Abstract
The paper interprets the growth experience of three Western European countries (France, Germany and the UK) and three Central-Eastern European economies (the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland) through the lens of the neoclassical growth model. It combines the methodologies of Development Accounting (Caselli, F. 2005. “Accounting for Cross-Country Income Differences.” In Handbook of Economic Growth, Chapter 9, 679–741.) and Business Cycle Accounting (Chari, V. V., P. J. Kehoe, and E. R. McGrattan. 2007. “Business Cycle Accounting.” Econometrica 75 (3): 781–836.) to calculate distortions – “wedges” – in production efficiency, and in the labor and capital markets. The exercise sheds light on the extent and evolution of factor market distortions between 1996 and 2009. The main result of the paper is that capital and labor market distortions do not explain income differences across the two country groups, but are important to understand income differences within groups. In addition, observed labor and capital taxes are related to the measured wedges, but significant unexplained components remain. Reducing labor and capital market distortions would lead to significant output gains in all countries.
- 1
Important earlier contributions documenting the importance of TFP in explaining large cross-country differences are Klenow and Rodríguez-Clare (1997) and Hall and Jones (1999).
- 2
In the second equation, assume that
Then the consumption terms drop out. This assumption would be satisfied, for example, in a log-linear approximation. - 3
Similarly, in a small open economy the borrowing wedge summarizes all distortions affecting consumption. The measurement of the borrowing wedge is completely analogous to the measurement of the investment wedge discussed below, and it is left for the interested reader.
- 4
- 5
- 6
The UNESCO ISCED 1997 classification system is available at http://www.uis.unesco.org/Education/Pages/international-standard-classification-of-education.aspx.
- 7
Justification for these values and further details are given in Caselli (2005: p. 7).
- 8
- 9
- 10
The investment series go back to 1970 for Poland and Hungary and Germany, and to 1950 for France and the UK. For the Czech Republic investment data starts from 1990.
- 11
The third category, household investment, is thus higher in the WE countries.
- 12
A quick look at the growth accounting data from the Total Economy Database (http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/) reveals the same sharp TFP slowdown for France in the 2000s.
- 13
Given the log-log specification of the utility function, the welfare increase 1+μ is defined as: 1+μ=(c′/c)·[(1–h′)/(1–h)]χ, where variables with a prime indicate the new steady state values after the reduction in the wedge(s).
- 14
Results for the labor wedge under particular values for this parameter are available from the author upon request.
- 15
In fact in the baseline case the implicit assumption was that all output decrease was due to employment and productivity.
I would like to thank Péter Benczúr, Fabio Canova, Refet Gürkaynak and Katrin Rabitsch for helpful comments. All remaining errors are mine.
Appendix
A Tax rate derivations
B Steady state
The steady state conditions:
The effect of capital and labor wedges:
Reducing the labor wedge:
Reducing the investment wedge
Eliminating both the investment and labor wedges:
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Articles in the same Issue
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- Masthead
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- How have global shocks impacted the real effective exchange rates of individual euro area countries since the euro’s creation?
- Employment by age, education, and economic growth: effects of fiscal policy composition in general equilibrium
- Overeducation and skill-biased technical change
- Strategic wage bargaining, labor market volatility, and persistence
- Households’ uncertainty about Medicare policy
- Contributions
- Deconstructing shocks and persistence in OECD real exchange rates1)
- A contribution to the empirics of welfare growth
- Development accounting with wedges: the experience of six European countries
- Implementation cycles, growth and the labor market
- International technology adoption, R&D, and productivity growth
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- Business cycle accounting of the BRIC economies
- Privately optimal severance pay
- Small business loan guarantees as insurance against aggregate risks
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- Business cycle dynamics across the US states
- Required reserves as a credit policy tool
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Articles in the same Issue
- Masthead
- Masthead
- Advances
- How have global shocks impacted the real effective exchange rates of individual euro area countries since the euro’s creation?
- Employment by age, education, and economic growth: effects of fiscal policy composition in general equilibrium
- Overeducation and skill-biased technical change
- Strategic wage bargaining, labor market volatility, and persistence
- Households’ uncertainty about Medicare policy
- Contributions
- Deconstructing shocks and persistence in OECD real exchange rates1)
- A contribution to the empirics of welfare growth
- Development accounting with wedges: the experience of six European countries
- Implementation cycles, growth and the labor market
- International technology adoption, R&D, and productivity growth
- Bequest taxes, donations, and house prices
- Business cycle accounting of the BRIC economies
- Privately optimal severance pay
- Small business loan guarantees as insurance against aggregate risks
- Output growth and unexpected government expenditures
- International business cycles and remittance flows
- Effects of productivity shocks on hours worked: UK evidence
- A prior predictive analysis of the effects of Loss Aversion/Narrow Framing in a macroeconomic model for asset pricing
- Exchange rate pass-through and fiscal multipliers
- Credit demand, credit supply, and economic activity
- Distortions, structural transformation and the Europe-US income gap
- Monetary policy shocks and real commodity prices
- Topics
- News-driven international business cycles
- Business cycle dynamics across the US states
- Required reserves as a credit policy tool
- The macroeconomic effects of the 35-h workweek regulation in France
- Productivity and resource misallocation in Latin America1)
- Information and communication technologies over the business cycle
- In search of lost time: the neoclassical synthesis
- Divorce laws and divorce rate in the US
- Is the “Great Recession” really so different from the past?
- Monetary business cycle accounting for Sweden