First-Mover Advantage in a Dynamic Duopoly with Spillover
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        Gianluca Femminis
        
We present a dynamic duopoly model of technical innovation in which R&D costs decrease exogenously with time and inter-firm knowledge spillover lowers the second comer's R&D cost. The spillover effect only becomes available after a disclosure lag. These features allow us to identify a new type of equilibrium: the leader delays investment until the R&D cost is low enough that the follower finds it optimal to invest as soon as he can benefit from the spillover. This equilibrium is subgame perfect over a wide range of parameters and raises several interesting implications. First, in our new equilibrium, the time delay between the two R&D investments is realistically short. Second, while the presence of a spillover favors the second-mover, this benefit is not enough to rule out a first-mover advantage. Indeed, the first-mover advantage survives whenever technical progress is sufficiently fast and the disclosure lag is relatively long. Third, in case of a major innovation, our equilibrium implies under-investment, which requires a substantial public intervention in favor of the investment activity.
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- Endogenous Investment and Pricing under Uncertainty
- Information Revelation in Markets with Pairwise Meetings: Complete Revelation in Dynamic Analysis
- Optimal Screening by Risk-Averse Principals
- Coordination under the Shadow of Career Concerns
- The Optimal Accuracy Level in Asymmetric Contests
- The Fragmentation of Reputation
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- Advice from Multiple Experts: A Comparison of Simultaneous, Sequential, and Hierarchical Communication
- Contractual Incompleteness for External Risks
- On Delegation in Contests and the Survival of Payoff Maximizing Behavior
- Optimal Quality Scores in Sponsored Search Auctions: Full Extraction of Advertisers' Surplus
- A Theory of Credibility under Commitment
- Communication Breakdown: Consultation or Delegation from an Expert with Uncertain Bias
- Social Learning in Social Networks
- A Note on the Multidimensional Monopolist Problem and Intertemporal Price Discrimination
- A Note on Rationalizability and Restrictions on Beliefs
- Vote or Shout
- Asymmetry and Collusion in Sequential Procurement: A "Large Lot Last" Policy
- Status, Inequality and Intertemporal Choice
- Designing the Efficient Information-Processing Organization
- Ensuring Quality Provision through Capacity Regulation under Price Competition
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