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Monte Carlo Evidence on the Estimation Method for Industry Dynamics

  • Kazufumi Yamana ORCID logo EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 5. April 2019
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Abstract

This study presents a structural estimation method for nonlinear stochastic dynamic models of heterogeneous firms. I perform a Monte Carlo experiment to evaluate the performance of the estimators for the AR(1) dynamic panel data subject to sample selection without exogenous regressors. The results suggest a strong need to correct the sample selection and that the proposed structural estimation method works well. These results are important for practical situations where the assumptions of the standard sample selection correction methods are not satisfied.

A

Matching Summary Statistics

In this Appendix, I calculate and compare the RMSE of ABC estimates using the quartile-based robust measure and the set of octiles as summary statistics following Dominicy and Veredas (2013). Four robust statistics are given by

Sa=Q2,Sb=Q3Q1,Sg=(Q3+Q12Q2)/Sb,Sk=(E7E5+E3E1)/Sb,

and the set of octiles are (E1,Q1,E3,Q2,E5,Q3,E7) where Qi is the ith quartile and Ej is the jth octile.

To quantify which statistic is most appropriate for minimizing the density difference, I consider the case for known fixed cost. Table 5 shows that matching density exhibits lower RMSE than matching summary statistics. This is because matching summary statistics is more inclined to get stuck in a local optimum. Therefore, matching density is more stable and reliable to minimize the density difference.

Table 5:

RMSEs of alternative estimators calculated over fifty replications.

quartileoctileKLDL2
(ρ,σϵ,σα)=(0.6,0.2,0.2)
 RMSE(ρ)0.07490.07610.06900.0360
 RMSE(σϵ)0.03340.03000.01720.0195
 RMSE(σα)0.05140.04770.04440.0335

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Published Online: 2019-04-05

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