Abstract
This study presents a structural estimation method for nonlinear stochastic dynamic models of heterogeneous firms. I perform a Monte Carlo experiment to evaluate the performance of the estimators for the AR(1) dynamic panel data subject to sample selection without exogenous regressors. The results suggest a strong need to correct the sample selection and that the proposed structural estimation method works well. These results are important for practical situations where the assumptions of the standard sample selection correction methods are not satisfied.
Matching Summary Statistics
In this Appendix, I calculate and compare the RMSE of ABC estimates using the quartile-based robust measure and the set of octiles as summary statistics following Dominicy and Veredas (2013). Four robust statistics are given by
and the set of octiles are
To quantify which statistic is most appropriate for minimizing the density difference, I consider the case for known fixed cost. Table 5 shows that matching density exhibits lower RMSE than matching summary statistics. This is because matching summary statistics is more inclined to get stuck in a local optimum. Therefore, matching density is more stable and reliable to minimize the density difference.
RMSEs of alternative estimators calculated over fifty replications.
quartile | octile | KLD | L2 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
RMSE(ρ) | 0.0749 | 0.0761 | 0.0690 | 0.0360 |
RMSE(σϵ) | 0.0334 | 0.0300 | 0.0172 | 0.0195 |
RMSE(σα) | 0.0514 | 0.0477 | 0.0444 | 0.0335 |
References
Ahn, H., and J. L. Powell. 1993. “Semiparametric Estimation of Censored Selection Models with a Nonparametric Selection Mechanism.” Journal of Econometrics 58 (1–2): 3–29.10.1016/0304-4076(93)90111-HSuche in Google Scholar
Anderson, T. W., and C. Hsiao. 1982. “Formulation and Estimation of Dynamic Models Using Panel Data.” Journal of Econometrics 18 (1): 47–82.10.1016/0304-4076(82)90095-1Suche in Google Scholar
Arellano, M., and S. Bond. 1991. “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations.” Review of Economic Studies 58 (2): 277–297.10.2307/2297968Suche in Google Scholar
Arellano, M., O. Bover, and J. M. Labeaga. 1999. “Autoregressive Models with Sample Selectivity for Panel Data.” In Analysis of Panels and Limited Dependent Variable Models, in Honour of Maddala G.S., edited by L. L. P. M. Hsiao C, K. Lahiri, Chapter 2, 23–48.10.1017/CBO9780511493140.004Suche in Google Scholar
Axtell, R. 2001. “Zipf Distribution of U.S. Firm Sizes.” Science 293 (5536): 1818–1820.10.1126/science.1062081Suche in Google Scholar PubMed
Beaumont, M. A., W. Zhang, and D. J. Balding. 2002. “Approximate Bayesian Computation in Population Genetics.” Genetics 162 (4): 2025–2035.10.1093/genetics/162.4.2025Suche in Google Scholar PubMed PubMed Central
Bhattacharya, D. 2008. “Inference in Panel Data Models Under Attrition Caused by Unobservables.” Journal of Econometrics 144 (2): 430–446.10.1016/j.jeconom.2008.03.002Suche in Google Scholar
Bloom, N. 2009. “The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks.” Econometrica 77 (3): 623–685.10.3386/w13385Suche in Google Scholar
Blundell, R., and S. Bond. 1998. “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models.” Journal of Econometrics 87 (1): 115–143.10.1920/wp.ifs.1995.9517Suche in Google Scholar
Caballero, R. J., and E. M. R. A. Engel. 1999. “Explaining Investment Dynamics in U.S. Manufacturing: a Generalized (S,s) Approach.” Econometrica 67 (4): 783–826.10.3386/w4887Suche in Google Scholar
Castro, R., G. L. Clementi, and Y. Lee. 2015. “Cross Sectoral Variation in the Volatility of Plant Level Idiosyncratic Shocks.” Journal of Industrial Economics 63 (1): 1–29.10.3386/w17659Suche in Google Scholar
Chaudhuri, S., D. T. Frazier, and E. Renault. 2018. “Indirect Inference with Endogenously Missing Exogenous Variables.” Journal of Econometrics 205 (1): 55–75.10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.03.005Suche in Google Scholar
Clementi, G. L., and B. Palazzo. 2016. “Entry, Exit, Firm Dynamics, and Aggregate Fluctuations.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 8 (3): 1–41.10.3386/w19217Suche in Google Scholar
Cooley, T. F., and V. Quadrini. 2001. “Financial Markets and Firm Dynamics.” American Economic Review 91 (5): 1286–1310.10.1257/aer.91.5.1286Suche in Google Scholar
