the global value creation system has experienced unprecedented vertical separation and restructuring on a global scale (Gereffi et al., 2005). The development of global value chains (GVCs) has promoted international trade and cross-border investment, dispersing production stages of individual products across different countries (Johnson, 2018), with countries benefiting from the dividends brought by GVCs (Gereffi, 2014). The expansion of GVCs and the intensification of direct and indirect competition among economies have made participation in GVCs an important factor influencing economic development (Auer et al., 2017). Furthermore, the level of enterprise innovation is a key factor for business development, with its importance to enterprises being crucial (Fernandes et al., 2013). Enterprises continuously seek product upgrades and technological advancements to explore new markets (Paladino, 2007). China is an indispensable part of the world trade and global governance system. According to data from the General Administration of Customs of China, China’s import and export volume exceeded $4 trillion in 2022, maintaining its position as the world’s top goods trading nation for six consecutive years. Through deep involvement in the global production network, an innovation consciousness is gradually emerging in China (Li et al., 2020). To improve or resolve the relationship between traditional business and government practices, as well as to meet the urgent need for innovation and entrepreneurship in China (Ahlstrom et al., 2018), China has adopted “mass entrepreneurship and innovation” as a national strategy for economic structural adjustment. In recent years, innovation has been seen as a key driver of China’s economic growth (Salike et al., 2022). According to McKinsey data, China needs to achieve 2–3% annual GDP growth directly through innovation and new enterprises to maintain 5.5–6.5% annual GDP growth in the future (Woetzel et al., 2015). Given China’s position among emerging economies, discussions on China’s issues hold universal significance for developing countries and emerging economies to address problems (Peng et al., 2008).
Influenced by the “low-end lock-in effect” and “innovation spillover effect,” past studies hold two views on the innovation level of enterprises in the global production network, either positive or negative (Ito et al., 2023; Li et al., 2019). This article challenges the unidirectional linear relationships in past literature and validates the non-linear impact of enterprise participation in GVCs on innovation levels.
This article quantifies the innovation levels of Chinese listed companies from 2007 to 2016 by constructing an evaluation system for enterprise innovation levels and comprehensively summarizes the relationship between the two. Drawing on the method of Upward et al. (2013) and based on the OECD’s World Input-Output Tables, the article decomposes the GVC embeddedness of Chinese listed companies and analyzes the forward and backward linkages of enterprises. Finally, market forces and technological progress are indispensable factors in the evolution of GVCs. This article explains the transmission mechanism through which firms enhance their innovation levels by participating in GVCs from the perspectives of marketization and digitalization.
The structure of this article is as follows. The next section reviews the measurement methods of the degree of participation in GVCs and research related to innovation and GVCs, proposing theoretical hypotheses based on the framework of previous literature. The third section briefly introduces the data measurement method and sources, the fourth section presents our empirical framework and regression results, the fifth section tests the mediating effects of marketization and digitalization, and the final section discusses our main conclusions.
2 Literature Review
Firm innovation is a critical topic in the modern business environment (Kline & Rosenberg, 2009). With the constant changes in the market and intensified competition, companies must continuously seek innovative ways to maintain their competitive advantage (Qiu et al., 2020). Various scholars have used different measures to assess the level of innovation in companies, such as patents (Yi et al., 2021), R&D investment (Usai et al., 2021), and Tobin’s Q ratio (Thakur-Wernz & Wernz, 2022). However, due to the high-risk nature of technological innovation activities, effectively translating R&D inputs into innovation outputs can be extremely challenging, leading to potential overestimation of a company’s technological innovation capability when using such indicators (Zhu et al., 2020). Therefore, it is necessary to construct a reasonable evaluation system to quantitatively measure the level of innovation in companies.
Currently, research on GVCs mainly focuses on two areas (Antràs, 2020). The first aspect is the measurement of GVCs, which mainly focuses on the participation and division of labor of countries and regions within GVCs. The basic method is the decomposition of value-added in exported products, which is based on input-output models among industries worldwide. Vertical specialization is used to measure the degree of participation of a country or region in the international division of labor (Hummels et al., 2001). Many scholars attempt to explain trade accounting issues, trace the sources of value-added in total exports, and study the division of labor in value chains or trade gains (Hummels et al., 2001; Koopman et al., 2014). Fally (2012) suggests measuring production segmentation by the number of production stages from commodity production to consumption. Antràs et al. (2012) introduce the concept of “upstreamness” and measure the depth of participation in international division of labor by comparing the distance of various industry products to the final product, yielding results consistent with Fally (2012). In 2017, Wang et al. (2017a, b) further expanded the accounting framework of GVCs to production stages, decomposing value-added trade from the perspectives of intermediate input supply (forward linkages) and usage (backward linkages), and analyzing the comprehensive characteristics of national and sectoral embeddedness in GVCs from the aspects of participation, location, and competitiveness.
The second aspect of research focuses on the economic impacts of countries and regions deeply embedded in GVCs. Studies on the economic impact of value chains can be summarized into two levels: macro and micro. At the macro level, research suggests that being embedded in GVCs can effectively narrow the technology gap (Ye et al., 2020) and promote labor employment and human capital development (Shepherd, 2013). Furthermore, the degree of embedding in GVCs has varying impacts on food security (Lee et al., 2012) and regional development (Boudreau et al., 2023). Particularly for the least developed countries, their participation in GVCs can effectively improve productivity and enhance innovation capabilities (Flentø & Ponte, 2017; Morrison et al., 2008; Zhan, 2021). One reason is that the export of capital-intensive intermediate products plays an important role in the economic development of the least developed countries (Suvannaphakdy & DiCaprio, 2021).
