Home Medicine Artificial intelligence in paediatric endocrinology: conflict or cooperation
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Artificial intelligence in paediatric endocrinology: conflict or cooperation

  • Paul Dimitri and Martin O. Savage EMAIL logo
Published/Copyright: January 8, 2024

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) in medicine is transforming healthcare by automating system tasks, assisting in diagnostics, predicting patient outcomes and personalising patient care, founded on the ability to analyse vast datasets. In paediatric endocrinology, AI has been developed for diabetes, for insulin dose adjustment, detection of hypoglycaemia and retinopathy screening; bone age assessment and thyroid nodule screening; the identification of growth disorders; the diagnosis of precocious puberty; and the use of facial recognition algorithms in conditions such as Cushing syndrome, acromegaly, congenital adrenal hyperplasia and Turner syndrome. AI can also predict those most at risk from childhood obesity by stratifying future interventions to modify lifestyle. AI will facilitate personalised healthcare by integrating data from ‘omics’ analysis, lifestyle tracking, medical history, laboratory and imaging, therapy response and treatment adherence from multiple sources. As data acquisition and processing becomes fundamental, data privacy and protecting children’s health data is crucial. Minimising algorithmic bias generated by AI analysis for rare conditions seen in paediatric endocrinology is an important determinant of AI validity in clinical practice. AI cannot create the patient–doctor relationship or assess the wider holistic determinants of care. Children have individual needs and vulnerabilities and are considered in the context of family relationships and dynamics. Importantly, whilst AI provides value through augmenting efficiency and accuracy, it must not be used to replace clinical skills.

Introduction

Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to the development of computer systems or machines that possess the ability to perform tasks and make decisions that typically require human intelligence. These tasks include learning, reasoning, problem-solving, perception and language understanding. AI systems use algorithms and models to analyse data, adapt to new information and improve performance over time [1]. The roots of AI can be traced back to the 1950s when the term ‘Artificial Intelligence’ was first coined by John McCarthy at the Dartmouth Conference. In 1956, Allen Newell and Herbert A. Simon developed the Logic Theorist, the first AI program with the ability to solve mathematical problems and prove a selection of mathematical theorems. A year later, Frank Rosenblatt created the Perceptron, an early form of a neural network capable of pattern recognition marking a significant development in machine learning and neural network research. Following a period of quiescence, AI received a renewed focus following the creation of the internet, and from 2000 onwards, there was a resurgence of interest in neural networks, particularly deep learning, due to improved computational power, large datasets and novel training techniques. In general, AI can be divided into narrow or weak AI, and general or strong AI [2]. Weak AI refers to AI systems designed and trained for specific tasks or purposes. These systems are highly specialized and excel in a predefined set of activities. Examples include voice assistants (e.g. Siri, Alexa), image recognition and language translation. Strong AI refers to AI systems with the ability to understand, learn and apply knowledge across a wide range of tasks at a human-like level. Strong AI possesses general intelligence, enabling it to perform any intellectual task that a human being can. However, achieving strong AI is still a theoretical concept and remains a goal for future AI development. Superintelligence refers to a hypothetical future AI that surpasses human intelligence across all domains and activities. It is capable of independent learning, problem-solving and decision-making, far exceeding the cognitive abilities of any human. AI has also been categorised according to its hierarchical ability. Reactive AI systems are the simplest form of AI that can analyse current situations and respond based on pre-programmed rules and patterns. However, they lack memory and cannot learn from past experiences. Limited memory AI, also known as AI with memory, is capable of learning from historical data. These systems make decisions and improve performance, but the outcome is limited to a specific range of data. Future AI models include theory of mind systems that can understand and simulate human emotions, intentions, beliefs and desires. These AI models attempt to predict and interpret human behaviour based on mental states, and self-aware AI, a theoretical concept, involving AI systems that have consciousness or self-awareness similar to human beings. These AI models understand their existence, thoughts and emotions. Over the decades, AI has evolved through different phases, including expert systems, machine learning (ML) and deep learning, leading to the current era of AI technologies. ML is used to develop algorithms and statistical models enabling systems to learn from data and improve performance with experience. Deep learning is a subset of ML that employs neural networks with multiple layers, resembling the human brain’s structure, for complex data processing and pattern recognition. Natural Language Processing (NLP) is the ability to use AI to understand and generate human language, facilitating communication between machines and humans and computer vision is the capacity of machines to interpret and analyse visual information, such as images and videos. Robotics AI uses AI systems to control and guide robots to perform tasks autonomously or semi-autonomously. This includes tasks like automation in manufacturing, logistics and healthcare [3], [4], [5].

