Abstract
Consumer consent regulation is the cornerstone of modern data privacy regulation such as the European GDPR and the Californian CCPA. By ensuring that consumers can reject any harmful data collection, the regulation seems an effective tool for protecting consumers against price discrimination. By contrast, I provide the insight that consent regulation alone is ineffective because it provides firms with the loophole to commit to unattractive offers to dissenting consumers. Effective consent regulation therefore requires an explicit regulation of the firm’s dissent offer. This is informationally demanding; regulation that merely insists on “reasonable” (sequential rational) offers is ineffective.
1 Introduction
The current progress in data collection and processing holds the potential to significantly boost economic prosperity. Many consumers nowadays benefit from personalized recommendations for movies, books, or other products as firms learn consumers personal preferences through data collection. More significantly, information about consumers’ personal preferences is a crucial driver of innovation because it allows firms to create new products that align more closely with consumer preferences. Thus, consumers, firms, and society as a whole stand to benefit substantially from the digitalization of consumer markets with its advanced data collection abilities.
However, in markets with imperfect competition data collection can also harm consumers, particularly when it enables a firm to discern a consumer’s willingness to pay. The firm then benefits from exercising its market power by charging a high personalized price to those consumers who value the product most. These consumers lose from the data collection as they end up paying higher prices than without the data collection. In general, the overall impact of such price discrimination on consumer surplus and aggregate surplus is however complex and contingent on the specifics of the data collection. As Bergemann et al. (2015) show, price discrimination in general allows a large range of feasible economic outcomes with highly ambiguous effects on consumers.
Given the ambiguous effects of data collection and the limited information available to regulators, a market-driven, indirect approach has been adopted: consumer consent regulation. This regulation requires firms to obtain explicit consent from consumers or to give consumers an explicit opt-out right. The regulation effectively grants consumers ownership rights over their information, thereby creating a market for data collection. Thus, in the spirit of Coase (1960), the regulation aims to leverage the power of market forces to obtain efficient outcomes. Prominent examples of requiring explicit consent include the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and its Digital Markets Act (DMA). Similarly, the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA) enables consumers to reject any harmful data collection, by demanding firms to provide an explicit opt-out right.[1]
The rationale behind such consent regulation is straightforward: Just as a firm will not engage in data collection that hurts its profits, a consumer will prevent any data collection that hurts him as a consumer. This reasoning suggests that data collection that occurs with the consumer’s consent must benefit both parties and, thus, increases aggregate surplus. Hence, consent regulation seems a panacea, ensuring data collection to the benefit of all.
This paper provides the insight that the above reasoning is incomplete as it fails to account for the firm’s offer contingent on the consumer’s refusal to consent, the firm’s dissent offer. The implicit but erroneous assumption behind the reasoning is that by refusing data collection, the dissenting consumer receives the offer that would obtain without any data collection possibilities. This paper argues that, to the firm, such an offer is suboptimal. By contrast, the firm is, in general, strictly better of committing to a dissent offer that is worse to the consumer than if data collection were not possible. This prevents consent regulation to protect consumers against harmful price discrimination.
Regulations such as the GDPR and the CCPA allow such contingent offers by design. The GDPR does so because by explicitly requiring a firm to clarify to the consumer how it uses the data, the regulation also provides the firm with the ability to state what happens without consent.[2] Appealing to the concept of reasonableness, the CCPA is even more explicit in this regard. For instance, in article CIV 1798.125.2, it explicitly clarifies: “Nothing in this subdivision prohibits a business from charging a consumer a different price or rate, or from providing a different level or quality of goods or services to the consumer, if that difference is reasonably related to the value provided to the business by the consumer’s data.”[3] The CCPA therefore explicitly allows the firm to commit to dissent offers that differ from a consent offer but with the requirement that they are “reasonable”.
Hence, while it is correct that the consumer consent model gives consumers the ability to decline data collection if it is not in their interests, such regulations also enable firms to commit to a dissent offer. Without further restrictions, this commitment provides firms with a simple loophole, circumventing the regulation’s ability to protect consumers. Firms just have to commit to a dissent offer that is so unattractive that the consumer is better off consenting. It is therefore imperative to flank consumer consent regulation with additional measures to prevent such exploitation of this loophole. This paper studies the effectiveness of such additional measures.
