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Uncertainty quantification by probabilistic analysis of circular fins

  • Rama Subba Reddy Gorla EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 5. Juni 2023
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Abstract

The temperature distribution and thermal Stresses induced by a temperature difference for steady state heat transfer in silicon carbide (SiC) ceramic tube heat exchanger with circular fins was computationally simulated by a finite element method and probabilistically evaluated in view of the several uncertainties in the performance parameters. Cumulative distribution functions and sensitivity factors were computed for the hoop stresses due to the structural and thermodynamic random variables. These results are used to identify the most critical design variables in order to optimize the design and make it cost effective. The probabilistic analysis leads to the selection of the appropriate measurements to be used in structural and heat transfer analysis and to the identification of both the most critical measurements and parameters.


Corresponding author: Rama Subba Reddy Gorla, Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, OH 45433, USA, E-mail:

  1. Author contributions: The author has accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.

  2. Research funding: None declared.

  3. Conflict of interest statement: The author declares no conflicts of interest regarding this article.

Nomenclature

A

area (m2)

a

thermal coefficient of expansion in the x direction (K−1)

b

thermal coefficient of expansion in the x direction (K−1)

Cp

specific heat capacity of material (J/kg K)

E

Young’s modulus of the material (Pa)

F X ( x )

CDF of X

f X ( x )

PDF of X

g ( . )

limit state function

h i

inside convective heat transfer coefficient (W/m2 K)

h o

outer convective heat transfer coefficient (W/m2 K)

K x

thermal conductivity in the x direction (W/m K)

K y

thermal conductivity in the y direction (W/m K)

k

thermal conductivity (W/m K)

L

fin height (m)

L 1

boundary length (m)

L 2

boundary length remainder (m)

n

number of random variables

n x

direction cosine in the x direction

n y

direction cosine in the y direction

p f

probability of failure

r i

inner radius of tube (m)

SX

radial stress (Pa)

SY

hoop stress (Pa)

Tb i

inner fluid bulk temperature (K)

Tb o

outer fluid bulk temperature/ambient temperature (K)

t

fin thickness (m)

T

tube thickness (m)

u

standardized normal (Gaussian) variable

X

random variable

Z ( . )

performance or response function (Z-function)

Greek letters

ρ

density (kg/m3)

ν

poisson’s ratio

α

thermal diffusivity (m2/s)

β

minimum distance (m)

Φ ( u )

CDF of u

ϕ ( u )

PDF of u

μ

mean value

σ

standard deviation

References

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Received: 2023-05-15
Accepted: 2023-05-16
Published Online: 2023-06-05
Published in Print: 2024-05-27

© 2023 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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