Respiratory function monitoring during early resuscitation and prediction of outcomes in prematurely born infants
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Shannon Gunawardana
, Fahad M.S. Arattu Thodika, Vadivelam Murthy
, Prashanth Bhat , Emma E. Williams, Theodore Dassios
, Anthony D. Milner and Anne Greenough
Abstract
Objectives
Over the last decade, there has been increased use of end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO2) and oxygen saturation (SpO2) monitoring during resuscitation of prematurely born infants in the delivery suite. Our objectives were to test the hypotheses that low end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO2) levels, low oxygen saturations (SpO2) and high expiratory tidal volumes (VTE) during the early stages of resuscitation would be associated with adverse outcomes in preterm infants.
Methods
Respiratory recordings made in the first 10 min of resuscitation in the delivery suite of 60 infants, median GA 27 (interquartile range 25–29) weeks were analysed. The results were compared of infants who did or did not die or did or did not develop intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) or bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD).
Results
Twenty-five infants (42%) developed an ICH and 23 (47%) BPD; 11 (18%) died. ETCO2 at approximately 5 min after birth was lower in infants who developed an ICH, this remained significant after adjusting for gestational age, coagulopathy and chorioamnionitis (p=0.03). ETCO2 levels were lower in infants who developed ICH or died compared to those that survived without ICH, which remained significant after adjustment for gestational age, Apgar score at 10 min, chorioamnionitis and coagulopathy (p=0.004). SpO2 at approximately 5 min was lower in the infants who died compared to those who survived which remained significant after adjusting for the 5-min Apgar score and chorioamnionitis (p=0.021).
Conclusions
ETCO2 and SpO2 levels during early resuscitation in the delivery suite were associated with adverse outcomes.
Introduction
Over the last decade, there has been increased use of end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO2) and oxygen saturation (SpO2) monitoring [1] during resuscitation of prematurely born infants in the delivery suite This has demonstrated that preterm infants who develop an intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) had lower and more variable ETCO2 levels than infants who do not develop an ICH during resuscitation [2, 3]. Increasing ETCO2 levels indicates pulmonary vasodilation has occurred and thus low levels may indicate a more compromised infant with poorer adaptation. Holte et al. showed that higher and faster rising ETCO2 levels were associated with improved survival. Achieving adequate ETCO2, however, must be carefully balanced alongside the risks of high VTE which is associated with higher expired CO2 [4], as potentially high VTEs could increase the risk of BPD [5]. Furthermore, in one study, preterm infants who developed an ICH received more inflations in the delivery suite with a higher expired tidal volume (VTE) [3]. The 2015 International Consensus for Newborn Resuscitation stated that more work is needed to define the role of ETCO2 monitoring in neonatal resuscitation [6].
The TO2RPIDO study, which compared two year outcomes of infants born at less than 32 weeks of GA who were resuscitated with FiO2 of 0.21 or 1.0, was prematurely terminated due to a lack of equipoise for the use of 100% oxygen. A post hoc analysis demonstrated higher mortality in the infants born at less than 28 weeks of gestation who were ventilated in air [7]. Earlier studies reported prolonged cerebral vasoconstriction [8], more BPD at discharge and increased requirements of oxygen supplementation and mechanical ventilation [9] in premature infants resuscitated with 80–90% FiO2. The increase in BPD, however, was not confirmed in a subsequent meta-analysis [8]. The 2021 Resuscitation Council (UK) guidelines recommend low inspired oxygen (FiO2 0.21–0.3) for infants born between 28 and 32 weeks of GA, increasing to an FiO2 of 0.3 for infants born at less than 28 weeks of GA [9]. A post hoc analysis demonstrated that infants born at less than 32 weeks of GA who did not achieve a SpO2 of 80% by 5 min after birth were more likely to die or develop neurodevelopmental impairment [10]. A meta-analysis of eight studies demonstrated an increase in death or severe ICH in such infants [11] and this was recently confirmed by Katheria et al. [12].
The aim of this study, therefore, was to test the hypotheses that low ETCO2, low SpO2 and high VTE levels during early resuscitation in the delivery suite would be associated with increased mortality and ICH or BPD development in prematurely born infants.
Materials and methods
Resuscitation recordings in the delivery suite from infants born at less than 34 weeks of GA were retrospectively reviewed. Ethical approval was given by the Outer London Ethics Committee for the data collection. The committee required parental consent only for analysis of the data, which was obtained once the mother was transferred to the postnatal ward.