Research on the micro-level relationship between GVCs and innovation suggests that joining GVCs can improve firm productivity and promote innovation over a certain period (Opazo-Basáez et al., 2022). Qian et al. (2022) used provincial-level data and concluded that participating in GVCs is an important factor influencing firm efficiency and has a positive impact. However, some studies argue against excessive firm integration into GVCs, suggesting that it can exacerbate risks and uncertainties. Gereffi (2011) points out that participating in GVCs means facing deeper international competition, which leads to a long process of transformation and upgrading for emerging economies. Van Assche (2017) argues that firms face significant challenges and costs in establishing GVCs, which can weaken the positive link between GVCs and innovation. Hummels and Lee (2018) suggest that firms deeply embedded in value chains in a region may face higher import competition, leading to lower incentives for R&D, and more firms may choose outsourcing, sacrificing their own innovation capabilities. Ito et al. (2023), using Japanese patent data as a measure of innovation, find that backward participation in GVCs has a negative impact on innovation, while forward participation has a positive impact. Although the relationship between innovation and GVCs has been widely discussed in existing research, the conclusions remain inconsistent. Therefore, this study uses Chinese listed companies as a sample to explore the impact and mechanisms of GVC integration on firm innovation levels. Furthermore, it examines the evolution of GVCs from the perspectives of market forces and technological progress, thereby shedding light on the changes in firm innovation levels.
3 Theoretical Analyses
In modern business theory, technological progress and market forces are key factors driving enterprise innovation. With the rise of Industry 4.0, the external competition in the market and internal digital transformation have become important factors in the analysis of the GVC (Arenkov et al., 2019). The digital transformation of enterprises has a significant impact on deepening their participation in the GVC (Gopalan et al., 2022). This is because digital technology can disrupt the positioning and organizational methods of activities within the GVC, enabling the acquisition of additional value and promoting the enhancement of innovation levels within enterprises (Strange & Zucchella, 2017). The Industry 4.0 revolution further emphasizes digital technology as a core component (Mubarak & Petraite, 2020). Technological advancements represented by digital technology have significantly improved the production efficiency and competitiveness of firms participating in GVCs, thereby promoting their innovation progress (Frank et al., 2019).
Furthermore, there is ample evidence to show that multinational enterprises face increasing competition within the GVC, which has a significant impact on innovation. On one hand, the dependence on overseas investment reduces the competitiveness of enterprises in the global market, thereby affecting innovation and value chain upgrading (Raj-Reichert, 2020). On the other hand, market-oriented competition within the GVC leads to a decline in employment rates in the manufacturing sector with smaller polarizations, ultimately affecting innovation efficiency (Breemersch et al., 2017). Following China’s integration into the GVC, the share of overseas trade by Chinese manufacturers in global export trade has sharply increased, creating a strong import competition effect for manufacturers and subsequently altering their innovation decisions (Bloom et al., 2015). However, in recent years, influenced by changes in the global geopolitical landscape, the risks faced by enterprises in GVCs have been gradually rising. These risks can have a serious impact on trade liberalization and corporate governance, reducing enterprises’ ability to profit in the global production network and further affecting their innovation level (Anderer et al., 2020). This article summarizes the above risks for analysis under the themes of digitization and marketization.
Assume that there are
where
Based on equation (2), the consumer’s inverse demand function can be obtained:
where
Based on the production theory, the derivation of equation (4) can be obtained:
The optimal level of output is obtained at this point:
Equation (6) shows the optimal output of the vendor, and the price under optimal output is:
When the degree of marketization is further deepened, manufacturers face higher risks and lower market prices, and some of them gradually withdraw from the market at this time (Figure 1).

Elevated risk from marketization.
The profit function of the firm at the optimal level of output is:
Equation (8) indicates that when facing market-driven exogenous shocks, firms can increase profits by reducing costs. Additionally, digital technologies can effectively facilitate the transformation of traditional industry dynamics and promote collaborative innovation within the value chain (Agostini et al., 2020). Digitalization also plays a moderating role in cost adjustments (Wang & Bai, 2021). Therefore, it is important to incorporate digitalization into the analysis. We therefore further assume that the average cost of the industry is
where
Here,
The optimal innovation level can be obtained by substituting equations (8) and (9) into equation (11) and taking a first-order partial derivation of the innovation level
In equation (12), the left and right terms represent the marginal returns to innovation as well as the marginal costs of innovation.
The nonlinearity of firms’ optimal innovation level can be derived from equations (13) and (14). As the degree of GVC participation changes, firms will adjust their innovation level based on their MRI and MCI.
From the perspective of open innovation theory, GVC participation provides firms with opportunities for cross-border knowledge flows and technological collaboration, enabling them to acquire and integrate diverse external knowledge resources, thereby enhancing their innovation capabilities. From the perspective of absorptive capacity theory, GVC participation offers firms abundant opportunities for knowledge transfer; however, the extent to which these external knowledge resources can be effectively utilized depends on the firms’ absorptive capacity. Additionally, GVC participation influences innovation through two key mechanisms: first, by facilitating resource acquisition (e.g., technology, capital, and talent), which supports firms’ innovation activities; and second, by exerting competitive pressure from international markets, which drives firms to accelerate their innovation efforts. However, as the level of participation deepens, excessive reliance on GVCs may lead to technological lock-in and innovation path dependency, ultimately hindering innovation efficiency. Based on these mechanisms, we hypothesize a non-linear relationship between GVC participation and firms’ innovation levels, which will be further validated in the empirical analysis.
Hypothesis 1
Firms’ participation in GVCs can have a non-linear impact on innovation level.
The hypothesis states that the initial optimal innovation level of the firm is

The influence of digitization.
Furthermore, let’s analyze the impact of marketization on firms’ innovation levels during the process of GVC embeddedness, as shown in Figure 3. In the short term, as the level of marketization increases, firms face intense competition, leading to a decrease in innovation incentives. Consequently, the firm’s optimal innovation level decreases from

The influence of marketization.
Based on the analysis, we can formulate Hypothesis 2.
Hypothesis 2
Digitalization and marketization will influence the innovation level of firms embedded in GVCs.
