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Educational Signaling in Two Different Education Systems

  • Miguel Ángel Ropero García EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 18. Juni 2025

Abstract

We consider a two-period signaling model in which an informed worker has to decide whether she invests in education or participates in the labor market in the first period. When the rate at which the cost of education decreases with the worker’s productivity is sufficiently high (low), the worker’s incentives to invest in education become stronger (weaker) when the worker is more patient, when future prospects in the labor market are better, or when the cost of education decreases. Those results are robust to the worker’s risk preferences and to the specification of the prior distribution function of worker’s productivities.

JEL Classification: C72; C79; D82; D83; I21; J01

Corresponding author: Miguel Ángel Ropero García, Faculty of Economics, Department of Applied Economics, University of Malaga, Malaga, Spain, E-mail: 

I am very grateful to all participants in the Meeting on Game Theory and Applications held in Lisbon between the 31st of May and the 2nd of June in 2023, to participants in the Lancaster Game Theory Conference held between the 3rd and 4th of November in 2023, to those participants in the European Meeting on Game Theory (SING19) held in Besançon between the 8th and 10th of July in 2024, to attendants in the seminars held at Middlesex University in London and at Humboldt University in Berlin in 2024 and to two anonymous referees for all their comments and suggestions. All errors and omissions are my own. Part of this research was carried out during my research visits to the University of Nottingham, Lancaster University and Middlesex University.


  1. Research funding: Part of the research was partially financed by the University of Malaga (Plan Propio).

Appendix

Proof of Proposition 1.

First of all, we rewrite equation (1) as the following function:

(A.1) F t * , δ , P 0 , ρ , β = t 0 + t * 2 P 0 δ ρ P 0 + E ε t n t 0 2 + δ ς t * + β = 0

where F : t 0 , t n × 0,1 × 0 , + × 0 , + × 0 , + R is the real valued function defined in equation (A.1). If we derive this function with respect to each variable, we obtain:

(A.2) F t * = P 0 2 + δ ς t * t *
(A.3) F δ = ρ P 0 + E ε t n t 0 2 + ς t * + β
(A.4) F P 0 = t 0 + t * 2 δ t n t 0 2 ρ
(A.5) F ρ = δ P 0 t n t 0 2
(A.6) F β = δ

It is easy to see that F t t > 0 t t 0 , t n , F t 0 < 0 and F t n > 0 under assumptions 1, 2 and 3, which implies that there exists a unique t * t 0 , t n such that F t * = 0 . Likewise, F t t < 0 t t 0 , t n , F t 0 > 0 and F t n < 0 under assumptions 1′, 2′ and 3′, which implies that there exists a unique t * t 0 , t n such that F t * = 0 . Therefore, in the non-demanding and demanding educational systems, there is a unique t * t 0 , t n such that a separating equilibrium arises in which those worker’s types lower than t* choose e0 and those types greater than t* choose e1.

Additionally, since t 0 + t * 2 P 0 > 0 t * t 0 , t n , then F δ < 0 so that equation (A.1) is satisfied. Finally, as shown by equations (A.5) and (A.6), F ρ < 0 and F β > 0 . Thus, if we use the implicit function theorem, we obtain the desired results under Assumption 3:

(A.7) t * δ = F δ F t * > 0
(A.8) t * ρ = F ρ F t * > 0
(A.9) t * β = F β F t * < 0

Under Assumption 3′, these inequalities are reversed because F t * < 0 and this completes the Proof of proposition 1. QED.

Proof of Proposition 2.

From equation (A.4), we see that F P 0 > 0 when ρ = 0 and F P 0 decreases with ρ. Then, there will be a threshold, K R + , such that F P 0 > 0 when ρ < K, whereas F P 0 < 0 when ρ > K. Once again, we use the implicit function theorem in order to obtain the desired results. In particular, under assumptions 1, 2 and 3, we conclude that t * P 0 < 0 when ρ < K and t * P 0 > 0 when ρ > K. Likewise, under assumptions 1′, 2′ and 3′, we obtain that t * P 0 > 0 when ρ < K and t * P 0 < 0 when ρ > K. QED.

Proof of Proposition 3.

We start with the equilibrium with e0. We only need to prove that no worker’s type wishes to defect. As e1 is out of the equilibrium path, employers’ posterior beliefs are unrestricted. Imagine that employers assign probability one to t0 after observing e1. In this case, employers would pay a wage equal to P1t0 after observing e1 and no worker’s type would deviate because t 0 + t n 2 1 + δ ρ P 0 + δ t 0 + t n 2 E ε > δ t 0 ρ P 0 + E ε δ c t , e 1 t t 0 , t n . As this inequality is satisfied in both educational systems, we have proven that there is a pooling equilibrium in which all worker’s types choose e0.