Resuscitation protocol
The details of the resuscitation protocol and monitoring methodology have previously been described [2, 3]. The clinicians providing resuscitation in the delivery suite had been trained in and had received the Resuscitation Council (UK) Newborn Life Support provider certificate. The clinicians were also trained to operate the respiratory function monitor for study purposes. During resuscitation, the monitor displayed ETCO2, VTE, flow and inflation pressure.
Resuscitation monitoring
Analysis was performed of traces made when the infants were approximately 5 min of age. The peak inspiratory pressure (PIP), mean airway pressure (MAP), pulse, SpO2 and ETCO2 were determined. Resuscitation traces were not analysed if there was a leak greater than 30% or if there were unsuitable tidal volume recordings, that is the volumes were less than 2 mL/kg.
Outcomes
The medical records were examined to determine which infants developed an ICH, as diagnosed by cranial ultrasound or BPD, defined as supplementary oxygen beyond 36 weeks corrected GA and which infants died during admission. As per local policy, cranial ultrasound examinations (scans) were performed on day one, day 3, between days 7 and 10, days 14 and 21 and days 28 and 30. All scans were reported by a neonatal consultant. Other data extracted included GA, birth weight, Apgar scores at 5 and 10 min, use of antenatal corticosteroids and magnesium sulphate, chorioamnionitis, antepartum haemorrhage, admission temperature (defined as low if less than 36.5 °C) and coagulopathy.
Analysis
The data were tested for normality and found not to be normally distributed. Differences, therefore, were assessed for statistical significance using the Mann-Whitney U test or chi-square test. Regression analysis was performed to determine if results remained statistically significant after correcting for differences in factors which were significantly different at the 5% level on unvariate analysis. Receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC) were calculated and the area under the ROC (AUROC) determined. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS Statistics software V28.
Results
During the study period 370 infants were born less than 34 weeks of gestational age. There were recordings available from 150 infants for analysis, 56 had recordings of tidal volume or ETCO2 traces which were unsuitable for analysis, a further 24 were excluded due to a large leak and a further 10 excluded for a lack of interpretable data at 5 min. The outcomes of the ten infants were as follows: one had an ICH and died, three developed an ICH and BPD, two developed BPD and four developed an ICH. The remaining 60 infants’ traces were analysed. The infants had a median gestational age of 27 + 2 (interquartile range (IQR) 25 + 1–29 + 0) weeks and a birth weight of 0.92 (IQR 0.77–1.19) kg.
Eleven of the 60 infants (18%) did not survive to discharge. Those who died had a lower Apgar score at 5 min (p=0.048) and were more likely to be born to mothers with chorioamnionitis (p=0.034) (Table 1). The SpO2 at 5 min was lower in the infants who died than those who survived (p<0.001), which remained statistically significant after adjusting for the 5-min Apgar score and chorioamnionitis (p=0.021). The AUROC was 0.859 (Figure 1), with an SpO2 of less than 47.75% having a sensitivity of 89% and specificity of 75% in predicting mortality. There were no significant differences in PIP, MAP, ETCO2 or VTE levels at 5 min in the infants who did and did not survive to discharge (Table 1).
Comparison of infants who did or did not survive to discharge. Data are demonstrated as median and IQR.
| Dead (n=11) | Alive (n=49) | p-Value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gestational age (GA), weeks | 27.7 (25.7–29.1) | 27.7 (25.7–29.1) | 0.091 |
| Birth weight (BW), grams | 678 (600–1,130) | 930 (826–1,195) | 0.221 |
| Apgar 5 min | 5 (3–7) | 7 (5–8) | 0.048 |
| Apgar 10 min | 7 (5–9) | 9 (7–10) | 0.06 |
| Antenatal steroids (ANS) (%) | 6 (54.5%) | 37 (75.5%) | 0.163 |
| Antenatal magnesium sulphate (AN MgSO4) (%) | 0 (0%) | 5 (10.4%) | 0.263 |
| Chorioamnionitis (%) | 5 (45.5%) | 8 (16.3%) | 0.034 |
| Antepartum haemorrhage (APH) (%) | 2 (18.2%) | 11 (22.9%) | 0.733 |
| Low admission temperature (%) | 5 (50%) | 21 (42.9%) | 0.678 |
| Coagulation deranged (%) | 6 (60%) | 24 (50%) | 0.565 |
| Positive inspiratory pressure (PIP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 27.3 (23.8–33.4) | 24.3 (20.5–27.8) | 0.108 |
| Mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 14.9 (11.1–16.8) | 12.7 (11.4–16.1) | 0.770 |
| Pulse at 5 min, beats/minute | 114 (84.9–141) | 147.8 (99.5–168) | 0.079 |
| Oxygen saturations (SpO2) at 5 min (%) | 42.8 (20.6–72.5) | 84 (69–95.0) | <0.001 |
| End tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) at 5 min, mmHg | 22.3 (18.7–38.3) | 35.1 (28.9–49.5) | 0.056 |
| Expiratory tidal volumes (VTE) at 5 min, mL/kg | 3.83 (1.29–9.79) | 6.51 (3.21–10.2) | 0.181 |

ROC analysis of mortality and oxygen saturation levels.
