Abstract
This paper provides the first causal evidence of the effect of a change in divorce laws on noncognitive skills in adulthood. We exploit state-cohort variation in the adoption of unilateral divorce laws in the U.S. to assess whether children exposed to this law have different noncognitive skills in adulthood compared to those never exposed or exposed as adults. Using data from the National Survey of Midlife Development in the U.S. (MIDUS) and employing the staggered difference-in-differences identification strategy developed by Callaway and Sant’Anna, we show that divorce reform had a detrimental long-term effect on the conscientiousness of those who were exposed as children whether their parents divorced or not. Changes in parental inputs can explain most of the effect, which is greatest for men whose parents divorced.
Acknowledgments
We are grateful to Pedro Sant’Anna and Fernando Rios-Avila for helping us implement their estimator, and to Daniel Hamermesh, Justin Wolfers, and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on an earlier version of this paper. This study uses the restricted data available from the Institute on Aging at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Timeline of unilateral divorce laws in the United States.
| State | Date | State | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 1971 | Montana | 1973 |
| Alaska | 1935 | Nebraska | 1972 |
| Arizona | 1973 | Nevada | 1967 |
| Arkansas | New Hampshire | 1971 | |
| California | 1970 | New Jersey | |
| Colorado | 1972 | New Mexico | 1933 |
| Connecticut | 1973 | New York | |
| Delaware | 1968 | North Carolina | |
| Florida | 1971 | North Dakota | 1971 |
| Georgia | 1973 | Ohio | |
| Hawaii | 1972 | Oklahoma | 1953 |
| Idaho | 1971 | Oregon | 1971 |
| Illinois | Pennsylvania | ||
| Indiana | 1973 | Rhode Island | 1975 |
| Iowa | 1970 | South Carolina | |
| Kansas | 1969 | South Dakota | 1985 |
| Kentucky | 1972 | Tennessee | |
| Louisiana | Texas | 1970 | |
| Maine | 1973 | Utah | 1987 |
| Maryland | Vermont | ||
| Massachusetts | 1975 | Virginia | |
| Michigan | 1972 | Washington | 1973 |
| Minnesota | 1974 | West Virginia | |
| Mississippi | Wisconsin | 1978 | |
| Missouri | Wyoming | 1977 |
-
Source: Gruber (2004).
Factor loadings for conscientiousness.
| Factor 1 | |
|---|---|
| Organized | 0.5223 |
| Responsible | 0.6238 |
| Hardworking | 0.5107 |
| Careless (reverse-coded) | 0.3617 |
-
We retain factor 1 because this factor has an eigenvalue over one. We chose the personality traits organized, responsible, hardworking, and careless following the survey methodology. As shown in the table, being responsible has the highest weight, followed by being organized and being hardworking. Because noncognitive skills evolve in adulthood, we use an age-adjusted measure derived by regressing conscientiousness on the second-order age polynomial and its interactions with gender for the control group before our study period, 1938–1960, and then using the predicted residuals to detrend, standardize, and center this measure. The resulting variable has a mean of zero and a variance of one.
Factor loadings for parental inputs.
| Factor 1 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Panel A: Affection | ||
| Paternal affection | Maternal affection | |
| How would you rate your relationship with your father/mother during the years you were growing up? | 0.8540 | 0.7895 |
| How much did he/she understand your problems and worries? | 0.8566 | 0.8225 |
| How much could you confide in him/her about things that were bothering you? | 0.8129 | 0.7828 |
| How much love and affection did he/she give you? | 0.8427 | 0.8155 |
| How much time and attention did he/she give you when you needed it? | 0.8962 | 0.8464 |
| How much effort did he/she put into watching over you and making sure you had a good upbringing? | 0.7622 | 0.6743 |
| How much did he/she teach you about life? | 0.7625 | 0.6634 |
(continued)
| Factor 1 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Panel B: Discipline | ||
| Paternal discipline | Maternal discipline | |
| How strict was he/she with his rules for you? | 0.9590 | 0.9290 |
| How consistent was he/she about the rules? | 0.7532 | 0.6904 |
| How harsh was he/she when he punished you? | 0.6589 | 0.5455 |
| How much did he/she stop you from doing things that other kids your age were allowed to do? | 0.5838 | 0.5269 |
-
We retain factor 1 for each variable because this factor has an eigenvalue over one. To construct these variables, we follow the survey methodology, according to which paternal/maternal affection combines seven variables listed in Panel A and paternal/maternal discipline combines four measures listed in Panel B. As shown in the table, parental love and affection as well as a parental understanding of child’s problems have the highest weights in both paternal and maternal affection; and parental strictness with the rules is most likely to define parental discipline.
The effects of unilateral divorce laws on conscientiousness, using conventional difference-in-differences methodology.
| Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | |
| Unilateral divorce law | −0.121*** | −0.112*** |
| (0.033) | (0.020) | |
| Observations | 8238 | 8658 |
| Mean of dependent variable | 0.133 | −0.127 |
-
The estimated coefficients on the policy variable unilateral divorce law are obtained using the standard difference-in-differences methodology and interpreted as a standard-deviation change in conscientiousness. The models include year and group fixed effects as well as age dummies and an indicator for having same-sex siblings. Standard errors clustered at the state level are shown in parentheses. ***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.1.

Placebo tests reassigning t −2 as treatment time. See Figure 1 for the specification.
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© 2023 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Strategic Analysis of Petty Corruption with an Entrepreneur and Multiple Bureaucrats
- Environmental Policy in Vertical Markets with Downstream Pollution: Taxes Versus Standards
- The Impact of the CARES Stimulus Payments on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality
- Reverses in Gender Salary Gaps Among STEM Faculty: Evidence from Mean and Quantile Decompositions
- Downstream Profit Effects of Horizontal Mergers: Horn & Wolinsky and von Ungern-Sternberg Revisited
- The Moderating Role of Decisiveness in the Attraction Effect
- Pension Reform and Improved Employment Protection: Effects on Older Men’s Employment Outcomes
- Relational Voluntary Environmental Agreements with Unverifiable Emissions
- Letters
- Labor Demand Responses to Changing Gas Prices
- Early Childhood Education Attendance and Students’ Later Outcomes in Europe
- The Long-Term Effects of Unilateral Divorce Laws on the Noncognitive Skill of Conscientiousness
- Lab versus Online Experiments: Gender Differences
- Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and HIV Incidence
- Variants of Gender Bias and Sexual-Orientation Discrimination in Career Development
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Strategic Analysis of Petty Corruption with an Entrepreneur and Multiple Bureaucrats
- Environmental Policy in Vertical Markets with Downstream Pollution: Taxes Versus Standards
- The Impact of the CARES Stimulus Payments on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality
- Reverses in Gender Salary Gaps Among STEM Faculty: Evidence from Mean and Quantile Decompositions
- Downstream Profit Effects of Horizontal Mergers: Horn & Wolinsky and von Ungern-Sternberg Revisited
- The Moderating Role of Decisiveness in the Attraction Effect
- Pension Reform and Improved Employment Protection: Effects on Older Men’s Employment Outcomes
- Relational Voluntary Environmental Agreements with Unverifiable Emissions
- Letters
- Labor Demand Responses to Changing Gas Prices
- Early Childhood Education Attendance and Students’ Later Outcomes in Europe
- The Long-Term Effects of Unilateral Divorce Laws on the Noncognitive Skill of Conscientiousness
- Lab versus Online Experiments: Gender Differences
- Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis and HIV Incidence
- Variants of Gender Bias and Sexual-Orientation Discrimination in Career Development