AI is rapidly reshaping healthcare, offering unprecedented opportunities to enhance patient care, streamline operations and drive medical research. AI algorithms provide accurate and rapid analyses of medical data, reducing diagnostic errors and enhancing the efficiency of healthcare workflows. For example, AI can enhance medical imaging interpretation, aiding in early disease detection and accurate diagnosis ML models, especially deep learning, assist in analysing medical images such as X-rays, MRIs and CT scans, improving diagnostic accuracy and efficiency. However, the proof of benefit of an AI model to diagnose lung cancer from chest X-rays in primary care was recently judged to be insufficient by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) and inferior to interpretation by experienced radiologists [6]. AI can also accurately identify and classify cells and tissues, aiding in the diagnosis of diseases such as cancer and AI-powered tools assist in diagnosing skin conditions and dermatological diseases through image analysis. AI helps tailor treatment plans based on an individual’s genetic makeup, medical history and lifestyle, leading to timely and accurate diagnoses, personalized treatment plans, proactive monitoring and more effective and targeted interventions, thus creating a patient-centric personalised approach to healthcare.

In this context, AI has the ability to accelerate drug discovery by predicting drug efficacy, identifying potential drug candidates and optimizing clinical trial designs, thus contributing to personalized medicine. Algorithms analyse biological data to find patterns that lead to the creation of new drugs and treatment protocols. By automating tasks and optimizing resource allocation, AI is helping to reduce healthcare costs, making medical services more accessible and affordable. In the context of workflow optimisation, AI improves healthcare operations by automating administrative tasks, appointment scheduling, resource allocation and supply chain management. This improves efficiency, reduces wait times and enhances the overall healthcare experience. AI-driven Clinical Decision Support Systems (CDSS) provide healthcare professionals with real-time, evidence-based guidance to support decision-making. These systems help interpret patient data, suggest diagnoses, recommend treatments and assist in medication management.

AI has also rapidly advanced our ability to provide patient remote monitoring and telehealth. AI facilitates remote patient monitoring through wearable devices and IoT sensors, allowing healthcare providers to track patients’ vital signs and health metrics in real-time. Telehealth platforms integrated with AI enhance virtual consultations and provide personalized healthcare recommendations.

The application of AI in paediatric endocrinology

The use of AI in paediatric endocrinology is a growing area of development that utilises large datasets to provide data that aids with communication, diagnoses, clinical decision-making, monitoring and therapeutic support and contributes to personalisation of care. It should be remembered that clinical skills can vary with the individual clinician, whereas an AI programme can be relied on to deliver repeatedly at a set level. However, the benefit of the AI performance must be critically appraised in a real-world setting before healthcare systems invest in new AI models [6].

AI in paediatric diabetes

AI holds significant potential in the management of paediatric type 1 diabetes. A recent trial aimed at evaluating the efficacy and safety of frequent insulin dose adjustments, guided by an automated AI-based Decision Support System (AI-DSS), compared to adjustments guided by physicians from specialist academic diabetes centres in glucose level control. The study demonstrated that the AI-DSS system was comparable to physicians in terms of insulin dose adjustment every three weeks and the duration spent within the targeted glucose range was non-inferior across the AI-DSS groups in comparison with the physician-guided patients. This potentially provides an opportunity to facilitate automated insulin calculations improving paediatric diabetes workflow and management [7].

One of the challenges for children and young people with diabetes is the early recognition of hypoglycaemic or hyperglycaemic episodes facilitating early intervention. Paediatric patients suffering from type 1 diabetes are at greater risk for developing acute rather than chronic complications, compared to adult patients [8]. Given the risk of long-term complications from poor glycaemic control, it is pivotal that paediatric patients achieve optimal HbA1c levels and reduce glycaemic variability. In an ongoing trial aiming to enrol 64 patients less than 18 years old who are already wearing a continuous glucose monitor, participants also wore an additional non-invasive wearable device for recording ECG data (Medtronic Zephyr BioPatch). The objective of the study was to validate an established AI model to automatically detect hypoglycaemic events by using a few ECG heartbeats recorded with the wearable device. The proposed system automatically learnt patterns in the ECG, discriminating between heartbeats recorded during low or normal glucose levels in the same subject [9].

AI has also been utilized to detect diabetic retinopathy (DR) in paediatric patients [10]. DR, a leading contributor to global blindness and impaired vision, affects approximately 100 million individuals with retinopathy threatening vision in around 30 million [11, 12]. These numbers are projected to rise in the future, thus early detection through screening in young people is recommended to facilitate timely intervention. Screening for DR is recommended in children with type 1 diabetes from 11 years of age and with a diabetes duration of 3–5 years. Children with type 2 diabetes patients are advised to undergo screening soon after diagnosis, and annually thereafter. In 2018, the FDA approved the marketing of an AI device to detect diabetic retinopathy catalysing automated DR detection [13]. Employing a non-mydriatic fundus camera with autonomous AI has proven to be a secure and efficient method for diabetic eye examinations in the young people, achieving a sensitivity of 85.7 % and a specificity of 79.3 % [14].

Automated algorithms for DR detection offer numerous advantages over human-based screening. They don’t experience fatigue and can analyse thousands of images daily, often delivering results within seconds to minutes after image capture. Moreover, scaling automated DR screening programs primarily involves acquiring additional hardware, making it a highly feasible process. However, systems are currently costly and, therefore, utilisation is limited for low-income countries where DR incidence is high, and human graders are still required to judge atypical or low-quality images, and to provide quality assurance for automated systems, particularly with the low specificity of some automated AI DR systems [15], albeit sensitivity and specificity has improved significantly [16]. Other AI applications that will improve future diabetes care and outcomes include the use of AI to predict hypoglycaemic and hyperglycaemic events [17, 18], predicting those who are at risk of gestational diabetes, predicting gestational diabetes onset and determining the most effective course of treatment, in-turn reducing the risk of maternal and infant complications, such as pre-eclampsia, birth trauma, large-for-gestational age infants and neonatal hypoglycaemia [19, 20], and the use of AI in closed loop systems utilising continuous glucose monitoring data to predict insulin dose [21, 22].

