Like Father, Like Son: Testing the Bush I-Bush II Comparison Predictions
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Dick Carpenter
Professor Carpenter challenges the conventional wisdom that George W. Bush must avoid the fate of his father by focusing on the economy. He argues that the economic picture was quite different for father and son, such as dissimilar rates of change in unemployment and inflation during their tenures in office. More importantly, economic approval ratings fail to predict accurately their overall approval ratings. In contrast to the conventional wisdom, Carpenter’s analysis shows that perceptions of foreign policy leadership appear to be more important in predicting approval for both presidencies. And even though the combination of economic and foreign approval ratings appear to drive Bush II’s performance ratings overall, these played a rather insignificant role for Bush I.
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Artikel in diesem Heft
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- The Rise and Fall of Howard Dean and Other Notes on the 2004 Democratic Presidential Nomination
- What the Rise of the Republicans as America's First Ideological Party Means for the Democrats
- Black, White, Brown and Cajun: The Racial Dynamics of the 2003 Louisiana Gubernatorial Election
- A "Permanent" Republican House? Patterns of Voter Performance and the Persistence of House Control
- Like Father, Like Son: Testing the Bush I-Bush II Comparison Predictions
- Public Support for Both the Environment and an Anti-Environmental President: Possible Explanations for the George W. Bush Anomaly
