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Sensitivity of estimands in clinical trials with imperfect compliance

  • Heng Chen EMAIL logo und Daniel F. Heitjan
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 28. Juni 2023

Abstract

In clinical trials that are subject to noncompliance, the commonly used intention-to-treat estimand is valid as a causal effect of treatment assignment but is sensitive to the level of compliance. An alternative estimand, the complier average causal effect (CACE), measures the average effect of treatment received in the latent subset of subjects who would comply with either assigned treatment. Because the principal stratum of compliers can vary with the circumstances of the trial, CACE too depends on the compliance fraction. We propose a model in which an underlying latent proto-compliance interacts with trial characteristics to determine a subject’s compliance behavior. When the latent compliance is independent of the individual treatment effect, the average causal effect is constant across compliance classes, and CACE is robust across trials and equal to the population average causal effect. We demonstrate the potential degree of sensitivity of CACE in a simulation study, an analysis of data from a trial of vitamin A supplementation in children, and a meta-analysis of trials of epidural analgesia in labor.


Corresponding author: Heng Chen, Biostatistics, Gilead Sciences Inc., Foster City, CA 94404, USA, E-mail:

Acknowledgment

We thank the reviewers for many helpful comments and suggestions.

  1. Author contributions: All the authors have accepted responsibility for the entire content of this submitted manuscript and approved submission.

  2. Research funding: None declared.

  3. Conflict of interest statement: The authors declare no conflicts of interest regarding this article.

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Received: 2022-08-30
Accepted: 2023-05-30
Published Online: 2023-06-28

© 2023 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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