Startseite Whither the Walking Dead? The Consequences of Artificial Intelligence for Zombie Firms
Artikel
Lizenziert
Nicht lizenziert Erfordert eine Authentifizierung

Whither the Walking Dead? The Consequences of Artificial Intelligence for Zombie Firms

  • Ryan Banerjee , Sebastian Doerr und Boris Hofmann EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 10. Oktober 2024

Abstract

Zombie firms have been a prominent yet controversial subject of academic and policy debates in recent years. In this article, we first revisit the economic consequences and driving factors of zombie companies and then, based on this assessment, discuss the implications of artificial intelligence (AI) for zombie firms. We document that the share of zombie firms in advanced economies has risen considerably over the past three decades, and that this increase has been a significant drag on productivity growth. We further find that persistently low interest rates are a significant causal factor underlying the rise of zombie companies. Turning to AI, we argue that an AI-induced productivity boom may counteract the drag from zombie firms and improve firm performance, mitigating corporate zombification. Moreover, by leading to higher interest rates that force zombie firms to exit markets, AI may boost productivity further in the longer run – a so far overlooked channel in the debate on the economic implications of AI.

JEL Classification: D24; G33; O33; O40

Corresponding author: Boris Hofmann, Bank for International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland, E-mail:
Ryan Banerjee, Sebastian Doerr and Boris Hofmann: The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the BIS.

References

Adalet McGowan, M., D. Andrews, and V. Millot. 2018. “The Walking Dead: Zombie Firms and Productivity Performance in OECD Countries.” Economic Policy 33: 685–736. https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiy012.Suche in Google Scholar

Albuquerque, B., and C. Mao. 2023. The Zombie Lending Channel of Monetary Policy. International Monetary Fund. IMF Working Papers 2023/192.10.5089/9798400253744.001Suche in Google Scholar

Albuquerque, B., and R. Iyer. 2023. The Rise of the Walking Dead: Zombie Firms Around the World. International Monetary Fund. IMF Working Papers 2023/125.10.5089/9798400246890.001Suche in Google Scholar

Aldasoro, I., S. Doerr, L. Gambacorta, and D. Rees. 2024a. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Output and Inflation. BIS Working Papers, no 1179.Suche in Google Scholar

Aldasoro, I., O. Armantier, S. Doerr, L. Gambacorta, and T. Oliviero. 2024b. “Survey Evidence on Gen AI and Households: Job Prospects amid Trust Concerns.” BIS Bulletin 85.Suche in Google Scholar

Alexopoulos, M., and J. Cohen. 2016. “The Medium Is the Measure: Technical Change and Employment, 1909–1949.” Review of Economics and Statistics 98 (4): 792–810. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00588.Suche in Google Scholar

Andrews, D., and F. Petroulakis. 2017. Breaking the Shackles: Weak Banks and Depressed Restructuring in Europe. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1433.Suche in Google Scholar

Autor, D., and A. Salomons. 2018. Is Automation Labor-Displacing? Productivity Growth, Employment, and the Labor Share. NBER Working Paper, no 24871.10.3386/w24871Suche in Google Scholar

Babina, T., A. Fedyk, A. He, and J. Hodson. 2024. “Artificial Intelligence, Firm Growth, and Product Innovation.” Journal of Financial Economics 151: 103745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103745.Suche in Google Scholar

Baily, M., E. Brynjolfsson, and A. Korinek. 2023. Machines of Mind: The Case for an AI-Powered Productivity Boom. Brookings Economic Studies Bulletin, May 5, 2023.Suche in Google Scholar

Banerjee, R., and B. Hofmann. 2018. “The Rise of Zombie Firms: Causes and Consequences.” BIS Quarterly Review: 67–78.Suche in Google Scholar

Banerjee, R., and B. Hofmann. 2022. “Corporate Zombies: Anatomy and Life Cycle.” Economic Policy 37: 757–803. https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiac027.Suche in Google Scholar

Benigno, G., B. Hofmann, G. Nuño, and Damiano Sandri. 2024. Quo Vadis, r*? The Natural Rate of Interest after the Pandemic. BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.Suche in Google Scholar

Borio, C., and B. Hofmann. 2017. “Is Monetary Policy Less Effective when Interest Rates Are Persistently Low?” In RBA Annual Conference Volume – Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, edited by Jonathan Hambur, and John Simon. Reserve Bank of Australia.Suche in Google Scholar

Brynjolfsson, E., D. Li, and L. Raymond. 2023. Generative AI at Work. NBER Working Paper, no 31161.10.3386/w31161Suche in Google Scholar

Caballero, R., T. Hoshi, and A. Kashyap. 2008. “Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan.” American Economic Review 98: 1943–77. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.5.1943.Suche in Google Scholar

Cazzaniga, M., F. Jaumotte, L. Li, G. Melina, A. J. Panton, C. Pizzinelli, E. J. Rockall, and M. M. Tavares. 2024. Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work. International MIMF Staff Discussion Notes, January 14, 2023.Suche in Google Scholar

Czarnitzki, D., G. P. Fernández, and C. Rammer. 2023. “Artificial Intelligence and Firm-Level Productivity.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 211: 188–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2023.05.008.Suche in Google Scholar

Noy, S., and W. Zhang. 2023. “Experimental Evidence on the Productivity Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence.” Science: 187–92. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4375283.Suche in Google Scholar

Sachs, Goldman. 2023. Generative AI: Hype, or Truly Transformative? Global Macro Research Report.Suche in Google Scholar

Schivardi, F., E. Sette, and G. Tabellini. 2022. “Credit Misallocation During the European Financial Crisis.” The Economic Journal 132: 391–423. https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/ueab039.Suche in Google Scholar

Storz, M., M. Koetter, R. Setzer, and A. Westphal. 2017. Do We Want These Two to Tango? On Zombie Firms and Stressed Banks in Europe. ECB Working Papers, No. 2104.10.2139/ssrn.3052072Suche in Google Scholar

Yang, C.-H. 2022. “How Artificial Intelligence Technology Affects Productivity and Employment: Firm-Level Evidence from Taiwan.” Research Policy 51 (6): 104536. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2022.104536.Suche in Google Scholar

Received: 2024-09-05
Accepted: 2024-09-23
Published Online: 2024-10-10

© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Heruntergeladen am 5.9.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/ev-2024-0061/html
Button zum nach oben scrollen