Cranial ultrasound examinations demonstrated that 25 of the 59 infants (42.4%) had an ICH. One infant died during resuscitation and did not have an admission cranial ultrasound. ETCO2 levels at 5 min were lower in the infants that developed an ICH (28.5 mmHg, IQR: 17.3–34.7 mmHg) than those who did not (43.1 mmHg, IQR: 29.9–53.4 mmHg) (Table 2). This remained significant after adjusting for gestational age, coagulopathy and chorioamnionitis (p=0.03). ETCO2 levels were lower in infants that developed ICH or died (27.8 mmHg, IQR: 17.8–34.5 mmHg) compared to those that survived without ICH (43.5 mmHg, IQR: 31.6–54.4 mmHg). This remained significant after adjustment for gestational age, Apgar score at 10 min, chorioamnionitis and coagulopathy (p=0.004). The AUROC was 0.767 (Figure 2) with an EtCO2 of less than 33 mmHg having a sensitivity of 73% and specificity of 64% in predicting ICH. The only significant difference between the infants who developed severe ICH (grade three or four) and those who developed less severe ICH was in the 5 min Apgar scores (Supplementary Table).
Comparison of infants who did or did not develop an ICH. Data are demonstrated as median and IQR.
| ICH yes (n=25) | ICH No (n=34) | p-Value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gestational age (GA), weeks | 26.9 (24.5–28.4) | 28 (26.2–29.7) | 0.019 |
| Birth weight (BW), grams | 855 (661–1,100) | 1,007 (853–1,330) | 0.026 |
| Apgar 5 min | 7 (5–8) | 6.5 (5–8) | 0.549 |
| Apgar 10 min | 8 (6–9) | 9 (7–10) | 0.132 |
| Antenatal steroids (ANS) (%) | 19 (76%) | 24 (70.6%) | 0.644 |
| Antenatal magnesium sulphate (AN MgSO4) (%) | 1 (4%) | 4 (12.1%) | 0.275 |
| Chorioamnionitis (%) | 9 (36%) | 4 (11.8%) | 0.026 |
| Antepartum haemorrhage (APH) (%) | 7 (28%) | 6 (18.2%) | 0.375 |
| Low admission temperature (%) | 13 (52%) | 13 (38.2%) | 0.293 |
| Coagulation deranged (%) | 17 (68%) | 13 (39.4%) | 0.031 |
| Positive inspiratory pressure (PIP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 23 (16.5–29.) | 25.7 (22.3–28.2) | 0.228 |
| Mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 13.1 (9.4–16.3) | 14.9 (12.1–162) | 0.153 |
| Pulse at 5 min, beats/minute | 146 (120–168) | 142 (76.9–162) | 0.368 |
| Oxygen saturations (SpO2) at 5 min (%) | 84.3 (67.9–93.9) | 76.5 (47.4–93.6) | 0.353 |
| End tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) at 5 min, mmHg | 28.5 (17.3–34.7) | 43.1 (29.9–53.4) | 0.002 |
| Expiratory tidal volumes (VTE) at 5 min, mL/kg | 5.35 (2.41–9.58) | 6.51 (3.39–10.3) | 0.336 |
Comparison of infants who did or did not develop BPD. Data are demonstrated as median and IQR.
