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Religion and the 2020 Presidential Election: The Enduring Divide

  • David E. Campbell

    David E. Campbell is the Packey J. Dee Professor of American Democracy at the University of Notre Dame. He has written widely on the subject of religion and politics, including Secular Surge (co-authored with Geoffrey C, Layman and John C. Green), American Grace (co-authored with Robert D. Putnam), and Seeking the Promised Land (co-authored with J. Quin Monson and John C. Green).

    , James R. G. Kirk

    James R. G. Kirk is a first-year Ph.D. student in political science and Notebaert Fellow at the University of Notre Dame. His research interests include political parties, elections, public opinion, and religion and politics.

    und Geoffrey C. Layman

    Geoffrey C. Layman is Professor of Political Science at the University of Notre Dame. He is the author of two books on religion and politics in the U.S.: The Great Divide and Secular Surge (co-authored with David E. Campbell and John C. Green). He has published numerous journal articles on party politics, public opinion, electoral behavior, and religion and politics. He currently is co-editor of the journal Political Behavior.

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Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 18. März 2021
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Abstract

Religion played a prominent role in the 2020 presidential campaign. Donald Trump overtly courted white evangelical Protestants and Catholics, while Joe Biden emphasized his Catholicism far more than any Catholic candidate in American history. Did religion play as important a role in electoral behavior in 2020? If so, how and why did religion affect Americans’ voting decisions? We take up those questions by analyzing the religious vote in 2020 and the reasons why particular religious and non-religious groups voted as they did. We find that the religious divisions in the 2020 electorate were quite deep, but they were mostly unchanged from those present in 2016. Moreover, some electoral differences between religious groups are based in factors such as racial resentment, support for limited government, and anti-immigration attitudes that are not typically associated with religion. However, a key explanation for religious voting in 2020 was an old standby: the abortion issue. The religion gap in American electoral politics represents an enduring divide. The only changes were at the margins—but where elections are close, margins matter.


Corresponding author: Geoffrey C. Layman, Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, Indiana, USA, E-mail:

About the authors

David E. Campbell

David E. Campbell is the Packey J. Dee Professor of American Democracy at the University of Notre Dame. He has written widely on the subject of religion and politics, including Secular Surge (co-authored with Geoffrey C, Layman and John C. Green), American Grace (co-authored with Robert D. Putnam), and Seeking the Promised Land (co-authored with J. Quin Monson and John C. Green).

James R. G. Kirk

James R. G. Kirk is a first-year Ph.D. student in political science and Notebaert Fellow at the University of Notre Dame. His research interests include political parties, elections, public opinion, and religion and politics.

Geoffrey C. Layman

Geoffrey C. Layman is Professor of Political Science at the University of Notre Dame. He is the author of two books on religion and politics in the U.S.: The Great Divide and Secular Surge (co-authored with David E. Campbell and John C. Green). He has published numerous journal articles on party politics, public opinion, electoral behavior, and religion and politics. He currently is co-editor of the journal Political Behavior.

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Supplementary Material

The online version of this article offers supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/for-2020-2104).


Published Online: 2021-03-18

© 2021 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Heruntergeladen am 11.1.2026 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/for-2020-2104/pdf
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