Now, we prove that the pooling equilibrium with e1 may only arise in the non-demanding educational system. Specifically, we will show that no type deviates in the non-demanding educational system if employers respond to e0 by treating the worker as t0. Once again, this is possible because the out-of-equilibrium beliefs are unrestricted. Then, no worker’s type deviates providing that the following inequality is satisfied:

(A.10) δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε δ ς t + β > t 0 P 0 + δ t 0 ρ P 0 + E ε t t 0 , t n

If we substitute t with t0 in this inequality, it coincides with Assumption 1, which guarantees that t0 does not deviate in the non-demanding educational system. As ς t decreases with the worker’s type, inequality (A.10) is also satisfied for all types greater than t0, which implies that there exists a pooling equilibrium in which all worker’s types choose e1 in the non-demanding educational system. However, Assumption 1′ is the opposite of inequality (A.10) when t = t0, which implies that t0 would deviate. Therefore, there cannot be an equilibrium in which all types choose e1 in the demanding educational system. QED.

Proof of Proposition 4.

We start with the equilibrium in which all worker’s types choose e0. In this equilibrium, a worker’s type t would deviate providing that the wage received in period one with e1, w, is sufficiently high, that is, providing that the following inequality is satisfied:

(A.11) t 0 + t n 2 P 0 + δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε δ w ς t β

As ς t decreases with t, it is clear that P t , e 1 P 0 t , e 1 P t , e 1     t > t . This implies that the only divine posterior beliefs after e1 is μ t n | e 1 = 1 . Given those posterior beliefs, a t-type of worker does not deviate from the equilibrium as long as:

(A.12) t 0 + t n 2 P 0 + δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε > δ t n ρ P 0 + E ε ς t β

As ς t decreases with t, inequality (A.12) will hold for all worker’s types as long as:

(A.13) t 0 + t n 2 P 0 + δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε > δ t n ρ P 0 + E ε ς t n β

This inequality coincides with Assumption 2, which implies that no type would deviate and the equilibrium is divine in the non-demanding educational system. As Assumption 2′ is just the opposite inequality, it implies that t n would deviate in the demanding educational system and therefore, this equilibrium is not divine in that context.

Next, we consider the pooling PBE in which all worker’s types choose e1. Let us call w0 and w1 the wages paid by employers in periods zero and one, respectively, after observing the out-of-equilibrium level of education e0. Then, a t-type of worker deviates providing that:

(A.14) δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε ς t β < w 0 + δ w 1

Now, as ς t decreases with t, it is clear that P t , e 0 P 0 t , e 0 P t , e 0       t < t . This implies that the only divine posterior beliefs after e0 is μ t 0 | e 0 = 1 . Given these posterior beliefs, a worker’s type t would not defect as long as:

(A.15) δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε ς t β > t 0 P 0 + δ t 0 ρ P 0 + E ε

As ς t decreases with t, we can guarantee that inequality (A.15) will hold for all worker’s types as long as it is satisfied for t0, that is, as long as:

(A.16) δ t 0 + t n 2 ρ P 0 + E ε ς t 0 β > t 0 P 0 + δ t 0 ρ P 0 + E ε

As this inequality coincides with Assumption 1, no worker’s type would deviate in the non-demanding educational system and the equilibrium is divine. As shown in Proposition 3, this pooling equilibrium does not arise in the demanding educational system. QED.

Proof of Proposition 5.

Now, the worker’s indifference equation shown in (4) is equivalent to:

(A.17) F t * , δ , P 0 , ρ , β = U t 0 + t * 2 P 0 + δ ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε = 0

where F : t 0 , t n × 0,1 × 0 , + × 0 , + × 0 , + R is the real valued function defined in equation (A.17). In our setting, F t * > 0 under Assumption 6 and F t * < 0 under Assumption 6′. As U t 0 + t * 2 P 0 > 0 , the indifference condition (A.17) holds as long as ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε < 0 . This implies that F δ < 0 . Next, it is straightforward to see that F β > 0 . Then, using the implicit function theorem, we obtain that t * δ > 0 and t * β < 0 under Assumption 6 (non-demanding educational system), whereas t * δ < 0 and t * β > 0 under Assumption 6′ (demanding educational system). This completes the proof of part i of Proposition 5.

Now, we analyze the effect of a change in ρ by obtaining the following derivative:

(A.18) F ρ = δ P 0 t 0 + t * 2 ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε f ε d ε t * + t n 2 × ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε

Then, F ρ 0 if, and only if the following condition holds:

(A.19) t * + t n t 0 + t * ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε f ε d ε ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε = θ *

when θ* < 1, t * + t n t 0 + t * > 1 > θ * and F ρ < 0 . As F t * > 0 in the non-demanding educational system, then t * ρ > 0 when θ* < 1. Likewise, as F t * < 0 in the demanding educational system, then t * ρ < 0 when θ* < 1. This proves part ii of Proposition 5.

