Startseite Forecasting post-earthquake rockfall activity
Artikel
Lizenziert
Nicht lizenziert Erfordert eine Authentifizierung

Forecasting post-earthquake rockfall activity

  • Michael J. Olsen ORCID logo EMAIL logo , Chris Massey , Ben Leshchinsky , Joseph Wartman und Andrew Senogles
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 22. November 2022
Veröffentlichen auch Sie bei De Gruyter Brill

Abstract

Important infrastructure such as highways or railways traverse unstable terrain in many mountainous and scenic parts of the world. Rockfalls and landslides result in frequent maintenance needs, system unreliability due to frequent closures and restrictions, and safety hazards. Seismic activity significantly amplifies these negative economic and community impacts by generating large rockfalls and landslides as well as weakening the terrain. This paper interrogates a rich database of repeat terrestrial lidar scans collected during the Canterbury New Zealand Earthquake Sequence to document geomorphic processes as well as quantify rockfall activity rates through time. Changes in the activity rate (spatial distribution) and failure depths (size) were observed based on the Rockfall Activity Index (RAI) morphological classification. Forecasting models can be developed from these relationships that can be utilized by transportation agencies to estimate increased maintenance needs for debris removal to minimize road closures from rockfalls after seismic events.


Corresponding author: Michael J. Olsen, Oregon State University, 101 Kearney Hall, Corvallis, OR 97333, USA, E-mail:

Funding source: Pactrans

Award Identifier / Grant number: SPR809

  1. Author contributions: All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.

  2. Research funding: Funding for this research was provided by Oregon DOT and the Federal Highway Administration through project SPR-809 as well as through ongoing support from Pactrans. This material was adapted from the final report submitted to Oregon DOT. Support for the data acquisition was provided by GeoNet and the New Zealand Strategic Science Investment Fund. Leica Geosystems and Maptek I-Site provided software utilized in this study. The authors thank the developers of the open-source CloudCompare software, which was also utilized in this analysis.

  3. Conflict of interest statement: Dr. Olsen has financial interests in EZDataMD LLC, a company which commercializes the technology related to point cloud data processing for rockslope analysis used for this analysis. The conduct, outcomes, or reporting of this research could benefit EZDataMD LLC and could potentially benefit the author.

References

1. Massey, CI, McSaveney, MJ, Taig, T, Richards, L, Litchfield, NJ, Rhoades, DA, et al.. Determining rockfall risk in Christchurch using rockfalls triggered by the 2010–2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence. Earthq Spectra 2014;30:155–81. https://doi.org/10.1193/021413eqs026m.Suche in Google Scholar

2. Massey, CI, MacSaveney, MJM, Richards, L. Characteristics of some rockfalls triggered by the 2010/2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence, vol 431. New Zealand: International Association of Engineering Geologists, IAEG-LP2014; 2014:v1 p.10.1007/978-3-319-09057-3_344Suche in Google Scholar

3. Hampton, SJ, Cole, JW. Lyttelton Volcano, Banks Peninsula, New Zealand: primary volcanic landforms and eruptive centre identification. Geomorphology 2009;104:284–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2008.09.005.Suche in Google Scholar

4. Forsyth, PJ, Barrell, DJA, Jongens, R. Geology of the Christchurch area, scale 1:250000. Lower Hutt, New Zealand: Institute of Geological & Nuclear Sciences LimitedGNS Science; 2008. 1:250000 geological Map 16, 1 sheet_67 p.Suche in Google Scholar

5. Massey, C, Pasqua, FD, Holden, C, Kaiser, A, Richards, L, Wartman, J, et al.. Rock slope response to strong earthquake shaking. Landslides 2017;14:249–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-016-0684-8.Suche in Google Scholar

6. Abellán, A, Calvet, J, Vilaplana, JM, Blanchard, J. Detection and spatial prediction of rock-falls by means of terrestrial laser scanner monitoring. Geomorphology 2010;119:162–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.03.016.Suche in Google Scholar

7. Abellán, A, Oppikofer, T, Jaboyedoff, M, Rosser, NJ, Lim, M, Lato, MJ. Terrestrial laser scanning of rock slope instabilities. Earth Surf Process Landforms 2014;39:80–97. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3493.Suche in Google Scholar

8. D’Amato, J, Guerin, A, Hantz, D, Rossetti, JP, Jaboyedoff, M. Investigating rock fall frequency and failure configurations using terrestrial laser scanner. In: Engineering geology for society and territory, vol 2. Cham: Springer; 2015:1919–23 pp.10.1007/978-3-319-09057-3_340Suche in Google Scholar

