Startseite Targeted MRM-analysis of plasma proteins in frozen whole blood samples from patients with COVID-19: a retrospective study
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Targeted MRM-analysis of plasma proteins in frozen whole blood samples from patients with COVID-19: a retrospective study

  • Anna E. Bugrova , Polina A. Strelnikova , Alexey S. Kononikhin EMAIL logo , Natalia V. Zakharova , Elizaveta O. Diyachkova , Alexander G. Brzhozovskiy , Maria I. Indeykina , Ilya N. Kurochkin , Alexander V. Averyanov und Evgeny N. Nikolaev EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 26. September 2024
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Abstract

Objectives

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed a number of key challenges that need to be urgently addressed. Mass spectrometric studies of blood plasma proteomics provide a deep understanding of the relationship between the severe course of infection and activation of specific pathophysiological pathways. Analysis of plasma proteins in whole blood may also be relevant for the pandemic as it requires minimal sample preparation.

Methods

The frozen whole blood samples were used to analyze 203 plasma proteins using multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) mass spectrometry and stable isotope-labeled peptide standards (SIS). A total of 131 samples (FRCC, Russia) from patients with mild (n=41), moderate (n=39) and severe (n=19) COVID-19 infection and healthy controls (n=32) were analyzed.

Results

Levels of 94 proteins were quantified and compared. Significant differences between all of the groups were revealed for 44 proteins. Changes in the levels of 61 reproducible COVID-19 markers (SERPINA3, SERPING1, ORM1, HRG, LBP, APOA1, AHSG, AFM, ITIH2, etc.) were consistent with studies performed with serum/plasma samples. The best-performing classifier built with 10 proteins achieved the best combination of ROC-AUC (0.97–0.98) and accuracy (0.90–0.93) metrics and distinguished patients from controls, as well as patients by severity.

Conclusions

Here, for the first time, frozen whole blood samples were used for proteomic analysis and assessment of the status of patients with COVID-19. The results obtained with frozen whole blood samples are consistent with those from plasma and serum.

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed some important aspects that require urgent decision-making and has compelled the global community to rapidly develop both effective therapeutic approaches and diagnostic methods, including those that predict the risk of an adverse outcome. The lessons of this pandemic must certainly be learned in order to effectively respond to other similar challenges, and they concern not only urgent innovations, but also the significantly increased workload for medical institutions and analytical laboratories due to the high influx of patients and samples for analysis. Particularly, mass spectrometry (MS)-based proteomics has the potential to be used as an ideal analytical technology in such situations, as it can provide the fastest, deepest unbiased analysis necessary for the understanding of the role of specific biological processes in the ongoing pathophysiological changes, as well as to create specific marker panels [1, 2]. For productive analysis of the increased number of samples, it is also essential to use the least time-consuming sample preparation methods to minimize erroneous results.

Blood serum and plasma are among the most traditional samples for clinical assays and have been used in the largest number of biomarker studies of COVID-19. In the case of this infection, blood studies are of particular relevance because coronavirus affects the functioning of the capillary endothelium by promoting its inflammation and can cause acute distress respiratory syndrome, multiple organ dysfunction or even sepsis 3], [4], [5], [6, and thus undoubtedly affects the lipidomic, proteomic and metabolomic plasma/serum profiles 7], [8], [9], [10. As early as in July 2020, several untargeted high-resolution MS based proteomic studies of blood serum were performed and showed good intersections with each other in a number of dysregulated proteins and, in general, complemented each other in the list of potential markers of disease severity 11], [12], [13. Already these first results indicated the relationship between the severe course of disease progression and elevated levels of coagulation and complement components [13], as well as with activation of acute phase proteins and down-regulation of some apolipoproteins accompanied by dysregulation of metabolites involved in lipid metabolism [11]. One way or another, all further untargeted and targeted MS studies of serum and blood plasma, with or without depletion of major proteins, led to similar conclusions 14], [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22], [23], [24], [25. Overall, ∼100 proteins have been shown in at least two different MS studies to be concordantly dysregulated. For 19 of them, concordant dysregulation has been shown in at least five studies. These include 11 up-regulated proteins: alpha-1-antichymotrypsin (SERPINA3) [11, 14], [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22], [23, 25], plasma protease C1 inhibitor (SERPING1) [11, 13, 17], [18], [19, 21], [22], [23, C-reactive protein (CRP) [11, 12, 14, 15, 21], [22], [23, 25], complement component C9 (C9) [11, 13, 16, 18, 22, 23], alpha-1-acid glycoprotein 1(ORM1, AGP1) [14, 16], [17], [18, 22, 23], von Willebrand factor (VWF) [16, 17, 19, 21], [22], [23, inter-alpha-trypsin inhibitor heavy chain 3 (ITIH3) [11, 12, 16, 18, 22], actin (ACTB, ACTC1, ACTA2) [12, 14, 21], [22], [23, serum amyloid A-1 and A2 proteins (SAA1, SAA2) [11, 12, 14, 22, 23, 25], lipopolysaccharide-binding protein (LBP) [11, 12, 17, 22, 23], leucine-rich alpha-2-glycoprotein (LRG1) [11, 12, 22, 23, 25]; as well as 8 down-regulated proteins: histidine-rich protein (HRG) [15, 18], [19], [20], [21], [22, N-acetylmuramoyl-L-alanine amidase (PGLYRP2) [11, 14, 18, 21, 22, 25], apolipoprotein A-I (APOA1) [12, 16, 18, 21, 22], afamin (AFM) [14, 17, 18, 21, 22], inter-alpha-trypsin inhibitor heavy chain H2 (ITIH2) [15, 20, 22, 24, 25], antithrombin-III (SERPINC1) [13, 20], [21], [22, 25], alpha-2-HS-glycoprotein (AHSG) [15, 18, 21, 22, 25], and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein complex acid labile subunit (IGFALS) [14, 20], [21], [22, 24].

