Balance of Payments Constrained Non-Scale Growth and the Population Puzzle
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Thomas Christiaans
New growth theories suffer from their counterfactual prediction that a higher (rate of) population (growth) generally implies a higher growth rate of per capita income. This population puzzle is solved by introducing imported intermediates and an exogenously growing world export demand creating a Keynesian balance of payments constraint in a neoclassical model of non-scale growth. It is shown among other things that the growth rate of per capita consumption may decline or increase in the rate of population growth depending on the relative magnitudes of particular elasticities. The growth rate of per capita income measured in terms of the intermediate produced abroad will fall in the population growth rate if world export demand is price-inelastic. This elasticity is also decisive in whether the implications of the model are more Keynesian or more neoclassical.
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Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- Balance of Payments Constrained Non-Scale Growth and the Population Puzzle
- The Human Capital Constraint: Of Increasing Returns, Education Choice and Coordination Failure
- ``To Furnish an Elastic Currency'': Banking, Aggregate Risk, and Welfare
- How Prudent are Community Representative Consumers?
- Price Distribution in a Symmetric Economy
- The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics: a Time Series Approach
- Shiftwork, Adjustment Costs and Uncertainty
- How Do Future Constraints Affect Current Investment?
- The Politics of Endogenous Growth
- Sticky Prices, Coordination and Enforcement
- Fractional Integration with Bloomfield Disturbances in the Specification of Real Output in the G7 Countries
- Monetary Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate is Zero
- High-Tech Human Capital: Do the Richest Countries Invest the Most?
- Substitution Elasticities and Investment Dynamics in Two-Country Business Cycle Models
- Contributions Article
- On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks: Comments and Some Further Evidence
- Optimal Monetary Policy and the Correlation between Prices and Output
- Are Banking Supervisory Data Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasts?
- An Analytical Approach to the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefit from Activist Monetary Policy
- Interpreting the Significance of the Lagged Interest Rate in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules
- Idle Capital and Long-Run Productivity
- The Money Metric, Price and Quantity Aggregation and Welfare Measurement
- Parente and Prescott's Theory May Work in Practice But Does Not Work in Theory
- Explaining Movements in the Labor Share
- Endogenous Growth with Intertemporally Dependent Preferences
- On the Friedman Rule in Search Models with Divisible Money
- Finance Causes Growth: Can We Be So Sure?
- Advances Article
- Where Is the Natural Rate? Rational Policy Mistakes and Persistent Deviations of Inflation from Target
- Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity: Evidence from the Employment Cost Index
Artikel in diesem Heft
- Topics Article
- Balance of Payments Constrained Non-Scale Growth and the Population Puzzle
- The Human Capital Constraint: Of Increasing Returns, Education Choice and Coordination Failure
- ``To Furnish an Elastic Currency'': Banking, Aggregate Risk, and Welfare
- How Prudent are Community Representative Consumers?
- Price Distribution in a Symmetric Economy
- The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics: a Time Series Approach
- Shiftwork, Adjustment Costs and Uncertainty
- How Do Future Constraints Affect Current Investment?
- The Politics of Endogenous Growth
- Sticky Prices, Coordination and Enforcement
- Fractional Integration with Bloomfield Disturbances in the Specification of Real Output in the G7 Countries
- Monetary Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate is Zero
- High-Tech Human Capital: Do the Richest Countries Invest the Most?
- Substitution Elasticities and Investment Dynamics in Two-Country Business Cycle Models
- Contributions Article
- On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks: Comments and Some Further Evidence
- Optimal Monetary Policy and the Correlation between Prices and Output
- Are Banking Supervisory Data Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasts?
- An Analytical Approach to the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefit from Activist Monetary Policy
- Interpreting the Significance of the Lagged Interest Rate in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules
- Idle Capital and Long-Run Productivity
- The Money Metric, Price and Quantity Aggregation and Welfare Measurement
- Parente and Prescott's Theory May Work in Practice But Does Not Work in Theory
- Explaining Movements in the Labor Share
- Endogenous Growth with Intertemporally Dependent Preferences
- On the Friedman Rule in Search Models with Divisible Money
- Finance Causes Growth: Can We Be So Sure?
- Advances Article
- Where Is the Natural Rate? Rational Policy Mistakes and Persistent Deviations of Inflation from Target
- Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity: Evidence from the Employment Cost Index