The Fed's Preference for Policy Rate Smoothing: Overestimation Due to Misspecification?
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Efrem Castelnuovo
The federal funds rate is featured by frequent, small changes in the same direction and infrequent reversals. How to replicate the observed smooth behavior of the federal funds rate with a small scale macroeconomic model? This paper compares the descriptive performance of an empirical fully backward looking model with that of an empirical new-Keynesian hybrid framework. It turns out that the Fed’s monetary policy conduct can be very well described with a framework allowing for the presence of a small but positive fraction of forward looking agents in the IS curve. This element remarkably reduces the large interest rate smoothing weight otherwise needed to track the observed macroeconomic series.
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Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- Counter-Cyclical and Counter-Inflation Monetary Policy Rules and Comovement Properties of Money Growth
- Hicks Neutral Technical Change Revisited: CES Production Function and Information of General Order
- R&D Subsidies and the Surplus Appropriability Problem
- Literacy and Growth
- The Fed's Preference for Policy Rate Smoothing: Overestimation Due to Misspecification?
- Inflation Targeting in Western Europe
- On the Political Economy of Housing's Tax Status
- Rating Agencies and Sovereign Debt Rollover
- How Does the New Keynesian Monetary Model Fit in the U.S. and the Eurozone? An Indirect Inference Approach
- Fertility Choice and Semi-Endogenous Growth: Where Becker Meets Jones
- Equilibrium Wage Dispersion: An Example
- Exchange Rate Regimes, Specialization and Trade Volume
- A Refinement in the Specification of Empirical Macroeconomic Models as an Extension to the EBA Procedure
- Education, Growth, and Redistribution in the Presence of Capital Flight
- Measuring the Dissemination of Volatility across Levels of Development
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- Counter-Cyclical and Counter-Inflation Monetary Policy Rules and Comovement Properties of Money Growth
- Hicks Neutral Technical Change Revisited: CES Production Function and Information of General Order
- R&D Subsidies and the Surplus Appropriability Problem
- Literacy and Growth
- The Fed's Preference for Policy Rate Smoothing: Overestimation Due to Misspecification?
- Inflation Targeting in Western Europe
- On the Political Economy of Housing's Tax Status
- Rating Agencies and Sovereign Debt Rollover
- How Does the New Keynesian Monetary Model Fit in the U.S. and the Eurozone? An Indirect Inference Approach
- Fertility Choice and Semi-Endogenous Growth: Where Becker Meets Jones
- Equilibrium Wage Dispersion: An Example
- Exchange Rate Regimes, Specialization and Trade Volume
- A Refinement in the Specification of Empirical Macroeconomic Models as an Extension to the EBA Procedure
- Education, Growth, and Redistribution in the Presence of Capital Flight
- Measuring the Dissemination of Volatility across Levels of Development