Whole blood is not such a popular research object due to its much higher proteome complexity and domination of red blood cell proteins. However, the possibility of serum/plasma preparation may be more or less limited under the extreme circumstances of a pandemic with a significantly increased influx of hospitalized patients. At the same time, whole blood samples do not require even the simplest processing, small samples can be collected even by the patient at home and can easily be stored frozen or as dried blood spots. Therefore, for pandemic conditions, it seems particularly appropriate to assess the diagnostic potential of whole-blood proteomics.

Until now, studies of plasma proteins in whole blood have not been very popular. This may be due to the predominant use of immuno-based approaches for assays targeted at specific proteins. While, the use of complex subjects such as whole blood greatly increases the number of non-specific and false positive results. There are two ways to process and store whole blood: drying or freezing the sample. Usually for MS-based proteomic analysis the dry blood spots (DBS) technique (when blood samples are blotted and dried on filter paper) is used 26], [27], [28. The use of volumetric absorptive microsampling (VAMS) to deplete highly abundant proteins allows to reach ∼2000 protein identifications in DBS [29]. But frozen whole blood samples are much easier and faster to collect and are commonly used for genetic or immunological studies [30]. Therefore, their additional proteomic analysis may be particularly relevant in a pandemic. However, quantitative MS studies of plasma proteins in frozen whole blood are rare and no such studies have been performed during the COVID-19 pandemic.

In this study, the ability of MRM-MS to quantify plasma proteins in frozen whole blood samples was evaluated. Samples collected during the COVID-19 pandemic from 99 patients with varying disease severity and a group of healthy controls were analyzed to estimate the levels of 203 blood plasma proteins using stable isotope-labeled peptide standards (SIS). The analyzed proteins included ∼120 previously reported COVID-19 markers proposed in previous MS studies with blood plasma and sera. A combination of statistics and machine learning was used for data analysis in order to build the best-performing classifier for assessment of the status of patients with COVID-19.

Materials and methods

Study population

Participants were recruited in the department for treatment of the novel coronavirus infection at the Federal Research Clinical Center (FRCC) under Federal Medical and Biological Agency of Russia from 25.06.2021 till 19.07.2021. The samples were collected (on the 1st–5th day after admission to the clinic) from 99 patients with COVID-19 infection confirmed by RT-qPCR. All patients (n=99) have been hospitalized; all of them had viral pneumonia confirmed by high resolution computer tomography of the chest. The group of healthy controls (n=32) was recruited among the FRCC staff. Informed consent was obtained from all participants. The study was conducted according to the guidelines of the Declaration of Helsinki, and approved by the local Ethics Committee of the FRCC (clinical protocol No. 5, 11 May 2021). Patients were divided into severity groups according to the respiratory support they needed. Mild (n=41) – did not need oxygen supply, moderate (n=39) needed low flow oxygen support, and severe (n=19) needed high flow nasal oxygen, non invasive or invasive mechanical ventilation (11 of them died). The demographic and clinical characteristics of the studied groups are presented in Table 1.

Table 1:

Subject demographics.

