X. The “Firebreak” Theory

Kapitel in diesem Buch

1. Frontmatter i
2. Preface v
3. Contents vii
4. Introduction 1
5. I. Escalatory Fears and the Effectiveness of Local Resistance 25
6. II. The Analytical Problem 37
7. III. The Relevant Image of the Opponent 43
8. IV. The Attenuation of Incentives For “Going First” 63
9. V. What Is the Enemy Up To? 69
10. VI. The Status Quo as a Standard 75
11. VII. On Enemy Capabilities Versus Intentions 85
12. VIII. The New and Different Europe 89
13. IX. How Big an Attack? 97
14. X. The “Firebreak” Theory 103
15. XI. Predicting the Probabilities of Escalation: Some Sample Cases 113
16. Appendix. The Intractability of States: A Distinctive Problem 135
17. Index 149