4 Description of Data Sources and Variables
Due to the occurrence of the China–US trade war in 2018 and to avoid the impact of data fluctuations (Wu et al., 2021), this study analyzes data from the years 2007–2016. The data for this study were obtained from the WIND database, OECD database, China Customs database, and China Industrial Enterprise database. To ensure the integrity and validity of the sample, the following procedures are employed: firstly, exclusion of data from ST and ST* listed companies; second, exclusion of financial and real estate enterprises; third, removal of samples with missing primary variables; fourthly, conducting a 1% two-tailed trimming of continuous variables to eliminate the influence of extreme values on empirical analysis.
The specific indicators used in this study are as follows:
4.1 Measurement of GVC Participation
The GVC participation refers to the ratio of a country’s GVC value added to its gross domestic product, measuring the degree of its integration into the GVC (Ndubuisi & Owusu, 2021). Building upon the work of Wang et al. (2013), Upward et al. (2013) improved the calculation method for measuring GVC participation. This method assumes that all imported products are used as intermediate inputs, where imported goods involved in processing trade are used as intermediate inputs for exports, while the intermediate inputs imported by general trade enterprises are used proportionally for domestic sales and exports. Therefore, the formula for calculating the GVC participation is as follows:
Here, GVCPT represents GVC participation, FVA signifies foreign value-added,
4.2 Measurement of Firms’ Innovation Level
Existing studies often measure innovation using patents or R&D investment, but these indicators may not fully capture firms’ actual innovation capabilities (Buciuni & Pisano, 2021; Elshaarawy & Ezzat, 2023; Reddy et al., 2021). In this study, we utilize the DEA-BCC model to construct a measurement system for assessing the level of innovation in enterprises, aiming to better approximate their true level of innovation. Building upon the identification methods proposed by Zhong et al. (2022) and Lan et al. (2022), we establish the following evaluation system in Table 1.
System for measuring the level of innovation level
| Baseline level | Indicator level | Indicator definitions | Source of data |
|---|---|---|---|
| Input variables | Capital inputs | Investment in R&D | Annual reports of listed companies |
| Labor inputs | Number of R&D staff | ||
| Output variables | Technical performance | Number of patents | |
| Brand performance | Number of brand assets |
This measurement system comprehensively reflects the inputs and outputs of enterprise innovation by simultaneously considering multiple input and output variables. The input variables include capital and labor inputs, which fully describe the various resources required by firms in the innovation process. The output variables encompass technological performance (patent quantity) and brand performance (brand asset quantity), providing a comprehensive assessment of a firm’s technological achievements and market competitiveness. Moreover, the DEA-BCC method effectively evaluates the innovation efficiency of firms of different scales without assuming a specific form for the production function, offering high flexibility and accuracy. The representative variables of innovation levels for the listed companies in this article are derived from the DEA-BCC model calculations.
4.3 Control Variables
The control variables selected in this study include the following (Harford et al., 2008; Lee & Wang, 2021; Shefer & Frenkel, 2005):
Profitability (return): The profit margin of the enterprise for the current year.
Debt-paying ability (cash): The total amount of cash available to the enterprise for the current year.
Management power (dualposition): This variable is a dummy variable that takes a value of 1 if the chairman and CEO of the firm are the same person, and 0 otherwise.
Production scale (asset): The year-end surplus assets of the enterprise.
Employment scale (employ): The number of employees in the enterprise for the current year, as reported in the annual report.
Decision-making ability (board): The number of executives in the board of directors of the enterprise.
To address endogeneity concerns, the natural logarithm of the employment scale (employ) and production scale (asset) is taken, and the data for these variables are sourced from the CSMAR China Listed Company Enterprise Database.
To mitigate estimation bias caused by heteroscedasticity, the natural logarithm is taken for employment scale (employ) and production scale (asset). The data for these variables are sourced from the CSMAR China Listed Company Enterprise Database.
4.4 Descriptive Statistics
Table 2 presents the descriptive statistics of the main variables in this article. During the sample period, the mean value of the GVC variable is only 0.289, indicating that Chinese firms are still at a relatively low level of embeddedness in GVCs. Meanwhile, the average level of FIL is 0.131, with a standard deviation of 0.101, suggesting significant differences in innovation levels among firms and an overall low level of innovation for Chinese firms.
Descriptive statistics
| Variables | N | Mean | SD | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIL | 10,777 | 0.131 | 0.101 | 0.001 | 1.000 |
| GVCPT | 10,777 | 0.289 | 0.123 | 0.030 | 0.680 |
| ln_return | 10,777 | 0.098 | 1.554 | −11.531 | 7.229 |
| cash | 10,777 | 2.824 | 4.514 | 0.004 | 204.742 |
| dualposition | 10,777 | 0.271 | 0.445 | 0 | 1 |
| ln_employ | 10,777 | 7.725 | 1.297 | 1.609 | 13.223 |
| board | 10,777 | 8.803 | 1.866 | 2 | 21 |
| ln_asset | 10,777 | 21.977 | 1.293 | 17.277 | 29.021 |
5 Empirical Analysis
5.1 Baseline Regression
In order to examine the non-linear relationship between GVC integration and the level of firm innovation, we adopt the method proposed by Simonsohn (2018) to test the following form of basic econometric model:
Considering the potential issues of time-series and cross-sectional correlation in panel data analysis, we choose the two-way fixed effects model for analysis. In this model, we focus on the core explanatory variable, GVC participation. When both the quadratic and linear terms are significant, Hypothesis 1 is validated, indicating that GVC participation has a nonlinear impact on firms’ innovation levels.
Table 3 presents the regression results of the relationship between firm innovation level and GVC participation. Model 1 includes the control variables and the linear term of the GVC participation index, while Model 2 includes the control variables as well as both the linear and quadratic terms of the GVC participation index.
