Princeton University Press
Escalation and Nuclear Option
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Bernard Brodie
About this book
This work stresses the importance, in making any choice of strategies-including the decision to use or refrain from using nuclear weapons-of gauging the intent behind the opponent's military moves. Dr. Brodie also suggests that the use or threat of use of tactical nuclear weapons may lead to de-escalation, that is, may check rather than promote the expansion of hostilities. The author applies his ideas about escalation to several imagined situations, examining them in relation to experiences in Europe, in the second Cuba crisis, and in Asia.
Originally published in 1966.
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Frontmatter
i -
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Preface
v -
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Contents
vii -
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Introduction
1 -
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I. Escalatory Fears and the Effectiveness of Local Resistance
25 -
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II. The Analytical Problem
37 -
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III. The Relevant Image of the Opponent
43 -
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IV. The Attenuation of Incentives For “Going First”
63 -
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V. What Is the Enemy Up To?
69 -
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VI. The Status Quo as a Standard
75 -
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VII. On Enemy Capabilities Versus Intentions
85 -
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VIII. The New and Different Europe
89 -
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IX. How Big an Attack?
97 -
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X. The “Firebreak” Theory
103 -
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XI. Predicting the Probabilities of Escalation: Some Sample Cases
113 -
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Appendix. The Intractability of States: A Distinctive Problem
135 -
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Index
149
