Preface

Philip E. Tetlock

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Preface

Philip E. Tetlock

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Ein Kapitel aus dem Buch Expert Political Judgment

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Tetlock, Philip E.. "Preface". Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?, Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2017, pp. xi-xvi. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

Tetlock, P. (2017). Preface. In Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? (pp. xi-xvi). Princeton: Princeton University Press. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

Tetlock, P. 2017. Preface. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?. Princeton: Princeton University Press, pp. xi-xvi. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

Tetlock, Philip E.. "Preface" In Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?, xi-xvi. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

Tetlock P. Preface. In: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?. Princeton: Princeton University Press; 2017. p.xi-xvi. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

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Kapitel in diesem Buch

Frontmatter i
Contents vii
Acknowledgments ix
Preface xi
Preface to the 2017 Edition xvii
CHAPTER 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable 1
CHAPTER 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism 25
CHAPTER 3. Knowing the Limits of One’s Knowledge 67
CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets 121
CHAPTER 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals 144
CHAPTER 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back 164
CHAPTER 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness? 189
CHAPTER 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability 216
Methodological Appendix 239
Technical Appendix 273
Index 313

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https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400888818-002

Kapitel in diesem Buch

Frontmatter i
Contents vii
Acknowledgments ix
Preface xi
Preface to the 2017 Edition xvii
CHAPTER 1. Quantifying the Unquantifiable 1
CHAPTER 2. The Ego-deflating Challenge of Radical Skepticism 25
CHAPTER 3. Knowing the Limits of One’s Knowledge 67
CHAPTER 4. Honoring Reputational Bets 121
CHAPTER 5. Contemplating Counterfactuals 144
CHAPTER 6. The Hedgehogs Strike Back 164
CHAPTER 7. Are We Open-minded Enough to Acknowledge the Limits of Open-mindedness? 189
CHAPTER 8. Exploring the Limits on Objectivity and Accountability 216
Methodological Appendix 239
Technical Appendix 273
Index 313

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