AI and imaging in paediatric endocrinology

Computer vision and deep learning techniques have been employed to process the large data sets held within radiological images to improve diagnostic accuracy, efficiency and patient care. As with the study to diagnose lung cancer in primary care, an AI model reading radiographs for diagnosis needs to be shown to be superior or at least more efficient with equivalent capability to the skills of experienced radiologists before its use can be recommended. This use of AI is encapsulated in a new field of radiology called radiomics. Radiomics involves the extraction of numerous quantitative features from medical images including intensity, shape, size, texture and spatial relationships within the region of interest and the use of AI to analyse these data. Before feature extraction, medical images are pre-processed to ensure consistency and quality. This may involve noise reduction, normalisation, registration and segmentation to define the region of interest accurately.

AI algorithms can automatically segment and annotate medical images, making it easier for radiologists to identify and analyse regions of interest and detect abnormalities. AI can also support image reconstruction and enhancement, thus improving image quality and reconstructing high-resolution images from low-resolution scans, enhancing diagnostic accuracy and aiding clearer visualization of structures. AI models can federate and analyse medical image data alongside clinical data to predict patient outcomes, disease progression and treatment responses aiding in personalised treatment planning and decision-making [23]. This now extends to a new field of medicine called radiogenomics by which AI algorithms can correlate imaging data with clinical and genomic data diagnosis and treatment planning [24], [25], [26], [27].

At present, the use of AI in radiology to improve diagnostic accuracy and predict disease progression is limited and each AI model needs to be critically appraised in appropriate clinical settings beyond trialling training and test sets. Deep-learning AI models have been developed to differentiate malignant tumours from benign thyroid nodules in adults and children. However, presently these AI models demonstrate high sensitivity but low specificity [28, 29]. AI models have also been applied to accurately predict bone age with a high level of diagnostics accuracy across models ranging from 85 to 95 % across an age range of 1.5–18 years within 1 year of the bone age calculated by expert radiologists [3033], with the most accurate methods predicting bone age within 4.3–4.5 months of pre-defined bone ages assessed by radiologists [34]. In relation to the prediction of final adult height in children entering puberty early, AI algorithms using the TW3 (Tanner Whitehouse 3) methodology for bone age assessment appear to work best in predicting final height in females with early puberty [35]. At present, however, AI algorithms in studies are essentially determining bone age within models that have a value assigned by expert radiologists, therefore, introducing a risk of inaccuracy and bias. Therefore, presently more rapid and efficient calculation of bone age by AI models provides the more compelling argument for using automated bone age assessment. Future work using significantly larger and more comprehensive databases to develop a training dataset of healthy children could be used to develop AI models that independently predict bone age – essentially removing ‘human ground truth’ [36] and eliminating the inherent biases of using data derived from radiologist assessment to provide training sets [37, 38].

AI in puberty and growth

ML approaches have been developed to diagnose central precocious puberty (CPP) in females. The first publication in this field used two ML models to analyse retrospectively collected data on 1757 females who had presented with potential CPP. A total of 966 females had a confirmed diagnosis of CPP based upon a peak LH level ≥10 IU/L or peak LH level ≥5 IU/L combined with a ratio of peak LH to FSH of ≥0.6 and together with the onset of secondary sexual characteristics at the age less than 8 years. The ML algorithms using 19 variables were able to predict CPP puberty with a sensitivity ranging from 77.91 to 77.94 %, specificity ranging from 84.32 to 87.66 % and with the area under the curve (AUC) ranging from 0.88 to 0.90. A smaller sample (n=436) was subsequently tested using a 25 variable ML model including imaging data performed with equivalent accuracy but diminished in accuracy when only using 19 variables, demonstrating the balance between the size of the patient cohort and the number of variables in the models. In both models, the most important predictive variable was LH level, followed by IGF-I and FSH levels. In conclusion, the authors suggested that ML models may be used as a reliable screening tool to positively identify CPP before considering a GnRH stimulation test [39].

Similar models have been created using 15 variables in 4 separate ML models in 161 females with AUC values greater than 0.88 across models [40]. Another approach in predicting CPP has been to use nine variables that were extracted from the participants’ clinical records in a machine learning algorithm including age (years), body weight (Z-score), height (Z-score), BMI (Z-score), obesity, breast development (Tanner stages 1–5), pubic hair (Tanner stages 1–5), onset of menarche and bone age. The remaining five biochemical variables were basal oestradiol, LH, and LH and FSH results from a shortened GnRH stimulation test that had previously been validated for use in diagnosing CPP [41], [42], [43]. The ML model could accurately predict CPP in female participants with a positive predictive value of 0.987, AUC of 0.972 and a specificity of 0.893, demonstrating the potential to reduce sampling standard GnRH testing [44]. Alternative approaches using ML multi-omics approach to investigate the alterations and functional characteristics of gut microbes and blood metabolites in patients with CPP have yielded interesting results. Alterations in the gut microbiome may yield alternative molecular therapeutic markers to diagnose CPP and monitor response to therapy [45].