| BPD yes (n=23) | BPD no (n=26) | p-Value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gestational age (GA), weeks | 26 (24.7–27.4) | 29 (27.6–27.4) | <0.001 |
| Birth weight (BW), grams | 856 (732–980) | 856 (732–980) | <0.001 |
| Apgar 5 min | 7 (5–8) | 7 (5–8.25) | 0.707 |
| Apgar 10 min | 9 (7–10) | 9 (7.75–10) | 0.593 |
| Antenatal steroids (ANS) (%) | 17 (73.9%) | 20 (76.9%) | 0.807 |
| Antenatal magnesium sulphate (AN MgSO4) (%) | 2 (8.7%) | 3 (12%) | 0.708 |
| Chorioamnionitis (%) | 4 (17.4%) | 4 (15.4%) | 0.850 |
| Antepartum haemorrhage (APH) (%) | 7 (30.4%) | 5 (20%) | 0.404 |
| Low admission temperature (%) | 9 (39.1%) | 13 (50%) | 0.445 |
| Coagulation deranged (%) | 13 (59.1%) | 11 (42.3%) | 0.247 |
| Positive inspiratory pressure (PIP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 25.8 (22.3–29.0) | 24.1 (19.4–27.3) | 0.326 |
| Mean arterial pressure (MAP) at 5 min, cmH2O | 13.1 (11.3–16.6) | 14.5 (10.9–15.6) | 0.975 |
| Pulse at 5 min, beats/minute | 144.25 (91.4–164) | 154 (116–178) | 0.577 |
| Oxygen saturations (SpO2) at 5 min (%) | 81.5 (69.0–88.5) | 85.3 (66.4–95) | 0.419 |
| End tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) at 5 min, mmHg | 34.5 (28.5–46.5) | 35.3 (28.4–50.3) | 0.812 |
| Expiratory tidal volumes (VTE) at 5 min, mL/kg | 7.02 (2.93–10.6) | 6.51 (3.29–10.5) | 0.811 |

ROC analysis of ICH development and ETCO2 levels.
BPD was diagnosed in 23 of the 49 infants (46.9%) alive at 36 weeks gestational age. There were no significant associations of any of the respiratory function results and BPD development (Table 3).
Discussion
We have demonstrated that at 5 min of resuscitation in premature infants, a lower SpO2 was associated with increased mortality and a lower ETCO2 with an increased incidence of ICH. At 5 min, the SpO2 was 42.8% in those that died an 84% in those who survived to discharge. In a cohort of 160 preterm infants (median GA 33 weeks), the median SpO2 at 5 min was 86% (IQR: 80–92%) [13]. Our cohort, however, were of lower GA (median GA 27 + 2 weeks). Indeed, there is a paucity of reference values of SpO2 levels in extremely preterm infants. Our findings are in keeping with previous work that demonstrated an association of a low SpO2 with the composite outcome of death or severe ICH [12]. A systematic review and meta-analysis of eight randomised controlled trials found no significant differences in death, ICH or BPD in infants who received a low (0.3) compared with high (0.6) fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) at delivery [8], but a lower mortality was noted in the high oxygen arm of unmasked studies (8 vs. 15.7%, p=0.04). Gandhi et al. evaluated a visual oxygen saturation target monitor and found that preterm infants resuscitated with the target system had SpO2 values maintained in the target range for longer than infants resuscitated without the monitor [14].
We also observed that low ETCO2 levels at 5 min after birth were associated with increased ICH development. Immediately after birth, carbon dioxide elimination only occurs if there is effective ventilation of the lungs and associated vasodilation of the pulmonary vascular bed. In the absence of pulmonary vasodilation only 10% of the cardiac output is available to perfuse the lungs greatly restricting the delivery of carbon dioxide to the lungs. Thus, assessment of ETCO2 levels could be used to indicate that pulmonary vasodilation had occurred during resuscitation. Low ETCO2 levels then may indicate a more compromised infant with poorer adaptation [15]. Currently the Resus Council (UK) guidelines specify detection of exhaled CO2 only to ensure correct tube placement when undertaking intubation [9].
We did not detect a significant association between ETCO2 levels and the development of BPD. A study from the post antenatal corticosteroid and postnatal surfactant era, in which blood gases within the first hour of birth were recorded in infants less than 33 weeks of GA, also did not detect a significant association between hypo- or hyper-carbia with BPD [16]. We also did not detect any significant associations of higher VTE levels with poorer outcomes. Mian et al. assessed the tidal volumes given in the delivery room during the resuscitation of infants born at less than 29 weeks of GA. The found a greater proportion of infants who developed an ICH (51 vs. 13%, p=0.008) had received high tidal volumes (greater than 6 ml/kg) [17]. We however, measured expired tidal volumes, rather than the delivered tidal volumes assessed by the Mian group. A randomised controlled trial that used a respiratory function monitor, either masked or visible, showed significantly less excessive tidal volumes in the group with a visible monitor during the resuscitation of preterm infants [18]. Of note, however, a larger unmasked multicentre trial found no significant difference in tidal volumes when a respiratory function monitor was used [19].
