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And After That, Who Knows?: Detailing the Marginal Accuracy of Weekly College Football Polls
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July 19, 2011
This paper determines that rankings in both the Media and Coaches college football Top 25 Polls are significantly accurate at their tops, insignificantly accurate towards their bottoms, and significantly more accurate at their tops than their bottoms. The computer-based Sagarin Poll is significantly accurate at both its top and bottom, and significantly more accurate at its top than its bottom. Comparing the Media and Coaches Polls to the Sagarin Poll suggests that the Media and Coaches Polls have diminishing accuracy because of both imperfections in voter behavior and smaller actual differences in team quality at lower ranks.
Published Online: 2011-7-19
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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