Ethanol Expansion in the Food versus Fuel Debate: How Will Developing Countries Fare?
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Amani Elobeid
This paper examines the impact of ethanol expansion in the United States, brought about by higher crude oil prices, on agricultural commodity prices. Given the United States's stature as a major producer and exporter of many agricultural commodities, the resulting increase in commodity prices has spillover effects into the global market. Using the price changes estimated within a multi-commodity, multi-country agricultural modeling system, this paper attempts to show how an increase in world commodity prices would affect the costs of food baskets around the world and how higher food costs will impact food security, particularly in developing countries. In general, we find that countries where corn is the major food grain experience larger increases in food basket cost while countries where rice is the major food grain have smaller food basket cost increases. Countries where wheat and/or sorghum are the major food grains fall in between. Consequently, the highest percentage increases are seen in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America where food basket costs are estimated to increase by at least 10%. The lowest percentage increases are seen in Southeast Asia, with cost increases of less than 2.5%.
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Article
- Explorations in Biofuels Economics, Policy, and History: Introduction to the Special Issue
- Policy Alternatives for the Future Biofuels Industry
- Ethanol: No Free Lunch
- Fuel Ethanol Subsidies and Farm Price Support
- Estimating the Welfare Effects of U.S. Distortions in the Ethanol Market Using a Partial Equilibrium Trade Model
- Ethanol Expansion in the Food versus Fuel Debate: How Will Developing Countries Fare?
- European Union Policy on Bioenergy and the Role of Sustainability Criteria and Certification Systems
- Biofuels Policies in Asian Countries: Impact of the Expanded Biofuels Programs on World Agricultural Markets
- Potential Land Use Implications of a Global Biofuels Industry
- Technical and Financial Feasibility Analysis of Distributed Bioprocessing Using Regional Biomass Pre-Processing Centers
- Fueling the Automobile: An Economic Exploration of Early Adoption of Gasoline over Ethanol
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Article
- Explorations in Biofuels Economics, Policy, and History: Introduction to the Special Issue
- Policy Alternatives for the Future Biofuels Industry
- Ethanol: No Free Lunch
- Fuel Ethanol Subsidies and Farm Price Support
- Estimating the Welfare Effects of U.S. Distortions in the Ethanol Market Using a Partial Equilibrium Trade Model
- Ethanol Expansion in the Food versus Fuel Debate: How Will Developing Countries Fare?
- European Union Policy on Bioenergy and the Role of Sustainability Criteria and Certification Systems
- Biofuels Policies in Asian Countries: Impact of the Expanded Biofuels Programs on World Agricultural Markets
- Potential Land Use Implications of a Global Biofuels Industry
- Technical and Financial Feasibility Analysis of Distributed Bioprocessing Using Regional Biomass Pre-Processing Centers
- Fueling the Automobile: An Economic Exploration of Early Adoption of Gasoline over Ethanol
