2. WHAT WE KNOW

Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents v
3. Foreword vii
4. Preface ix
5. Acknowledgments xvii
6. 1. INTRODUCTION 1
7. PART 1. AMERICA’S CLIMATE FUTURE
8. OPENING COMMENTARY 11
9. 2. WHAT WE KNOW 13
10. 3. WHAT COMES NEXT 17
11. 4. U.S. CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 23
12. PART 2. ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF AMERICA’S CHANGING CLIMATE
13. OPENING COMMENTARY 41
14. 5. AN EVIDENCE-BASED APPROACH 45
15. 6. AGRICULTURE 51
16. 7. LABOR 67
17. 8. HEALTH 75
18. 9. CRIME 85
19. 10. ENERGY 95
20. 11. COASTAL COMMUNITIES 105
21. PART 3. PRICING CLIMATE RISK
22. OPENING COMMENTARY 121
23. 12. FROM IMPACTS TO ECONOMICS 125
24. 13. DIRECT COSTS AND BENEFITS 127
25. 14. MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS 149
26. 15. VALUING RISK AND INEQUALITY OF DAMAGES 153
27. PART 4. UNQUANTIFIED IMPACTS
28. OPENING COMMENTARY 161
29. 16. WHAT WE MISS 165
30. 17. WATER 171
31. 18. FORESTS 177
32. 19. TOURISM 183
33. 20. NATIONAL SECURITY 189
34. PART 5. INSIGHTS FOR CLIMATE-RISK MANAGEMENT
35. OPENING COMMENTARY 197
36. 21. MITIGATION 201
37. 22. ADAPTATION 209
38. TECHNICAL APPENDIXES
39. APPENDIX A. PHYSICAL CLIMATE PROJECTIONS 219
40. APPENDIX B. CLIMATE IMPACTS 249
41. APPENDIX C. DETAILED SECTORAL MODELS 281
42. APPENDIX D. INTEGRATED ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 295
43. APPENDIX E. VALUING RISK AND UNEQUAL IMPACTS 327
44. REFERENCES 329
45. ABOUT THE AUTHORS 349
46. INDEX 351