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28 The Diffusion of Drone Warfare – A Ten Year Review

  • Michael P. Kreuzer
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De Gruyter Handbook of Drone Warfare
Ein Kapitel aus dem Buch De Gruyter Handbook of Drone Warfare

Abstract

In 2013, the author of this chapter began his doctoral dissertation work examining the evolution and diffusion of military drones, and published his dissertation findings in 2014. Following ten years of drone warfare in Iraq, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Yemen, Ukraine, and elsewhere, he examines the central findings of that 2014 study and how well adoption-capacity theory has predicted the spread of drone warfare. The key findings - limited spread of revolutionary strategic drones and widespread use of tactical drones as key force multipliers as an evolution of the modern system - have largely shown to be correct over the interceding period. Specific projections about the spread of counter-drone technology, and the emergence of major drone exporters besides early exporters like the U.S., China, and Israel have however varied significantly from initial projections have shown challenges remain in projecting the diffusion of emerging air warfare technologies.

Abstract

In 2013, the author of this chapter began his doctoral dissertation work examining the evolution and diffusion of military drones, and published his dissertation findings in 2014. Following ten years of drone warfare in Iraq, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Yemen, Ukraine, and elsewhere, he examines the central findings of that 2014 study and how well adoption-capacity theory has predicted the spread of drone warfare. The key findings - limited spread of revolutionary strategic drones and widespread use of tactical drones as key force multipliers as an evolution of the modern system - have largely shown to be correct over the interceding period. Specific projections about the spread of counter-drone technology, and the emergence of major drone exporters besides early exporters like the U.S., China, and Israel have however varied significantly from initial projections have shown challenges remain in projecting the diffusion of emerging air warfare technologies.

Kapitel in diesem Buch

  1. Frontmatter I
  2. Contents V
  3. 1 Introduction: Why Study Drones? 1
  4. Part 1: Approaches to the Study of Drone Warfare
  5. 2 What Is Drone Warfare? 9
  6. 3 Defining Drones 25
  7. 4 Drones and International Law 41
  8. 5 Drone Imaginaries 57
  9. 6 A Gendering of Drones 69
  10. 7 Critiquing Drone Warfare 87
  11. Part 2: The First Drone Age
  12. 8 What Is ‘The First Drone Age’? 107
  13. 9 Drone Pilots: The Struggles of War by Remote Control 111
  14. 10 The Post-9/11 Era: Drones and Just War Theory 125
  15. 11 The CIA Drone Program 141
  16. 12 Drones and Civilian Harm 159
  17. 13 Drone Warfare and Public Opinion 177
  18. 14 Living Under Drones 197
  19. 15 The Media and Drone Warfare 215
  20. Part 3: The Second Drone Age
  21. 16 What is ‘The Second Drone Age’? 237
  22. 17 The Islamic State Drone Program 243
  23. 18 The Use of Drones in West Africa and the Sahel 255
  24. 19 China’s Drone Diplomacy 267
  25. 20 Russian Military Drones: Established and Emerging Technologies in Ukraine 285
  26. 21 Europe’s Military Drone Problem 299
  27. 22 Violent Nonstate Exploitation of Commercial Drones 313
  28. 23 Game-Changing Drones? The Record from Libya to Ukraine 325
  29. Part 4: A Third Drone Age? Concerns and Visions for the Future
  30. Concerns
  31. 24 Domestic Drones and Domestic Threat: Urban Life in the Drone Age 343
  32. 25 Autonomous Drones 369
  33. 26 Swarming Drones 385
  34. 27 Countering Unmanned Aircraft Systems 399
  35. Visions
  36. 28 The Diffusion of Drone Warfare – A Ten Year Review 421
  37. 29 Drones: A Unique Danger to International Law 437
  38. 30 Drone Proliferation and IR Theory: Visions for the Future 453
  39. Contributors to this Volume 475
  40. Index 485
https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110742039-028

Kapitel in diesem Buch

  1. Frontmatter I
  2. Contents V
  3. 1 Introduction: Why Study Drones? 1
  4. Part 1: Approaches to the Study of Drone Warfare
  5. 2 What Is Drone Warfare? 9
  6. 3 Defining Drones 25
  7. 4 Drones and International Law 41
  8. 5 Drone Imaginaries 57
  9. 6 A Gendering of Drones 69
  10. 7 Critiquing Drone Warfare 87
  11. Part 2: The First Drone Age
  12. 8 What Is ‘The First Drone Age’? 107
  13. 9 Drone Pilots: The Struggles of War by Remote Control 111
  14. 10 The Post-9/11 Era: Drones and Just War Theory 125
  15. 11 The CIA Drone Program 141
  16. 12 Drones and Civilian Harm 159
  17. 13 Drone Warfare and Public Opinion 177
  18. 14 Living Under Drones 197
  19. 15 The Media and Drone Warfare 215
  20. Part 3: The Second Drone Age
  21. 16 What is ‘The Second Drone Age’? 237
  22. 17 The Islamic State Drone Program 243
  23. 18 The Use of Drones in West Africa and the Sahel 255
  24. 19 China’s Drone Diplomacy 267
  25. 20 Russian Military Drones: Established and Emerging Technologies in Ukraine 285
  26. 21 Europe’s Military Drone Problem 299
  27. 22 Violent Nonstate Exploitation of Commercial Drones 313
  28. 23 Game-Changing Drones? The Record from Libya to Ukraine 325
  29. Part 4: A Third Drone Age? Concerns and Visions for the Future
  30. Concerns
  31. 24 Domestic Drones and Domestic Threat: Urban Life in the Drone Age 343
  32. 25 Autonomous Drones 369
  33. 26 Swarming Drones 385
  34. 27 Countering Unmanned Aircraft Systems 399
  35. Visions
  36. 28 The Diffusion of Drone Warfare – A Ten Year Review 421
  37. 29 Drones: A Unique Danger to International Law 437
  38. 30 Drone Proliferation and IR Theory: Visions for the Future 453
  39. Contributors to this Volume 475
  40. Index 485
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Heruntergeladen am 18.11.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/9783110742039-028/html
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