Abstract
The 2020 Decennial Census garnered unprecedented attention due to the proposed reintroduction of the citizenship question by the Trump Administration. The legal imperative to respond to the Census and the sensitive nature of the citizenship question led to tensions and public outrage. This paper discusses the controversy surrounding the addition of the citizenship question and its implications on vulnerable communities, particularly undocumented immigrants and communities of color. Although the citizenship question was ultimately not added to the 2020 Decennial Census, it continued to be asked on the American Community Survey (ACS). We examine how negative public sentiment during this time, in tandem with historical mistrust of government data collection, may have manifested as item non-response within the ACS, specifically on questions relating to citizenship status and, more broadly, the Origin and Language subgroup of questions. The analyses in this paper explore trends in non-response rates from the American Community Survey from 2014 to 2022. Item allocation rates are used as a proxy for non-response to questions relating to citizenship. A variety of data visualization tools, supported by statistical methods, are employed to weave connections between allocation trends and the proposed addition of the citizenship question to the Decennial Census. We aim to bring transparency to this issue to educate and encourage response within vulnerable communities by emphasizing the importance of accurate data collection and positive perceptions of government-issued surveys, which are used to make key legislative decisions and create a more democratic nation.
References
Aratani, L. 2018. Secret Use of Census Info Helped Send Japanese Americans to Internment Camps in WWII. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/retropolis/wp/2018/04/03/secret-use-of-census-info-helped-send-japanese-americans-to-internment-camps-in-wwii/.Search in Google Scholar
Barreto, M., C. Warshaw, M. A. Baum, B. J. Dietrich, R. Goldstein, and M. Sen. 2019. New Research Shows Just How Badly a Citizenship Question Would Hurt the 2020 Census. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/04/22/new-research-shows-just-how-badly-citizenship-question-would-hurt-census/.Search in Google Scholar
Bates, N., and Y. G. Trejo. 2019. “2020 Census Barriers, Attitudes, and Motivators Study (CBAMS) Focus Group Final Report.” US Census Bureau 1: 176.Search in Google Scholar
Bowes, P. 2019. US Census 2020: Trump Retreats on Citizenship Question. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-48959538.Search in Google Scholar
Brick, J. M., and G. Kalton. 1996. “Handling Missing Data in Survey Research.” Statistical Methods in Medical Research 5 (3): 215–38. https://doi.org/10.1177/096228029600500302.Search in Google Scholar
Brown, J. D., M. L. Heggeness, S. M. Dorinski, L. Warren, and M. Yi. 2019. “Predicting the Effect of Adding a Citizenship Question to the 2020 Census.” Demography 56 (4): 1173–94. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-019-00803-4.Search in Google Scholar
Bustinza, M. A., and K. Witkowski. 2022. “Immigrants, Deviants, and Drug Users: A Rhetorical Analysis of President Trump’s Fear-Driven Tweets during the 2019 Government Shutdown.” Policy & Internet 14 (4): 788–806, https://doi.org/10.1002/poi3.313.Search in Google Scholar
Chen, S., and D. Haziza. 2019. “Recent Developments in Dealing with Item Non-response in Surveys: A Critical Review.” International Statistical Review 87: S192–S218. https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12305.Search in Google Scholar
Cohn, D. 2018. What to Know about the Citizenship Question the Census Bureau Is Planning to Ask in 2020. Pew Research Center. https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2018/03/30/what-to-know-about-the-citizenship-question-the-census-bureau-is-planning-to-ask-in-2020/.Search in Google Scholar
Conover, W. J. 1999. Practical Nonparametric Statistics, 350, 218–26. New York: John Wiley & Sons.Search in Google Scholar
De Leeuw, E. D., J. J. Hox, and M. Huisman. 2003. “Prevention and Treatment of Item Nonresponse.” Journal of Official Statistics 19: 153–76.Search in Google Scholar
Eggleston, J. 2022. The Impact of Household Surveys on 2020 Census Self-Response. Census.gov. https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2022/adrm/CES-WP-22-24.html.Search in Google Scholar
Foner, N., and P. Simon. 2015. Fear, Anxiety, and National Identity: Immigration and Belonging in North America and Western Europe. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Search in Google Scholar
Groves, R. M. 2005. Survey Errors and Survey Costs. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.Search in Google Scholar
Groves, R. M., and L. Lyberg. 2010. “Total Survey Error: Past, Present, and Future.” Public Opinion Quarterly 74 (5): 849–79. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfq065.Search in Google Scholar
Honan, E. 2019. Citizenship Question Dropped from Census, But Advocates Fear ‘Damage Has Been Done’. ABC News. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/citizenship-question-dropped-census-advocates-fear-damage/story?id=64225417.Search in Google Scholar
Jacobsen, L. A., M. Mather, and A. Reamer. 2022. America’s Essential Data at Risk: A Vision to Preserve and Enhance the American Community Survey. The Census Project. https://censusproject.files.wordpress.com/2022/03/census_white-paper_final_march_2022.pdf.Search in Google Scholar
King, M. 2020. Census Bureau Spends Millions on Ads Combating Citizenship Question Scare. Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/18/census-bureau-ads-citizenship-question-115718.Search in Google Scholar
