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© 2025 Stanford University Press, Redwood City

© 2025 Stanford University Press, Redwood City

Chapters in this book

  1. Frontmatter i
  2. Contents v
  3. Acknowledgments xiii
  4. PART I Configuring for Success
  5. ONE Use a Systematic Approach to Beat the Odds 1
  6. TWO Manage Risks by Evaluating Multiple Indicators of Success 13
  7. THREE Avoid the Seven Behaviors that Reduce the Odds for Many Innovators 19
  8. PART II Developing Product and Service Concepts
  9. FOUR Look for What’s Broken, Who’s Not Being Served, and How to Leverage Your Strengths 29
  10. FIVE Take Advantage of Direct Market Feedback and Rapid Prototypes 38
  11. SIX Embrace Continuous Upgrades and Lean Development for Digital-Led Businesses 47
  12. SEVEN Move Up the Detect-Analyze-Act Pyramid to Enrich Products Using Digital 55
  13. EIGHT Use a Start-Up Mindset for Breakthrough Innovation in Large Companies 67
  14. PART III Forecasting Revenue
  15. NINE Build a Business Case to Avoid the Product Graveyard 81
  16. TEN Size the Prize and Identify the Customers You Will Win 87
  17. ELEVEN Gather Customer Insights, Not “Voice of Customer” 101
  18. TWELVE Never Take Market Research at Face Value 117
  19. THIRTEEN Assume Your Competitors Are at Least as Smart as You Are 124
  20. FOURTEEN Price to Unlock the Full Value of Your Innovation 133
  21. FIFTEEN Build a High-Confidence Revenue Forecast 153
  22. SIXTEEN Create a Bulletproof Business Case 170
  23. PART IV Ensuring Commercial Success
  24. SEVENTEEN Identify and Lower the Biggest Barriers to Adoption 181
  25. EIGHTEEN Plan Enough but Not Too Much 193
  26. NINETEEN Take the Shortest Path to Value, Not to Market 201
  27. TWENTY Prime the Organization for a Successful Launch 213
  28. PART V Creating Long-Term Value
  29. TWENTY-ONE Turn a Single Success into an Enduring Franchise 223
  30. TWENTY-TWO Make Use of Acquisitions and Partnerships to Accelerate Innovation Value 231
  31. TWENTY-THREE Embrace Proven Pathways for Long Lead-Time Innovation 239
  32. TWENTY-FOUR Use Incremental Developments to Complement Breakthrough Innovation 246
  33. TWENTY-FIVE Turn Gaps into Strengths for Start-Ups and Entrepreneurs 255
  34. Appendices
  35. APPENDIX 1 Tools for Market Research 263
  36. APPENDIX 2 Real-World Data Resources to Complement Market Research 277
  37. APPENDIX 3 Estimating Purchase Intent 279
  38. APPENDIX 4 Revenue Modeling Best Practices 283
  39. Notes 287
  40. Index 295
Predictable Winners
This chapter is in the book Predictable Winners
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