Startseite The Effect of the Regional “Income Tax Withholding Allowance” and “Social Security Premium Support” Programmes on Labour Outcomes in Turkey
Artikel
Lizenziert
Nicht lizenziert Erfordert eine Authentifizierung

The Effect of the Regional “Income Tax Withholding Allowance” and “Social Security Premium Support” Programmes on Labour Outcomes in Turkey

  • Eleftherios Giovanis EMAIL logo , Oznur Ozdamar und Eda Akilotu
Veröffentlicht/Copyright: 1. November 2021
Veröffentlichen auch Sie bei De Gruyter Brill

Abstract

This paper examines the employment effects of the “Income tax withholding allowance” and “Social security premium support” programmes implemented in Turkey in 2012. The programmes aim to provide incentives to firms and generate employment opportunities for groups in targeted regions in the Eastern part of Turkey. The analysis relies on detailed micro-level data derived by the Household Labour Force Survey in 2008–2016. We apply the difference-in-differences (DID) method, and we use as treated subjects the respondents located in the regions affected by the policy. Moreover, we propose the propensity score matching approach within the DID framework to reduce the possible selection bias. The findings show a positive impact of the programme on employment, wages, the number of working hours and labour force participation, but we find a negative effect on the probability of being employed in a permanent job for the treated group.


Corresponding author: Eleftherios Giovanis, Department of Public Finance, Nazilli Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Aydın Adnan Menderes University, Cumhuriyet, 09860 İsabeyli/Nazilli/Aydın, Turkey, E-mail:

Award Identifier / Grant number: Career Development Program 3501 with Project No. 2

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the Editor and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions and constructive comments that greatly contributed to the improvement of the quality of this paper. Any remaining errors or omissions remain the responsibility of the authors.

  1. Research funding: This research was supported and funded by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TÜBİTAK) under the Career Development Program 3501 with Project No. 217K059. The financial support received from TÜBİTAK does not mean that the context of the paper is approved in a scientific sense by TÜBİTAK. The authors are grateful for the financial support received.

  2. Data: This work is done using STATA 15 and is based on data derived from the Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS) 2008–2016 provided by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT).

References

Ahituv, A., and R. I. Lerman. 2007. “How do Marital Status, Work Effort, and Wage Rates Interact?” Demography 44 (3): 623–47, https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2007.0021.Suche in Google Scholar

Ai, C., and E. C. Norton. 2003. “Interaction Terms in Logit and Probit Models.” Economics Letters 80 (1): 123–9, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1765(03)00032-6.Suche in Google Scholar

Akan, Y., and I. Arslan. 2008. “Türkiye’de Sektörel Yatırım Teşvik Belgeleri İle İstihdam Analizi: Doğu Anadolu Bölgesi Üzerine Bir Uygulama (1980–2006).” Çalışma ve Toplum Dergisi 2008/1: 107–19.Suche in Google Scholar

Akerlof, G. A., W. T. Dickens, and G. L. Perry. 1996. “The Macroeconomics of Low Inflation.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1: 1–75, https://doi.org/10.2307/2534646.Suche in Google Scholar

Angrist, J. D., and A. B. Kreuger. 1991. “Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and Earnings?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 106 (4): 979–1014, https://doi.org/10.2307/2937954.Suche in Google Scholar

Angrist, J. D., and J. S. Pischke. 2009. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist’s Companion. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.10.1515/9781400829828Suche in Google Scholar

Ashenfelter, O., and C. Rouse. 1998. “Income, Schooling, and Ability: Evidence from a New Sample of Identical Twins.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 113 (1): 253–84, https://doi.org/10.1162/003355398555577.Suche in Google Scholar

Asik, G., U. Karakoç, and S. Pamuk. 2020. Regional Inequalities and the West-East Divide in Turkey Since 1880. London: Discussion Paper DP15304 Centre for Economic Policy Research.Suche in Google Scholar

Athey, S., and G. W. Imbens. 2006. “Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Difference‐in‐Differences Models.” Econometrica 74 (2): 431–97, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00668.x.Suche in Google Scholar

Balkan, B., S. M. Cilasun, and B. Turan. 2016a. The Impact of the Turkish Employment Subsidy Programs on Increasing the Level of Social Protection for Women. Economic Research Forum (ERF) series Working Paper No. 1022, June. Cairo: Economic Research Forum (ERF).Suche in Google Scholar

Balkan, B., S. Y. Baskaya, and S. Tumen. 2016b. Evaluating the Impact of the Post-2008 Employment Subsidy Program in Turkey IZA Discussion Paper No. 9993 June. Bonn: IZA-Institute of Labor Economics.10.2139/ssrn.2800490Suche in Google Scholar