Regression results of GVC participation and firms’ innovation level
| (1) | (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| FIL | ||
| Linear | Non-linear | |
| GVCPT | −0.032660 | −1.102000*** |
| (0.02141) | (0.10558) | |
| GVCPT_2 | 1.776310*** | |
| (0.18649) | ||
| ln_return | −0.001854 | −0.001801 |
| (0.00152) | (0.00149) | |
| cash | −0.000412** | −0.000405** |
| (0.00021) | (0.00020) | |
| dualposition | −0.001501 | −0.001287 |
| (0.00236) | (0.00233) | |
| ln_employ | −0.000267 | −0.000099 |
| (0.00105) | (0.00104) | |
| board | −0.000553 | −0.000448 |
| (0.00064) | (0.00063) | |
| ln_asset | −0.024110*** | −0.024869*** |
| (0.00219) | (0.00211) | |
| Constant | 0.722478*** | 0.854252*** |
| (0.04998) | (0.05047) | |
| N | 10,777 | 10,777 |
| R 2 | 0.074 | 0.113 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols **, and *** indicate significance at the 5, and 1% levels, respectively.
The results of Model 2 indicate that the quadratic term of GVC participation is significantly associated with firm innovation levels (P < 0.01). This suggests that as firms become more deeply embedded in the GVC, their innovation levels initially decline and then increase, forming a U-shaped relationship. Hypothesis 1 is thus confirmed.
Among the control variables, firm asset size has a negative impact on firm innovation levels. This can be attributed to the fact that, as firms grow larger, they tend to adopt more cautious innovation strategies.
The research findings mentioned above are in line with some literature that suggests increased participation in GVCs does not necessarily yield innovation benefits in the short term (Fagerberg et al., 2018; Ito et al., 2023). Over a longer period of time, the knowledge spillover effect induced by participation in GVCs can lead to regional innovation growth (Piermartini & Rubínová, 2021). The model indicates that the relationship between GVC embeddedness and innovation is not a simple linear one, but rather exhibits a U-shaped trend. This finding provides a new perspective for understanding the relationship between innovation and GVC participation.
5.2 Robustness Tests
To ensure the robustness of the results and demonstrate the applicability of the U-shaped non-linear relationship between GVC integration and firm innovation level, we will conduct robustness tests in this section.
5.2.1 Replacing Explanatory Variables
Upward et al. (2013) assumed that the foreign value added in a firm’s exports originates from imported or indirectly imported intermediate inputs when calculating GVC participation. However, a portion of the domestically sourced inputs used by firms may contain foreign components. Koopman et al. (2012) estimated this share to be between 5 and 10%. In this study, we will recalculate GVC participation based on this perspective.
where
Robustness test
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koopman et al. (2012) | PatentsSum | HDFE of provinces | |||
| Linear | Non-linear | Linear | Non-linear | ||
| GVCPT_NEW | −0.005809 | −1.036766*** | |||
| (0.02285) | (0.11762) | ||||
| GVCPT_NEW_2 | 1.670100*** | ||||
| (0.19355) | |||||
| GVCPT | 456.680 | −1794.714* | −0.879*** | ||
| (418.76636) | (1025.13267) | (0.18281) | |||
| GVCPT_2 | 2833.389** | 1.699*** | |||
| (1177.70032) | (0.21140) | ||||
| Control variables | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 10,400 | 10,400 | 6,818 | 6,818 | 10,229 |
| R 2 | 0.074 | 0.098 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Province FE | NO | NO | NO | NO | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols *, **, and *** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1% levels, respectively. Due to the excessive redundancy of control variables, these variables are omitted in this table.
5.2.2 Replacing Dependent Variables
This article replaces the dependent variable of innovation level based on DEA with the total number of patents for robustness testing. While the DEA model provides a comprehensive measure of innovation efficiency, the number of patents reflects the scale of innovation output. The results of Models 3 and 4 indicate that the core conclusions of this article are once again supported.
5.2.3 High-Dimensional Fixed Effects of Provinces
Provincial fixed effects effectively control regional differences such as policy environment, market conditions, and technological development levels, which can significantly affect firm innovation levels. By incorporating fixed year and firm effects, followed by provincial fixed effects, we can further eliminate the interference of regional heterogeneity on the results, ensuring that the non-linear relationship we capture is driven by the intrinsic link between GVC participation and innovation levels, rather than regional differences. The results of Model 5 show that the high-dimensional fixed effects still confirm the core conclusions of this article.
5.2.4 U-Shaped Curve Test Based on Discontinuity Regression
To further test the U-shaped relationship, we conducted a discontinuity regression to measure the regression patterns on both sides of the turning point. The preliminary regression results indicate that
Interrupted variable from
Regression models were constructed based on the above analysis.
The results of the discontinuity regression are as follows:
Based on the regression results an image can be plotted as shown in Figure 4:

Nonlinear U-test.
The regression results in Table 5 demonstrate that the regression coefficient on the left side of the breakpoint is negative, while the regression coefficient on the right side of the breakpoint is positive. Moreover, both regression coefficients on the two sides are highly significant. This robustly confirms the U-shaped relationship (Lind & Mehlum, 2010). The overall low range of the fitted curve also confirms the relatively low level of innovation among Chinese firms.
Discontinuity regression for U-test
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| Discontinuity regression model | |
| X_high | 4.82*** |
| (0.57235) | |
| X_low | −4.821*** |
| (0.58863) | |
| High | −0.341*** |
| (0.10808) | |
| Constant | −2.523397*** |
| (−35.82) | |
| N | 10,777 |
Notes: *** denotes significance level with p < 0.01. Numbers in parentheses are standard errors.
5.3 Heterogeneity Analysis
The basic regression results indicate a non-linear relationship between GVC participation and firm innovation level, exhibiting an overall trend of initial inhibition followed by promotion. Considering the significant variations in the depth of GVC participation among firms with different characteristics, this disparity may result in different manifestations of the innovation level brought about by GVC participation across different companies. To conduct a more in-depth analysis, this study divides the sample into two levels: company characteristics and bidirectional participation in the GVC, for further subgroup analysis. The overall research logic is shown in Figure 5.

Heterogeneity analysis.