Lumley, T. 2011. Complex Surveys: A Guide to Analysis Using R, 565. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.10.1002/9780470580066Search in Google Scholar
McGeeney, K., B. Kriz, S. Mullenax, L. Kail, G. Walejko, M. Vines, N. Bates, and Y. García. 2019. 2020 Census Barriers, Attitudes, and Motivators Study Survey Report. Suitland: US Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/decennial-census/2020-census/planning-management/final-analysis/2020-report-cbams-study-survey.html (accessed May, 2019).Search in Google Scholar
O’Hare, W. P. 2018. Citizenship Question Nonresponse: A Demographic Profile of People Who Do Not Answer the American Community Survey Citizenship Question. Georgetown Law Center on Poverty and Inequality Report.Search in Google Scholar
Passel, J. S., and D. Cohn. 2018. U.S. Unauthorized Immigrant Total Dips to Lowest Level in a Decade Metholody. Pew Research Cetner. https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2018/11/27/unauthorized-immigration-estimate-methodology/.Search in Google Scholar
Phan, N. T., and K. L. Lee. 2022. “Toward a Decolonial Quantitative Political Science: Indigenous Self-Identification in the 2019 Native Hawaiian Survey.” Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics 7 (1): 90–118. https://doi.org/10.1017/rep.2021.39.Search in Google Scholar
Pornpakdee, Y., K. Budsaba, and W. Panichkitkosolkul. 2014. An Empirical Comparison of Homogeneity of Variance Tests. Supported by, 263.Search in Google Scholar
Riphahn, R. T., and O. Serfling. 2005. “Item Non-Response on Income and Wealth Questions.” Empirical Economics 30 (2): 521–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-005-0247-7.Search in Google Scholar
Seltzer, W., and M. Anderson. 2001. “The Dark Side of Numbers: The Role of Population Data Systems in Human Rights Abuses.” Social Research: 481–513.Search in Google Scholar
Shakir, F., and J. Bellamy. 2018. ACLU Comments Opposing Inclusion of Citizenship Question to 2020 Census. American Civil Liberties Union.Search in Google Scholar
Team Y&R. 2018. 2020 Census Barriers, Attitudes, and Motivators Study (CBAMS) Survey and Focus Groups. NPR. https://apps.npr.org/documents/document.html?id=5026590-Oct-31-2018-Slide-Deck-On-2020-Census-Barriers#document/p58/a464361.Search in Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau. 2021. Adapting the American Community Survey amid Covid-19. Census.gov. https://www.census.gov/newsroom/blogs/random-samplings/2021/05/adapting-the-acs-amid-covid-19.html.Search in Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau. 2022. Item Allocation Rates. Census.gov. https://www.census.gov/acs/www/methodology/sample-size-and-data-quality/item-allocation-rates/.Search in Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau. 2023a. American Community Survey Information Guide. Census.gov. https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/programs-surveys/acs/about/ACS_Information_Guide.pdf.Search in Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau. 2023b. Title 13, U.S. Code. Census.gov. https://www.census.gov/history/www/reference/privacy_confidentiality/title_13_us_code.html.Search in Google Scholar
Velkoff, V. A., and J. M. Abowd. 2020. Estimating the Undocumented Population by State for Use in Apportionment. Census.gov. https://www2.census.gov/about/policies/foia/records/2020-census-and-acs/20200327-memo-on-undocumented.pdf.Search in Google Scholar
Walejko, G., B. Kriz, Y. A. García Trejo, A. Sandoval Girón, S. Evans, and N. Bates. 2020. “Use of Exact Matching to Examine Media’s Effect on Intended Behavior the Case of the Addition of the 2020 Census Citizenship Question.” Public Opinion Quarterly 84 (4): 1000–13. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfaa057.Search in Google Scholar
Wang, H. L. 2018. Adding Citizenship Question Risks ‘Bad Count’ for 2020 Census, Experts Warn. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2018/01/10/575145554/adding-citizenship-question-risks-bad-count-for-2020-census-experts-warn.Search in Google Scholar
Wines, M. 2019. 2020 Census Won’t Have Citizenship Question as Trump Administration Drops Effort. New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/02/us/trump-census-citizenship-question.html?auth=login-google1tap&login=google1tap.Search in Google Scholar
Wood, S. N. 2017. Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction with R, 2nd ed., 396. Boca Raton: CRC Press.10.1201/9781315370279Search in Google Scholar
© 2024 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Articles
- Did People Really “Leave It Blank”? A Tale of What Became of the Census Citizenship Question and Allocation Trends Through Time
- Estimation of the Departmental Female Employment Rate: Towards a New Strategy Based on Combining Spatial and Non-spatial Small Area Estimators
- Infrastructure and Gender Disparity in Information Communication Technology Literacy: A Cross-Country Comparative Study
- Trend and Fuzzy Time Series Analysis of Live Births Registration in Northern Ghana
- Typical Yet Unlikely and Normally Abnormal: The Intuition Behind High-Dimensional Statistics
Articles in the same Issue
- Frontmatter
- Articles
- Did People Really “Leave It Blank”? A Tale of What Became of the Census Citizenship Question and Allocation Trends Through Time
- Estimation of the Departmental Female Employment Rate: Towards a New Strategy Based on Combining Spatial and Non-spatial Small Area Estimators
- Infrastructure and Gender Disparity in Information Communication Technology Literacy: A Cross-Country Comparative Study
- Trend and Fuzzy Time Series Analysis of Live Births Registration in Northern Ghana
- Typical Yet Unlikely and Normally Abnormal: The Intuition Behind High-Dimensional Statistics