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Structural transformation and productivity in Latin America

  • Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira EMAIL logo and Leonardo Fonseca da Silva
Published/Copyright: January 24, 2015

Abstract

This article examines the effects of sectorial shifts and structural transformation on the recent productivity path of Latin America. We use a four-sector (agriculture, industry, modern services and traditional services) general equilibrium model calibrated to the main economies in the region. The model very closely replicates labor reallocations across sectors and the growth of aggregate labor productivity from 1950 to 2005. Structural transformation explains a sizeable portion of the region’s convergence in the first decades. In most cases, the poor performance of the traditional services sector is the main cause of the slowdown in productivity growth observed in the region after the mid-1970s and is a key factor in explaining the divergence during this period.


Corresponding author: Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira, FGV/EPGE – Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Praia de Botafogo 190, 1125, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, 22253-900, Brazil, e-mail:

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Tiago Cavalcanti, Fernando Veloso, Marcelo dos Santos, Carlos Costa and an anonymous referee for the comments and CAPES, Faperj and INCT-CNPQ for the financial support.

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Published Online: 2015-1-24
Published in Print: 2015-7-1

©2015 by De Gruyter

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