COVID-19 patients Controls
Total Mild Moderate Severe
n 99 41 39 19 32
Age, yearsa 55 (44, 70) 50 (37, 63) 61 (52, 69) 67 (52, 73) 57 (41, 68)
Sex, % (F) 57 63 55 44 67
Body mass indexa 27 (25, 33) 25 (24, 29) 29 (26, 34) 29 (25, 39) 26 (22, 31)
Smokers, % 17 9 18 34 30
Onset of symptoms, daysa 6 (4, 8) 7 (5, 8) 6 (4, 8) 6 (4, 7)
Hospitalization duration, daysa 10 (7, 14) 7 (6, 9) 11 (9, 14) 15 (13, 18)
Lung damage, % (CT) 30 (25, 50) 25 (15, 25) 40 (25, 50) 75 (62, 75)
CRP, mg/La 43 (14, 70) 22 (10, 50) 58 (17, 99) 47 (19, 99) 3.5 (1.8, 12.4)
Total protein, g/La 69 (64, 73) 68 (65, 73) 70 (67, 73) 63 (61, 70) 73 (68, 74)
Leukocytes, 109/La 5 (4, 6) 4 (4, 6) 5 (4, 7) 5 (5, 6) 8.6 (6.5, 10.7)
ESR, mm/ha 33 (20, 46) 26 (18, 40) 40 (28, 60) 34 (24, 46) 38 (21, 60)
Lymphocytes, % 21 (14, 28) 27 (21, 32) 18 (13, 23) 16 (11, 20) 27 (17, 32)
Lymphocytes, 109/La 1.0 (0.7, 1.4) 1.2 (0.9, 1.4) 1.0 (0.6, 1.4) 0.9 (0.6, 1.1) 2.0 (1.5, 2.6)
  1. aMedian values are given; the 0.25 and 0.75 percentiles are indicated in brackets. CT, computed tomography scan; CRP, C-reactive protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate.

Whole blood sample collection and preparation for MS

Venous blood was collected using vacuum tubes with K2+-EDTA, aliquoted and stored at −80 °C. The study was performed using isotope-labeled standard (SIS) “heavy” peptides, which were added to each sample and acted as internal standards for normalization, and unlabeled “light” peptides (NAT), which were used to create quantitative calibration curves. Synthesis and characterization of SIS and NAT peptides was carried out in the Omics lab at Skoltech using standard procedures, which were previously described in detail [23, 24, 31]. The list of peptides and proteins is provided in Supplementary Table S1.

Sample preparation was carried out using 10 μL of whole blood, similar to the protocols applied for plasma [2324, 32]. After thawing, the blood samples were carefully mixed and centrifuged at 4,000 g for 10 min. Before trypsinolysis, the samples were denaturated and reduced by incubation with 6 M urea, 13 mM dithiothreitol and 200 mM Tris × HCl (pH 8.0, +37 °C, 30 min). Next, the proteins were alkylated by a 30-min incubation in the dark with 40 mM iodoacetamide. For trypsinolysis, the samples were diluted with 100 mM Tris × HCl (pH 8.0) until <1 M urea; L-(tosylamido-2-phenyl) ethyl chloromethyl ketone (TPCK)-treated trypsin (Worthington) was added at a 20:1 (protein:enzyme, w/w) ratio; and the samples were incubated for 18 h at 37 °C. The reaction was quenched by acidifying the reaction mixture with formic acid (FA) to a final concentration of 1.0 % (pH≤2), and an estimated peptide concentration of ∼1 mg/mL [31]. Then each sample (40 μL) was spiked with 10 μL of the SIS peptide mixture, prepared by solubilization in 30 % ACN/0.1 % FA and dilution to 10× LLOQ per μL with 0.1 % FA. All samples were then concentrated by solid-phase extraction (SPE) using an Oasis HLB μElution plate: (1) the plate was conditioned with MeOH (600 μL), equilibrated with 0.1 % FA (600 μL), and loaded with samples; (2) the wells were washed with H2O (600 μL,×3); (3) bound peptides were eluted with 70 % ACN/0.1 % FA (55 μL) [24]. For each reference standard and quality control sample, 40 μL of a BSA surrogate matrix digest (143 μg/mL) was spiked with 10 μL of the SIS peptide mixture and 10 μL of a level-specific “light” peptide mixture. The standard curve and quality control samples were subjected to the same SPE procedure as the samples. All SPE eluates were evaporated using a speed vacuum concentrator and stored at −80 °C. Prior to LC-MS/MS analysis, the samples were reconstituted in 34 μL of 0.1 % FA.

Plasma samples

Plasma samples from 32 healthy controls were prepared in parallel with their whole blood samples to study the correlation between target protein concentrations. Plasma was obtained by centrifuging the K2+-EDTA whole blood samples at 4,000×g for 10 min at room temperature within 1 h after collection. The aliquots were stored at −80 °C. Sample preparation for MRM-MS was performed as described above for whole blood samples.

LC-MS/MS analysis and MS data processing

All samples were analyzed in duplicate by HPLC-MS using an ExionLC™ UHPLC system (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA) coupled online to a SCIEX QTRAP 6500+ triple quadrupole mass spectrometer (SCIEX, Toronto, ON, Canada). LC and MRM parameters were adapted and optimized basing on the previous studies done with the BAK125/270 kits [31, 32].

