Abstract
In this paper, we provide unique experimental evidence of depositors’ behaviour in presence of a possibility to convert commercial bank deposits into central bank digital currency (CBDC). Theoretically and experimentally we analyse whether such an option incentivises bank runs. We find that the availability of the deposit conversion option does not lead to a significant outflow of deposits. However, when conversion is restricted, depositors are eager to actively use it as a coordination tool. These findings highlight the importance of considering coordination and decision time in determining the choice to convert deposits into CBDC. Our study evidences that policy-makers should balance accessibility and control measures to maintain financial stability, ensuring that CBDC implementation supports the resilience of the banking system.
-
Research funding: The experiments for this paper were funded by the University of Liechtenstein.
References
Arifovic, J., J. H. Jiang, and Y. Xu. 2013. “Experimental Evidence of Bank Runs as Pure Coordination Failures.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37 (12): 2446–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2013.06.016.Search in Google Scholar
Auer, R., J. Frost, L. Gambacorta, C. Monnet, T. Rice, and H. S. Shin. 2022. “Central Bank Digital Currencies: Motives, Economic Implications, and the Research Frontier.” Annual Review of Economics 14: 697–721. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-051420-020324.Search in Google Scholar
Bian, W., Y. Ji, and P. Wang. 2021. “The Crowding-Out Effect of Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Simple and Generalizable Payment Portfolio Model.” Finance Research Letters 43: 102010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102010.Search in Google Scholar
Bindseil, U. 2019. “Central Bank Digital Currency: Financial System Implications and Control.” International Journal of Political Economy 48 (4): 303–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/08911916.2019.1693160.Search in Google Scholar
Chen, H., and P. L. Siklos. 2022. “Central Bank Digital Currency: A Review and Some Macro-Financial Implications.” Journal of Financial Stability 60: 100985. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2022.100985.Search in Google Scholar
Crosetto, P., and A. Filippin. 2013. “The “Bomb” Risk Elicitation Task.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 47 (1): 31–65. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-013-9170-z.Search in Google Scholar
Diamond, D. W., and P. H. Dybvig. 1983. “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity.” Journal of Political Economy 91 (3): 401–19. https://doi.org/10.1086/261155.Search in Google Scholar
Fernández-Villaverde, J., D. Sanches, L. Schilling, and H. Uhlig. 2021. “Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Banking for All?” Review of Economic Dynamics 41: 225–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2020.12.004.Search in Google Scholar
Gruen, N. 2015. “Central Banking for All: A Modest Case for Radical Reform.” The Australian Economic Review 48 (2): 205–8. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8462.12113.Search in Google Scholar
Kiss, H. J., I. Rodriguez-Lara, and A. Rosa-García. 2012. “On the Effects of Deposit Insurance and Observability on Bank Runs: An Experimental Study.” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 44 (8): 1651–65. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2012.00548.x.Search in Google Scholar
Kumhof, M., and C. Noone. 2021. “Central Bank Digital Currencies–Design Principles for Financial Stability.” Economic Analysis and Policy 71: 553–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.06.012.Search in Google Scholar
Madies, P. 2006. “An Experimental Exploration of Self-Fulfilling Banking Panics: Their Occurrence, Persistence, and Prevention.” Journal of Business 79 (4): 1831–66. https://doi.org/10.1086/503650.Search in Google Scholar
Supplementary Material
This article contains supplementary material (https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2024-0192).
© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Selection Efficiency in Multiple-Prize Tournaments with Sabotage
- Priced Out: Do Adolescents from Low-Income Families Respond More to Cost-Sharing in Primary Care?
- International Commodity-Tax Competition and Asymmetric Producer Prices
- Letters
- Absolute versus Relative Poverty and Wealth: Cooperation in the Presence of Between-Group Inequality
- Cross Ownership Under Strategic Tax Policy
- Central Bank Digital Currencies: Experimental Evidence of Deposit Conversion
- Earthquakes and Intertemporal Preferences: A Field Study in Italy
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Research Articles
- Selection Efficiency in Multiple-Prize Tournaments with Sabotage
- Priced Out: Do Adolescents from Low-Income Families Respond More to Cost-Sharing in Primary Care?
- International Commodity-Tax Competition and Asymmetric Producer Prices
- Letters
- Absolute versus Relative Poverty and Wealth: Cooperation in the Presence of Between-Group Inequality
- Cross Ownership Under Strategic Tax Policy
- Central Bank Digital Currencies: Experimental Evidence of Deposit Conversion
- Earthquakes and Intertemporal Preferences: A Field Study in Italy