Abstract
This paper introduces a panel smooth transition model with a covariate-dependent threshold (PSTCT). To overcome the difficulty in estimating threshold parameters of covariate-dependent thresholds, we develop a new algorithm based on the within-group transformation and simulated annealing (SA) technique. We also suggest test statistics for threshold effect, threshold constancy and cross-section dependency in the proposed model. A variable selection procedure is suggested to choose the covariates that affect the threshold. An extension to the setting with multiple regimes is also discussed. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to investigate the finite sample properties of the proposed estimation and testing procedures. The model is illustrated by revisiting the relationship between firms’ investment and cash flow using the dataset of González, A., T. Teräsvirta, D. van Dijk, and Y. Yang. 2017. “Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models.” CREATES Research Paper. Comparing the proposed model with PSTR model of González, A., T. Teräsvirta, D. van Dijk, and Y. Yang. 2017. “Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models.” CREATES Research Paper, we find different empirical results after incorporating the covariate-dependent thresholds setting, highlighting the importance of splitting the sample based on a number of indicator variables in the cash flow/investment relationship.
Funding source: National Natural Science Foundation of China
Award Identifier / Grant number: 72273059
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the Editor and referees for very constructive comments and suggestions. Any remaining errors are solely our responsibility. The authors acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 72273059).
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Data availability: The codes and data are available on request from the authors.
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