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9 Design of hydrogen supply chains under demand uncertainty – a case study of passenger transport in Germany

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Process Systems Engineering
This chapter is in the book Process Systems Engineering

Abstract

A strategy for the design of a hydrogen supply chain (HSC) network in Germany incorporating the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand is proposed. Based on univariate sensitivity analysis, uncertainty in hydrogen demand has a very strong impact on the overall system costs. Therefore we consider a scenario tree for a stochastic mixed integer linear programming model that incorporates the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand. The model consists of two configurations, which are analyzed and compared to each other according to production types: water electrolysis versus steam methane reforming. Each configuration has a cost minimization target. The concept of value of stochastic solution (VSS) is used to evaluate the stochastic optimization results and compare them to their deterministic counterpart. The VSS of each configuration shows significant benefits of a stochastic optimization approach for the model presented in this study, corresponding up to 26% of infrastructure investments savings

Abstract

A strategy for the design of a hydrogen supply chain (HSC) network in Germany incorporating the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand is proposed. Based on univariate sensitivity analysis, uncertainty in hydrogen demand has a very strong impact on the overall system costs. Therefore we consider a scenario tree for a stochastic mixed integer linear programming model that incorporates the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand. The model consists of two configurations, which are analyzed and compared to each other according to production types: water electrolysis versus steam methane reforming. Each configuration has a cost minimization target. The concept of value of stochastic solution (VSS) is used to evaluate the stochastic optimization results and compare them to their deterministic counterpart. The VSS of each configuration shows significant benefits of a stochastic optimization approach for the model presented in this study, corresponding up to 26% of infrastructure investments savings

Chapters in this book

  1. Frontmatter I
  2. Foreword V
  3. Contents IX
  4. List of contributing authors XVII
  5. 1 Hydrogen production via water splitting over graphitic carbon nitride (g-C3N4)-based photocatalysis 1
  6. 2 Optimization of electrolysis and carbon capture processes for sustainable production of chemicals through Power-to-X 41
  7. 3 Optimization of hydrogen supply from renewable electricity including cavern storage 55
  8. 4 Integrating multi-objective superstructure optimization and multi-criteria assessment: a novel methodology for sustainable process design 97
  9. 5 Process intensification and digital twin – the potential for the energy transition in process industries 131
  10. 6 The role of bioprocess systems engineering in extracting chemicals and energy from microalgae 151
  11. 7 Exergy analysis of an atmospheric residue desulphurization hydrotreating process for a crude oil refinery 173
  12. 8 Supply chain optimization framework for CO2 capture, utilization, and storage in Germany 211
  13. 9 Design of hydrogen supply chains under demand uncertainty – a case study of passenger transport in Germany 239
  14. 10 Multi-objective optimization of CCUS supply chains for European countries with higher carbon dioxide emissions 261
  15. 11 Certainty through uncertainty: stochastic optimization of grid-integrated large-scale energy storage in Germany 289
  16. 12 Shaping the future energy markets with hybrid multimicrogrids by sequential least squares programming 307
  17. 13 Development of future-proof supply concepts for sector-coupled district heating systems based on scenario-analysis 343
  18. 14 Power to the city: Assessing the rooftop solar photovoltaic potential in multiple cities of Ecuador 383
  19. Index 419
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