Indeed, by ensuring that consent is not coerced, Article 7.4 of the GDPR indicates that EU regulators are, in principle, aware of this loophole: “When assessing whether consent is freely given, utmost account shall be taken of whether, inter alia, the performance of a contract, including the provision of a service, is conditional on consent to the processing of personal data that is not necessary for the performance of that contract.”[4] However, the article’s formulation of “utmost account” allows much room for interpretation. Indeed, as of yet no regulatory actions or court cases explicitly refer to Article 7.4, even though some regulatory actions can be attributed to its underlying principles. Likewise, the CCPA’s “right to no discrimination,” which stipulates that consumers cannot be discriminated against for exercising their privacy rights, indicates a similar awareness.[5]
From a pure theoretical perspective, the loophole is easily fixed. One simply extends consent regulation by the requirement that firms must provide to dissenting consumers the offer that mirrors the outcome that would exist without the possibility of data collection. This extension requires however that regulators understand the counterfactual scenario of a world without data collection. Such regulation may therefore be too informational demanding.
Because of this drawback, I evaluate the efficacy of more pragmatic regulatory approaches for regulating the alternative available to consumers who refuse consent. In particular and in line with CCPA’s CIV 1798.125.2 as quoted above, I investigate regulation that mandates firms to extend only “reasonable” offers to consumers.
Considering a “reasonable offer” as one that is sequential rational to the firm, I show that such extended regulation is however also ineffective.[6] This is so because data collection makes private information verifiable. Indeed, because private information that is verifiable tends to unravel and induces voluntary disclosure, sequential rational offers actually also undermine consent regulation.[7] In particular, the offer that a consumer receives without any possibility of data collection (and, as previously argued, would extend consent regulation into an effective regulation), is not sequential rational.
Concerning the related literature, closest related is Hermalin and Katz (2006), who analyze the role of data property rights on equilibrium outcomes in both competitive and monopolistic settings. While not addressing regulatory measures beyond pure data property rights, they show that if firms can commit to offers before consumers decide on a verifiable disclosure of their personally identifiable data, then the set of equilibrium outcomes is independent of whether the firms or the consumers possess the property rights to the data. This result is inline with the insight above that, because data collection makes private information verifiable, Coase (1960)’s idea to complete the market by defining property rights does not resolve data collection issues.
Hermalin and Katz (2006) moreover derive conditions such that their irrelevance result also obtains when firms cannot commit to offers before the consumers’ disclosure decision. Focusing on this non-commitment case, Ali et al. (2023a, 2023b) expand on this result by showing that, depending on the type of disclosure, the unraveling effects of verifiable private information may undermine consent regulation and also note that a small concealment cost reinforces unraveling. Also the law and economics literature points to the problem of unravelling as undermining a property right approach towards privacy (e.g., Posner 1998; Pepper 2011).
In line with Ali et al. (2023b) but focusing on the seller’s commitment, the insights of this paper also offer a simple, alternative explanation for the empirically observed “privacy paradox” of consumers, whose self-reported high valuation for data privacy stand in conflict with their frequent willingness to exchange data for only minimal compensation (e.g., Berendt et al. 2005; Athey et al. 2017). The explanation is that, even if consumers much value their data privacy, a firm does not need to offer any compensation to such consumers when it makes the offer for dissenting consumers unattractive enough. This explanation offers an alternative to theories that emphasize a social externality of data collection (e.g., Choi et al. 2019; Ichihashi 2021; Acemoglu et al. 2022; Bergemann, Bonatti, and Gan 2022) or experimental studies that study the bounded rationality of consumers (e.g., Beresford et al. 2012; Athey et al. 2017).
The remainder of the paper formally derives the results as discussed above by analyzing a straightforward but canonical model of a seller fully learning the buyers’ willingness to pay through data collection.