The loaded sample volume was 10 μL per injection. HPLC separation was carried out using an Acquity UPLC Peptide BEH column (C18, 300 Å, 1.7 μm, 2.1 mm × 150 mm, 1/pkg) (Waters, Milford, MA, USA) with gradient elution. Mobile phase A was 0.1 % FA in water; mobile phase B – 0.1 % FA in acetonitrile. LC separation was performed at a flow rate of 0.4 mL/min using a 53-min gradient from 2 to 45 % of mobile phase B. Mass spectrometric measurements were carried out using the MRM acquisition method. The electrospray ionization (ESI) source settings were as follows: ion spray voltage 4000 V, temperature 450 °C and ion source gas 40 L/min. The corresponding transition list for MRM experiments with retention time values and Q1/Q3 masses for each peptide is available in Table S1.

For quantitative analysis of the LC-MS/MS raw data, Skyline Quantitative Analysis software (version 20.2.0.343, University of Washington) was used. To calculate the peptide concentrations in the measured samples (fmol per 1 µL of plasma), calibration curves were generated using the 1/(×2)-weighted linear regression method. Calibration points differing from the standard concentration by >15 % were excluded. Proteins with 5 or less calibration points per batch, lying outside the calibration range, showing signs of interference, low signal-to noise identified in less than 70 % of the samples were discarded from further analysis (Tables S2, S3). All experimental results were uploaded to the PeptideAtlas SRM Experiment Library (PASSEL) and are available via link: http://www.peptideatlas.org/PASS/PASS05842 (accessed on 5 July 2024).

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis and data visualization were performed using Python (3.7.3) scripts with SciPy [33], Seaborn [34], matplotlib [35], and Pandas [36] packages.

After filtering the data 94 proteins features were used for analysis. The data was Log2(x+1) transformed. “NaN” – values were replaced with random non-zero values using a Gaussian distribution with a shift down=0.4 and width=0.2 of the mean value for each group of patients (control, mild, moderate, and severe).

The Mann–Whitney test was used to evaluate statistical differences between the groups. p-values were adjusted using the Benjamini–Hochberg method. The Cohen`s size (mean difference divided by the variance for different groups of samples) was also considered.

The ordinary least squares (OLS) method was used to construct the linear regression model in order to compare the data from paired whole blood and plasma samples from control patients.

Machine learning

The Scikit-Learn package was used to obtain all machine learning models [37]. To differentiate between pairwise groups, 4 classifying algorithms were considered: k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and the Support Vector Classifier (SVC). For the application of all algorithms, except RF, normalized data were used. The best models were determined using k-Fold cross-validation (k=4). Features were selected according to preliminary statistical analysis. A logistic regression algorithm with default hyperparameters was also used to select a panel for the classifier (proteins were ranked by “feature importance”). Specific hyper-parameters for each algorithm were selected using a grid search based on the highest ROC-AUC scores for different combinations of compared groups and protein marker panels. The proposed hyper-parameters for the classifiers discussed in the “results” section are presented in the Supplementary Materials (Table S5).

Results

Significantly dysregulated plasma proteins in whole blood

In total, 203 target plasma proteins were analyzed in whole blood samples using LC-MRM MS with corresponding SIS peptides, resulting in 173 measured proteins, 147 of which showed non-empty quantitative results detected proteins, 94 of which passed the quality filters for statistical analysis (Supplementary Tables S2, S3). The later included 80 previously described COVID-19 markers, with 61 reproducible markers according to ≥2 studies, of which 36 were consistently dysregulated in ≥3 different studies and 11 were shown to be significant in ≥5 studies (SERPINA3, SERPING1, HRG, ORM1, APOA1, ITIH2, AFM, AHSG, LBP, SERPINC1, and ACTA2).

Pairwise comparison of different groups of patients with each other and with healthy controls revealed a very large number of proteins with statistically significant differences (Supplementary Table S4). A total of 41 proteins passed the 5 % FDR cutoff after the Benjamini–Hochberg multiple testing correction in at least one pairwise comparison: 21 were up-regulated, 20 were down-regulated (Table 2).

Table 2:

Significantly dysregulated plasma proteins in whole blood.