This study has strengths and some limitation. To our knowledge this is the first study to evaluate morbidity and mortality outcomes related to ETCO2 and VTE at 5 min of age in preterm infants. We did not find any significant differences in the results of the respiratory function monitoring between infants with different grades of ICH which may reflect the relatively small sample size, but we did see significant differences between those who did an did not develop an ICH. Although the data were analysed retrospectively, the respiratory function monitoring were analysed independently of knowledge of outcomes. Some traces were excluded from the analysis because 5 min of recording was not achieved. This could skew our results by removing infants with adverse outcomes, in whom recording might have not been completed because of challenging resuscitations. Our results, however, would then be underestimating the effect size. It should be noted that our study did not have access to the FiO2 data at the time of resuscitation, but we did continuously record oxygen saturation levels.
In conclusion, at 5 min of resuscitation in premature infants, a low SpO2 was significantly associated with increased mortality and a low ETCO2 with increased ICH development. The results suggest that those more compromised and with poorer adaptation as indicated by low oxygen saturations and low ETCO2 levels, likely reflecting delayed pulmonary vasodilation, during early resuscitation were more likely to die or develop an ICH.
Funding source: Charles Wolfson Charitable Trust
Award Identifier / Grant number: N/A
Funding source: SLE
Award Identifier / Grant number: N/A
Acknowledgments
We are extremely grateful to Professor Anthony Milner who set up respiratory function monitoring in the delivery suite and lead this area of research at KCH with his wife Professor Anne Greenough. Sadly, he died last year. We thank Mrs Deirdre Gibbons for secretarial assistance.
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Research funding: EW was supported by the Charles Wolfson Charitable Trust and additionally by SLE. PB and VM were also supported by the Charles Wolfson Charitable Trust.
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Author contributions: SG analysed the data and wrote the first draft of the manuscript; FS analysed the data and contributed to writing the manuscript; VM and PB collected the data; EW collected the data and assisted analysis of the data; TD supervised analysis of the data; AG designed the study and supervised analysis of the data; ADM designed the studies which generated resuscitation recordings. All authors were involved in the production of the manuscript and approved the final version.
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Competing interests: Authors state no conflict of interest.
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Informed consent: The committee required parental consent only for analysis of the data, which was obtained once the mother was transferred to the postnatal ward.
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Ethical approval: Ethical approval was given by the Outer London Ethics Committee for the data collection.
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Supplementary Material
This article contains supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/jpm-2022-0538).
© 2023 the author(s), published by De Gruyter, Berlin/Boston
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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- Are bacteria, fungi, and archaea present in the midtrimester amniotic fluid?
- Bioavailability of the tumor necrosis factor alpha/regulated on activation, normal T cell expressed and secreted (RANTES) biosystem inside the gestational sac during the pre-immune stages of embryo development
- The role of the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor (sFlt-1/PIGF) – ratio in clinical practice in obstetrics: diagnostic and prognostic value
- Prenatal diagnosis of non-mosaic sex chromosome abnormalities: a 10-year experience from a tertiary referral center
- Prediction of lung maturity through quantitative ultrasound analysis of fetal lung texture in women with diabetes during pregnancy
- Evaluation of an artificial intelligent algorithm (Heartassist™) to automatically assess the quality of second trimester cardiac views: a prospective study
- Original Article – Fetus
- Fetal brain activity and the free energy principle
- Predictive value of ultrasound in prenatal diagnosis of hypospadias: hints for accurate diagnosis
- The effect of maternal diabetes on the expression of gamma-aminobutyric acid and metabotropic glutamate receptors in male newborn rats’ inferior colliculi
- Original Articles – Neonates
- Respiratory function monitoring during early resuscitation and prediction of outcomes in prematurely born infants
- Quality improvement sustainability to decrease utilization drift for therapeutic hypothermia in the NICU
- Short Communication
- Use of a pocket-device point-of-care ultrasound to assess cervical dilation in labor: correlation and patient experience
- Letters to the Editor
- Correspondence on “COVID-19 vaccination and pregnancy”
- Response to the letter to the editor regarding “Covid-19 vaccination and pregnancy: a systematic review of maternal and neonatal outcomes”