2 Model and Analysis
2.1 Model
Consider a firm producing an indivisible good for consumers at a normalized cost of zero. A specific consumer values the good at some valuation v ∈ [0, 1]. Initially, each consumer is privately informed about her personal valuation so that, without the consumer’s data, the firm only knows that the consumer’s value is distributed over [0,1] with a cumulative distribution function F(v) that admits a continuous, strictly positive density f(v) > 0.
By contrast, the firm can learn (or verify) the valuation of a particular consumer by collecting and processing her data. The collection and processing of consumer data is costless to the firm and allows the firm to learn the consumer’s valuation v perfectly.
The modelling assumption that data collection allows the firm to perfectly learn the consumer’s type is not crucial. It however illustrates the case in which the trade-off between the welfare benefits of data collection and its potential threat to consumers is extreme. In particular, when the firm perfectly learns the consumer’s type, the data collection, as explicitly shown below, allows the firm to extract all consumer rents.[8]
2.2 No Data Collection (Benchmark)
As the research question of this paper is to understand the extent to which consumers, firms, and society as a whole may benefit from the digitalization of consumer markets with its advanced data collection abilities, the appropriate benchmark for my analysis is a situation in which the market interaction takes place without any data collection. Subsequently, I analyze potential Pareto improvements vis-a-vis this benchmark.
In the absence of any data collection, the firms expects a demand D(p) = 1 − F(p) when setting a price p.[9] Hence, the firm’s optimal price solves
Based on the first order condition, the firm’s optimal price, p n , is implicitly defined by
and, hence, satisfies p n ∈ (0, 1).[10] Consequently, the firm’s optimal profits are
and consumer surplus is
The analysis confirms that, in the sense of Galbraith (1952), the consumer’s private information acts as a countervailing power against the firm’s market power. The consumer’s private information prevents the monopolist from extracting the full surplus, resulting in a positive consumer surplus in the form of information rents.
Although a positive consumer rent is a common outcome in models of monopolistic screening, the analysis below shows that when data collection makes private information verifiable, private information alone is insufficient to generate consumer rents, even under consent regulation.
2.3 Data Collection Without Consent
Next suppose the market interaction takes place in a digital world with data collection but one in which the firm does not need the consumer’s consent to learn the consumer’s valuation through its data collection.
In this case, it is clearly optimal for the firm to collect the consumer’s data, thereby learning her specific valuation v, and then charging a price that corresponds to the learned valuation. This yields the firm an expected profit of
As the firm extracts the full valuation from each type of consumer, consumer surplus is
Hence, the data collection allows the firm to price discriminate perfectly. While this yields an efficient allocation that maximizes the aggregate surplus, consumers lose as compared to the benchmark above of a world without data collection.
For future reference, it is helpful to state more formally the contract that the firm offers to the consumer from an ex ante view. In the case of data collection without consent, a contract specifies a quantity x ∈ {0, 1} and a price
That is, in a world with data collection but without the need of consent, the following equilibrium outcome results: the firm offers to the consumer the contract (x d (.), p d (.)), all consumer types accept this contract, the firm learns the consumer’s type v from the data collection, and obtains the price p d (v) = v from a consumer with valuation v in exchange for the good. Note that the contract (x d (.), p d (.)) is not a direct mechanism, as it conditions on the true type v rather than the consumer’s report about it.[11]
2.4 Data Collection With Consent
Next consider a digital world with data collection but now the firm, first, has to ask for the consumer’s consent in order to collect and use the data. In case the consumer does not consent, the firm cannot learn the consumer’s valuation. In case the consumer consents, the firm learns the consumer’s actual valuation.
Asking for consent formally means that the firm’s contract, (x c (.), p c (.)), now also conditions the quantity x and the price p on the consumer’s consent. If the consumer gives consent, the contract further conditions (x, p) on the true type as revealed by the data collection, whereas without consent it cannot.
Clearly, the firm cannot do better than without consent. To determine an optimal contract, it therefore suffices to show that also with consent, the firm can obtain the payoff Π d .
It is immediate that the firm can indeed do so by the following “service-only-on-consent” contract:
where C = 1 represents the consumer giving consent, and C = 0 for refusing it.
