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Electricity Price of Hybrid Power System and Decision Making of Renewable Energy Investment Capacity

  • Jiaping Xie , Weisi Zhang EMAIL logo , Yu Xia , Ling Liang und Lingcheng Kong
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 29. Juni 2018
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Abstract

In the existing electricity market, the traditional power suppliers and renewable energy generators coexist in the power supply side. In the power supply side, renewable energy generators generate power by wind and other natural conditions, leading renewable energy output a certain randomness. However, the low marginal generating cost and the reduction of carbon emissions, and thus brings a certain advantage for renewable energy compared to alternative energy. Electricity, as a special commodity, stable and adequate power supply is a necessary guarantee for economic and social development. Power shortage situation is not allowed in the power system, and the extra power needs to be handled for the purpose of safety. In this paper, the hybrid power generated by renewable energy generators and traditional energy generators is used as power supply, and then the electricity market sells hybrid power to electricity consumers, the hybrid power system determines the optimal daytime price, nighttime price, and the optimal installed capacity of the renewable energy suppliers. We find that the installed capacity of renewable energy increases first and then decreases with the increase of the price sensitivity coefficient of traditional energy supply. Electricity demand is negatively related to electricity price in the current period, and is positively related to price in the other period. The average price of day and night is only related to the total potential demand of day and night and the total generation probability of renewable energy. The price difference between daytime and nighttime is positively related to potential electricity demand, and negatively related to the sensitivity coefficient of electricity price.

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Appendix 1

The welfare function of three order Hesse matrix about price, price, daytime and nighttime for the installed capacity of renewable energy:

2Wpn,pd,krpd2=2γc2β+γδ2<0,2Wpn,pd,krpn2=2γc2βδ+γ2<0,2Wpn,pd,krkr2=c2qd+qn2<0,2Wpn,pd,krpdpn=2δc2βδ+γ2,2Wpn,pd,krpdkr=c2qd+qnβ+γδ,Wpn,pd,krpnkr=c2qd+qnβ+γδ.

Three order Hesse matrix:

2Wpn,pd,krpd22Wpn,pd,krpdpn2Wpn,pd,krpdkr2Wpn,pd,krpnpd2Wpn,pd,krpn2Wpn,pd,krpnkr2Wpn,pd,krkrpdWpn,pd,krkrpn2Wpn,pd,krkr2=2γc2β+γδ22δc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδ2δc2βδ+γ22γc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qn2.

The three order determinant for Hesse matrices:

2γc2β+γδ22δc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδ2δc2βδ+γ22γc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qn2.

  1. The first order principal:

    2γc2β+γδ2<0.
  2. The second order primary principal:

    2γc2β+γδ22δc2βδ+γ22δc2βδ+γ22γc2βδ+γ2=2γ+c2β+γδ222δc2βδ+γ22=2γ+c2β+γδ2+2δc2βδ+γ22γ+c2β+γδ22δ+c2βδ+γ2=4γ+δγδ+c2β+γδ2>0.
  3. The third order primary principal:

    2γc2β+γδ22δc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδ2δc2βδ+γ22γc2βδ+γ2c2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qnβ+γδc2qd+qn2=4c2δ+γδγqd+qn2=4c2δ2γ2qd+qn2=4c2γ2δ2qd+qn2<0.

    So the welfare function is three order Hesse matrix about daytime electricity, nighttime electricity, renewable energy installed capacity. The matrix is negative definite, so the power system’s welfare function is a concave function of price of daytime and nighttime and renewable energy installed capacity.

Appendix 2

The objective function of power system is concave about daytime electricity, nighttime electricity and renewable energy installed capacity. The three order Hesse matrix is negative definite matrix, so there exists optimal prices of white day and night and renewable energy installed capacity which makes the objective function of power system to reach the maximum.

pd=ad+2δpnc1β+γδvγ+δc2βpnδpn+γpn+qdkr+qnkradanβ+γδc2β+γδ2+2γ,pn=2δpd+anc1βδ+γvδγc2βpd+γpdδpd+qdkr+qnkradanβδ+γc2β+γδβδ+γ+2γ,kr=Lc1+vc2qd+qnβpdadγpd+δpn+βpnanγpn+δpdqd+qnαc2qd+qn2.