Facial recognition software is also being applied in medicine to identify subtle facial changes and dysmorphic features that may be present in certain conditions, some of which may be too subtle to be identified by clinicians [46, 47]. In adult patients, ML algorithms have been developed to diagnose acromegaly with an accuracy of around 95 % [47, 48]. Similar findings have been achieved in patients with Cushing syndrome (CS) on retrospective facial analysis [46], although the accuracy of ML models in predicting CS diminishes significantly when a matched sample of patients with high BMI without CS are included in [49]. Facial recognition machine learning models have also been used to identify patients with Turner syndrome, the partial or complete loss of one X chromosome in females. Based upon 68 facial characteristics, one ML model achieved a diagnostic accuracy of 83.4 % on the test set [50]. Using a larger data set, an alternative model using deep convolutional neural networks was able to achieve a higher diagnostic accuracy of 97 % demonstrating the potential value in the use of facial recognition ML in diagnosing Turner syndrome [51]. A similar technique may be applied to diagnosis of other genetic conditions relevant in paediatric endocrinology such as Noonan syndrome [52] and other non-genetic disorders that affect growth such as foetal alcohol spectrum [53]. More broadly, facial recognition programmes have been developed with the potential to differentiate hundreds of genetic conditions such as Deep Gestalt with the ability to differentiate subtypes of conditions within the Noonan syndrome [54] and automated 3-dimensional facial imaging [55].

Interestingly, facial recognition software has also been applied to diagnosing congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH), a condition which is not classically characterised by morphological changes in facial features [56]. In this study involving 102 individuals with CAH and 144 individuals in the control group, the utilisation of deep learning techniques resulted in an AUC of 92 % for the accurate prediction of CAH using facial images. Further investigation into facial regions highlighted the significance of the nose and upper face in making the most significant contributions to this distinction. The authors speculated that prenatal organizational or postnatal effects of androgen excess on 11 facial morphologic features in patients with CAH may result in these subtle facial differences [5]. One of the future challenges of using ML facial recognition is the application of these technologies to ethnic subsets and to different age ranges, particularly in younger children given data sets are currently limited and models are highly dependent on comprehensive datasets to refine current systems [46, 57].

The assessment of growth and prediction of future growth are pillars of paediatric endocrinology and AI programmes are showing promise in assisting in this field. The early detection of growth disorders assists with earlier referral to and assessment by paediatric endocrinologists, facilitating timely diagnosis and intervention and potentially better longer-term outcomes. In Finland, around 98 % of the child population participates in a growth monitoring program, with 20 height measurements taken from the first post-birth measurement to aged 12 years. An automated algorithm built into patient electronic health records to identify problems with growth demonstrated an earlier diagnosis of disorders such as coeliac disease and subsequent referral to specialist care in comparison to the previous standardised system [58]. Others have developed an approach using the input of anthropometric data entered into an app by parents with subsequent advice to identify growth disorders and obesity using an embedded AI algorithm. The app facilitated earlier referral to specialists and earlier diagnosis of growth disorders and obesity intervention [59].

An alternative application is the use of ML to predict final adult height (AH) during childhood. To achieve this, comprehensive growth data from longitudinal paediatric cohorts are used to train ML algorithms, with an accuracy of nearly 90 % in predicting AH, but with prediction errors that result in over- or under-estimates for short and tall subjects, respectively. Importantly, the ML approach taken for AH prediction was shown to be non-inferior to traditional methods of calculation [60].

AI in predicting and diagnosing disease

Machine learning is now being applied to predicting and diagnosing diseases in children, which includes paediatric endocrinology. ML models incorporate relevant features (predictors) selected or engineered from the data to represent essential aspects of a child’s presentation, such as genetic markers, vital signs, symptoms and signs. Within the models, feature engineering may involve creating new variables or combining existing ones to enhance predictive accuracy. Subsequently, variables are used in various machine learning algorithms, such as decision trees, random forests, support vector machines, neural networks or deep learning models, to determine the most appropriate model(s) to provide the most accurate prediction based upon the variables. These models learn patterns and relationships between features and target outcomes (e.g. disease presence, severity) during the training process. Trained models are then evaluated using validation datasets to assess that their performance and necessary adjustments are made to optimize predictive accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. Once the models are sufficiently trained and validated, they can predict the likelihood of a child developing a particular disease based on input data. These predictions can aid in early diagnosis, allowing for timely intervention and improved health outcomes.