9. Grant, A, Wartman, J, Massey, C, Olsen, MJ, O’Banion, M, Motley, M. The impact of rockfalls on dwellings during the 2011 Christchurch, New Zealand, earthquakes. Landslides 2018;15:31–42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-017-0855-2.Suche in Google Scholar

10. Jaboyedoff, M, Oppikofer, T, Abellán, A, Derron, MH, Loye, A, Metzger, R, et al.. Use of LIDAR in landslide investigations: a review. Nat Hazards 2012;61:5–28. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-010-9634-2.Suche in Google Scholar

11. Kemeny, J, Turner, K. Ground based LIDAR. Rock slope mapping and assessment. Tucson, Arizona, USA: Federal Highway Administration, Office of Federal Lands Highway, Central Federal Lands Highway Division, University of Arizona; 2008.Suche in Google Scholar

12. Kemeny, J, Norton, B, Turner, K. Rock slope stability analysis utilizing ground-based LiDAR and digital image processing. Felsbau 2006;24:8–15.10.1201/9780203968253.ch2Suche in Google Scholar

13. Olsen, MJ, Wartman, J, McAlister, M, Mahmoudabadi, H, O’Banion, MS, Dunham, L, et al.. To fill or not to fill: sensitivity analysis of the influence of resolution and hole filling on point cloud surface modeling and individual rockfall event detection. Rem Sens 2015;7:12103–34. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70912103.Suche in Google Scholar

14. Rosser, NJ, Petley, DN, Lim, M, Dunning, SA, Allison, RJ. Terrestrial laser scanning for monitoring the process of hard rock coastal cliff erosion. Q J Eng Geol Hydrogeol 2005;38:363–75. https://doi.org/10.1144/1470-9236/05-008.Suche in Google Scholar

15. Santana, D, Corominas, J, Mavrouli, O, Garcia-Sellés, D. Magnitude–frequency relation for rockfall scars using a Terrestrial Laser Scanner. Eng Geol 2012;145:50–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2012.07.001.Suche in Google Scholar

16. Whadcoat, SK. Numerical modelling of rockfall evolution in hard rock slopes [Durham theses]: Durham University; 2017. Available from Durham E-theses Online: http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/11994/.Suche in Google Scholar

17. Dunham, L, Wartman, J, Olsen, MJ, O’Banion, M, Cunningham, K. Rockfall Activity Index (RAI): a lidar-derived, morphology-based method for hazard assessment. Eng Geol 2017;221:184–92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2017.03.009.Suche in Google Scholar

18. Berti, M, Corsini, A, Daehne, A. Comparative analysis of surface roughness algorithms for the identification of active landslides. Geomorphology 2013;182: 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2012.10.022.Suche in Google Scholar

19. Archibald, G, Massey, C, Olsen, M, Lukovic, B, Wartman, J, Senogles, A, Leshchinsky, B. Terrestrial laser scans of rockslopes. In: Terrestrial laser scans of the Port Hills Rockfall from the Canterbury New Zealand Earthquake Sequence. Austin, Texas, USA: DesignSafe-CI, The University of Texas; 2021.Suche in Google Scholar

20. Brodu, N, Lague, D. 3D terrestrial lidar data classification of complex natural scenes using a multi-scale dimensionality criterion: applications in geomorphology. ISPRS J Photogrammetry Remote Sens 2012;68:121–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2012.01.006.Suche in Google Scholar

21. Massey, CI, Richards, L, Della-Pasqua, FN, McSaveney, MJ, Holden, C, Kaiser, AE, et al.. Performance of rock slopes during the 2010/11 Canterbury earthquakes (New Zealand). In: Hassani, F, editor. (General chair) proc: 13th international congress of rock mechanics: ISRM congress 2015: innovations in applied and theoretical rock mechanics. Montreal, Canada: Canadian Institute of Mining Metallurgy and Petroleum; 2015. Paper No. 902.Suche in Google Scholar

22. Olsen, MJ, Senogles, A, Leshchinsky, B, Massey, C, Archibald, G, Wartman, J. Rockfall activity rates following the Canterbury New Zealand Earthquake. In: Proc. 7th international conference on geotechnical earthquake engineering, 7ICEGE. Roma Italy; 2019:4210 p.Suche in Google Scholar

23. Massey, CI, Olsen, MJ, Wartman, J, Senogles, A, Lukovic, B, Leshchinsky, BA, et al.. Rockfall activity rates before, during and after the 2010/2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence. J Geophys Res Earth Surf 2022;127:e2021JF006400. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JF006400.Suche in Google Scholar

Received: 2022-09-28
Accepted: 2022-10-26
Published Online: 2022-11-22
Published in Print: 2023-04-25

© 2022 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Heruntergeladen am 20.9.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/jag-2022-0045/html?lang=de
Button zum nach oben scrollen