Since t * + t n t 0 + t * = 1 + t n t 0 t 0 + t * , we can rewrite (A.19) as:

(A.20) t n t 0 θ * 1 t 0 + t *

when θ* > 1, then t * ρ 0 if t n t 0 θ * 1 t 0 + t * in the non-demanding environment, whereas t * ρ 0 if t n t 0 θ * 1 t 0 + t * in the demanding educational system. Then, we have proven part iii of Proposition 5.

Next, we study the effect of a change in P0 on the worker’s incentives to invest in education. To this end, we obtain the following derivative:

(A.21) F P 0 = U t 0 + t * 2 P 0 t 0 + t * 2 + δ ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε ρ t 0 + t * 2 f ε d ε δ ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β ρ t * + t n 2 f ε d ε

We can rewrite this derivative in the following way:

(A.22) F P 0 = U t 0 + t * 2 P 0 t 0 + t * 2 + δ ρ t 0 + t * 2 ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t 0 + t * 2 ρ P 0 + ε f ε d ε t * + t n 2 ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε

If ρ = 0, then F P 0 = U t 0 + t * 2 P 0 t 0 + t * 2 > 0 . As the right-hand side of equation (A.22) is a continuous function with respect to ρ, there is a threshold K > 0 such that F P 0 > 0 when ρ < K. Then, t * P 0 < 0 under Assumption 6 and t * P 0 > 0 under Assumption 6′ when ρ < K. Then, we have proven part iv of Proposition 5.

In order to study the sign of F P 0 when ρ > K, we divide the right-hand side of (A.22) by m = ε ̄ Δ ε ̄ + Δ U t * + t n 2 ρ P 0 + ε ς t * β f ε d ε > 0 and obtain:

(A.23) F P 0 = m t 0 + t * 2 θ * λ * + δ ρ δ ρ t * + t n 2

Then, F P 0 0 if, and only if:

(A.24) t * + t n t 0 + t * θ * λ * + δ ρ δ ρ

This is equivalent to:

(A.25) t n t 0 θ * λ * δ ρ + θ * 1 t 0 + t *

Once again, as F t * > 0 in the non-demanding educational system, then t * P 0 0 if t n t 0 θ * λ * δ ρ + θ * 1 t 0 + t * , and as F t * < 0 in the demanding educational system, then t * P 0 0 if t n t 0 θ * λ * δ ρ + θ * 1 t 0 + t * . This proves part v and completes the Proof of proposition 5. QED.

Proof of Proposition 6.

To start with, we rewrite the indifference equation (8) as:

(A.26) F t * , δ , P 0 , ρ , β = E t | t < t * P 0 + δ E t | t < t * ρ P 0 + E ε δ E t | t > t * ρ P 0 + E ε ς t * β = 0

If we derive this function with respect to the indifferent type, we obtain:

(A.27) F t * = P 0 E t | t < t * t * δ ϕ t * t * ρ P 0 + E ε + δ ς t * t *

Under Assumption 9 (Assumption 9′), F t * > 0 ( F t * < 0 ).

Similarly, we obtain the following derivatives:

(A.28) F δ = E t | t < t * ρ P 0 + E ε E t | t > t * ρ P 0 + E ε ς t * β
(A.29) F ρ = δ P 0 ϕ t *
(A.30) F P 0 = E t | t < t * δ ϕ t * ρ
(A.31) F β = δ

Now, we determine the signs of these derivatives. The indifference condition (8) is:

(A.32) E t | t < t * P 0 = δ E t | t > t * ρ P 0 + E ε ς t * β E t | t < t * ρ P 0 + E ε

The left-hand side of this equation is positive because E t | t < t * P 0 t 0 P 0 > 0 . Therefore, the right-hand side of the equation is also positive, which implies that F δ < 0 . It is also clear that F ρ < 0 and F β > 0 . By using the implicit function theorem, we conclude that t * δ > 0 , t * ρ > 0 and t * β < 0 in the non-demanding scenario, whereas t * δ < 0 , t * ρ < 0 and t * β > 0 in the demanding scenario. Finally, F P 0 in equation (A.30) is positive when ρ = 0 and strictly decreases with ρ. Hence, there exists K R + such that F P 0 0 when ρK, which implies that t * P 0 0 when ρK in the non-demanding scenario and t * P 0 0 when ρK in the demanding scenario. QED.

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Supplementary Material

This article contains supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/bejte-2024-0076).


Received: 2024-07-18
Accepted: 2025-05-31
Published Online: 2025-06-18

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