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Explaining Middle Eastern Political Authoritarianism II: Liberalizing Transitions
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Marcus Noland
Published/Copyright:
January 1, 2008
Long-lived undemocratic political regimes are ubiquitous in the Arab world. The likelihood of a transition declines as a country liberalizes and approaches the democratic asymptote. Worldwide democracy waves are positively associated with the likelihood of transition. Adherence to Islam among the population is uncorrelated with the likelihood of a liberalizing episode, but the Arab population share is negatively correlated with the likelihood of a liberalizing transition. For the Arab countries of the Middle East, the odds on liberalizing transitions occurring are low but rising, and alternative interpretations of the Arab population share variable are important in this regard.
Published Online: 2008-1-1
©2011 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin/Boston
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- Explaining Middle Eastern Political Authoritarianism I: The Level of Democracy
- Explaining Middle Eastern Political Authoritarianism II: Liberalizing Transitions
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Articles in the same Issue
- Article
- Explaining Middle Eastern Political Authoritarianism I: The Level of Democracy
- Explaining Middle Eastern Political Authoritarianism II: Liberalizing Transitions
- Money and Inflation in the Islamic Republic of Iran
- Trade and Competition Policies for Growth in Lebanon: A General Equilibrium Analysis
- Competitive Conditions in the Turkish Non-Life Insurance Industry