5.3.1 Forward-Backward Linkage Heterogeneity
Although direct measurement of the pre- and post-participation in the GVC of firms is currently limited due to data availability constraints, it can be indirectly estimated through the sales of intermediate and final goods. A firm participating in the GVC may have four types of participation: importing intermediate goods, exporting intermediate goods, importing final products, and exporting final products. Based on Ju and Yu (2015), two measures of value chain participation length are constructed depending on the firm’s mode of participation in the GVC. Data on intermediate and final goods trade are sourced from the China Customs database, which distinguishes trade types and import-export transactions.
The first step calculates the forward Ricardian traditional trade production participation:
where
Second, we calculate the degree of production participation in forward intermediate goods trade.
where
As a result, the forward linkage of a firm’s participation in the GVC can be obtained as the weighted average of two components.
Similarly, we can calculate the backward value chain production participation for different trade modes.
Based on this calculation method, a longer forward production chain for a firm indicates that it is further away from the final consumption stage and positioned more upstream in the value chain. Conversely, a longer backward production chain for a firm implies that it has more upstream production stages and is further away from the production end, indicating a downstream position in the value chain. By replacing the overall GVC participation of the firm with the calculated results, regression analysis can be conducted in Table 6.
GVC forward and backward participation heterogeneity test
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | FIL | |||
| GVC_fwd | 0.007874 | −1.195568*** | ||
| (0.03686) | (0.13783) | |||
| GVC_fwd2 | 4.455038*** | |||
| (0.54817) | ||||
| GVC_b | −0.142359*** | −1.801483*** | ||
| (0.04421) | (0.19853) | |||
| GVC_b2 | 5.088661*** | |||
| (0.63855) | ||||
| Control variables | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 10,777 | 10,777 | 10,777 | 10,777 |
| R 2 | 0.074 | 0.0942 | 0.076 | 0.112 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbol *** indicate significance at the 1% levels.
After conducting group regression analyses on forward and backward participation in the GVC, Models 1 and 2 indicate that the impact of forward participation on firm innovation levels exhibits a nonlinear effect, presenting a U-shaped curve. The results of Models 3 and 4 show that while the U-shaped trend for backward participation in the GVC is significant, the linear term is negatively correlated with firm innovation levels. Therefore, this article concludes that backward participation is negatively correlated with firm innovation levels.
These results indicate that in the initial stages, as firms engage in more forward activities in the GVC, their innovation level significantly decreases. However, once the firm’s forward participation reaches a certain threshold, further increasing the level of forward participation has a positive impact on innovation, promoting an increase in innovation level. This suggests that in the initial phase, firms may focus more on acquiring and applying technology and knowledge from other participants in the global supply chain. This process of technological catch-up and application may somewhat suppress the development of independent innovative capabilities. However, as firms engage more deeply in the GVC, they accumulate more knowledge and skills through collaboration and exchange with other participants. This knowledge accumulation and skill transfer provide a better foundation for subsequent-stage innovation, thereby enhancing the overall innovation level.
In contrast, backward participation in the GVC shows a significant negative linear relationship. This implies that as firms participate in more backward activities in the GVC, their innovation level may decline. Over-reliance on backward participation can lead to a lack of independent innovative capabilities and excessive dependence on the technological and knowledge inputs from other stages, thereby restricting the firm’s ability to innovate. Additionally, backward participation may involve more production and operational aspects, where firms primarily play a role in assembly and integration rather than in research and development. This also explains why backward participation is negatively correlated with innovation level.
5.3.2 Heterogeneity in the Nature of Firms
Different firm characteristics have a certain influence on firm innovation (Cohen & Klepper, 1996). Based on these differences, firms are classified into three categories: private enterprises, state-owned enterprises, and foreign-invested enterprises. The study investigates the impact of firm integration into the GVC on the innovation level. The specific results are shown in Table 7.
Tests for heterogeneity in the nature of firms
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | FIL | |||
| State-owned | Private | Foreign-invested (Linear) | Foreign-invested (Non-linear) | |
| GVCPT | −1.113220** | −0.739811** | 0.940795 | −1.959638 |
| (0.54423) | (0.33287) | (0.60034) | (1.29658) | |
| GVCPT_2 | 2.161045*** | 1.444815*** | 3.398207** | |
| (0.78520) | (0.44161) | (1.48518) | ||
| Control variables | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 3,188 | 6,823 | 313 | 313 |
| R 2 | 0.126 | 0.099 | 0.183 | 0.205 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols **, and *** indicate significance at the 5, and 1% levels, respectively. Due to the excessive redundancy of control variables, these variables are omitted in this table.
The results of Models 1−4 indicate that the U-shaped trend is once again validated in private and state-owned enterprises. However, in foreign-invested enterprises, the U-shaped trend and linear relationships are not significant. This may be because foreign-invested enterprises often undertake high-end tasks in the GVC, such as research and development, design, or brand management, while enterprises located in China may be more involved in low-end manufacturing. Therefore, the marginal benefits that foreign-invested enterprises gain from GVC participation may be small and not significantly change their innovation levels. This high starting point leads to an inconspicuous impact of GVC participation on their innovation.
Compared with state-owned enterprises, private enterprises usually face shortages of funds, technology, and policy support. Therefore, they are easily squeezed in the low-end stage of the GVC and fall into the “lock-in effect,” which is reflected on the left side of the U-shaped curve as a low point in innovation capability. On the right side of the U-shaped curve, private enterprises have strong market adaptability and flexibility and are more willing to actively carry out digital transformation and market-oriented reforms. These measures can effectively make up for the short-term negative effects of GVC participation and promote enterprises to quickly climb to high-end links.
5.3.3 Heterogeneity in Industry Intensity
There are significant differences in the innovation models, technological requirements, and market competition environments across industries. Industry intensity typically determines the role that firms play in the GVC and the nature of their innovation activities. Classifying industry intensity helps identify and analyze the different impact mechanisms of GVC participation on innovation in industries with varying levels of intensity.