In an era in which obesity prevalence is high, ML models have been used to predict the onset of pre-diabetes in young people by using a non-invasive method, in an attempt to support individuals with lifestyle modification to prevent the onset of type 2 diabetes in adulthood [61]. ML models have been applied to clinical and biochemical parameters to predict metabolic-associated fatty liver disease [62] (MAFLD – previously known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease of NAFLD), to identify children and young people that may be at greater risk of developing hepatic complications and supporting targeted interventions [63]. Other ML models have been applied to metabolic profiles to predict future outcomes. Using random forest machine learning models, metabolomic profile at 3 months can predict body composition and adiposity at 2 years of age with a predictive value of 75.8 %, sensitivity of 100 % and specificity of 50 %. These metabolites included several classes of lyso-phospholipids and are influenced by infant feeding type [64, 65].

Another clinical condition in which ML may add value is in the diagnostic process is the differentiation between central diabetes insipidus (CDI) and primary polydipsia, attempting to circumvent the need for the water deprivation and hypertonic saline tests both of which are intensive for young patients. The initial ML model included 56 patient characteristics clinical, biochemical and radiological covariates of which five covariates were identified as crucial for differentiating CDI from primary polydipsia – urine osmolality, plasma sodium and glucose, known transsphenoidal surgery, and known anterior pituitary dysfunction. Although the model was highly accurate, as expected, adding in MRI data improved the model’s accuracy, and pituitary stalk enlargement was found to be the main MRI covariate for the diagnosis of CDI along with the other baseline parameters. The authors of this paper proposed that the ML model may be used to differentiate patients who are more likely to have CDI and consider MRI scanning specifically for this patient subgroup. This is particularly important in young patients where a general anaesthetic is required to conduct the scan. The authors subsequently concluded that their ML algorithm would act as an important clinical decision support tool to help overcome the challenge of differentiating CDI with primary polydipsia [66].

Others have applied an ML approach to the diagnosis on classical adrenal congenital adrenal hyperplasia using the combination of adrenal steroid hormone analysis using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS), bone age and clinical parameters. Based on selected variables, the ML model was 100 % accurate in differentiating premature adrenarche from late-onset CAH patients. The most significant variables in the ML model were 21-deoxycorticosterone, 17-hydroxyprogesterone and 21-deoxycortisol steroids [67]. Similar findings were seen using an ML model to differentiate adult women with non-classical CAH and polycystic ovarian syndrome [68], demonstrating the value in both models of combining clinical features with a single blood test to identify patients with non-classical CAH, without the need for synacthen (co-syntropin) testing. Other patient groups stand to benefit from the use of AI and ML to support their care and prevent long-term complications. ML algorithms as part of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offer significant potential in predicting hypoglycaemic episodes in neonates, infants and children with hyperinsuinaemic hypoglycaemia to prevent irreversible neurodevelopmental complications due to the late identification of hypoglycaemia in this patient group using current methods [69], and the wider applicability of CGM in preterm babies who are prone to adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes from hypo- and hyper glycaemic episodes [70]. However, CGM ML models are currently not accurate enough to apply to real-world settings [71].

ML models have also been applied to determine the factors that predict response of patients with Turner syndrome to recombinant growth hormone (GH), with factors such as chronological age at the start of treatment predicting the height SDS in the first year of therapy, and the increment of height SDS in the first year being an important predictor of height SDS gain after 3 years, providing clinicians with a platform to predict growth hormone response in this patient group [72].

Using AI in clinical decision support

Precision medicine, also known as personalized medicine or individualized medicine, is an innovative approach to healthcare that customizes medical treatment and preventive strategies based on an individual’s unique genetic, molecular, clinical and lifestyle characteristics. The goal of precision medicine is to tailor interventions to each person’s specific needs, optimizing outcomes and minimizing adverse effects. AI enables the categorization of patients into various levels based on disease subtypes, risk factors, demographics and socio-economic attributes. This allows for personalized interventions, tailored to each patient. Integration of factors such as genomics, lifestyle, medical history, therapy response and adherence is now feasible based upon widespread data acquisition from multiple sources [73, 74]. In the future, AI will be used to provide the means to advise clinicians about clinical interventions for paediatric endocrine patients based upon their data and provide personalised and targeted plans. Anthropometric data and data related to growth hormone adherence are already being transmitted via digital platforms through a connected growth hormone delivery device to inform decision-making about future therapeutic changes to improve growth through therapy adherence [75, 76], and a framework has since been conceptualised highlighting the potential for future digital interventions to support the management of children with growth disorders requiring growth hormone therapy [77]. Analyses of adherence data using ML to identify types of patients with reduced adherence have indicated worse adherence in those who infrequently transmit data, don’t change growth hormone device comfort settings and start treatment at an older age in the following 3, 6 or 9 months. This information can be used to provide support to at-risk patients to achieve optimal adherence and, subsequently, improve clinical outcomes with growth hormone therapy [78]. In paediatric type 1 diabetes clinics, AI models have been shown as effective in determining future insulin dose based upon patient data, highlighting the potential for use of these algorithms in and outside the clinic to support therapeutic decision-making [21, 79]. More broadly, clinical decision support systems are being developed to aid clinicians with effective diagnoses and interventions based upon medical records, clinical, laboratory and imaging data [80, 81]. Ultimately, the synergy between AI and clinical decision support has the potential to significantly enhance healthcare delivery for children and young people, empower clinicians, improve efficiency and workflows and ultimately improve patient outcomes by providing evidence-based, personalized and timely clinical decision support.

