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6. Quantitative Analysis: When to Expect Truthful Warnings
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Joseph M. Brown
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Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- Contents vii
- Acknowledgments ix
- Introduction 1
- 1. Threats: A Theoretical Framework 18
- 2. The Provisional IRA: A Full Spectrum of Threats 29
- 3. ETA and the Tamil Tigers: Comparable Threats for Social Control and Negotiation; Contrasting Threats for Legitimacy, Disruption, and Advantage 62
- 4. The MRTA and the Shining Path: Common Enemy; Virtually No Threat in Common 94
- 5. The Taliban, ISIL, and Boko Haram: Comparable Threats for Social Control; Contrasting Threats for Legitimacy, Negotiation, Aggrandizement, and Advantage 115
- 6. Quantitative Analysis: When to Expect Truthful Warnings 145
- Conclusion 166
- Appendix 181
- Notes 217
- Bibliography 265
- Index 281
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter i
- Contents vii
- Acknowledgments ix
- Introduction 1
- 1. Threats: A Theoretical Framework 18
- 2. The Provisional IRA: A Full Spectrum of Threats 29
- 3. ETA and the Tamil Tigers: Comparable Threats for Social Control and Negotiation; Contrasting Threats for Legitimacy, Disruption, and Advantage 62
- 4. The MRTA and the Shining Path: Common Enemy; Virtually No Threat in Common 94
- 5. The Taliban, ISIL, and Boko Haram: Comparable Threats for Social Control; Contrasting Threats for Legitimacy, Negotiation, Aggrandizement, and Advantage 115
- 6. Quantitative Analysis: When to Expect Truthful Warnings 145
- Conclusion 166
- Appendix 181
- Notes 217
- Bibliography 265
- Index 281
