Introduction

Kapitel in diesem Buch

1. Frontmatter i
2. Contents 1
3. Introduction 3
4. Part I The Biases
5. 1. Confirmation Bias 17
6. 2. Black- and- White Thinking 39
7. Part II The Problems
8. 3. A Statement is Not Fact 59
9. 4. A Fact is Not Data 89
10. 5. Data is Not Evidence: Data Mining 115
11. 6. Data is Not Evidence: Causation 142
12. 7. When Data is Evidence 168
13. 8. Evidence is Not Proof 192
14. Part III The Solutions 211
15. 9. Thinking Smarter as Individuals 213
16. 10. Creating Organizations that Think Smarter 235
17. 11. Creating Societies that Think Smarter 259
18. Appendix: A Checklist for Smarter Thinking 283
19. Acknowledgements 293
20. Notes 295
21. Index 313