Chapter 11 Decoding Cryptocurrency Vulnerability: Assessing Risk and Factors
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Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to propose the application of a simulator, the Cryptocurrency Vulnerability Evaluator (CV-Evaluator), designed to assess the susceptibility of cryptocurrencies to a range of economic and geopolitical challenges. These include deep financial crises, conflicts, inflation, unemployment, economic contraction, corruption, significant trade imbalances, natural disasters, and pandemics. The primary aim of the CV-Evaluator is to provide insights into the vulnerability of a cryptocurrency under diverse circumstances, enabling informed decisions regarding the optimal times for buying or selling. This assessment is facilitated through the use of varying risk levels, visualized within a constantly shifting and evolving cube framework. Subsequently, the CV-Evaluator employs Bitcoin as a case study to validate the effectiveness and applicability of our simulator. This choice is driven by Bitcoin’s established status and its extensive historical data, rendering it a suitable experimental laboratory for this purpose.
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to propose the application of a simulator, the Cryptocurrency Vulnerability Evaluator (CV-Evaluator), designed to assess the susceptibility of cryptocurrencies to a range of economic and geopolitical challenges. These include deep financial crises, conflicts, inflation, unemployment, economic contraction, corruption, significant trade imbalances, natural disasters, and pandemics. The primary aim of the CV-Evaluator is to provide insights into the vulnerability of a cryptocurrency under diverse circumstances, enabling informed decisions regarding the optimal times for buying or selling. This assessment is facilitated through the use of varying risk levels, visualized within a constantly shifting and evolving cube framework. Subsequently, the CV-Evaluator employs Bitcoin as a case study to validate the effectiveness and applicability of our simulator. This choice is driven by Bitcoin’s established status and its extensive historical data, rendering it a suitable experimental laboratory for this purpose.
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter I
- Contents VII
- Foreword XI
- Chapter 1 Econophysics: An Introduction 1
- Chapter 2 Logistic Modelling of Economic Dynamics 13
- Chapter 3 Outlook About the Mathematical Foundation of Creativity in Economy: Monadic Approach and Holistic Role of the Zeta Riemann Function 25
- Chapter 4 The Visualization of the U.S. Economy Under the Application of the EGAP-Helix 57
- Chapter 5 Wealth Distribution Patterns in Different Socio-economic Environments: Data Mining, Estimation and Modelling 61
- Chapter 6 Kinetic Exchange Models of Income and Wealth Distribution: Self Organization and Poverty Level 79
- Chapter 7 Kinetic Monte Carlo Simulations of an Agent-Based Model of Market Dynamics 95
- Chapter 8 Quantifying Economic Dynamics: Unveiling the Formula for Monetary Energy (Em) 109
- Chapter 9 Sociophysics Model of Bubbles with Neural-Stochastic Differential Equations: A Stochastic Inflation Model 125
- Chapter 10 Criticality of the Bitcoin Market 145
- Chapter 11 Decoding Cryptocurrency Vulnerability: Assessing Risk and Factors 171
- Chapter 12 A Quasi-optimal Technique for Rebalancing a Cryptocurrency Wallet 181
- Chapter 13 Price Modelling under Generalized Fractional Brownian Motion 197
- Chapter 14 Simplifying to Improve Reliability of Geometric Brownian Motion Stock Index Forecasts 215
- Chapter 15 Do Economic and Financial Factors Affect Expected S&P 500? 229
- Chapter 16 Predictability of Technical Analysis 239
- Chapter 17 Fractal Regressions: An Econophysics Innovation to Apply in Economics and Finance 261
- Chapter 18 The Menace and Caress of Wave: The Econophysics of Informational Diffusion 277
- Chapter 19 Improving Chaos Control: Implications for Economic Policies 295
- Chapter 20 Of Time and the River: Comovement, Heterogeneity, and Multifractality in a World Lit by Lightning 311
- Chapter 21 Transfer Entropies between Market Stocks 329
- Chapter 22 Multifractal Analysis of Regimes in Financial Markets 341
- Chapter 23 Evidence of Chaos in the Moroccan Stock Market before and during the Covid-19 Pandemic 363
- Chapter 24 Complexity Measure, Kernel Density Estimation, Bandwidth Selection, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis 393
- Chapter 25 Exploring the Intersection of Chemistry and Economic: The Emergence of Econochemistry 411
- Chapter 26 Developing a 3D Printed Prototype for Visualizing Large Development Indicator Performance in Any Country: The Domestic Development Domestic Integrated Structures (DDGIS) 421
- Acknowledgements 435
- List of Contributors 437
- List of Figures 445
- List of Tables 453
- About the Editor 455
- Index 457
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter I
- Contents VII
- Foreword XI
- Chapter 1 Econophysics: An Introduction 1
- Chapter 2 Logistic Modelling of Economic Dynamics 13
- Chapter 3 Outlook About the Mathematical Foundation of Creativity in Economy: Monadic Approach and Holistic Role of the Zeta Riemann Function 25
- Chapter 4 The Visualization of the U.S. Economy Under the Application of the EGAP-Helix 57
- Chapter 5 Wealth Distribution Patterns in Different Socio-economic Environments: Data Mining, Estimation and Modelling 61
- Chapter 6 Kinetic Exchange Models of Income and Wealth Distribution: Self Organization and Poverty Level 79
- Chapter 7 Kinetic Monte Carlo Simulations of an Agent-Based Model of Market Dynamics 95
- Chapter 8 Quantifying Economic Dynamics: Unveiling the Formula for Monetary Energy (Em) 109
- Chapter 9 Sociophysics Model of Bubbles with Neural-Stochastic Differential Equations: A Stochastic Inflation Model 125
- Chapter 10 Criticality of the Bitcoin Market 145
- Chapter 11 Decoding Cryptocurrency Vulnerability: Assessing Risk and Factors 171
- Chapter 12 A Quasi-optimal Technique for Rebalancing a Cryptocurrency Wallet 181
- Chapter 13 Price Modelling under Generalized Fractional Brownian Motion 197
- Chapter 14 Simplifying to Improve Reliability of Geometric Brownian Motion Stock Index Forecasts 215
- Chapter 15 Do Economic and Financial Factors Affect Expected S&P 500? 229
- Chapter 16 Predictability of Technical Analysis 239
- Chapter 17 Fractal Regressions: An Econophysics Innovation to Apply in Economics and Finance 261
- Chapter 18 The Menace and Caress of Wave: The Econophysics of Informational Diffusion 277
- Chapter 19 Improving Chaos Control: Implications for Economic Policies 295
- Chapter 20 Of Time and the River: Comovement, Heterogeneity, and Multifractality in a World Lit by Lightning 311
- Chapter 21 Transfer Entropies between Market Stocks 329
- Chapter 22 Multifractal Analysis of Regimes in Financial Markets 341
- Chapter 23 Evidence of Chaos in the Moroccan Stock Market before and during the Covid-19 Pandemic 363
- Chapter 24 Complexity Measure, Kernel Density Estimation, Bandwidth Selection, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis 393
- Chapter 25 Exploring the Intersection of Chemistry and Economic: The Emergence of Econochemistry 411
- Chapter 26 Developing a 3D Printed Prototype for Visualizing Large Development Indicator Performance in Any Country: The Domestic Development Domestic Integrated Structures (DDGIS) 421
- Acknowledgements 435
- List of Contributors 437
- List of Figures 445
- List of Tables 453
- About the Editor 455
- Index 457