The contracting game of data collection with consent has the following (unique) equilibrium outcome: the firm offers to the consumer the contract (x c (.), p c (.)), all consumer types accept the contract and consent, the firm learns the consumer’s type v from the data collection, and obtains the price p = v from consumer type v in exchange for the good.[12]
Hence, a simple “service-only-on-consent” clause in its offer enables the firm to bypass the consent regulation completely. “Service-only-on-consent” clauses are common practice in many industries. For instance, if a customer applies for credit at a bank, the bank will only want to provide the credit if the consumer has a decent credit score. However, in order to obtain the customer’s credit report from a credit score agency, the bank needs the customer’s explicit consent for pulling his score. To ensure this consent, banks commit to refuse the credit request if the customer refuses to give the consent.[13]
Yet, the firm can circumvent the consent regulation also if it is forced to service the consumer upon refusing consent; it commits to a service at an excessively high price, e.g., p = 10 > 1, whenever the consumer refuses consent. For instance, the contract
also yields the firm the payoff Π d , and consumers a surplus of CS d = 0
The scheme works because consumers know that upon refusal they are faced with such a bad option that it is better to consent to the data collection. In practise, there are many other ways for the firm to make the data refusal option unpalatable to the consumer. For instance letting the consumer know that upon refusing data collection, the online service is degraded to such a degree that purchasing the product is such a hassle that its purchase is no longer worthwhile.
2.5 Data Collection With Consent and Price-Cap
p
̄
Next, I confirm two further claims of the introduction. First, with the possibility of data collection, it is indeed not optimal for the firm to offer the same terms to the consumer as the ones that obtain without the possibility of data collection. Second, if the regulation would induce the firm to offer these same terms, then the regulation does guarantee that consumers do not lose from the possibility of data collection. Hence, extending consent regulation by a regulation of the firm’s selling price when the consumer refuses consent, solves the identified problems. Such extended regulation does protect consumers against the harms of data collection, while allowing the firm to realize the potential efficiency gain of data collection.
To see this, let the extended regulation set a price-cap of
The firm can obtain this upper bound by the following contract:
That is, if a consumer type v consents to the data collection, then the firm learns her type from the data collection and charges her a personalized price of p = v. If the consumer does not consent, the consumer can buy the good at a price p n , corresponding to the price-cap as set by the extended regulation.
The contract offer (x e (.), p e (.)) satisfies the extended regulation and supports an equilibrium in which only consumers with a valuation v ≤ p n consent to the data collection and having them subsequently buy the good at their valuation. Consumers with a valuation v > p n do not consent to the data collection and buy the good at the price p n .
Hence, the extended regulation yields an equilibrium allocation that is efficient as all consumers buy, but no consumer is worse off than in the benchmark with no data collection. At the same time, the firm strictly benefits from the data collection as it enables the firm to sell the good also profitably to low value consumers. As compared to a world with no data collection, the extended regulation leads to a Pareto improvement. All the economic benefits from data collection are realized without making anyone worse off.
While the extended regulation with a price cap of
This leads to the natural question how sensitive the ability to obtain Pareto improvements are to mistakes in the price cap level
which is strictly positive for
2.6 Data Collection with Consent and Reasonable Offers
Given that upward mistakes in setting the right price cap lead to consumers being hurt by data-collection, one may ask whether more practical, less informationally demanding forms of regulation could achieve the same outcome as by setting an optimal price cap
The contracts (x
c
(.), p
c
(.)) and
This raises the question whether the identified loophole of consent regulation can be resolved by extending it by prohibiting sellers to make unreasonable offers which are not sequentially rational.[15] As discussed in the introduction, the CCPA, in fact, demands such reasonability in CIV 1798.125.2. I next argue that if we take a reasonable offer as one that is sequentially rational, the answer is negative.[16]
Indeed, changing the price in the contract
Hence, requiring the firm to make only sequentially rational offers does not prevent the firm from circumventing the regulation. Note that this result is general because it effectively follows from the fact that data collection makes the consumer’s private information verifiable and that private information that is verifiable typically unravels (e.g. Grossman 1981, Milgrom 1981). Indeed, the only price that is sequentially rational is the price p = 1 to dissenting consumers. In particular, the price p n is not sequentially rational because at this price it would be optimal for a consumer with value v to dissent if and only if v > p n . Hence, after seeing a refusal, the seller rationally concludes that the consumer must have a value of at least p n but then the price p n is not optimal.