No. Gene name UniProt ID Group comparison, p-valuesa References, consistent/incosistentf
Disease vs. control Severe vs. control Severe vs. mild Lethal vs. survived
Up-regulated proteins

1 APOE P02649 0.0019 0.0028 <0.05b <0.01b
2 NRP2 O60462 <0.05b 0.0144 0.0117 <0.01b [17, 24]
3 APOC3 P02656 0.0145 0.0087 <0.05b n.d.
4 SERPINA3с P01011 5.8E-06 0.0012 n.d. <0.05b [11, 14], [15], [16], [17], [18], [19], [20], [21], [22], [23, 25]
5 APCS P02743 3.1E-04 0.0070 n.d. <0.05b [14, 19, 23]
6 SERPING1с P05155 3.8E-08 0.0024 n.d. n.d. [11, 13, 17], [18], [19, 21], [22], [23
7 CPN2 P22792 1.4E-05 0.0031 n.d. n.d. [22]/[25]
8 ORM1с P02763 7.8E-05 0.0156 n.d. n.d. [14, 16], [17], [18, 22, 23]
9 CPN1d P15169 5.7E-04 <0.05b n.d. n.d.
10 PARK7e Q99497 0.0018 0.0073 n.d. n.d. [23]
11 LBPс P18428 0.0031 0.0144 n.d. n.d. [11, 12, 17, 22, 23]
12 PEPDe P12955 0.0041 0.0067 n.d. n.d.
13 PRDX2d P32119 0.0077 0.0239 n.d. n.d. [23]
14 F12 P00748 0.0012 <0.05b n.d. n.d. /[13, 14]
15 C1QC P02747 0.0077 <0.05b n.d. n.d. [21, 22, 25]
16 HP P00738 0.0102 <0.05b n.d. n.d. [11, 12, 23]/[24]
17 PRDX1e Q06830 n.d. <0.05b <0.05b n.d.
18 MMP9e P14780 n.d. n.d. 0.0461 <0.05b [23]
19 LCP1e P13796 n.d. n.d. 0.0078 <0.05b [11, 19]
20 C1QA P02745 0.0102 n.d. n.d. n.d.
21 SERPINF2 P08697 0.0371 n.d. n.d. n.d. [13]/[16, 25]
22 S100A9 P06702 n.d. n.d. 0.0228 n.d. [14, 23]

23 APOA1с P02647 1.1E-05 4.3E-05 0.0117 <0.05b [12, 16, 18, 21, 22]
24 APOA4 P06727 1.1E-04 2.0E-04 <0.05b <0.01b [14, 18]
25 APOA2 P02652 0.0044 4.8E-04 0.0013 <0.05b [18, 19, 25]
26 TF P02787 0.0104 0.0144 <0.05b <0.05b [12, 18, 21, 25]
27 AHSGс P02765 0.0217 0.0024 0.0037 <0.01b [15, 18, 21, 22, 25]
28 HRGс P04196 8.8E-10 6.0E-06 n.d. <0.05b [15, 18], [19], [20], [21], [22
29 ITIH2с P19823 0.0011 0.0028 n.d. n.d. [15, 20, 22, 24, 25]
30 AFMс P43652 0.0117 0.0203 n.d. <0.05b [14, 17, 18, 21, 22]
31 ALB P02768 n.d. 0.0031 0.0013 <0.01b [11, 12]
32 LUM P51884 2.5E-09 0.0012 n.d. n.d. [11]
33 APOH P02749 4.1E-06 0.0012 n.d. n.d. [18, 20, 25]/[16]
34 FN1 P02751 1.5E-05 0.0028 n.d. n.d. [16, 18, 20, 22]
35 LGALS3e P17931 7.8E-05 <0.05b n.d. n.d.
36 APOC1 P02654 1.9E-04 0.0035 n.d. n.d. [12, 18, 22, 25]
37 ATRN O75882 3.1E-04 0.0318 n.d. n.d. [18, 22]
38 GSN P06396 0.0239 0.0490 n.d. n.d. [12, 18, 22, 25]
39 HSPD1e P07996 0.0388 n.d. n.d. <0.05b
40 SERPIND1 P05546 n.d. <0.05b n.d. <0.05b [16, 21, 24]/[13, 19]
41 APOM O95445 n.d. n.d. 0.0013 <0.01b [19, 22, 25]
42 PLG P00747 n.d. n.d. <0.05b <0.05b [15, 21]/[16]
43 THBS1d P07996 0.0388 n.d. n.d. n.d. /[16, 23]
44 GC P02774 n.d. n.d. 0.0461 n.d. [22, 25]
  1. aThe Table mostly lists proteins for which at least one comparison had p<0.05 after the Benjamini–Hochberg correction, with the exception of some proteins that only had uncorrected p<0.05 but may be particularly important in distinguishing moderate patients from severe and survivors from non-survivors. A blue background indicates down-regulation; a red background indicates up-regulation; ‘n.d.’, not different. bUncorrected p-values are shown, while the adjusted values are above 0.05 for these proteins. cThe most reproducible COVID-19 markers. dProteins with poorly correlated concentrations between whole blood and plasma samples. eProteins for which the correlation between blood and plasma could not be assessed since they could only be reliably quantified in blood samples. fReferences with inconsistent results (where the direction of protein dysregulation differs from the current study) are shown after a slash symbol. For proteins with up/down regulation, this refers to the “disease vs. control” comparison.

