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Evaluation of Earthquake Emergency Plan Based on SD Model

  • Ran Chang EMAIL logo , Qiuhong Zhao and Nenad Mladenovic
Published/Copyright: September 17, 2017
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Abstract

Based on the system dynamics (SD) model, this paper puts forward a quantitative method to evaluate the earthquake emergency plan in China. Firstly, we analyze the disaster system structure and the content of plan. Using the analysis results, we establish a system dynamics (SD) model and then carry out its simulation. According to the simulation results, the rescue effect using the plan of 2012 is better than that of 2006. From the policy level, in order to reduce loss, government should maintain communication smoothly, improve the ability of self and mutual help, strengthen the management of public opinion, and pay more attention to secondary disasters.


Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (91224007)


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Received: 2016-8-22
Accepted: 2017-2-7
Published Online: 2017-9-17

© 2017 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

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