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Delegation and Information Disclosure with Unforeseen Contingencies

  • Haoran Lei und Xiaojian Zhao EMAIL logo
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 17. Juni 2021

Abstract

We incorporate unawareness into the delegation problem between a financial expert and an investor, and study their pre-delegation communication. The expert has superior awareness of the possible states of the world, and decides whether to reveal some of them to the investor. We find that the expert reveals all the possible states to the investor if the investor is initially aware of a large set of possible states, but reveals partially or nothing otherwise. An investor with a higher degree of unawareness tends to delegate a larger set of projects to the expert, giving rise to a higher incentive for the expert to keep her unaware.

JEL Classification: D82; D83; D86

Corresponding author: Xiaojian Zhao, Monash University, Clayton, Australia, E-mail:

Acknowledgments

We thank the editor Burkhard Schipper and a referee for constructive suggestions and seminar participants at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, the 2017 China Meeting of the Econometric Society (Wuhan), the 2019 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society (Xiamen), and the 2021 Zoom Mini-Workshop on Contract Theory with Unawareness for helpful discussions and comments. All errors are ours.

Appendix A

We provide proofs of all the lemmas and propositions in Appendix A.

A.1 Proof of Proposition 1

Following Alonso and Matouschek (2008), when b < ( θ ̄ θ ̲ ) / 2 the delegation is valuable and the (minimal) optimal delegation set is [ θ ̲ + 2 b , θ ̄ + b ] ; when b > ( θ ̄ θ ̲ ) / 2 , the investor chooses her optimal project y * = θ ̄ + θ ̲ 2 + b in the (minimal) optimal delegation set. By Assumption A1, the delegation can be valuable if the investor is aware of a relatively large set of states.

As we focus on the maximal delegation set, in equilibrium the investor delegates all projects above the threshold y H = θ ̲ + min { 2 b , θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b } . Moreover, she also delegates those projects below the threshold y L satisfying

( y H θ ̲ b ) 2 = ( y L θ ̲ b ) 2 .

The reason is that she believes these lower states will never be implemented by the expert. The lower cutoff is y L = θ ̲ min { 2 b , θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b } . To sum up, the investor’s optimal delegation choice is:

D * ( [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] ) = Y \ θ ̲ Δ , θ ̲ + Δ

where Δ = min 2 b , θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b .

A.2 Proof of Lemma 2

By Proposition 1, the delegation set is characterized by the gap Δ = min { 2 b , θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b } . Therefore, the expert has incentives to make the investor aware of one singleton to minimize the measure of the undelegated projects; that is, θ ̲ = θ ̄ .

The expert’s expected utility depends on the interception of the set of undelegated options and his preferred options, 0,1 . Suppose that the expert’s revelation choice is θ′ = 0. Then the expert’s expected utility would be

E θ u E ( D , θ ) = 2 0 b / 2 x 2 d x + 0 = b 3 / 12 .

Suppose that the revelation choice is θ″ ∈ (0, 1). Then the intersection would be (θ″ − b, θ″ + b) ∩ [0, 1]. When bθ″ ≤ 1 − b, the expert’s expected utility would be

E θ u E ( D , θ ) = 2 0 b x 2 d x + 0 = 2 b 3 / 3 < b 3 / 12 .

When θ < b , the expert’s expected utility would be

E θ u E ( D , θ ) = 2 0 θ + b 2 x 2 d x + 0 = ( θ + b ) 3 / 12 < b 3 / 12 .

The same case holds for θ″ > 1 − b. Therefore, the expert’s optimal revelation choice would be Θ ̂ = { 0 } or symmetrically Θ ̂ = { 1 } .

A.3 Proof of Proposition 3

If θ 2θ 1 ≥ 2b, the gap Δ * = min 2 b , θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b = 2 b as θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 θ 2 θ 1 2 = b . Let the new awareness set be [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] . The set of undelegated options is ( θ ̲ 2 b , θ ̲ + 2 b ) .

First, the expert would choose θ ̄ = 1 as we focus on the maximal awareness set. Second, a lower θ ̲ benefits the expert as more of his preferred options are delegated. The optimal choice is hence θ ̲ = 0 .

A.4 Proof of Proposition 4

Let the awareness set before revelation be [θ 1, θ 2]. The expert expands the awareness set to Θ ̂ = [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] with θ ̲ θ 1 θ 2 θ ̄ . Denote the expert’s choice by [ θ ̲ * , θ ̄ * ] .

By Proposition 3, if in the solution θ ̄ * θ ̲ * 2 b then the expert must choose full revelation: [ θ ̲ * , θ ̄ * ] = [ 0,1 ] . Then we focus on θ ̄ θ ̲ < 2 b . In this case, the set of undelegated options take the form of ( θ ̲ Δ * , θ ̲ + Δ * ) where Δ * = θ ̄ θ ̲ 2 + b . Clearly, the set of undelegated options expands when θ ̄ increases. Therefore, in the solution θ ̄ * = θ 2 must hold when the expert does not choose full revelation.

On the other hand, decreasing θ ̲ by one unit, the agent decreases the lower bound and upper bound of the set ( θ ̲ Δ * , θ ̲ + Δ * ) by 3/2 and 1/2 units respectively.[8] As a result, lowering θ ̲ strictly benefits the expert when θ ̲ is close to 0, and he would choose θ ̲ * = 0 in that situation. When revealing more awareness is beneficial to the expert, he would choose Θ ̂ = [ 0 , θ 2 ] .

