Startseite Validation of a continuous measure of cardiometabolic risk among adolescents
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Validation of a continuous measure of cardiometabolic risk among adolescents

  • Kaigang Li EMAIL logo , Denise L. Haynie , Xiang Gao , Leah M. Lipsky , Tonja Nansel , Ronald J. Iannotti , Federico E. Vaca und Bruce G. Simons-Morton
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 7. April 2021

Abstract

Objectives

We validated a continuous cardiometabolic risk (CMR) measure among adolescents.

Methods

Five metabolic syndrome (MetS) components including waist circumference, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, and mean arterial pressure were assessed in a national cohort of U.S. adolescents (n=560; 16.5 ± 0.5 y/o at baseline) in 10th grade (2010, Wave 1 (W1)), and follow-up assessments four (W4) and seven (W7) years later. Separately by wave, linear regressions were fitted to each MetS component controlling for age, sex, and race/ethnicity, and yielded standardized residuals (Z-scores). Wave-specific component Z-scores were summed to obtain composite CMR Z-scores. Four- and seven-year CMR change (CMR-diff W1–W4 and W1–W7). and average CMR risk (CMR-avg; (W1 + W4)/2 and (W1 + W7)/2) were calculated using the CMR Z-scores. W7 MetS was determined using adult criteria. Student’s t-test and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were conducted.

Results

Participants meeting the adult criteria for MetS at W7 (74 of 416, 17.8%) had statistically significant (p<0.01) higher values for W1 CMR Z-scores (0.92 vs. −0.21), W4 CMR Z-scores (1.69 vs. −0.28), W7 CMR Z-scores (2.21 vs. −0.55), W1–W4 CMR-avg (1.53 vs. −0.27), W1–W7 CMR-diff (1.29 vs. −0.21), and W1–W7 CMR-avg (1.46 vs. −0.48) than those not meeting MetS criteria. Most results were similar for males and females in the sex-stratified analyses. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.61, 0.71, and 0.75 for W1, W4 and W7 Z-scores.

Conclusions

Findings support the validity of the continuous CMR Z-scores calculated using linear regression in evaluating and monitoring CMR profiles from adolescence to early adulthood.


Corresponding author: Kaigang Li, PhD, MEd, Department of Health & Exercise Science, Colorado State University, 215E Moby B Complex, Fort Collins, CO80523, USA; Department of Emergency Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA; and Colorado School of Public Health, Fort Collins, CO, USA, Phone: +970 491 7253, E-mail:

Funding source: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development

Award Identifier / Grant number: HHSN275201200001I

  1. Research funding: This research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (contract #HHSN275201200001I), and the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI), the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA), and the Maternal and Child Health Bureau (MCHB) of the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), with supplemental support from the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA).

  2. Author contributions: Kaigang Li: Conceptualization, Investigation, Methodology, Formal analysis, Writing – Original Draft, Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing, Visualization; Denise Haynie: Investigation, Resources, Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing, Funding acquisition; Xiang Gao: Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing; Leah Lipsky: Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing; Tonja Nansel: Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing; Ronald Iannotti: Investigation, Resources, Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing, Funding acquisition; Federico E. Vaca: Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing; Bruce Simons-Morton: Investigation, Resources, Writing – Interpretation of Data, Review & Editing, Funding acquisition. All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.

  3. Competing interests: Authors state no conflict of interest.

  4. Informed consent: Informed consent was obtained from all individuals included in this study.

  5. Ethical approval: The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development.

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Received: 2020-10-15
Accepted: 2021-03-16
Published Online: 2021-04-07
Published in Print: 2021-06-25

© 2021 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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