Bardasi, E., and M. Taylor. 2008. “Marriage and Wages: A Test of the Specialization Hypothesis.” Economica 75 (299): 569–91, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0335.2007.00630.x.Suche in Google Scholar

Bayar, A. A. 2016. The Decomposition of Regional Income Inequalities of Turkey. Unpublished Manuscript.Suche in Google Scholar

Blundell, R., and M. Costa Dias. 2000. “Evaluation Methods for Non-Experimental Data.” Fiscal Studies 21 (4): 427–68.10.1111/j.1475-5890.2000.tb00031.xSuche in Google Scholar

Blundell, R., M. Costa Dias, C. Meghir, and J. van Reenen. 2004. “Evaluating the Employment Impact of a Mandatory Job Search Program.” Journal of the European Economic Association 2: 569–606, https://doi.org/10.1162/1542476041423368.Suche in Google Scholar

Bonjour, D., L. Cherkas, J. Haskel, D. Hawkes, and D. Spector. 2003. “Returns to Education: Evidence from UK Twins.” American Economic Review 93 (5): 1799–812, https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803322655554.Suche in Google Scholar

Bugay, A., R. Delevi, and E. Mullet. 2019. “Attitude toward Women in Turkey: Combined Effect of Sex, Place, and Culture.” Current Psychology 40: 1–9, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-019-00273-2.Suche in Google Scholar

Card, D. 2001. “Immigrant Inflows, Native Outflows, and the Local Labor Market Impacts of Higher Immigration.” Journal of Labor Economics 19 (1): 22–64, https://doi.org/10.1086/209979.Suche in Google Scholar

Crepon, B., and R. Desplatz. 2002. Evaluating the Effects of Payroll Tax Subsidies for Low Wage Workers. Unpublished Manuscript, CREST-INSEE.Suche in Google Scholar

Dalacoura, K. 2017. “‘East’ and ‘West’ in Contemporary Turkey: Threads of a New Universalism.” Third World Quarterly 38 (9): 2066–81, https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2017.1315301.Suche in Google Scholar

Dustmann, C., F. Fabbri, and I. Preston. 2005. “The Impact of Immigration on the British Labour Market.” Economic Journal 115 (507): 324–41, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2005.01038.x.Suche in Google Scholar

Feyrer, J. 2007. “Demographics and Productivity.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 89 (1): 100–9, https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.89.1.100.Suche in Google Scholar

Goos, M., and J. Konings. 2007. The Impact of Payroll Tax Reductions on Employment and Wages: A Natural Experiment Using Firm Level Data. LICOS Discussion Papers 178. Leuven: LICOS Centre for Institutions and Economic Performance, KU Leuven.10.2139/ssrn.958027Suche in Google Scholar

Gruen, D., and M. Garbutt. 2003. The Output Implications of Higher Labour Force Participation. Treasury Working Paper 2003-02.Suche in Google Scholar

Headey, D. D., and A. Hodge. 2009. “The Effect of Population Growth on Economic Growth: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Macroeconomic Literature.” Population and Development Review 35 (2): 221–48, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00274.x.Suche in Google Scholar

Heckman, J. J., H. Ichimura, and P. E. Todd. 1997. “Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme.” Review of Economic Studies 64: 605–54, https://doi.org/10.2307/2971733.Suche in Google Scholar

Heckman, J. J., H. Ichimura, and P. Todd. 1998. “Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator.” Review of Economic Studies 65 (2): 261–94, https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-937x.00044.Suche in Google Scholar

Huttunen, K., J. Pirtilla, and R. Uusitalo. 2013. “The Employment Effects of Low-Wage Subsidies.” Journal of Public Economics 97: 49–60, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2012.09.007.Suche in Google Scholar

Imbens, G. W., and J. M. Wooldridge. 2009. “Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation.” Journal of Economic Literature 47 (1): 5–86, https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.47.1.5.Suche in Google Scholar

Kaya, A. 2010. “Management of Ethno-Cultural Diversity in Turkey: Europeanization of Domestic Politics and New Challenges.” International Journal of Legal Information 38 (2): 214, https://doi.org/10.1017/s0731126500005746.Suche in Google Scholar

Kedir, A. 2008. Health and Wages: Panel Evidence on Men and Women Using IV Quantile Regression. Leicester: University of Leicester Department of Economics Working Paper No. 08/37.Suche in Google Scholar

Kennedy, S., and D. Hedley. 2003. Educational Attainment and Labour Force Participation in Australia. Economic Roundup, Winter 2003. Canberra: Department of the Treasury.Suche in Google Scholar

