Tweaking the NFL's Quarterback Passer Rating for Better Results
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Paul von Dohlen
In recent years, the NFL’s quarterback passer rating has become one of the most widely recognized statistics in sports. Though it has been in use since 1973, popular acceptance of the statistic took a few decades and has resulted in a great deal of debate over its ability to effectively quantify an aspect of the quarterback’s performance. Here, we will offer some background on the current quarterback passer rating system, consider some prevalent criticisms of the rating and propose some minor modifications to the rating system designed to keep the original intent of the statistic intact, while significantly improving results. Thus, rather than to offer a newly designed statistic, the goal here is to offer the simplest of modifications to the current quarterback passer rating, in line with the established calculation procedure, which will improve the effectiveness of the statistic. We will show that these modifications produce results that are far more reasonable than those achieved by the current rating.
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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Articles in the same Issue
- Article
- Estimating the Offsetting Effects of Driver Behavior in Response to Safety Regulation: The Case of Formula One Racing
- Predicting the Atlanta Falcons Play-Calling Using Discriminant Analysis
- Computing the Probability of Winning a Competition with an Application to Horse Races
- A Regression-Based Adjusted Plus-Minus Statistic for NHL Players
- Markov Analysis of APBA, a Baseball Simulation Game
- Sports Ranking with Nonuniform Weighting
- You're Hurting My Game: Lineup Protection and Injuries in Major League Baseball
- Factor Analysis in Performance Diagnostic Data of Competitive Ski Jumpers and Nordic Combined Athletes
- Match Analysis of Elite Ice Sledge Hockey in Paralympics 2010
- And After That, Who Knows?: Detailing the Marginal Accuracy of Weekly College Football Polls
- On Estimating the Ability of NBA Players
- The Quarterback Prediction Problem: Forecasting the Performance of College Quarterbacks Selected in the NFL Draft
- Finally, Evidence for a Momentum Effect in the NBA
- Are NFL Coaches Risk and Loss Averse? Evidence from Their Use of Kickoff Strategies
- Responses to Scoring or Conceding the First Goal in the NHL
- Using Generalizability Theory to Examine Scoring Reliability and Variability of Judging Panels in Skating Competitions
- Development of a Behavioural Assessment System for Achievement Motivation in Soccer Matches
- Prediction Accuracy of Linear Models for Paired Comparisons in Sports
- Comparing Hall of Fame Baseball Players Using Most Valuable Player Ranks
- Devising New Australian Rules Football Scoring Systems
- Discriminating Factors between Successful and Unsuccessful Teams: A Case Study in Elite Youth Olympic Basketball Games
- Tweaking the NFL's Quarterback Passer Rating for Better Results
- Home Advantage in American College Football Games: A Multilevel Modelling Approach
- Estimating NHL Scoring Rates