Challenges with using AI in paediatric populations

Despite its potential, the integration of AI in paediatric endocrinology presents several challenges. Data privacy and protecting children’s health data is crucial. Robust data encryption and compliance with privacy regulations are necessary. Efforts are required to mitigate algorithmic bias and ensure equitable healthcare outcomes, especially in paediatric population and AI algorithms must undergo rigorous clinical validation to demonstrate their safety, efficacy and reliability in the context of age-specific populations. To address this, a recently published framework entitled ACCEPT-AI sets out recommendations for the safe inclusion of paediatric data in AI and machine learning research that address the fundamental parameters of age, consent, assent, communication, equity and protection of data. ACCEPT-AI has been designed to guide researchers, clinicians, regulators and policymakers [82]. The aim of the ACCEPT-AI guidelines is to address the potential algorithmic bias that may occur when using paediatric data. In the realm of machine learning, algorithms depend on diverse or multiple datasets, often referred to as training data. These datasets contain predefined outputs for various individuals or objects. Utilizing this training data, the algorithm constructs a model, which can subsequently be employed to make predictions for other individuals or objects, determining what the correct outputs should be for them. AI systems learn to make decisions based on training data, which can include biased human decisions or reflect historical or social inequities in data sets due to the under- or over-representation of specific groups [83, 84]. Some algorithms run the risk of replicating and even amplifying human biases, particularly those affecting protected groups, leading to erroneous outputs that can result in misclassification and potential harm [85, 86]. Algorithmic bias in paediatric data may result from failure to document age, lack of representation of children in population data sets and inference about paediatric data extrapolated from adult data sets. Given the physiological, anatomical and developmental differences across the paediatric age range and between paediatric and adult groups, failure to train the technology on these differences has the potential to create algorithmic outputs that are not valid, applicable, effective or generalisable across age subgroups. The ACCEPT-AI framework defines age-specific measures to prevent algorithmic bias and attain equitable, ethical and appropriate AI/ML outputs on paediatric data sets [82]. Bajwa et al. have suggested an iterative approach to test AI outputs by evaluating and validating the predictions made by the AI tool to test how well it is functioning based upon three dimensions: statistical validity of the model, clinical utility to demonstrated clinical effectiveness and generalisability and economic utility to test whether there is plausible argument to invest in a novel AI system [87].

To this end, in 2019, the McKinsey Company made recommendations in the development of AI and risk mitigation by taking an approach that involved experts in firstly developing the AI algorithm based upon the conceptual challenge, secondly supporting implementation and delivery of algorithms in the desired setting or pathway and thirdly determining the outputs in relation to social and ethical implications [88]. Ethical review boards now and in the future will be required to assess AI development in line with standards to minimise the downstream effects of biased training data sets [89].

The interface between AI and clinical skills

At a pragmatic level, the question has been raised as to whether AI will replace doctors and, in this context, paediatric endocrinologists. AI should in fact be considered as a complimentary tool rather than a replacement for healthcare professionals with the ability to consistently improve accuracy and precision, efficiency and predictive power, particularly as clinical skills and expertise may vary considerably based on training, experience and the provision of facilities for clinical practice [90]. From the examples provided in this paper, AI amplifies and augments, rather than replaces, human intelligence and the integration of AI technology into healthcare should not be about ‘them vs. us’ in the context of machines [91, 92]. In their present form, AI systems and algorithms are unable to reason, draw upon experience or intuition and do not use emotion or empathy to support decision-making and future planning of patient care. ML has been described as a ‘signal translator’ in which the translation rule is learned directly from the data [92]. However, contrary to the belief that computers can’t emulate emotion, recent research has demonstrated that AI chatbots were able to provide a more empathetic and detailed response to online patient questions compared to physicians [93].

However, given that AI systems are dependent on training data, if a patient with a specific problem presents to a paediatric endocrinology clinic but the clinical history reveals another issue related to either physical or mental health, an AI platform may not be able to understand the issues presented as there is no training data to inform the model. Furthermore, more subtle changes relating to an initial endocrine diagnosis or the progress of a clinical condition may not be identified in an AI model if the training set has not incorporated data on these subtle changes. AI algorithms are also founded on prior knowledge to create the model architecture and to determine how the model learns. In the context of healthcare, problems are often complex, multifaceted and not always easy to define, making rule-based models difficult to manufacture. Disease-based models in paediatric endocrinology are often influenced by confounding socio-economic factors that mean that already small datasets become over-segmented and AI models yield biased results [94].