Seven of the revealed significantly different proteins (down-regulated APOA1, APOA4, APOA2, AHSG, TF, and up-regulated APOE and NRP2) deserve special attention as they were found to be different between all groups presented in Table 2. Thus, they not only distinguish patients from healthy controls but also distinguish patients by severity and risk of mortality (Figure 1). Nevertheless, some other proteins (including SERPINA3, SERPING1, HRG, CPN2, LUM, APOH, FN1 etc.) demonstrate an even greater difference between groups of patients and healthy controls (Table 2, Figure 1).

Figure 1: 
Significantly different proteins that distinguish various groups. *Indicates a significant difference at p<0.05 after the Benjamini–Hochberg correction. Protein levels are shown in determined concentrations (fmol/μL).
Figure 1:

Significantly different proteins that distinguish various groups. *Indicates a significant difference at p<0.05 after the Benjamini–Hochberg correction. Protein levels are shown in determined concentrations (fmol/μL).

Correlation of protein concentrations between whole blood and plasma

To better understand the relevance of comparing results obtained on whole blood with published results for plasma/serum, analysis of the correlations is particularly important. For this analysis of paired whole blood and plasma samples from 32 healthy controls was carried out. The constructed linear regression for the average protein concentrations confirms a linear relationship between measurements in whole blood and plasma (Figure 2). Overall, the data are well described by the proposed linear model, with 93 % of the proteins falling into the 95 % prediction interval with only 4 outliers. Even taking into account the data for all proteins, the coefficient of determination R2 turned out to be 0.64 (>0.5, p=2.95 × 10−25), what suggests a good fit of the model to the data. After removing the outliers the R2 coefficient increased to 0.90, indicating a much better agreement between the data and the constructed linear model.

Figure 2: 
Comparison of target protein concentrations between paired frozen whole blood and plasma samples from 32 healthy controls. (A) Linear regression plot of average protein concentrations. Red dots indicate proteins that fall outside the predicted interval (95 %) for the constructed linear regression model. (B) Distribution profiles of average protein concentrations in plasma and whole blood samples.
Figure 2:

Comparison of target protein concentrations between paired frozen whole blood and plasma samples from 32 healthy controls. (A) Linear regression plot of average protein concentrations. Red dots indicate proteins that fall outside the predicted interval (95 %) for the constructed linear regression model. (B) Distribution profiles of average protein concentrations in plasma and whole blood samples.

To assess the coherence of plasma-blood data for each individual protein Pearson correlation coefficients for paired plasma and blood samples were estimated (Supplementary Table S5). According to these calculations, 39 proteins showed a strong positive correlation (R≥0.8, p-value <0.001), 17 proteins were moderately correlated (R≥0.7, p<0.001), and 25 were weakly correlated (R>0.35, p<0.05). The non-correlating proteins (R<0.35, p-value >0.05) included only 3 of the 44 significantly different proteins mentioned in Table 2. Two of the outliers also turned out to be non-correlating: ACTA2, and PRDX2.

Building classifiers distinguishing between patients and healthy controls

Differences in the proteomic profiles among severity groups can be used to identify unique features for COVID-19 stage classification with a machine-learning approach. Four algorithms were considered to build a classifier: logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (kNN) and the support vector classifier (SVC) (Supplementary Table S7).

Sorting proteins by their feature importance values using a logistic regression method clarified the most important features for distinguishing between healthy individuals and COVID-19 patients, as well as patients with mild and severe disease (Supplementary Table S6). A combination of just 10 proteins including PZP, THBS1, APOC4, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4 (7 top features in ‘mild vs. severe’ comparison), and LUM, HRG, and APOC3 (3 top features in ‘control vs. severe’ comparison) made it possible to achieve a very good combination of ROC-AUC and accuracy metrics. The LR-10 classifier particularly showed the highest values for ‘mild vs. severe’ comparison (0.98/0.93, ROC-AUC/Accuracy) among other considered protein combinations (Table 3). The addition of A2M and HSPD1 (2 top features in ‘survived vs. lethal’ comparison) and removing of statistically insignificant proteins (PZP, APOC4 and A2M), although slightly reduced some metrics, generally showed similar results to the 10-protein panels; and the LR-9 classifier turned out to be even more effective than LR-10 in the ‘disease vs. control’ comparison (Table 3).

Table 3:

ROC-AUC and accuracy characteristics of different classifiers.

