A Test of Huntington’s Thesis
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Gunes Gokmen
Abstract
This paper tests Huntington’s the Clash of Civilizations hypothesis evaluating the impact of civilizations on militarized interstate disputes. In particular, we investigate whether countries that belong to different civilizations tend to be more involved in conflict than countries that belong to the same civilization. We show that over the period of 1816-2001, dissimilarity in civilization in a dyad has no effect on conflict involvement. However, even after controlling for temporal dependence, and for geographic, political, military and economic factors, being part of different civilizations in the post-Cold War period brings about 63.6% higher probability of conflict than belonging to the same civilization, whereas this effect is insignificant during the Cold War.
© 2012 by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co.
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Artikel in diesem Heft
- Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy
- Political Economy of Institutions and Conflict
- The Consequences of Divide-and-Rule Politics in Africa South of the Sahara
- Citizenry Accountability in Autocracies
- Military Spending and Democratisation
- A Test of Huntington’s Thesis
- Partitioning Ethnic Groups and their Members: Explaining Variations in Satisfaction with Democracy in Africa
- Conflict and Violence
- The Organization of Political Violence by Insurgencies
- The lone wolf terrorist: sprees of violence
- Rooted in Urban Poverty? Failed Modernization and Terrorism
- Human Rights “Naming & Shaming” and Civil War Violence
- Conflict Dynamics
- A Note on a Comparison of Simultaneous and Sequential Colonel Blotto Games
- The effect of within-group inequality in a conflict against a unitary threat
- Cooperation beats Deterrence in Cyberwar
- Civil Conflict in Africa
- The Socioeconomic Distribution of Adult Mortality during Conflicts in Africa
- Wartime Violence and Post-Conflict Political Mobilization in Mozambique
- Gold and Civil Conflict Intensity: evidence from a spatially disaggregated analysis