Importantly in the context of paediatrics and child health, children are not simply biological models, but they have individual needs and vulnerabilities and are also considered in the context of family relationships and dynamics. In this context, the core value of clinical care needs to remain at the heart of the relationship between a patient and a healthcare professional [95]. AI cannot create the doctor–patient relationship or test the strength or weakness of that relationship. The quality of a doctor–patient relationship is based on human interaction, which seeks to create a feeling of commitment and trust in the patient towards their treating physician. Such a commitment depends on the empathy and clinical skills of the physician and cannot yet be created by digital innovation. This provides the opportunity for the physician to make eye contact with the child and carer and to gain a valuable impression of the clinical problem and inter-family relationships. The skill of history-taking includes asking direct questions, listening to the replies and following up on the information received. The nuances of this dialogue are processed and acted on. In this way, a symptom of subtle relevance such as a mild alteration of bowel or respiratory function can be followed up by further direct questions, which could easily be missed by a pre-constructed digital model. Furthermore, the human empathetic input is in shorter supply by virtue of time constraints, which clinicians need to work to combat. Interestingly, a recent perspectives paper by Eric Topol considered the value of AI in the context of ‘restoring the essential humaneness in medicine, primarily by providing the gift of time’, in a way that creates opportunities for clinicians to focus on compassion and empathy. By creating efficiency through automating tasks such as using large language models to answer questions, utilisation of AI to improve diagnostic speed and accuracy and the use of AI algorithms to deliver future care and facilitate monitoring at home, this provides much needed time to focus on the value of patient–caregiver–doctor relationships.

Furthermore, AI could also be used to coach doctors to improve empathy, sensitivity and open-ended questioning. Topol, however, talks of the one-dimensional nature of AI, learning only from text, and lacking the ability to replicate the nuances of social interaction with information derived from all of the human senses [96]. AI has yet to be applied to assessment of leadership in terms of clinical practice. A patient with a complex disorder such as congenital adrenal hyperplasia makes the best progress when seen at every out-patient appointment by the same experienced physician. If the clinic is badly organised, due to lack of physician leadership, and the patient sees a different doctor at each visit, unfortunately not an uncommon situation, progress will be impaired. The ensuing demoralisation of the patient and family, easily translated into poor adherence to a drug regimen, is currently beyond the scope of AI to gauge and correct. The atmosphere within a hospital department is largely determined by the quality of relationships between the leader and his/her staff.

AI can recognise patterns, but it cannot gauge emotions or instincts or psychological variants or human emotions such as doubt, fear, suspicion or confidence. Further still, in the process of clinical examination, an AI model cannot emulate the value of touch in evaluating a child’s presenting signs. During the process of decision-making for interventions and treatments, this often involves a nuanced dialogue between the paediatrician, children and their families to determine the best and personalised approach.

AI models will characteristically rank decisions based upon algorithmic determinants, which may be based on factors such as length of treatment, frequency of medication or side effect profile. Moreover, given the potential inherent bias that AI models may generate, trust in digital tools may be rapidly undermined [97]. For future AI models to emulate a relationship with patient and families, the models must be founded upon the principles of privacy, confidentiality and fairness, and in some way allow informed choices [98]. However, the current ‘paternalistic’ decision-making approach that AI models adopt may not align directly with the choice of the patient, which is often driven by external and environmental factors which influence choice [99].

AI is dependent on data quality and access, which becomes highly relevant in the field of paediatric endocrinology in which children and young people characteristically present with rare conditions, and compiling comprehensive datasets relies on national and often international collaboration. To integrate AI platforms, centres also need the appropriate technical infrastructure, organisational capacity and governance. In respect to governance, the legal frameworks around clinical responsibility are challenging given that AI decision-making can often be perceived as a ‘black box’ process where liability is difficult to apportion on digital technologies [89]. It is this ‘black box’ concept where the inner logic of AI algorithms remains concealed even from their developers and, therefore, creates lack of transparency and trust by patients and families.

Table 1 summarises the benefits and challenges of using AI in paediatric endocrinology.

Table 1:

Potential benefits and difficulties with current AI programs in paediatric endocrinology.

Benefits Challenges
  • – AI decision support system (AI-DSS) for insulin dose in type 1 diabetes. Zephyr Biopatch for recording ECG

  • – Inability to reason, draw upon experience or intuition

  • – Automated algorithms for diabetic retinopathy detection

  • – Inability to gauge emotions or instincts or psychological variants such as doubt, fear, suspicion or confidence

  • – Radiomics for analysis of imaging data

  • – If investigation of a specific disorder results in another issue, an AI platform may not understand due to lack of training data to inform the model

  • – Differentiate malignant tumours from benign thyroid nodules

  • – Healthcare problems may be complex and multifaceted, making rule-based models difficult to create

  • – Automated bone age assessment and prediction of adult height. Monitoring of growth hormone adherence

  • – Disease-based models may be influenced by socio-economic factors causing over-segmentation of small datasets resulting in biased AI results

  • – Machine learning algorithms for diagnosis of central precocious puberty

  • – AI cannot create a physician–patient relationship or test the strength or weakness of that relationship

  • – Facial recognition for diagnosis of genetic syndromes, e.g. Turner syndrome, congenital adrenal hyperplasia

  • – Clinical skills such as commitment, empathy, eye-contact and trust cannot be created digitally

  • – Automated early detection of growth disorders

  • – Nuances of history-taking or wider psychosocial issues (e.g. safeguarding) may be missed by a pre-constructed digital model