Cooper, R., and J. Ejarque. 2003. “Financial Frictions and Investment: Requiem in Q.” Review of Economic Dynamics 6 (4): 710–728.10.1016/j.red.2003.08.001Suche in Google Scholar
Creel, M., J. Gao, H. Hong, and D. Kristensen. 2016. “Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM.” Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/16, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.Suche in Google Scholar
Das, M. 2004. “Simple Estimators for Nonparametric Panel data Models with Sample Attrition.” Journal of Econometrics 120: 159–180.10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00210-0Suche in Google Scholar
Del Moral, P., A. Doucet, and A. Jasra. 2012. “An Adaptive Sequential Monte Carlo Method for Approximate Bayesian Computation.” Statistics and Computing 22 (5): 1009–1020.10.1007/s11222-011-9271-ySuche in Google Scholar
Dominicy, Y., and D. Veredas. 2013. “The Method of Simulated Quantiles.” Journal of Econometrics 172 (2): 235–247.10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.08.010Suche in Google Scholar
Drovandi, C. C., and A. N. Pettitt. 2011. “Likelihood-Free Bayesian Estimation of Multivariate Quantile Distributions.” Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 55 (9): 2541–2556.10.1016/j.csda.2011.03.019Suche in Google Scholar
Frazier, D. T., G. M. Martin, C. P. Robert, and J. Rousseau. 2018. “Asymptotic Properties of Approximate Bayesian Computation.” Biometrika 105 (3): 593–607.10.1093/biomet/asy027Suche in Google Scholar
Gayle, G.-L., and C. Viauroux. 2007. “Root-N Consistent Semiparametric Estimators of a Dynamic Panel-Sample-Selection Model.” Journal of Econometrics 141 (1): 179–212.10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.01.008Suche in Google Scholar
Gomes, J. F. 2001. “Financing Investment.” American Economic Review 91 (5): 1263–1285.10.1257/aer.91.5.1263Suche in Google Scholar
Gourio, F. 2008. “Estimating Firm-Level Risk.” Mimeo.Suche in Google Scholar
Hausman, J. A., and D. A. Wise. 1979. “Attrition Bias in Experimental and Panel Data: the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment.” Econometrica 47 (2): 455–473.10.2307/1914193Suche in Google Scholar
Heckman, J. J. 1979. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.” Econometrica 47 (1): 153–161.10.2307/1912352Suche in Google Scholar
Hennessy, C. A., and T. M. Whited. 2005. “Debt Dynamics.” Journal of Finance 60 (3): 1129–1165.10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00758.xSuche in Google Scholar
Hirano, K., G. W. Imbens, G. Ridder, and D. B. Rubin. 2001. “Combining Panel Data Sets with Attrition and Refreshment Samples.” Econometrica 69 (6): 1645–1659.10.3386/t0230Suche in Google Scholar
Hopenhayn, H. 1992. “Entry, Exit, and Firm Dynamics in long Run Equilibrium.” Econometrica 60 (5): 1127–50.10.2307/2951541Suche in Google Scholar
Hopenhayn, H., and R. Rogerson. 1993. “Job Turnover and Policy Evaluation: A General Equilibrium Analysis.” Journal of Political Economy 101 (5): 915–938.10.1086/261909Suche in Google Scholar
Jimenez-Martin, S., and J. M. Labeaga. 2016. “Monte Carlo Evidence on the Estimation of AR(1) Panel Data Sample Selection Models.” Working Papers 2016-01, FEDEA.Suche in Google Scholar
Kamihigashi, T., and J. Stachurski. 2015. “Perfect Simulation for Models of Industry Dynamics.” Journal of Mathematical Economics 56 (C): 9–14.10.1016/j.jmateco.2014.11.004Suche in Google Scholar
Kitagawa, G. 1996. “Monte Carlo Filter and Smoother for Non-Gaussian Nonlinear State Space Models.” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 5 (1): 1–25.10.1080/10618600.1996.10474692Suche in Google Scholar
Kyriazidou, E. 1997. “Estimation of a Panel Data Sample Selection Model.” Econometrica 65 (6): 1335–1364.10.2307/2171739Suche in Google Scholar
Kyriazidou, E. 2001. “Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Sample Selection Models.” Review of Economic Studies 68 (3): 543–572.10.1111/1467-937X.00180Suche in Google Scholar
Lee, Y., and T. Mukoyama. 2015. “Productivity and Employment Dynamics of US Manufacturing Plants.” Economics Letters 136 (C): 190–193.10.1016/j.econlet.2015.09.018Suche in Google Scholar
Li, W., and P. Fearnhead. 2018. “On the Asymptotic Efficiency of Approximate Bayesian Computation Estimators.” Biometrika 105 (2): 285–299.10.1093/biomet/asx078Suche in Google Scholar
