3. Predictability and Democratic Consolidation

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents vii
3. Acknowledgments ix
4. Abbreviations xi
5. PART I THEORY
6. 1. Rational Regime Preferences in Europe 3
7. 2. Democracy with Whom? Authoritarianism under Whom? 24
8. 3. Predictability and Democratic Consolidation 56
9. PART II CASES
10. Introduction to Part II: Case Selection and Measuring Independent and Dependent Variables 93
11. 4. The Right and the Breakdown of Spanish Democracy, 1931-1936 103
12. 5. Democratic Transition and Consolidation in Spain, 1976-1986 138
13. 6. Political Risks and Regime Outcomes in Europe before 1940 182
14. 7. Political Risks and Regime Outcomes in Europe after 1945 219
15. 8. Consolidation into the Future and outside Europe 247
16. Appendix: Interviews on the Spanish Right's Beliefs in the 1970s and 1980s 259
17. References 263
18. Index 285