The results of the Table 8 show a U-shaped trend in technology-intensive industries, insignificant linear and nonlinear relationships in capital-intensive industries, and a significant positive linear relationship in labor-intensive industries. The reasons for these patterns may be as follows:
Tests for heterogeneity in industry intensity
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | FIL | ||||
| Technology-intensive | Capital-intensive | Labor-intensive | |||
| Linear | Non-linear | Linear | Non-linear | ||
| GVCPT | −1.325313*** | 0.448160 | −0.217398 | 0.467818** | −0.433021 |
| (0.34197) | (0.27572) | (1.04006) | (0.21564) | (0.64172) | |
| GVCPT_2 | 2.302760*** | 0.787167 | 1.256628 | ||
| (0.47168) | (1.38053) | (1.01685) | |||
| Control variables | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 5,823 | 1,830 | 1,830 | 3,060 | 3,060 |
| R 2 | 0.111 | 0.118 | 0.119 | 0.089 | 0.091 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols **, and *** indicate significance at the 5, and 1% levels, respectively. Due to the excessive redundancy of control variables, these variables are omitted in this table.
First, technology-intensive industries rely on high-tech and knowledge-intensive innovation processes. Initially, low GVC participation may limit firms’ access to external advanced technologies and knowledge. However, as GVC integration deepens, firms can gain more opportunities for cross-border technology collaboration and knowledge transfer, leading to improved innovation levels. Hence, the relationship in these industries is U-shaped.
Second, in capital-intensive industries, innovation is mainly driven by capital expansion and production capacity rather than external technological or knowledge inputs. GVC participation may have a smaller direct impact on innovation, or the innovation path in these industries is constrained by changes in capital equipment and production methods, which fails to show a distinct nonlinear trend.
Lastly, in labor-intensive industries, innovation mainly focuses on improving production processes, cost control, and management efficiency. GVC participation provides greater market demand and resource acquisition opportunities, promoting continuous investment and improvement in innovation, which leads to a sustained positive relationship.
6 Impact Mechanism Analysis
6.1 Theoretical Mechanisms Identification
The analysis of the above sections indicates that deep integration of enterprises into the GVC has a nonlinear impact on innovation levels, and this effect exhibits significant heterogeneity due to the different degrees of pre- and post-participation and the nature of the enterprises. In this section, in order to examine the channels through which the GVC integration affects the innovation levels of enterprises, the analysis framework incorporates two channels: digitalization and marketization, to analyze the mechanisms that lead to the nonlinear relationship. According to Hypothesis 2, the transmission mechanism is illustrated in Figure 6.

Intermediate channeling mechanism.
Digitalization entails significant transformation costs in the early stages. Additionally, when enterprises participate in the GVC, they face intense market competition, which can lead to a decline in innovation levels. However, the formation of economies of scale and the spillover effects brought about by later-stage digital dividends provide positive innovation impetus for enterprises, thereby enhancing innovation levels. Therefore, this study further analyzes the mechanisms through which marketization and digitalization affect the innovation levels of enterprises participating in the GVC.
6.1.1 Digitization Mechanisms
The deep integration of the digital economy and the traditional economy makes it difficult to measure the scale and degree of digitalization in the digital economy, and there are also controversies regarding various viewpoints (Ragnedda et al., 2020). In this study, text analysis and machine learning methods are employed to construct a digitalization index based on corporate annual reports, aiming to overcome the limitations of existing measures of corporate digitalization.
First, based on highly digitized corporate annual reports and digital literature, keywords are extracted using a comprehensive consideration of the common features of words. High-frequency words are then selected as the digitalization lexicon. This approach ensures that the index measurement is not influenced by sample data. After extracting the literature and annual reports, the total word frequency of all company annual reports is further extracted. After standardization, the digitalization index, referred to as Digital, can be obtained.
6.1.2 Marketization Mechanisms
The indicators used to measure the degree of marketization of enterprises in the international market exhibit diversity, but revenue from operations is considered the most effective measure of market competitiveness for enterprises (Hou et al., 2021). Overseas market profits reflect a company’s performance and competitiveness in the international market. High overseas market profits indicate that the company’s products are attractive in the global market, meeting the needs of different countries and regions, thereby enhancing its competitive position in GVCs. Therefore, this study selects the overseas business revenue of enterprises in the CSMAR database for the current year to reflect the level of marketization within the GVC.
6.2 Theoretical Mechanism Test
Based on theoretical analysis, it is known that when enterprises participate in the GVC, they enter market-oriented competition and undergo digital transformation.
When analyzing the mediating effect of nonlinear relationships, the general purpose is to explain how the nonlinear effect of the explanatory variable on the dependent variable is generated. It is necessary to discuss the linear relationships between the mediating variable and the explanatory variable and the dependent variable (Sui et al., 2016). First, firms’ participation in the GVC brings more international market opportunities and resource integration capabilities, and the increased international experience helps to enhance the market competitiveness of firms, and this impact steadily grows with the degree of participation. This degree of participation and the growth of market power may show a linear relationship. Second, as GVC participation increases, firms must cope with more complex cross-border business operation demands, such as supply chain management, data sharing, and communication collaboration. Therefore, the motivation for digital transformation also strengthens with the degree of participation. This demand usually increases linearly because there is a direct correspondence between complexity and data processing capabilities. Therefore, it can be assumed that there is a linear relationship between the explanatory variable and the mediating variable.
There is a nonlinear relationship between the mediating variable and the dependent variable FIL, because: First, according to the transaction cost theory, in the low-level marketization stage, the increase in overseas business revenue may be mainly used for simple expansion (such as low-cost expansion of market share), and its promoting effect on enterprise innovation is limited. When marketization reaches a certain level, firms will pay more attention to enhancing core competitiveness, such as improving added value through innovation, and at this time, the innovation level increases significantly. Second, digital transformation improves the information processing ability and production efficiency of enterprises, but its direct contribution to innovation may be relatively small. As the level of digitalization increases, enterprises can more effectively use big data, artificial intelligence, and other technologies for research and development and business model innovation, and at this time, the innovation effect shows accelerated growth. Based on the research of Hayes (2013), a nonlinear mediation model is constructed by incorporating polynomial terms of the variables related to enterprise digitalization and marketization into the equation.
