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Endogenous Persistence and the Performance of Inertial Targeting Rules
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Michael S. Hanson
Veröffentlicht/Copyright:
10. März 2008
We investigate the optimality of monetary policy targeting rules in a macroeconomic model based on explicit micro-foundations for intrinsic persistence in inflation and real output. For the corresponding social welfare loss function to be minimized by the central bank, inertia arises endogenously in both the inflation and output gap stabilization objectives. In this framework, inflation targeting closely approximates the optimal precommitment policy for empirically relevant parameter values. Alternative policy rules, such as nominal income growth targeting, "speed-limit" targeting, or price level targeting, do not perform as well. Previous research has demonstrated lower social welfare losses with these alternative targeting rules; such findings are shown to be primarily a consequence of assuming the central bank minimizes a simple social loss function that is not consistent with the micro-foundations of a model with intrinsic persistence.
Keywords: habit formation; inflation persistence; targeting rules; time consistency; design of monetary institutions
Published Online: 2008-3-10
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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- Estimating Returns to Schooling from State-Level Data: A Macro-Mincerian Approach
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Schlagwörter für diesen Artikel
habit formation;
inflation persistence;
targeting rules;
time consistency;
design of monetary institutions
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- The Importance of Industrial Policy in Quality-Ladder Growth Models
- The Evolution of International Output Differences (1970-2000): From Factors to Productivity
- Non-Linearities and Unit Roots in G7 Macroeconomic Variables
- Mitigating the Growth-Effects of Inflation through Financial Development
- The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations
- Target Saving in an Overlapping Generations Model
- Inequality, Volatility and Labour Market Efficiency
- Expected Equity Returns and the Demand for Money
- Forecasting with DSGE Models: The Role of Nonlinearities
- Job Reallocation, Unemployment and Hours in a New Keynesian Model
- Consolidation of Student Loan Repayments and Default Incentives
- Advent of Industrial Mass Production: Three Stages of Economic Development
- The Japanese Depression in the Interwar Period: A General Equilibrium Analysis
- Determinants of Bilateral Remittance Flows
- Cyclical Behavior of Unemployment and Job Vacancies: A Comparison between Canada and the United States
- Economic and Socio-Political Determinants of de Facto Monetary Institutions and Inflationary Outcomes
- On Equilibrium Determinacy in New Keynesian Models with Staggered Wage and Price Setting
- Contributions Article
- Growth-Led Exports: Implications for the Cross-Country Effects of Shocks to Potential Output
- Monetary Policy and Fiscal Rules
- Choosing Longevity with Overlapping Generations: To Be or Not to Be in Diamond's Model
- Nonlinear Taylor Rules and Asymmetric Preferences in Central Banking: Evidence from the United Kingdom and the United States
- Baumol's Diseases: A Macroeconomic Perspective
- Employment Growth in the American Urban Hierarchy: Long Live Distance
- Endogenous Persistence and the Performance of Inertial Targeting Rules
- Unemployment, Imperfect Risk Sharing, and the Monetary Business Cycle
- Technological Progress and the Urbanization Process
- Convergence by Parts
- Estimating Returns to Schooling from State-Level Data: A Macro-Mincerian Approach
- Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence
- Advances Article
- Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in the OECD
- Monetary Policy under Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity
- Africa: Is Aid an Answer?