The optimal combination of daytime electricity price, nighttime price and renewable energy installed capacity:

pd=αβδ+γδ+γ+qd+qnanδ+adγδ+γδ+γL+βl+v2qd+qnγ2δ2,pn=αβδ+γδ+γ+qd+qnadδ+anγδ+γδ+γL+βl+v2qd+qnγ2δ2,kr=2αδ+γ+c2βδ+γ2+qd+qnadc2β+δγ+anc2β+δγ2c1δγ+δ+γ+c2βδ+γ2L+δ+γ+βc2βδ+γv2c2qd+qn2δγ.

Appendix 3

According to the optimal daytime price and the optimal nighttime price, the difference between the optimal daytime price and the nighttime price can be expressed as:

pdpn=qd+qnanδ+adγδ+γδ+γL+βl+vqd+qnadδ+anγδ+γδ+γL+βl+v2qd+qnγ2δ2=qd+qnanδ+adγadδanγ2qd+qnγ2δ2=anδ+adγadδanγ2γ2δ2=adanγδ2γ2δ2=adan2γ+δ.

According to the optimal daytime price and optimal nighttime price, the average electricity price of day price and night price can be expressed as:

p¯=12pd+pn=αβδ+γδ+γ+qd+qnanδ+adγδ+γδ+γL+βl+v4qd+qnγ2δ2+αβδ+γδ+γ+qd+qnadδ+anγδ+γδ+γL+βl+v4qd+qnγ2δ2=2αβδ+γδ+γ+qd+qnanδ+adγ+adδ+anγ2δ+γδ+γL+βl+v4qd+qnγ2δ2=2αβδ+γ+qd+qnad+an2βδ+γL2βv4γδqd+qn=αβ+γδ2γδqd+qn+ad+an2β+γδL2βv4γδ.

Appendix 4

Calculate the first order derivative of installed capacity of renewable energy with respect to renewable energy unit installed capacity of renewable energy cost and carbon emission reduction units, traditional energy and traditional energy supply unit generation cost price sensitivity coefficient, we can obtain: 1) The derivative with respect to renewable energy installed capacity per unit cost is negative. That is, the higher the cost of unit installed capacity, installed capacity of renewable energy is smaller; 2) The derivative with respect to renewable energy carbon emission reduction are positive. That is, renewable energy carbon emission reduction units is bigger, the installed capacity of renewable energy increased; 3) The derivative with respect to the traditional energy generating unit cost is positive. That is, the traditional energy unit generation cost is higher, the installed capacity of renewable energy is higher; 4) The relationship between the energy installed capacity and the sensitivity coefficient of the traditional energy supply price varies according to the sensitivity coefficient of the traditional energy price. It may be made as follows: θ = (4α(γδ)+(qd+qn)(ad+an+2(δγ)(2L+v)))/(4((qd+qn) (L+v)–α)).

krα=δγc2β+γδ2c2γδqd+qn2<0,krL=γδ+c2β+γδ2c2γδqd+qn>0,krv=γδ+βc2β+γδc2γδqd+qn>0.

  1. When β < θ

    krβ=4αβ+γδ+qd+qnad+an4βL+v+2δγ2L+v2δγqd+qn2=4βqd+qnL+vα4αγδqd+qnad+an+2δγ2L+v2γδqd+qn2<0.

    The relationship between the installed capacity of renewable energy on the price sensitivity coefficient of traditional energy supply, when the traditional energy supply price sensitive coefficient: β < θ, the installed capacity of renewable energy on the price sensitive coefficient of transmission energy supply is negatively related, namely the price of conventional energy supply sensitive coefficient is, the smaller the installed capacity of renewable energy.

  2. When β > θ

    krβ=4αβ+γδ+qd+qnad+an4βL+v+2δγ2L+v2δγqd+qn2=4βqd+qnL+vα4αγδqd+qnad+an+2δγ2L+v2γδqd+qn2>0.

    The relationship between the installed capacity of renewable energy on the price sensitivity coefficient of traditional energy supply, when the traditional energy supply price sensitive coefficient: β > θ, the installed capacity of renewable energy on the price sensitivity coefficient is positively related to the transmission of energy supply, namely the price of traditional energy supply sensitive coefficient is, the greater the installed capacity of renewable energy.

Received: 2017-08-18
Accepted: 2017-12-07
Published Online: 2018-06-29

© 2018 Walter De Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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