Digitalization of firms in GVCs:
Marketization of firms in GVCs:
In the model,
Table 9 shows the result. First, focusing on Models 1–3, the non-linear relationship in Model 3 is not significant; thus, we applied the Bootstrap method for verification. The results indicate a confidence interval of [0.0057, 0.0458], which does not include zero. Furthermore, as the GVCPT variable in Model 3 is not significant, we can infer that digitalization exhibits a complete mediating effect.
Intermediation effects analysis
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Digitization | Marketization | ||||
| FIL | Digital | FIL | FIL | ln_aboard | FIL | |
| GVCPT | −1.112056*** | 0.026297*** | 0.033437 | −1.480426* | 0.583638 | 0.574016** |
| (0.10662) | (0.00470) | (0.02273) | (0.78822) | (1.72133) | (−1.49) | |
| GVCPT_2 | 1.794296*** | 2.968902** | ||||
| (0.18805) | (1.24549) | |||||
| Digital | −0.353346** | |||||
| (0.15100) | ||||||
| Digital_2 | 1.255065 | |||||
| (1.02082) | ||||||
| ln_aboard | −0.077929* | |||||
| (0.04044) | ||||||
| ln_aboard_2 | 0.002044* | |||||
| (0.00108) | ||||||
| CV | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| N | 10,657 | 10,657 | 10,657 | 2,237 | 2,237 | 2,237 |
| R 2 | 0.103 | 0.155 | 0.079 | 0.116 | 0.313 | 0.097 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
Note: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols *, **, and *** indicate significance at the 10, 5, and 1% levels, respectively. Due to the excessive redundancy of control variables, these variables are omitted in this table.
Next, examining Models 4–6, since the non-linear relationship in Model 5 is also not significant, we again used the Bootstrap method to verify the confidence interval. The results show a confidence interval of [0.0066, 0.2016], which does not include zero. However, as Model 6 reports a significant GVCPT value, we can infer that marketization represents a significant partial mediating effect.
The coefficients
The results of Models 1–6 demonstrate that digitalization and marketization are the mechanisms through which enterprises embedded in the GVC influence their innovation levels. On one hand, in the early stages, intensified market competition and factors such as decreased overseas market revenue may lead to some enterprises gradually exiting the market, along with increased costs due to the influence of digital transformation, resulting in a decrease in the innovation level of enterprises. On the other hand, after the exit of enterprises without a low-cost advantage and the completion of digital transformation, the innovation level of enterprises shows an enhanced trend.
7 Endogeneity Test
Due to the high likelihood of endogeneity issues in the nonlinear U-shaped curve, it is challenging to find new instrumental variables that satisfy both exogeneity and relevance. However, in order to mitigate estimation biases caused by omitted variables or reverse causality, this study employs different estimation methods to address the endogeneity issue. Given that the innovation of firms in the GVC may not have an immediate effect and exhibits time lags, the lagged value of GVC participation is chosen as an instrumental variable. This variable represents that a firm’s GVC participation in the previous year may impact the innovation level in the following year. Furthermore, to further correct for unobserved individual heterogeneity, omitted variable bias, measurement errors, and potential endogeneity issues, the system GMM method is used for estimation. In the case of limited samples, the standard errors of the two-step system GMM show a significant decrease, hence this study adopts the two-step system GMM to estimate the lagged one-period and two-period dependent variables.
The relevance test indicates that the lagged one-period GVC participation meets the instrumental variable conditions. Moreover, conducting overidentification and weak instrument tests on this instrumental variable shows a P-value of 0.00 for the overidentification test, and the weak instrument test confirms the rationality of the instrumental variable selection. Continuing with the estimation using the two-step system GMM method, including the lagged dependent variables, the core variables remain significant and exhibit a U-shaped relationship. The tests for Models 2 and 3 in Table 10 reject the hypothesis of second-order autocorrelation, and the Hansen test results indicate the effectiveness of the instrumental variables. The endogeneity test results demonstrate that the relationship between GVC embeddedness and firm innovation level still follows a U-shaped pattern, confirming the robustness of the results.
Endogeneity test
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | 2SLS | Two-step SYS-GMM | |
| Lag one period | FIL1 it | FIL2 it | |
| L.FIL | 0.127128*** | 0.090165*** | |
| (11.72) | (3.12) | ||
| L2.FIL | 0.045559** | ||
| (2.15) | |||
| GVCPT | −1.046736*** | −0.358227*** | −0.326347*** |
| (−3.59) | (−4.84) | (−3.05) | |
| GVCPT_2 | 1.578832*** | 0.562659*** | 0.506171*** |
| (4.01) | (4.81) | (2.76) | |
| Control variables | YES | YES | YES |
| LM test | 1676.914*** | ||
| [0.00] | |||
| Wald test | 1085.681 | ||
| {7.03} | |||
| AR(1) | −12.16 | −10.43 | |
| [0.00] | [0.00] | ||
| AR(2) | 1.00 | 0.97 | |
| [0.31] | [0.33] | ||
| Hansen test | 79.62 | 44.53 | |
| [0.27] | [0.13] | ||
| N | 9,177 | 9,577 | 7,063 |
| Firm FE | YES | YES | YES |
| Year FE | YES | YES | YES |
Notes: The values in parentheses are the robust standard errors. The symbols *** indicate significance at the 1% levels. Due to the excessive redundancy of control variables, these variables are omitted in this table. The p-value of the overidentification test is denoted as [], and the critical value at the 10% level in the Stock-Yogo test is represented as {}.
