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6. Arthur Bailey

© Yale University Press, New Haven

© Yale University Press, New Haven

Chapters in this book

  1. Frontmatter i
  2. Contents vii
  3. Preface And Note To Readers ix
  4. Acknowledgments xii
  5. Part I. Enlightenment And The Anti-Bayesian Reaction
  6. 1. Causes In The Air 3
  7. 2. The Man Who Did Everything 13
  8. 3. Many Doubts, Few Defenders 34
  9. Part II. Second World War Era
  10. 4. Bayes Goes To War 61
  11. 5. Dead And Buried Again 87
  12. Part III. The Glorious Revival
  13. 6. Arthur Bailey 91
  14. 7. From Tool To Theology 97
  15. 8. Jerome Cornfield, Lung Cancer, And Heart Attacks 108
  16. 9. There’s Always A First Time 119
  17. 10. 46,656 Varieties 129
  18. Part IV. To Prove Its Worth
  19. 11. Business Decisions 139
  20. 12. Who Wrote The Federalist? 154
  21. 13. The Cold Warrior 163
  22. 14. Three Mile Island 176
  23. 15. The Navy Searches 182
  24. Part V. Victory
  25. 16. Eureka! 213
  26. 17. Rosetta Stones 233
  27. Appendix A. Dr Fisher’s Casebook: The Doctor Sees The Light 253
  28. Appendix B. Applying Bayes’ Rule To Mammograms And Breast Cancer 255
  29. Notes 259
  30. Glossary 271
  31. Bibliography 275
  32. Index 307
The Theory That Would Not Die
This chapter is in the book The Theory That Would Not Die
https://doi.org/10.12987/9780300175097-008

Chapters in this book

  1. Frontmatter i
  2. Contents vii
  3. Preface And Note To Readers ix
  4. Acknowledgments xii
  5. Part I. Enlightenment And The Anti-Bayesian Reaction
  6. 1. Causes In The Air 3
  7. 2. The Man Who Did Everything 13
  8. 3. Many Doubts, Few Defenders 34
  9. Part II. Second World War Era
  10. 4. Bayes Goes To War 61
  11. 5. Dead And Buried Again 87
  12. Part III. The Glorious Revival
  13. 6. Arthur Bailey 91
  14. 7. From Tool To Theology 97
  15. 8. Jerome Cornfield, Lung Cancer, And Heart Attacks 108
  16. 9. There’s Always A First Time 119
  17. 10. 46,656 Varieties 129
  18. Part IV. To Prove Its Worth
  19. 11. Business Decisions 139
  20. 12. Who Wrote The Federalist? 154
  21. 13. The Cold Warrior 163
  22. 14. Three Mile Island 176
  23. 15. The Navy Searches 182
  24. Part V. Victory
  25. 16. Eureka! 213
  26. 17. Rosetta Stones 233
  27. Appendix A. Dr Fisher’s Casebook: The Doctor Sees The Light 253
  28. Appendix B. Applying Bayes’ Rule To Mammograms And Breast Cancer 255
  29. Notes 259
  30. Glossary 271
  31. Bibliography 275
  32. Index 307
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