Marin, J.-M., P. Pudlo, C. Robert, and R. Ryder. 2012. “Approximate Bayesian Computational Methods.” Statistics and Computing 22 (6): 1167–1180.10.1007/s11222-011-9288-2Suche in Google Scholar
Pritchard, J. K., M. T. Seielstad, A. Perez-Lezaun, and M. W. Feldman. 1999. “Population Growth of Human Y Chromosomes: A Study of Y Chromosome Microsatellites.” Molecular Biology and Evolution 16 (12): 1791–1798.10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a026091Suche in Google Scholar
Restuccia, D., and R. Rogerson. 2008. “Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity with Heterogeneous Plants.” Review of Economic Dynamics 11 (4): 707–720.10.3386/w13018Suche in Google Scholar
Ridder, G. 1992. “An Empirical Evaluation of Some Models for Non-Random Attrition in Panel Data.” Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 3 (2): 337–355.10.1016/0954-349X(92)90011-TSuche in Google Scholar
Robins, P. K., and R. W. West. 1986. “Sample Attrition and Labor Supply Response in Experimental Panel Data: A Study of Alternative Correction Procedures.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 4 (3): 329–338.10.1080/07350015.1986.10509529Suche in Google Scholar
Rossi-Hansberg, E., and M. L. J. Wright. 2007. “Establishment Size Dynamics in the Aggregate Economy.” American Economic Review 97 (5): 1639–1666.10.1257/aer.97.5.1639Suche in Google Scholar
Rubin, D. B. 1976. “Inference and Missing Data.” Biometrika 63 (3): 581–592.10.1093/biomet/63.3.581Suche in Google Scholar
Sasaki, Y. 2015. “Heterogeneity and Selection in Dynamic Panel Data.” Journal of Econometrics 188 (1): 236–249.10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.05.002Suche in Google Scholar
Semykina, A., and J. Wooldridge. 2013. “Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models with Sample Selection.” Journal of Applied Econometrics 28 (1): 47–61.10.1002/jae.1266Suche in Google Scholar
Sisson, S. A., and Y. Fan. 2011. Likelihood-free MCMC. Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Chapman & Hall.10.1201/b10905-13Suche in Google Scholar
Sugiyama, M., T. Suzuki, T. Kanamori, M. C. du Plessis, S. Liu, and I. Takeuchi. 2013. “Density-Difference Estimation.” Neural Computation 25 (10): 2734–2775.10.1162/NECO_a_00492Suche in Google Scholar PubMed
Tavaré, S., D. J. Balding, R. C. Griffiths, and P. Donnelly. 1997. “Inferring Coalescence Times from DNA Sequence Data.” Genetics 145 (2): 505–518.10.1093/genetics/145.2.505Suche in Google Scholar PubMed PubMed Central
Veracierto, M. 2001. “Employment Flows, Capital Mobility, and Policy Analysis.” International Economic Review 42 (3): 571–595.10.1111/1468-2354.00125Suche in Google Scholar
Verbeek, M., and T. Nijman. 1992. “Testing for Selectivity Bias in Panel Data Models.” International Economic Review 33 (3): 681–703.10.2307/2527133Suche in Google Scholar
© 2020 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Research Articles
- Monte Carlo Evidence on the Estimation Method for Industry Dynamics
- An Empirical Undergraduate Introduction to Estimating Consumer Preferences Using Ride Choices at Disneyland
- Regression-Based Causal Analysis from the Potential Outcomes Perspective
- Level-Based Estimation of Dynamic Panel Models
- How Accurately Do Structural Asymmetric First-Price Auction Estimates Represent True Valuations?
- Adjustments of Rao’s Score Test for Distributional and Local Parametric Misspecifications
- Measuring Benchmark Damages in Antitrust Litigation: Extensions and Practical Implications
- Instrumental Variables Estimation in Large Heterogeneous Panels with Multifactor Structure
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Research Articles
- Monte Carlo Evidence on the Estimation Method for Industry Dynamics
- An Empirical Undergraduate Introduction to Estimating Consumer Preferences Using Ride Choices at Disneyland
- Regression-Based Causal Analysis from the Potential Outcomes Perspective
- Level-Based Estimation of Dynamic Panel Models
- How Accurately Do Structural Asymmetric First-Price Auction Estimates Represent True Valuations?
- Adjustments of Rao’s Score Test for Distributional and Local Parametric Misspecifications
- Measuring Benchmark Damages in Antitrust Litigation: Extensions and Practical Implications
- Instrumental Variables Estimation in Large Heterogeneous Panels with Multifactor Structure