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About the Editors and Contributors
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Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter I
- Contents V
- Preface XIII
- 1 Perspectives on Modeling International Conflict 1
-
Part 1 Game Theoretic and Utility Approaches
- 2 The Path to Stable Deterrence 9
- 3 Anticipation and Stability in Two-Person Non-Cooperative Games 26
- 4 The Pathologies of Unilateral Deterrence 52
- 5. Decision-Theoretic and Game-Theoretic Models of International Conflict 76
- 6 Moving Forward in Time: Paths Toward a Dynamic Utility Theory of Crisis Decisions 112
-
Part 2 Escalation Processes
- 7 Heuristic Decision Rules, the Dynamics of the Arms Race, and War Initiation 131
- 8 Arms Races as Good Things? 161
- 9 Transform Methods and Dynamic Models 175
- 10. The Dollar Auction as a Model of International Escalation 220
-
Part 3 Simulation Approaches
- 11 Toward a Dynamic Theory of Conflict and Coalition Formation 227
- 12 Modeling External and Internal Conflict in Small Countries 251
- 13 Simulation of Reliability Kinematics in Political Systems 278
-
Part 4 Models of War Fighting
- 14 Lanchester Models of Battlefield Attrition and the Organization of Combat Forces 317
- 15 Dynamic Models of Guerrilla Warfare 354
-
Part 5 Artificial Intelligence Approaches
- 16 Adaptive Precedent-Based Logic and Rational Choice: A Comparison of Two Approaches to the Modeling of International Behavior 371
- 17 Changes in Foreign Policy Across Time: The Logical Analysis of a Succession of Decision Problems Using Logic Programming 401
-
Part 6 Empirical and Theoretical Frontiers
- 18 A Visual Approach to International Conflict and Cooperation 425
- 19 Cycles of General, Hegemonic, and Global War 462
- 20. Forecasting East-West Diplomatic Climate: A Politometric Approach 489
-
Part 7 Commentary
- 21 Connecting Domestic and International Conflicts, Past and Present 515
- References 533
- About the Editors and Contributors 559
Chapters in this book
- Frontmatter I
- Contents V
- Preface XIII
- 1 Perspectives on Modeling International Conflict 1
-
Part 1 Game Theoretic and Utility Approaches
- 2 The Path to Stable Deterrence 9
- 3 Anticipation and Stability in Two-Person Non-Cooperative Games 26
- 4 The Pathologies of Unilateral Deterrence 52
- 5. Decision-Theoretic and Game-Theoretic Models of International Conflict 76
- 6 Moving Forward in Time: Paths Toward a Dynamic Utility Theory of Crisis Decisions 112
-
Part 2 Escalation Processes
- 7 Heuristic Decision Rules, the Dynamics of the Arms Race, and War Initiation 131
- 8 Arms Races as Good Things? 161
- 9 Transform Methods and Dynamic Models 175
- 10. The Dollar Auction as a Model of International Escalation 220
-
Part 3 Simulation Approaches
- 11 Toward a Dynamic Theory of Conflict and Coalition Formation 227
- 12 Modeling External and Internal Conflict in Small Countries 251
- 13 Simulation of Reliability Kinematics in Political Systems 278
-
Part 4 Models of War Fighting
- 14 Lanchester Models of Battlefield Attrition and the Organization of Combat Forces 317
- 15 Dynamic Models of Guerrilla Warfare 354
-
Part 5 Artificial Intelligence Approaches
- 16 Adaptive Precedent-Based Logic and Rational Choice: A Comparison of Two Approaches to the Modeling of International Behavior 371
- 17 Changes in Foreign Policy Across Time: The Logical Analysis of a Succession of Decision Problems Using Logic Programming 401
-
Part 6 Empirical and Theoretical Frontiers
- 18 A Visual Approach to International Conflict and Cooperation 425
- 19 Cycles of General, Hegemonic, and Global War 462
- 20. Forecasting East-West Diplomatic Climate: A Politometric Approach 489
-
Part 7 Commentary
- 21 Connecting Domestic and International Conflicts, Past and Present 515
- References 533
- About the Editors and Contributors 559