Panel Algorithm ROC-AUC/accuracy
Severe vs. mild Disease vs. control
10 proteinsa:

PZPb, THBS1, APOC4b, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4, LUM, HRG, APOC3
LR 0.98/0.93 0.97/0.90
RF 0.96/0.92 0.93/0.88
kNN 0.96/0.78 0.94/0.89
SVC 0.98/0.87 0.97/0.86
12 proteinsa:

PZPb, THBS1, APOC4b, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4, LUM, HRG, APOC3, A2Mb, HSPD1
LR 0.98/0.93 0.98/0.89
RF 0.94/0.87 0.93/0.89
kNN 0.95/0.77 0.91/0.90
SVC 0.97/0.70 0.97/0.86
9 proteinsc:

THBS1, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4, LUM, HRG, APOC3, HSPD1
LR 0.94/0.80 0.98/0.90
RF 0.94/0.88 0.94/0.88
kNN 0.90/0.78 0.92/0.91
SVC 0.92/0.75 0.97/0.86
14 proteinsc:

THBS1, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4, LUM, HRG, APOC3, HSPD1, ALB, APOA1, APOA2, NRP2, LCP1
LR 0.96/0.87 0.99/0.92
RF 0.94/0.83 0.95/0.86
kNN 0.95/0.87 0.94/0.86
SVC 0.95/0.75 0.99/0.89
  1. aThe panels were selected according to the feature importance values obtained by sorting the data of different proteins using the logistic regression algorithm. bProteins that do not have statistically significant differences between any of the groups. cThe panels were selected based on p-values according to the data in Table 2. A colored background highlights the best combination of ROC-AUC and accuracy metrics.

Importantly, the considered proteins with high feature importance values mostly included proteins that were significantly different in at least two different pairwise comparisons (Table 2). In an attempt to improve the model’s performance for classifying both mild vs. severe patients, as well as controls vs. all patients, several other variants of the panel were tested with different combinations of statistically significant proteins. In particular, the 14-protein panel with addition of ALB, APOA1, APOA2, NRP2 and LCP1 led to obtaining effective classifiers with the best result for LR-14 classifier in the ‘disease vs. control’ comparison (Table 3). Nevertheless, the LR-10 classifier on our cohort turned out to be the most versatile among all of the considered variants, as worked best both for the detection of COVID-19-positivity in general, and identification of severe cases with the highest efficiency (Figure 3A). The usefulness of its application further on other cohorts and capability for outcome prediction is yet to be studied.

Figure 3: 
Characteristics of the best performing LR-10 classifier distinguishing COVID-19 patients. (A) ROC-AUC metrics for different pairwise comparisons using 4-fold cross-validation. The insert is a ‘Confusion matrix’ for the classifier prediction of mild or severe COVID-19 course; (B) assessment of the severity of the disease for different COVID-19 patients, obtained using the developed LR-10 classifier-10.
Figure 3:

Characteristics of the best performing LR-10 classifier distinguishing COVID-19 patients. (A) ROC-AUC metrics for different pairwise comparisons using 4-fold cross-validation. The insert is a ‘Confusion matrix’ for the classifier prediction of mild or severe COVID-19 course; (B) assessment of the severity of the disease for different COVID-19 patients, obtained using the developed LR-10 classifier-10.

For further validation of the developed LR-10 classifier, 70 % of the mild/severe patient’s dataset were used for training, while the remaining 30 % and all samples from the moderate group of patients (which were not used at all during the classifier creation process) were used as a test set. The resulting probabilities assigned by the classifier to specific samples (Figure 3B) show a very good agreement with the diagnosed severity of COVID-19 and confirm the effectiveness of the developed classifier.

Discussion

The obtained results mainly confirm the possibility of using frozen whole blood as an object for MRM analysis of plasma proteins and assessment of the status of patients with COVID-19. Overall, the results are in good agreement with those obtained in MS studies on serum or plasma from COVID-19 patients. In addition, good agreement between measurements in whole blood and plasma samples was demonstrated for most of the targeted proteins, and this result is consistent with a recent study showing high proteomic similarity between plasma and venous or capillary whole blood samples [38]. All of the above is in favor of considering whole blood as an object of proteomic analysis, the relevance of which may increase under conditions of an increased sample influx, since whole blood does not require additional sample preparation and can be collected in small volumes at home by the patient himself.

In general, the obtained results show a very good agreement with the results of other studies and a very insignificant number of inconsistencies (Table 2): of the 61 quantified reproducible markers, only 2 did not match with any study (F12 and THBS1). It is noteworthy that some of the previously published data concerns serum analyses 12], [13], [14], [15 and research that involves the depletion of major plasma proteins [19, 22, 25]. They also have some inconsistencies with each other for a number of proteins, including HP, APOH, SERPIND1, PLG, and CPN2 (Table 2). Nevertheless, for most proteins, our findings align well with these studies. However, the absolute discrepancy with several other studies still requires further validation on the use of particular proteins as potential markers in whole blood.