  • – Prediction and early diagnosis of rare endocrine disorders

  • – AI cannot gauge physician leadership skills or relationships with colleagues

  • – Prediction of the onset of pre-type 2 diabetes

  • – Differentiation of central diabetes insipidus from primary polydipsia

AI and the future of paediatric endocrinology

AI is undoubtedly creating new opportunities in the field of paediatric endocrinology and healthcare in general. At present, it should be viewed as a tool to facilitate and support healthcare professionals, patients and their families. AI is not designed to replace doctors but to repurpose roles and improve efficiency [90]. However, the more pragmatic debate is around whether doctors utilising AI in healthcare provision will supersede those who do not harness AI capabilities [100]. It is likely that clinicians who do not embrace AI opportunities will be at a disadvantage. Human–AI collaboration has been termed ‘Human-in-the-loop’; by engaging in collaborative decision-making, AI provides insights, allowing clinicians and teams to utilize their expertise in arriving at a final judgement. This process establishes oversight and quality control to validate AI predictions, effectively identifying potential errors or biases [101], and through complementarity providing more accurate diagnoses [102].

In the field of paediatric endocrinology, there are a broad number of applications that will support more rapid diagnosis, earlier disease detection, clinical decision-making, precision medicine, predictive healthcare planning, improved healthcare efficiencies and patient support. As data relevance and access to data has improved, and the ability to create and federate large datasets on a national and global basis has increased, AI will play a more significant role in the delivery of paediatric endocrine healthcare. Access to a greater diversity of bioinformatic data including ‘omics data’ – genomics, proteomics, metabolomics, transcriptomics, epitranscriptomics and environmental data (exposomics) will provide a more comprehensive view of biological interactions through the process of functional genomics [103] and support drug discovery [104]. Machine learning models can analyse complex biological data to predict how a patient may respond to specific treatments, allowing healthcare providers to tailor therapies for maximum efficacy and minimal side effects [80, 81]. This approach holds promise for treating rare and complex diseases that form a significant part of the workload in paediatric endocrinology, and where personalization is critical for success [87]. Machine learning will be able to analyse multi-domain data on a patient-by-patient basis to provide more accurate diagnoses and in clinical decision support, whereby predictive analytics may support earlier intervention or preventative strategies. In particular, the power of AI in radiology and radiogenomics to rapidly identify disease, when proven to be of benefit, holds promise for future diagnostics in paediatric endocrine disease reliant on radiological diagnosis, screening and monitoring [105, 106].

AI-powered devices and applications can enable remote patient monitoring, providing real-time data to healthcare professionals for better decision-making (intelligent telehealth). Wearable devices equipped with AI can continuously monitor vital signs and other health parameters, helping manage chronic conditions and enabling timely interventions, particularly in cases where in-person visits are challenging [74]. AI chatbots will also be able to provide real-time advice without the need for clinician intervention through monitoring of sensor data [74]. Importantly, as we move into an era where holistic support for patients supports better long-term outcomes, AI-powered mental health applications can provide support and early intervention for individuals struggling with mental health issues as a result of their endocrine condition. Natural language processing algorithms can analyse conversations and detect emotional distress, facilitating timely assistance and support [107] and wearable sensors using AI can detect changes relating to anxiety and depression [108]. Predictive analytics can help clinicians anticipate patient admissions, enabling efficient resource allocation and staff scheduling. AI can also enhance administrative processes and supply chain management, leading to cost savings and improved operational efficiency [109, 110]. The value of newly developed tools within paediatric endocrinology and other health disciplines will ultimately rely on the availability, quantity and accuracy of the data. However, to establish trust among patients and healthcare providers, AI must fully comply with data protection mandates, mitigate bias effects, undergo effective regulation and ensure transparency [89].

Conclusions

Artificial intelligence holds immense promise for the future of medicine. Its ability to process and analyse vast amounts of medical data rapidly, predict outcomes and enhance decision-making can drive transformative changes in paediatric endocrinology. However, it is crucial to address ethical, privacy and regulatory considerations to ensure responsible and equitable integration of AI in line with advocacy and safeguarding children. Leveraging the power of AI in tandem with the human-centred approach to healthcare, we can ensure that children with endocrine disorders receive the precise, timely and high-quality care they deserve, ultimately improving their health outcomes and quality of life.


Corresponding author: Professor Martin Savage, Centre for Endocrinology, William Harvey Research Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine & Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK, E-mail:

Acknowledgments

This work is supported by  the UK National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Children and Young People MedTech Co-operative (NIHR CYP MedTech) .  The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or of the Department of Health We are grateful to Professor John Monson for reading the manuscript and for his helpful comments.

  1. Research ethics: Not applicable.

  2. Informed consent: Not applicable.

  3. Author contributions: Both authors have contributed equally to the conception of the review, its writing and its editing.

  4. Competing interests: Professor Martin Savage has consulting agreements with Springer Healthcare IME, MedEA, Sandoz Global, Ipsen Canada and Pfizer Global and has received honoraria for lectures from Merck Healthcare KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. Professor Paul Dimitri has consulting agreements with Merck Healthcare KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.

  5. Research funding: None declared.

  6. Data availability: Not applicable.

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Received: 2023-12-17
Accepted: 2023-12-18
Published Online: 2024-01-08
Published in Print: 2024-03-25

© 2023 the author(s), published by De Gruyter, Berlin/Boston

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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