Kramarz, F., and T. Philippon. 2001. “The Impact of Differential Payroll Tax Subsidies on Minimum Wage Employment.” Journal of Public Economics 82 (1): 115–46, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0047-2727(00)00137-7.Suche in Google Scholar

McGuiness, S. 2006. “Overeducation in the Labor Market.” Journal of Economic Surveys 20: 387–418.10.1111/j.0950-0804.2006.00284.xSuche in Google Scholar

OECD. 2016. Boosting Regional Competitiveness in Turkey: Highlights. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Publishing. Also available at https://www.oecd.org/global-relations/Boosting_Regional_Competitiveness_Highlights.pdf.Suche in Google Scholar

OECD. 2018a. Education at a Glance 2018, OECD Indicators. Paris: OECD Publishing.Suche in Google Scholar

OECD. 2018b. OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance 2018. Paris: OECD Publishing.Suche in Google Scholar

Öngen, B., and S. Aytaç. 2013. “Attitudes of University Students Regarding to Gender Roles and Relationship with Life Values.” Sociology Conferences 48 (2): 1–18.Suche in Google Scholar

Ozdamar, O., E. Giovanis, C. Dağlıoğlu, and C. Gerede. 2021. “The Effect of the 2008 Employment Support Programme on Young Men’s Labour Market Outcomes in Turkey: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design.” The Manchester School 89 (3): 276–96, https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12362.Suche in Google Scholar

Ozturk, I. 2002. Economic and Social Issues of East and Southeast Turkey: Policy Implications. Available at SSRN 1128346.10.2139/ssrn.1128346Suche in Google Scholar

Pereira, P., and P. Martins. 2004. “Returns to Education and Wage Equations.” Applied Economics 36 (6): 525–31, https://doi.org/10.1080/0003684042000217571.Suche in Google Scholar

Puhani, P. A. 2012. “The Treatment Effect, the Cross Difference, and the Interaction Term in Nonlinear “Difference-in-Differences” Models.” Economics Letters 115 (1): 85–7, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2011.11.025.Suche in Google Scholar

Rosenbaum, P. R., and B. Rubin. 1983. “The Central Role of the Propensity Score in Observational Studies for Causal Effects.” Biometrika 70 (1): 41–55, https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/70.1.41.Suche in Google Scholar

Sahin, M., and Ö. Uysal. 2011. “A Shift-Share Analysis of Investment Subsidies in the Framework of Regional Development.” Maliye Dergisi 160: 111–38.Suche in Google Scholar

Selim, S., O. M. Koçtürk, and P. Eryiğıt. 2014. “Effect on Employment of the Investment Incentives and Fixed Investments in Turkey: Panel Data Analysis.” Ege Academic Review 14 (1): 661–73.10.21121/eab.2014418020Suche in Google Scholar

Smith, J., and P. Todd. 2005. “Does Matching Overcome LaLonde’s Critique of Nonexperimental Estimators?” Journal of Econometrics 125: 305–53, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.04.011.Suche in Google Scholar

Stuart, E. A., H. A. Huskamp, K. Duckworth, J. Simmons, Z. Song, M. E. Chernew, and C. L. Barry. 2014. “Using Propensity Scores in Difference-in-Differences Models to Estimate the Effects of a Policy Change.” Health Services and Outcomes Research Methodology 14 (4): 166–82, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10742-014-0123-z.Suche in Google Scholar

Thurow, L. 1975. Generating Inequality. New York: Basic Book, Inc.10.1007/978-1-349-15723-5Suche in Google Scholar

Vefikuluçay, D., S. Zeyneloğlu, K. Eroğlu, and L. Taşkın. 2007. “Perspectives of Gender Roles of Senior Citizens of Caucasian Universities.” Journal of Nursing School 14 (2): 26–38.Suche in Google Scholar

Walters, D., J. White, and P. Maxim. 2004. “Does Postsecondary Education Benefit Aboriginal Canadians? An Examination of Earnings and Employment Outcomes for Recent Aboriginal Graduates.” Canadian Public Policy 30 (3): 283–300, https://doi.org/10.2307/3552303.Suche in Google Scholar

Yavan, N. 2012. “The Impact of Investment Incentives on Regional Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis.” Ekonomik Yaklaşım Dergisi 81 (22): 65–104.10.5455/ey.20018Suche in Google Scholar

Received: 2020-10-09
Accepted: 2021-09-16
Published Online: 2021-11-01

© 2021 Walter de Gruyter GmbH, Berlin/Boston

Heruntergeladen am 2.10.2025 von https://www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi/10.1515/rmeef-2020-0040/html?lang=de
Button zum nach oben scrollen