Importantly, 9 of 11 reliably measured highly reproducible COVID-19 proteomic markers confirmed their significant up- (SERPINA3, SERPING1, ORM1, LBP) or down- (HRG, APOA1, AFM, ITIH2, AHSG) regulation trends in whole blood samples, in full agreement with the serum and plasma MS studies. While the absence of significant differences for ACTA2, SERPINC1 and some other reproducible COVID-19 markers may be due to the specificity of such an analyzed object as whole blood.

Due to the inconceivably small number of samples from lethal patients, the considered variants of marker panels first of all were aimed at distinguishing severe and mild patients, and application of the machine learning approach turned out to be quite effective for building a best-performing classifier based on measurements of just 10 proteins (Table 3). It is noteworthy that the best classifier included two statistically insignificant proteins (PZP and APOC4). Thus, the use of sorting proteins by feature importance values turned out to be quite reasonable. However, classifiers that included only significantly different proteins also demonstrated very good combinations of metrics.

Importantly, most proteins involved in all of the proposed panels (PZP, APOE, APOM, AHSG, APOA4, HRG, APOC3, A2M, APOA1, NRP2) showed a strong positive correlation between their concentrations in whole blood and plasma. This seems to be important for considering the possibility of creating a marker panel that would be suitable for both whole blood and plasma analysis. In addition, refinement of the panel to include specific proteins may be appropriate to better discriminate between lethal and survived cases.

In general, it seems very important that for most of the analyzed proteins, the results obtained with frozen whole blood samples are consistent with those from plasma and serum. This suggests that some extrapolations are appropriate. However, the results of our study clearly demonstrate that the profiles of important proteins in plasma, serum, and whole blood samples can be somewhat different, and this is important to consider when creating specific diagnostic protein panels.


Corresponding authors: Alexey S. Kononikhin, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, 121205 Moscow, Russia; and V.L. Talrose Institute for Energy Problems of Chemical Physics, N.N. Semenov Federal Research Center for Chemical Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, 119334 Moscow, Russia, E-mail: ; and Evgeny N. Nikolaev, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, 121205 Moscow, Russia, E-mail:
Anna E. Bugrova, Polina A. Strelnikova and Alexey S. Kononikhin contributed equally to this work.

Award Identifier / Grant number: # 44.1, 44.2 and 44.4

Award Identifier / Grant number: MegaGrant, #075-10-2022-090

Award Identifier / Grant number: 21-74-20173

Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to the reviewers and editors for their comments, which significantly helped improve the manuscript. The study was performed using the equipment of the Core Facility of the Emanuel Institute of Biochemical Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences “New Materials and Technologies”.

  1. Research ethics: The study was conducted according to the guidelines of the Declaration of Helsinki, and approved by the Local Ethics Committee of the Federal Research Clinical Center (FRCC) under Federal Medical and Biological Agency of Russia (clinical protocol No. 5, 11 May 2021).

  2. Informed consent: Informed consent was obtained from all individuals included in this study, or their legal guardians or wards.

  3. Author contributions: Conceptualization, A.E.B., A.S.K., I.N.K., A.V.A. and E.N.N.; methodology, A.E.B., P.A.S., N.V.Z., E.O.D., and A.G.B.; software, P.A.S., M.I.I. and A.G.B.; investigation, A.E.B., P.A.S., N.V.Z., E.O.D., and A.S.K.; resources, I.N.K., A.V.A. and E.N.N.; writing – original draft preparation, A.E.B., P.A.S., N.V.Z., E.O.D., and A.S.K.; writing – review and editing, M.I.I. A.S.K., I.N.K., A.V.A. and E.N.N.; funding acquisition, A.S.K., I.N.K., A.V.A. and E.N.N. All authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript and approved its submission.

  4. Conflict of interest: The authors state no competing interests.

  5. Research funding: The authors are grateful for funding from the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation (I.N.K., A.E.B, N.V.Z. – # 44.1, 44.2, 44.4; E.N.N., A.G.B., P.A.S – #075-10-2022-090). In part of targeted proteomic analysis (additional validation with healthy donors) A.S.K. and M.I.I. acknowledge the Russian Science Foundation, grant #21-74-20173.

  6. Data availability: All experimental results were uploaded to the PeptideAtlas SRM Experiment Library (PASSEL) and are available via link: http://www.peptideatlas.org/PASS/PASS05842 (accessed on 5 July 2024).

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Supplementary Material

This article contains supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/cclm-2024-0800).


Received: 2023-09-26
Accepted: 2024-08-30
Published Online: 2024-09-26
Published in Print: 2025-01-29

© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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