We identify the conditions under which the expert is willing to reveal extra awareness by comparing his expected utility in the two cases: [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] = [ 0 , θ 2 ] and [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] = [ θ 1 , θ 2 ] . Denote by the length of ( θ ̲ Δ * , θ ̲ + Δ * ) [ 0,1 ] . Due to the symmetrical form of the utility function, the expert is better off if and only if is smaller.

  1. Suppose θ 1 > θ 2 θ 1 2 + b . Without awareness revelation, = θ 2θ 1 + 2b. With partial revelation, = θ 2/2 + b. The expert would reveal nothing if and only if θ 2 / 2 + b > θ 2 θ 1 + 2 b θ 1 + θ 2 / 2 < 3 b .

  2. Suppose θ 1 < θ 2 θ 1 2 + b . Without awareness revelation, = θ 1 + θ 2 θ 1 2 + b > θ 2 2 + b . The expert is always willing to expand awareness in this case.

Last, note that the expert would choose full revelation ( Θ ̂ = [ 0,1 ] ) instead of partial revelation ( Θ ̂ = [ 0 , θ 2 ] ) if θ 2 ≥ 2b. To sum up, if θ 2 θ 1 < 2 b , the expert’s optimal revelation strategy is:

σ ( Θ 0 ) = θ 1 , θ 2 if b < 3 2 θ 1 θ 2 2 ; 0 , θ 2 if b 3 2 θ 1 θ 2 2 and θ 2 < 2 b ; 0,1 o t h e r w i s e .

A.5 Proof of Proposition 5

In this case, the investor’s delegation choice, given her interim awareness set [ θ ̲ , θ ̄ ] , is

D * = [ θ ̲ + 2 b , θ ̄ ]  if b < ( θ ̄ θ ̲ ) / 2 , { y * }  otherwise, 

where y * = θ ̲ + θ ̄ 2 + b is the investor’s most preferred option. It follows that if b < θ 2 θ 1 2 , the expert will reveal all states to induce the largest delegation set. Next we focus on the case of interest when b > θ 2 θ 1 2 .

When b > θ 2 θ 1 2 , the expert might choose full, partial, or no revelation. Moreover, when the expert’s optimal choice is not full revelation, the delegation set must contain only one point. Otherwise, the investor would find the delegation valuable and the expert should have chosen full revelation as argued above. Therefore, the delegation set can take two forms:

  1. The delegation set with partial or no revelation is {y*}, and the expert’s expected utility is

    U NR = 0 1 1 2 ( y * θ ) 2 d θ = 1 6 ( 1 3 y * + 3 ( y * ) 2 ) .

  2. The delegation set with full revelation is [2b, 1], and the expert’s expected utility is

    U FR = 0 2 b 1 2 ( 2 b θ ) 2 d θ = 4 3 b 3 .

Note that U NR 1 24 with the equality at y* = 1/2. Therefore, the inequality U FR > U NR always holds as long as b < 1 32 3 1 3.17 . So the expert always chooses full revelation with a relatively small b. When b > 1 32 3 , the expert has incentives to reveal lower states if y* > 1/2 while has incentives to reveal higher states if y * < 1 / 2 . Two observations are followed. First, when y* = 1/2, the expert’s optimal choice is no revelation. Second, when y* ≠ 1/2 and b is relatively large, the expert will reveal partially to make the induced action more close to 1/2.[9] The revealed states can be high or low, depending on the sign of y* minus 1/2.

Appendix B

Heifetz, Meier, and Schipper (2011) pointed out that a more expressive framework than the standard extensive form game is needed to model strategic reasoning with unawareness. To capture the possibility that different players have different views of the game, Heifetz, Meier, and Schipper (2013) propose the notion of generalized extensive-form game. In this appendix, we describe how our model can be formalized using their framework. The key is to use subtrees to characterize different views of players.

There are three players: the investor, the expert, and Nature. Let T denote the set of all subtrees, each subtree induced by a specific revelation choice of the expert. A subtree characterizes a subjective game from the perspective of the investor. At the beginning of the game, the investor’s awareness set is Θ0. If the expert reveals nothing, the subjective game of the investor is depicted as the left subtree in Figure 6. If the expert expands the investor’s awareness set to Θ ̃ , then the corresponding subtree T ̃ is depicted at the right in Figure 6. In the first stage, the expert’s chosen awareness set as depicted at the right must contain the initial awareness set as depicted at the left. In all stages, the player’s action is shown by the point on the arc. In the second stage, the investor chooses the delegation set. In the third stage, Nature draws the realized state. The investor’s awareness set is shown by the shorter arc between the two solid lines. Note that the realized state might not be in the awareness set of the investor, as depicted in the right subtree. In the fourth and last stage, the expert chooses some investment option from the respective delegation set.

Figure 6: 
Subtrees T
0 and 





T

̃




$\tilde {T}$



.
Figure 6:

Subtrees T 0 and T ̃ .

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Received: 2018-12-13
Revised: 2021-03-11
Accepted: 2021-06-01
Published Online: 2021-06-17

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Heruntergeladen am 18.11.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/bejte-2018-0184/pdf
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