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Balance of Payments Constrained Non-Scale Growth and the Population Puzzle

  • Thomas Christiaans
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 30. Januar 2003

New growth theories suffer from their counterfactual prediction that a higher (rate of) population (growth) generally implies a higher growth rate of per capita income. This population puzzle is solved by introducing imported intermediates and an exogenously growing world export demand creating a Keynesian balance of payments constraint in a neoclassical model of non-scale growth. It is shown among other things that the growth rate of per capita consumption may decline or increase in the rate of population growth depending on the relative magnitudes of particular elasticities. The growth rate of per capita income measured in terms of the intermediate produced abroad will fall in the population growth rate if world export demand is price-inelastic. This elasticity is also decisive in whether the implications of the model are more Keynesian or more neoclassical.

Published Online: 2003-1-30

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Artikel in diesem Heft

  1. Topics Article
  2. Balance of Payments Constrained Non-Scale Growth and the Population Puzzle
  3. The Human Capital Constraint: Of Increasing Returns, Education Choice and Coordination Failure
  4. ``To Furnish an Elastic Currency'': Banking, Aggregate Risk, and Welfare
  5. How Prudent are Community Representative Consumers?
  6. Price Distribution in a Symmetric Economy
  7. The Role of Stock Markets in Current Account Dynamics: a Time Series Approach
  8. Shiftwork, Adjustment Costs and Uncertainty
  9. How Do Future Constraints Affect Current Investment?
  10. The Politics of Endogenous Growth
  11. Sticky Prices, Coordination and Enforcement
  12. Fractional Integration with Bloomfield Disturbances in the Specification of Real Output in the G7 Countries
  13. Monetary Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate is Zero
  14. High-Tech Human Capital: Do the Richest Countries Invest the Most?
  15. Substitution Elasticities and Investment Dynamics in Two-Country Business Cycle Models
  16. Contributions Article
  17. On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks: Comments and Some Further Evidence
  18. Optimal Monetary Policy and the Correlation between Prices and Output
  19. Are Banking Supervisory Data Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasts?
  20. An Analytical Approach to the Welfare Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefit from Activist Monetary Policy
  21. Interpreting the Significance of the Lagged Interest Rate in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules
  22. Idle Capital and Long-Run Productivity
  23. The Money Metric, Price and Quantity Aggregation and Welfare Measurement
  24. Parente and Prescott's Theory May Work in Practice But Does Not Work in Theory
  25. Explaining Movements in the Labor Share
  26. Endogenous Growth with Intertemporally Dependent Preferences
  27. On the Friedman Rule in Search Models with Divisible Money
  28. Finance Causes Growth: Can We Be So Sure?
  29. Advances Article
  30. Where Is the Natural Rate? Rational Policy Mistakes and Persistent Deviations of Inflation from Target
  31. Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity: Evidence from the Employment Cost Index
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