8 Conclusion and Recommendations
This study uses data from Chinese listed companies from 2007 to 2016 as a sample to examine the impact of GVC integration on firm innovation levels from a division of labor perspective. The main conclusions of this study are as follows:
First, as firms’ participation in the GVC increases, firm innovation levels exhibit a “U”-shaped trend, initially decreasing and then increasing. The novelty of this article lies in integrating the “low-end lock-in effect” and “knowledge spillover effect” perspectives from the existing literature. These results remain robust even after changing estimation methods, incorporating discontinuity regressions, and using instrumental variables. From an empirical perspective, this study confirms the multifaceted nature of innovation, demonstrating that innovation within GVCs is not solely characterized by lock-in effects or knowledge spillovers. This aligns with certain existing viewpoints in the literature (Buciuni & Pisano, 2021; Choi et al., 2019).
Second, based on different modes of firm participation, this study decomposes the forward and backward linkages of firms, following the approach proposed by Ju and Yu (2015). The study also examines the heterogeneity of the impact of forward and backward participation on firm innovation levels based on firm characteristics. The results show that the impact of forward GVC participation on firm innovation levels exhibits a nonlinear effect, following a U-shaped pattern. In contrast, backward GVC participation shows a significant negative linear relationship with firm innovation levels. The heterogeneity analysis in this study confirms the conclusions of Ito et al. (2023). Moreover, due to the maturity of multinational networks and the low-end tasks undertaken by foreign-invested enterprises in China, the U-shaped relationship is not observed among foreign-invested enterprises. In contrast, a U-shaped relationship in innovation levels is evident among state-owned and private enterprises, with the U-shaped pattern being more pronounced in state-owned enterprises.
Third, marketization and digitization significantly influence firm innovation levels when firms are embedded in the GVC, and both exhibit a nonlinear U-shaped relationship. Marketization, through increased competition, and the costs associated with digitization inhibit firm innovation initially. However, the scale effects resulting from later marketization and the benefits derived from digitization enhance firm innovation levels. In the overall transmission mechanism, the marketization effect is more pronounced than the digitization effect.
Based on the conclusions of this study, the following recommendations are proposed:
First, firms should actively participate in the GVC. In the early stages of GVC integration, firms should seek to establish partnerships to achieve resource sharing and collaborative innovation. By leveraging the technological expertise and experience of partners, firms can pursue high-level technological cooperation to accelerate the innovation process and enhance their innovation levels. As firms become more deeply embedded in the GVC, they should actively establish partnerships with other firms to further promote resource sharing and collaborative innovation.
Second, firms should actively strengthen their cooperation with upstream suppliers, technology partners, and research and development institutions to enhance forward participation. This helps firms gain access to the latest technologies and market information, providing more resources and opportunities for their innovation activities. Although backward GVC participation shows a negative linear relationship with firm innovation levels, it does not imply complete disengagement from the backward linkages. On the contrary, firms should actively participate in the backward linkages, but with a greater focus on supply chain management and control. Optimizing supply chain management can improve efficiency and quality, reduce unnecessary costs, and provide more resources for innovation.
Finally, in the early stages when innovation levels are suppressed, firms should focus on enhancing their competitiveness and cost-effectiveness. By reducing costs, improving efficiency, and offering more competitive products and services, firms can strengthen their position within the GVC. As firms become more integrated into the GVC, scale and income effects will emerge in the later stages. Firms should leverage these effects to further enhance their innovation levels. By expanding scale, improving resource allocation, and optimizing supply chains, firms can achieve higher levels of innovation and growth. Governments, through policy guidance and resource allocation, should encourage firms to increase R&D investment, drive technological innovation, and support industrial upgrading. Firmly implementing an innovation-driven development strategy, building open and cooperative global networks, and formulating differentiated policies to support enterprises of different natures are essential. Additionally, optimizing industrial and supply chains, strengthening risk management, enhancing industrial chain synergy, and promoting digital transformation are critical. At the same time, strengthening international exchanges and cooperation, participating in global governance, and contributing to the creation of a more equitable and reasonable international economic order should be prioritized.
However, this article still has certain limitations. Due to the availability of data, the research period does not cover the most recent years. The study requires data on firms’ intermediate goods purchases and processing conditions, which need to be merged and cleaned with firm-level data. However, the Industrial Enterprise Database has not been updated to the latest year, so the data selected for this study are from Chinese listed companies from 2007 to 2016. As a result, there may be issues with data updates. Additionally, due to the limitations of the database in accurately tracking each firm’s intermediate and final outputs, the decomposition method used to analyze firms’ backward and forward linkages may lead to potential issues of double counting.
Future research could extend to other countries and emerging economies. For example, in India, GVC participation is primarily focused on information technology and service outsourcing. The innovation level of firms in India may exhibit a nonlinear U-shaped relationship, as initially low participation could limit the absorption of external knowledge, but with deeper GVC integration, innovation capabilities are enhanced. In Brazil, as a resource-driven economy, the innovation effects of GVC participation may present a more stable nonlinear relationship, with excessive reliance on resource-based and low-tech external collaborations possibly having a limited effect on innovation. In South Africa, where there are fewer technology-intensive industries, innovation may follow a positive nonlinear relationship with GVC participation, with innovation capabilities gradually improving as foreign investment and technology transfer accelerate. Also, we can test the heterogeneity of the nonlinear relationship between GVC participation and innovation across different economies. This would further deepen our understanding of the mechanisms behind nonlinear relationships and provide targeted policy recommendations for countries at different stages of development and with varying economic structures, thereby fostering innovation and economic development globally.
Acknowledgments
Thanks go to the anonymous reviewers and editors of Economics for their meticulous comments and suggestions that helped refine the final version of this thesis.
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Funding information: This research was supported by the Major Project of National Social Science Fund of China (22&ZD097) and the Humanities and Social Science Fund of the Ministry of Education of China (20YJA790056).
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Author contributions: All authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript and consented to its submission to the journal. Both authors reviewed and approved the final version of the article. SW was responsible for data curation, formal analysis, and drafting the original manuscript. RN (Corresponding Author) oversaw funding acquisition and provided supervision.
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Conflict of interest: Authors state no conflict of interest.
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Data availability statement: The datasets generated and analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Article note: As part of the open assessment, reviews and the original submission are available as supplementary files on our website.
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