3 Conclusions
This paper demonstrates that, due to firms’ strategic use of “dissent offers”, current consumer consent regulations, while seemingly empowering, are insufficient to protect consumers from exploitation. The analysis, based on a stylized but canonical model of monopolistic screening, where a monopoly uses consumer data for personalized pricing, reveals that firms can design unattractive dissent offers that effectively coerce consumers into consenting to data collection, undermining the intended control over their data.
The analysis yields three key insights for privacy regulation. First, simple consent regulation alone is ineffective because firms can commit to dissent offers that leave consumers no meaningful choice. Second, effective protection requires explicit regulation of dissent offers, with an optimally set price cap generating a Pareto improvement over the pre-data-collection world. Third, attempts to require “reasonable” offers defined as sequentially rational are also ineffective due to the unraveling properties of verifiable information.
While these findings are robust within the theoretical framework presented, several limitations and extensions warrant discussion.
In assuming that firms can make arbitrary dissent offers, the paper takes an extreme position. In real life markets, firms face many frictions such as competition, reputational concerns, and consumer backlash that may constrain such offers. Incorporating these real-world frictions would enhance the model’s applicability. For instance, in markets with greater competition, firms might be limited in their ability to impose unattractive dissent offers due to the risk of losing customers to competitors.
The model’s assumption of costless and perfect data collection illustrates an extreme scenario. While it serves as a useful benchmark, exploring scenarios with costly or imperfect data collection would provide a more realistic analysis. In such situations, consumer surplus might not be driven to zero, and the firm’s ability to extract surplus would be limited. However, popular press often cites examples, indicating that data-collection allows firms to know us better than we know ourselves.[17] Hence, while extreme, the model’s assumption that firms learn the consumer’s private information perfectly may actually be understating the firm’s abilities from data-collection.
In addition, many online services do not involve direct monetary prices, which affects how firms can implement discriminatory offers. Instead of price, firms might adjust content or service quality, which could be costly to implement. Analyzing these alternative forms of discrimination would broaden the scope of the analysis.
Moreover, the current model assumes consumers are passive recipients of offers, but in reality, consumers may strategically behave to signal they have a low valuation. Allowing for such strategic consumer behavior would add depth to the analysis.
The regulatory solution of a price cap equal to the static “non-data-collection” monopoly price theoretically solves the problem, but faces significant implementation challenges due to its informational demands. However, even imperfect price caps can generate welfare improvements. For any price cap below but close to non-data-collection price, data collection with consent regulation remains Pareto-improving relative to no data collection.
Defining reasonable offers as sequentially rational leads to outcomes where firms can still circumvent regulations. Exploring alternative definitions of reasonableness and their implications is essential for effective policy design.
By addressing these points, future research can provide a more comprehensive understanding of consumer consent regulations and their implications in the digital economy. Yet, the fundamental mechanism that the stylized model identifies – strategic design of dissent offers – likely remains also a crucial factor in more realistic scenarios of digital consumer markets.
Funding source: FP7 Ideas: European Research Council
Award Identifier / Grant number: 101096682
Acknowledgments
I thank Dirk Bergemann, Tilman Börgers, Daniel Krämer, Ali Nageeb, Martin Peitz, Markus Reisinger, and Heike Schweitzer for very helpful discussions and comments. Support by the European Union through ERC-Grant PRIVDIMA (101096682) is gratefully acknowledged.
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Research ethics: Not applicable.
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Informed consent: Not applicable.
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Author contributions: The author has accepted responsibility for the entire content of this manuscript and approved its submission.
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Conflict of interest: The author states no conflict of interest.
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Research funding: European Union Research Council ERC-Grant PRIVDIMA (101096682).
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Data availability: Not applicable.
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