Chapters in this book

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents vii
3. Prologue 1
4. Chapter 1. Actuarial Methods in the Criminal Law 7
5. Part I. The Rise of the Actuarial Paradigm
6. Chapter 2. Ernest W. Burgess and Parole Prediction 47
7. Chapter 3. The Proliferation of Actuarial Methods in Punishing and Policing 77
8. Part II. The Critique of Actuarial Methods
9. Chapter 4. The Mathematics of Actuarial Prediction: The Illusion of Efficiency 111
10. Chapter 5. The Ratchet Effect: An Overlooked Social Cost 145
11. Chapter 6. The Pull of Prediction: Distorting Our Conceptions of Just Punishment 173
12. Part III. Toward a More General Theory of Punishing and Policing
13. Chapter 7. A Case Study on Racial Profiling 195
14. Chapter 8. Shades of Gray 215
15. Chapter 9. The Virtues of Randomization 237
16. Acknowledgments 241
17. Appendix A: Retracing the Parole-Prediction Debate and Literature 245
18. Appendix B: Mathematical Proofs Regarding the Economic Model of Racial Profiling 261
19. Notes 267
20. References 311
21. Index 331